Saturday 12 November 2022, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 16 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 4,055
St. Johnstone Wright 26'
Motherwell Spittal 45+1'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Goals
1
1
xG
1.38
0.93
Expected Points
1.76
0.92
St. Johnstone 48%Draw 32%Motherwell 20%
Most likely score 1–1, 21%. Final score 1–1, 21%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneMotherwell
1.38 +0.63xG0.93 −0.44
1.04 +0.25xG on target1.18 −0.02
10 +0.9Shots12 −0.5
3 +0.2Shots on target3 −0.5
1 −0.1Big chances1 −1.0
22 +8Touches in the opposition box15 −2
50% +9Possession50% +2
365 +46Passes370 +14
67% +2Pass accuracy69% 0
47% +16Field tilt53% +3
32 +7Final-third entries34 −1
12 +5.2Box entries8 −0.3
15.7 −1Passes per defensive action9.5 −4
8 +5.3Corners4 −1.1
14 −4Tackles13 −3
14 +3Interceptions8 −2
13 −16Clearances30 +14
2 −0.6Saves2 −0.4
11 0Fouls20 +7
0 −1.4Offsides1 −0.7
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
26'45+1'
0–01–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
73 min (78%) · St. Johnstone 1.24, Motherwell 0.89 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
20 min (22%) · St. Johnstone 0.14, Motherwell 0.04 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
76'Brown for Montgomery
76'Crawford for Wotherspoon
76'McLennan for May
89'Phillips for Hallberg
89'Bair for Clark
Motherwell substitutes
76'Shields for McKinstry
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Matthews
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
2
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
7
Considine
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
5
3
McGowan
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
4
6
Wright
DM
90
1
0.79
0.09
2
0.20
13
6
Carey
RWB
90
0.09
0.06
1
0.12
7
5
Hallberg
CM
89
0.03
0.07
1
0.02
2
6
Wotherspoon
CM
76
0.17
0.02
0
−0.01
2
3
Montgomery
LWB
76
0.00
0.04
1
0.03
2
2
Clark
ST
89
0.03
0.01
0
−0.16
1
1
May
ST
76
0.11
0.01
0
−0.02
1
1
Brown
DF
14
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Crawford
MF
14
0.16
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
McLennan
MF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
0
0
Phillips
MF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Bair
FW
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
0
O'Donnell
RB
90
0.16
0.02
0
0.18
10
9
Johansen
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
8
Lamie
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
7
Penney
LB
90
0.00
0.12
2
0.24
9
5
Slattery
DM
90
0.01
0.08
0
0.21
7
4
Goss
DM
90
0.00
0.12
0
0.06
8
6
Spittal
RW
90
1
0.09
0.06
2
0.02
2
3
van Veen
AM
90
0.21
0.01
0
0.02
2
3
McKinstry
LW
76
0.11
0.02
0
−0.01
0
5
Moult
ST
90
0.35
0.04
1
0.03
1
2
Shields
MF
14
0.00
0.12
1
0.07
2
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Matthews
Considine
12
Considine
Montgomery
10
Wotherspoon
Montgomery
10
Montgomery
Wotherspoon
10
Considine
Wotherspoon
9
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
O'Donnell
Spittal
13
Spittal
O'Donnell
9
O'Donnell
Slattery
8
Kelly
O'Donnell
8
Goss
Penney
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 15 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 15 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
32%
29%
−3
11th
7%
8%
+1
Bottom
3%
3%
0
Motherwell
Top six
26%
24%
−2
11th
7%
7%
0
Bottom
4%
4%
0
From the forecast before the match (12 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.18
1.03
Win
39%
31%
Expected Points
1.46
1.24
Clean sheet
36%
31%
St. Johnstone 39%Draw 30%Motherwell 31%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.
From the forecast as it stood on 12 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Motherwell win
St. Johnstone
Top six
32%
43%
29%
20%
11th
7%
4%
8%
10%
Bottom
3%
1%
3%
5%
Motherwell
Top six
26%
18%
24%
38%
11th
7%
9%
7%
4%
Bottom
4%
5%
4%
2%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Position
7th
9th
Played
15
15
Won, drawn, lost
6–2–7
5–1–9
Points
20 (1.33 per game)
16 (1.07 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.04
1.35
Goals
18–20
19–21
xG per game
0.75–1.17
1.37–1.36
Home: points, xG per game
1.43, 0.74–0.92
0.57, 1.37–1.02
Away: points, xG per game
1.25, 0.75–1.39
1.50, 1.38–1.65
Manager
Callum Davidson (91)
Steven Hammell (15)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−42%
+6%
−5%
+22%
Counter-attacks
−55%
−100%
+106%
+29%
Set pieces
−44%
−9%
−13%
−13%
Penalties
−27%
−63%
+83%
−63%
Headers
−56%
+15%
−29%
+32%
Left side
−46%
−8%
+4%
−7%
Centre
−46%
−12%
−11%
+44%
Right side
−36%
+22%
+5%
−10%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−46%−10%Centre−46%+44%Right side−36%−7%Open play−42%+22%Counter-attacks−55%+29%Set pieces−44%−13%Headers−56%+32%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneMotherwell
0.75xG1.37
1.17xG against1.36
41%Possession48%
9.1Shots12.5
15.2Shots against12.3
2.8Shots on target3.5
1.1Big chances2.0
13.7Touches in the opposition box16.9
320Passes356
65%Pass accuracy69%
2.7Corners5.1
32%Field tilt50%
24.6Final-third entries34.8
6.8Box entries8.3
16.6Passes per defensive action13.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
42
0.79
1.11
Ahead
25
0.73
0.94
Behind
24
0.68
1.53
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
1.44
1.84
Ahead
21
1.19
1.01
Behind
30
1.41
0.97
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.07
0.20
3–1
16–30
0.14
0.11
2–1
31–45
0.11
0.17
3–6
46–60
0.12
0.16
1–2
61–75
0.08
0.23
3–2
76–90
0.23
0.30
6–8
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.27
1–3
16–30
0.16
0.18
3–2
31–45
0.24
0.27
2–2
46–60
0.25
0.18
6–4
61–75
0.33
0.17
2–5
76–90
0.31
0.28
5–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.