Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 1–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 6 August 2022, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 2 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 4,820

Motherwell Carey 90+1' (og)

St. Johnstone Murphy 28', May 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Goals12
xG0.670.87
Expected Points1.121.50

Motherwell 24%Draw 39%St. Johnstone 37%

Most likely score 0–1, 20%. Final score 1–2, 6%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%2%13%6%1%4%5%2%20%20%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTCornelius on for Maguire and Efford on for Morris, 46'Tierney on for Spittal, 68'Mahon on for Shields, 86'May on for Bair, 69'Crawford on for Murphy, 79'Carey 90+1' (og)Murphy 28'May 90+4'St. Johnstone 0.87Motherwell 0.6700.250.50.7510153045607590HTCornelius on for Maguire and Efford on for Morris, 46'Tierney on for Spittal, 68'Mahon on for Shields, 86'May on for Bair, 69'Crawford on for Murphy, 79'Carey 90+1' (og)Murphy 28'May 90+4'0.870.67MotherwellSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

0.67 −0.49xG0.87 +0.72
0.97 −0.04xG on target1.08 +0.99
12 +3.0Shots10 +6.0
2 0.0Shots on target3 +2.0
1 0.0Big chances1 +1.0
57% +6Possession43% +11
475 +108Passes350 +139
74% +9Pass accuracy67% +6
68% +17Field tilt32% +16
50 +15Final-third entries23 +11
13 +8.0Box entries7 +5.0
9.3 −6Passes per defensive action19.1 +2
4 +2.0Corners6 +3.0
11 0Tackles19 −6
9 −3Interceptions15 +5
11 −24Clearances25 −4
1 −5.0Saves2 +2.0
17 +6Fouls9 −3
1 +1.0Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Shields 64', 0.20 xGGoss 82', 0.09 xGTierney 84', 0.06 xGvan Veen 3', 0.05 xGGoss 16', 0.05 xGvan Veen 56', 0.04 xGShields 32', 0.03 xGvan Veen 45+1', 0.03 xGvan Veen 61', 0.03 xGO'Donnell 84', 0.03 xGGoss 90+1', 0.03 xGMcGinn 90+5', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals48%0.32 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals14%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals20%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals18%0.12 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

McGowan 60', 0.08 xGWright 20', 0.06 xGBair 25', 0.06 xGMacPherson 11', 0.05 xGWright 30', 0.03 xGMitchell 62', 0.03 xGCarey 12', 0.02 xGWright 21', 0.02 xGMay 90+4', 0.37 xG, goalMurphy 28', 0.13 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals57%0.49 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.49 xG, 1 goal26%0.22 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal15%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

0.62 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.21 4 shots, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.66 6 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (32%) · Motherwell 0.09, St. Johnstone 0.71 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
65 min (68%) · Motherwell 0.58, St. Johnstone 0.15 xG

Line-ups

1165152762327929KellyMcGinnMugabiJohansenO'DonnellSpittalMaguireMorrisGossvan VeenShieldsYellow card68'46'46'86'Motherwell 4-4-2Steven Hammell1135414221819232917MatthewsMcGowanMitchellConsidineWrightHallbergMacPhersonMontgomeryCareyMurphyBairYellow cardYellow cardOwn goalGoal79'69'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Cornelius for Maguire
  • 46' Efford for Morris
  • 68' Tierney for Spittal
  • 86' Mahon for Shields

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 69' May for Bair · goal 90+4', yellow card 90+5'
  • 79' Crawford for Murphy

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0300.1250
McGinn RB900.030.3510.2494
MugabiCB900.000.0000.0445
JohansenCB900.000.0000.0348
O'DonnellLB900.030.0720.1083
SpittalRM680.000.0200.0462
MaguireCM460.000.0000.0205
MorrisCM460.000.022−0.0121
GossLM900.160.0710.16105
van VeenST900.150.010−0.0520
ShieldsST860.240.1110.2631
CorneliusMF440.000.1200.1921
EffordFW440.000.0000.0100
TierneyMF220.060.0000.0000
MahonFW40.000.001−0.0100

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0122
McGowanCB9010.080.0820.0108
MitchellCB900.030.0000.01110
Considine CB900.000.0100.06611
WrightRWB900.110.0000.0656
Hallberg CM900.000.102−0.0128
MacPhersonCM900.050.0100.0332
MontgomeryLWB900.000.0100.0454
CareyAM900.020.0720.0545
MurphyAM7910.130.0100.0531
BairST6910.060.0310.0213
May FW2110.370.0000.1001
CrawfordMF110.000.0100.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and McGinn: 3 passesMcGinn and Maguire: 3 passesO'Donnell and Morris: 3 passesO'Donnell and Maguire: 3 passesO'Donnell and van Veen: 3 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 4 passesO'Donnell and Shields: 4 passesMorris and Maguire: 4 passesGoss and van Veen: 4 passesJohansen and Spittal: 5 passesJohansen and Maguire: 5 passesGoss and Shields: 5 passesMcGinn and Morris: 6 passesSpittal and Maguire: 6 passesSpittal and Morris: 7 passesMorris and Goss: 7 passesJohansen and Goss: 8 passesMcGinn and Mugabi: 9 passesMaguire and Goss: 9 passesJohansen and Mugabi: 10 passesMugabi and Spittal: 10 passesJohansen and O'Donnell: 15 passesMcGinn and Spittal: 18 passesO'Donnell and Goss: 19 passesKelly: 7 completed passesMcGinn: 26 completed passesJohansen: 22 completed passesMugabi: 18 completed passesO'Donnell: 30 completed passesSpittal: 24 completed passesMorris: 15 completed passesMaguire: 17 completed passesGoss: 28 completed passesvan Veen: 7 completed passesShields: 3 completed passes1161552723627929KellyMcGinnJohansenMugabiO'DonnellSpittalMorrisMaguireGossvan VeenShieldsStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Bair: 4 passesMcGowan and MacPherson: 4 passesCarey and Murphy: 4 passesConsidine and Hallberg: 5 passesMatthews and Montgomery: 6 passesMcGowan and Mitchell: 6 passesHallberg and Carey: 6 passesConsidine and Murphy: 7 passesHallberg and MacPherson: 7 passesMacPherson and Murphy: 7 passesMatthews and Mitchell: 8 passesMcGowan and Wright: 8 passesMitchell and Considine: 8 passesWright and MacPherson: 8 passesMatthews and Considine: 10 passesConsidine and MacPherson: 11 passesWright and Hallberg: 12 passesWright and Carey: 12 passesMontgomery and Murphy: 12 passesMontgomery and MacPherson: 14 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 20 passesMatthews: 21 completed passesMcGowan: 12 completed passesMitchell: 17 completed passesConsidine: 34 completed passesWright: 18 completed passesMontgomery: 29 completed passesHallberg: 24 completed passesMacPherson: 29 completed passesCarey: 19 completed passesMurphy: 13 completed passesBair: 4 completed passes1135414192218232917MatthewsMcGowanMitchellConsidineWrightMontgomeryHallbergMacPhersonCareyMurphyBairStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellGoss17
McGinnSpittal17
GossO'Donnell13
McGinnMugabi12
JohansenO'Donnell11

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MontgomeryConsidine11
ConsidineMontgomery10
ConsidineMacPherson9
HallbergWright9
MontgomeryMurphy8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

5+1.04−4.08−1.04−10.01−9.06−3.04+1.05−1.02−7.07−1.040.06+3.09+5.02−7.040.05+3.04+4.08+8.06+3.07+4.03+2.010.03+1.04−1.010.01+1.01−1.00−1.020.011−16.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

St. Johnstone

5+2.03−4.015−2.07−1.05−6.09+2.09−2.08+6.014+9.08+2.05−3.04+2.020.01−7.07−3.08+4.05−5.02+1.04+3.020.020.01+1.00−1.000.000.020.000.000.000.01+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.020.010.020.020.020.010.040.030.140.030.020.050.090.010.040.020.200.020.04−0.02−0.010.04−0.05−0.010.020.34LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.010.040.010.020.010.030.020.010.010.020.06−0.020.04−0.010.010.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackMotherwell0.97 → 0.97St. Johnstone0.82 → 0.84Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34 → 1.36St. Johnstone1.33 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six33%23%−10
11th10%13%+3
Bottom7%11%+4
St. Johnstone
Top six10%15%+5
11th20%17%−3
Bottom28%19%−9

From the forecast before the match (6 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.320.86
Win47%24%
Expected Points1.701.01
Clean sheet42%27%

Motherwell 47%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 24%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%6%2%10%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%12%14%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Motherwell
Top six33%41%30%23%
11th10%7%11%13%
Bottom7%4%7%11%
St. Johnstone
Top six10%7%10%15%
11th20%22%19%17%
Bottom28%33%26%19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. W1–031 JulSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.16–2.38
  2. L0–614 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.90–2.32
  3. W2–111 MayHearts (H)xG 1.42–1.31
  4. W1–07 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.22–0.72
  5. L0–130 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.77–0.38
  6. L1–323 AprRangers (H)xG 0.43–1.92

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–130 JulHibernian (H)xG 0.15–0.78
  2. L0–415 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.51–1.99
  3. W1–011 MayAberdeen (H)xG 0.68–0.28
  4. D1–17 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.21–1.25
  5. L0–130 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.25–0.87
  6. D1–123 AprDundee FC (A)xG 1.12–0.37

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Position4th11th
Played11
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠00–⁠0–⁠1
Points3 (3.00 per game)0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.570.65
Goals1–⁠00–⁠1
xG per game1.16–⁠2.380.15–⁠0.78
Home: points, xG per game–⁠0.00, 0.15–⁠0.78
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.16–⁠2.38–⁠
ManagerSteven Hammell (1)Callum Davidson (77)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackMotherwell0.97, 9thSt. Johnstone0.82, 12thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34, 11thSt. Johnstone1.33, 10th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%+38%−56%−6%
Counter-attacks−45%+53%−83%+127%
Set pieces−3%+10%−42%+4%
Penalties+147%+9%−53%+9%
Headers−4%+41%−48%+6%
Left side−7%+18%−46%+9%
Centre−17%+41%−58%−3%
Right side−45%+28%−53%+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−7%+6%Centre−17%−3%Right side−45%+9%Open play−28%−6%Counter-attacks−45%+127%Set pieces−3%+4%Headers−4%+6%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side−46%+28%Centre−58%+41%Right side−53%+18%Open play−56%+38%Counter-attacks−83%+53%Set pieces−42%+10%Headers−48%+41%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

1.16xG0.15
2.38xG against0.78
51%Possession32%
9.0Shots4.0
19.0Shots against14.0
2.0Shots on target1.0
1.0Big chances0.0
367Passes211
65%Pass accuracy61%
2.0Corners3.0
50%Field tilt16%
35.0Final-third entries12.0
5.0Box entries2.0
15.4Passes per defensive action17.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.933.21
Ahead480.491.65
Behind0––

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level900.150.78
Ahead0––
Behind0––

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.050–0
16–300.000.550–0
31–450.880.901–0
46–600.120.170–0
61–750.060.290–0
76–900.080.420–0

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.120–0
16–300.000.210–0
31–450.000.000–0
46–600.090.240–0
61–750.040.120–0
76–900.000.070–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTKelly 1McGinn 1Johansen 1Lamie 1Carroll 1Maguire 1Morris 1Spittal 1Goss 1Shields 1van Veen 14-1-4-1 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 1McGowan 1Mitchell 1Considine 1Wright 1Hallberg 1Davidson 1Montgomery 1Carey 1Murphy 1Bair 13-4-2-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 March 2022St. Johnstone2–1MotherwellxG 0.37–0.24
18 December 2021Motherwell2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.31–0.52
8 August 2021St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 0.80–1.67
20 February 2021Motherwell0–3St. JohnstonexG 0.03–3.04
21 November 2020St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 2.14–0.69
12 September 2020Motherwell1–0St. JohnstonexG 0.26–1.02

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 2, St. Johnstone won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–7 and xG 0.53–1.31 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen252,3681040.310.09
Efford11961210.240.06
Goss272,311140.070.17
Shields181,546220.160.07

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May131,311210.180.09
Hallberg151,230040.020.16
MacPherson111,218010.030.10
Brown161,494010.000.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.