Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian

Saturday 22 April 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 33 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 6,787

St. Johnstone May 25'

Hibernian Stevenson 32' · Jeggo sent off 48'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Hibernian
Goals	1	1
xG	0.84	0.45
Expected Points	1.65	0.94

St. Johnstone 41%Draw 42%Hibernian 17%

Most likely score 0–0, 28%. Final score 1–1, 13%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.84 −0.06xG0.45 −0.82

2.10 +1.24xG on target0.81 −0.34

14 +4Shots6 −9

7 +4.0Shots on target3 −1.7

2 +0.6Big chances0 −1.5

26 +10Touches in the opposition box11 −11

55% +13Possession45% −10

312 −11Passes261 −143

57% −8Pass accuracy50% −26

74% +36Field tilt26% −30

29 +1Final-third entries20 −24

11 +3.0Box entries4 −8.4

15.4 −2Passes per defensive action10.7 −1

8 +4.3Corners1 −4.5

13 −4Tackles10 −6

4 −6.6Interceptions11 +2.3

19 −6Clearances30 +10

2 −0.8Saves6 +3.9

11 0Fouls12 −1

0 −1.3Offsides0 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.48 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.41 5 shots, 1 goal

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.31 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 87 min (93%) · St. Johnstone 0.84, Hibernian 0.26 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 7 min (7%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Hibernian 0.19 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

61' Hallberg for Wotherspoon
73' Murphy for McLennan
85' Carey for Phillips · yellow card 90+4'

Hibernian substitutes

68' Henderson for Egan-Riley
85' Miller for Youan
90+1' Hoppe for Cadden

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Matthews	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	1
McGowan	RB	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.11	4	5
Gordon	CB	90			0.02	0.00	0	0.06	0	5
Considine	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	5	7
Montgomery	LB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.07	6	3
Phillips	DM	85			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	3
Wright	RM	90			0.14	0.23	2	0.34	9	2
MacPherson	CM	90			0.14	0.19	3	0.05	3	3
Wotherspoon	CM	61		1	0.00	0.10	1	0.08	2	4
McLennan	LM	73			0.00	0.21	2	0.06	2	2
May	ST	90	1		0.27	0.06	0	−0.03	1	3
Hallberg	MF	29			0.27	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Murphy	MF	17			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	3	0
Carey	MF	5			0.00	0.03	1	0.03	2	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	0
Egan-Riley	RB	68			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
Fish	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	6
Hanlon	CB	90			0.03	0.00	0	0.02	2	11
Stevenson	LB	90	1		0.09	0.00	1	0.07	1	1
Jeggo	DM	48			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	2	2
Cadden	RM	90			0.06	0.01	1	0.04	2	2
Doyle-Hayes	CM	90			0.12	0.07	1	0.04	0	11
Newell	CM	90			0.00	0.03	1	0.01	2	11
Youan	LM	85		1	0.04	0.02	1	0.05	4	3
Nisbet	ST	90			0.10	0.03	1	0.05	2	1
Henderson	MF	22			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	3
Miller	DF	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Hoppe	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
MacPherson	McGowan	10
McGowan	Wright	9
McGowan	MacPherson	6
Wright	May	5
MacPherson	Wright	5

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Stevenson	Youan	8
Stevenson	Newell	7
Doyle-Hayes	Cadden	7
Hanlon	Marshall	5
Newell	Stevenson	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 32 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
11th	8%	8%	0
Bottom	2%	2%	0
Hibernian
Top six	84%	78%	−6
Livingston
Top six	20%	28%	+8
St. Mirren
Top six	96%	93%	−3

From the forecast before the match (22 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.10	1.18
Win	33%	37%
Expected Points	1.29	1.41
Clean sheet	31%	33%

St. Johnstone 33%Draw 30%Hibernian 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 22 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Hibernian win
St. Johnstone
11th	8%	3%	8%	12%
Bottom	2%	<1%	2%	4%
Hibernian
Top six	84%	72%	78%	>99%
Livingston
Top six	20%	28%	28%	7%
St. Mirren
Top six	96%	>99%	93%	93%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Hibernian
Position	9th	6th
Played	32	32
Won, drawn, lost	9–⁠5–⁠18	13–⁠4–⁠15
Points	32 (1.00 per game)	43 (1.34 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.11	1.40
Goals	33–⁠53	48–⁠51
xG per game	0.90–⁠1.29	1.27–⁠1.31
Home: points, xG per game	0.80, 0.93–⁠1.15	1.69, 1.40–⁠1.24
Away: points, xG per game	1.18, 0.88–⁠1.41	1.00, 1.13–⁠1.39
Manager	Steven MacLean (0)	Lee Johnson (32)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−27%	+11%	−6%	−14%
Counter-attacks	−68%	−75%	+56%	+27%
Set pieces	−38%	−6%	+6%	−10%
Penalties	−38%	−54%	−38%	+70%
Headers	−41%	+1%	−3%	−19%
Left side	−35%	+17%	−3%	−27%
Centre	−27%	−5%	−11%	−8%
Right side	−35%	+4%	+19%	average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−35%averageCentre−27%−8%Right side−35%−27%Open play−27%−14%Counter-attacks−68%+27%Set pieces−38%−10%Headers−41%−19%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−3%+4%Centre−11%−5%Right side+19%+17%Open play−6%+11%Counter-attacks+56%−75%Set pieces+6%−6%Headers−3%+1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.90xG1.27

1.29xG against1.31

42%Possession55%

10.2Shots14.6

14.2Shots against12.0

3.0Shots on target4.7

1.4Big chances1.5

15.7Touches in the opposition box22.2

323Passes404

65%Pass accuracy75%

3.7Corners5.5

38%Field tilt56%

27.9Final-third entries44.2

8.0Box entries12.4

17.4Passes per defensive action11.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	0.79	1.26
Ahead	17	0.69	0.92
Behind	34	1.13	1.51

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	34	1.12	1.37
Ahead	23	1.53	1.26
Behind	33	1.23	1.30

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.25	4–7
16–30	0.12	0.16	4–7
31–45	0.15	0.25	4–14
46–60	0.15	0.17	3–5
61–75	0.15	0.21	8–6
76–90	0.24	0.24	10–14

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.15	5–12
16–30	0.12	0.18	5–5
31–45	0.26	0.22	10–6
46–60	0.25	0.29	7–11
61–75	0.22	0.16	12–6
76–90	0.25	0.31	9–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 5-3-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-4-1 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
21 October 2022	Hibernian	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 0.88–0.85
30 July 2022	St. Johnstone	0–1	Hibernian	xG 0.15–0.78
15 May 2022	Hibernian	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.99–0.51
5 March 2022	Hibernian	0–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.99–0.44
27 November 2021	St. Johnstone	1–2	Hibernian	xG 0.12–2.27
26 September 2021	Hibernian	1–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.90–0.22

10 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 3, Hibernian won 5, and 2 were drawn. Goals 7–12 and xG 0.49–1.40 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
May	24	2,141	6	5	0.20	0.12
Clark	19	1,486	4	2	0.25	0.05
Carey	19	1,609	3	1	0.22	0.08
McLennan	6	884	1	1	0.18	0.06

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	10	836	10	1	0.56	0.03
Kukharevych	10	871	5	1	0.42	0.12
Boyle	10	936	5	1	0.33	0.13
Youan	25	2,104	6	6	0.24	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.