Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenRangers
0.54 −0.98xG1.58 −0.38
0.70 −0.98xG on target2.86 +0.88
8 −4Shots14 −6
2 −2.2Shots on target8 +1.6
1 −1.6Big chances4 +0.9
11 −10Touches in the opposition box45 +3
32% −16Possession68% 0
281 −87Passes596 +10
64% −8Pass accuracy84% −1
16% −24Field tilt84% +3
38 +1Final-third entries62 −7
4 −6Box entries22 −1
28.8 +13.3Passes per defensive action8.6 −0.8
3 −1.4Corners5 −3.2
11 −3Tackles13 −2
11 +2.2Interceptions5 −1.6
30 +6Clearances14 +3
5 +1.5Saves0 −1.4
8 −2Fouls13 +2
2 +0.8Offsides2 −0.1
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Stewart
Barron
7
Scales
Coulson
7
Ramadani
McCrorie
6
Coulson
Ramadani
6
Barron
McCrorie
5
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Goldson
Tavernier
20
Tavernier
Goldson
15
Jack
Kamara
14
Devine
Kent
11
Sands
Goldson
10
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 16 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 16 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
90%
87%
−3
Rangers
Title
7%
8%
+1
Celtic
Title
93%
92%
−1
From the forecast before the match (20 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Rangers
Expected goals
0.80
1.82
Win
15%
61%
Expected Points
0.70
2.06
Clean sheet
16%
45%
Aberdeen 15%Draw 24%Rangers 61%
Most likely score 0–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Rangers win
Aberdeen
Top six
90%
96%
91%
87%
Rangers
Title
7%
4%
5%
8%
Celtic
Title
93%
96%
95%
92%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Rangers
Position
3rd
2nd
Played
16
16
Won, drawn, lost
8–1–7
11–3–2
Points
25 (1.56 per game)
36 (2.25 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.41
2.24
Goals
29–24
37–16
xG per game
1.52–1.58
1.96–0.61
Home: points, xG per game
2.25, 1.97–1.27
2.78, 2.41–0.45
Away: points, xG per game
0.88, 1.07–1.89
1.57, 1.39–0.82
Manager
Jim Goodwin (1)
Michael Beale (1)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+3%
+14%
+71%
−52%
Counter-attacks
+75%
+12%
−36%
−92%
Set pieces
−27%
+31%
+19%
−22%
Penalties
+162%
+64%
+31%
−100%
Headers
+22%
−6%
+44%
−51%
Left side
−25%
+12%
+70%
−36%
Centre
+2%
+7%
+38%
−45%
Right side
+17%
+40%
+67%
−60%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenRangers
1.52xG1.96
1.58xG against0.61
48%Possession68%
12.1Shots19.9
15.1Shots against7.7
4.2Shots on target6.4
2.6Big chances3.1
20.9Touches in the opposition box41.7
368Passes586
73%Pass accuracy85%
4.4Corners8.2
40%Field tilt81%
36.7Final-third entries69.1
10.5Box entries22.9
15.5Passes per defensive action9.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
1.26
1.45
Ahead
29
1.93
1.21
Behind
22
1.45
2.30
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
29
2.46
0.57
Ahead
38
1.94
0.54
Behind
24
1.39
0.76
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.16
2–2
16–30
0.19
0.24
4–4
31–45
0.43
0.28
7–4
46–60
0.28
0.28
5–5
61–75
0.27
0.30
6–5
76–90
0.26
0.32
5–4
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.33
0.09
4–4
16–30
0.25
0.08
4–2
31–45
0.31
0.10
4–3
46–60
0.37
0.14
7–3
61–75
0.27
0.07
8–1
76–90
0.43
0.14
10–3
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts