Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 1–3 Hibernian

Sunday 26 December 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 20 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 500

Dundee United Glass 90'

Hibernian Nisbet 38', Cadden 78', Murphy 90+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Goals13
xG0.541.80
Expected Points0.462.32

Dundee United 8%Draw 22%Hibernian 70%

Most likely score 0–2, 18%. Final score 1–3, 6%.

Hibernian goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%10%3%4%12%11%6%2%3%3%1%18%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGlass 90'Nisbet 38'Cadden 78'Murphy 90+3'Hibernian 1.80Dundee United 0.5400.511.520153045607590HTGlass 90'Nisbet 38'Cadden 78'Murphy 90+3'1.800.54Dundee UnitedHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.54 −0.29xG1.80 +0.49
0.60 −0.46xG on target2.24 +1.03
8 −2Shots19 +7
3 −0.8Shots on target5 +1.3
0 −1.1Big chances2 +0.5
7 −8Touches in the opposition box30 +11
35% −11Possession65% +12
333 −38Passes606 +202
73% +4Pass accuracy88% +14
26% −21Field tilt74% +19
27 −7Final-third entries55 +15
4 −3.5Box entries17 +5.3
25.6 +10Passes per defensive action14.4 +2
6 +1.7Corners6 +0.4
14 −1Tackles12 −2
18 +8.1Interceptions10 +1.2
21 0Clearances16 0
2 −0.8Saves2 −0.6
5 −8Fouls9 −3
2 +0.6Offsides2 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Chalmers 87', 0.14 xGClark 50', 0.10 xGHarkes 86', 0.06 xGChalmers 85', 0.04 xGSporle 70', 0.03 xGChalmers 73', 0.03 xGGlass 85', 0.01 xGGlass 90', 0.13 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals61%0.33 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.33 xG, 1 goal6%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals31%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Boyle 38', 0.17 xGWright 43', 0.17 xGNisbet 1', 0.10 xGCadden 38', 0.10 xGNisbet 57', 0.09 xGDoyle-Hayes 45', 0.06 xGBoyle 69', 0.06 xGCadden 40', 0.04 xGWright 2', 0.03 xGPorteous 44', 0.03 xGDoig 65', 0.03 xGNisbet 67', 0.03 xGCampbell 34', 0.02 xGHanlon 58', 0.02 xGCampbell 15', 0.01 xGHanlon 33', 0.01 xGNisbet 38', 0.58 xG, goalMurphy 90+3', 0.16 xG, goalCadden 78', 0.12 xG, goal32%0.58 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.58 xG, 1 goal50%0.90 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 0.90 xG, 2 goals7%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals10%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.35 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.76 16 shots, 3 goals
0.19 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
38 min (40%) · Dundee United 0.00, Hibernian 1.01 xG
Hibernian ahead
56 min (60%) · Dundee United 0.54, Hibernian 0.79 xG

Line-ups

1222043332332263010SiegristFreemanNeilsonMulgrewMcMannSporleHarkesMeekisonMochrieWatsonClarkYellow cardYellow cardDundee United 5-3-2Tam Courts15416272232381015MaceyPorteousHanlonStevensonCaddenDoyle-HayesCampbellDoigWrightBoyleNisbetYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoalHibernian 3-4-1-2Shaun Maloney

Dundee United substitutes

  • 45' Niskanen
  • 62' Glass · goal 90'
  • 71' Chalmers

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Murphy · goal 90+3'
  • 72' McGregor
  • 82' Doidge

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0122
FreemanRWB900.000.0400.0342
NeilsonCB900.000.0000.0668
MulgrewCB900.000.0000.04415
McMannCB900.000.0000.0248
SporleLWB900.030.000−0.0518
HarkesCM900.060.0510.0446
Meekison CM900.000.0110.0015
Mochrie CM900.000.010−0.0113
WatsonST900.000.010−0.0100
ClarkST900.100.0500.0442
NiskanenDF450.000.0200.0321
GlassMF2810.140.0000.1021
ChalmersFW190.210.0810.0610

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0111
PorteousCB900.030.0210.12104
Hanlon CB900.030.0100.0644
StevensonCB900.000.0100.0986
CaddenRWB9010.250.0630.1082
Doyle-Hayes CM900.060.2300.0338
CampbellCM900.030.061−0.0273
DoigLWB900.030.0820.2153
WrightAM900.200.2120.2381
BoyleST9020.230.5070.2880
NisbetST9010.790.030−0.0502
MurphyMF2910.160.0100.0760
McGregorDF180.000.0100.0216
DoidgeFW80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

McMann and Meekison: 3 passesNeilson and Meekison: 3 passesHarkes and Mochrie: 3 passesMeekison and Clark: 3 passesFreeman and Meekison: 4 passesMulgrew and McMann: 4 passesMcMann and Sporle: 4 passesMcMann and Clark: 4 passesMochrie and Meekison: 4 passesSiegrist and McMann: 5 passesNeilson and Harkes: 5 passesMcMann and Mochrie: 6 passesClark and Watson: 7 passesFreeman and Clark: 8 passesFreeman and Harkes: 9 passesSiegrist: 6 completed passesFreeman: 13 completed passesMulgrew: 9 completed passesMcMann: 16 completed passesNeilson: 7 completed passesSporle: 4 completed passesHarkes: 12 completed passesMochrie: 9 completed passesMeekison: 12 completed passesClark: 15 completed passesWatson: 4 completed passes1224332032326321030SiegristFreemanMulgrewMcMannNeilsonSporleHarkesMochrieMeekisonClarkWatsonStarters, whole match · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Porteous and Campbell: 7 passesCadden and Campbell: 7 passesDoyle-Hayes and Campbell: 7 passesDoyle-Hayes and Nisbet: 7 passesCampbell and Boyle: 7 passesPorteous and Wright: 8 passesCadden and Boyle: 8 passesStevenson and Doyle-Hayes: 9 passesDoyle-Hayes and Wright: 9 passesDoig and Nisbet: 9 passesMacey and Porteous: 10 passesPorteous and Stevenson: 11 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 11 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 11 passesWright and Nisbet: 11 passesStevenson and Wright: 13 passesCampbell and Doig: 13 passesCampbell and Wright: 13 passesStevenson and Campbell: 16 passesDoig and Wright: 17 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 23 passesStevenson and Doig: 23 passesPorteous and Cadden: 30 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 44 passesHanlon and Stevenson: 49 passesMacey: 12 completed passesPorteous: 70 completed passesHanlon: 65 completed passesStevenson: 65 completed passesCadden: 31 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 42 completed passesCampbell: 39 completed passesDoig: 40 completed passesWright: 39 completed passesBoyle: 16 completed passesNisbet: 18 completed passes15416272232381015MaceyPorteousHanlonStevensonCaddenDoyle-HayesCampbellDoigWrightBoyleNisbetStarters, whole match · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannSporle8
NeilsonHarkes7
NiskanenHarkes7
MeekisonClark6
SporleMcMann6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanlonStevenson32
PorteousHanlon27
StevensonHanlon23
HanlonPorteous21
CaddenPorteous20

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

2−2.412+6.219+3.110+1.67+0.25−1.37+1.36+0.45−2.54−4.28+3.05+0.14+0.24−2.45−1.47+2.62−1.44+1.42−1.640.04+1.40−1.60−1.20−1.31−1.50−0.90−0.40−0.50−0.40−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Hibernian

5+0.51−3.99−1.72−3.450.070.04−1.58−0.210+3.99+3.26+0.42−1.74−3.29+4.23−2.43−0.62−0.22−1.57+3.34+1.83+1.52+1.12+0.83+0.62+0.81+0.910.00−0.22+1.20−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.030.020.010.010.010.020.010.020.020.020.030.020.010.030.010.01−0.010.040.01−0.060.08LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.030.040.050.040.080.050.030.04−0.010.020.120.06−0.04−0.010.07−0.11−0.030.290.35LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.86 → 0.87Hibernian1.19 → 1.22Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.27 → 1.31Hibernian0.99 → 0.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six35%24%−11
11th5%6%+1
Bottom2%2%0
Hibernian
Top six87%94%+7
Aberdeen
Top six78%79%+1
Motherwell
Top six73%75%+2

From the forecast before the match (26 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Expected goals0.841.26
Win24%46%
Expected Points1.021.67
Clean sheet28%43%

Dundee United 24%Draw 30%Hibernian 46%

Most likely score 0–1, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Hibernian goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%10%8%3%1%4%5%3%1%1%2%1%13%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawHibernian win
Dundee United
Top six35%53%36%24%
11th5%2%4%6%
Bottom2%<1%1%2%
Hibernian
Top six87%78%86%94%
Aberdeen
Top six78%74%78%79%
Motherwell
Top six73%71%72%75%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–118 DecRangers (A)xG 0.33–2.27
  2. L0–111 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.87–1.22
  3. L0–35 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.21–4.36
  4. L0–130 NovMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–1.72
  5. D1–127 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.47–1.53
  6. W1–020 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.58–0.69

Hibernian

  1. W1–022 DecAberdeen (H)xG 0.41–0.70
  2. W1–014 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.14–0.62
  3. D1–111 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.06–0.60
  4. L0–18 DecLivingston (A)xG 1.95–1.23
  5. D1–14 DecMotherwell (H)xG 1.89–1.32
  6. L0–11 DecRangers (H)xG 0.22–1.78

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Position6th5th
Played1919
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠4–⁠87–⁠5–⁠7
Points25 (1.32 per game)26 (1.37 per game)
Expected Points per game1.061.57
Goals15–⁠2021–⁠21
xG per game0.83–⁠1.371.31–⁠0.98
Home: points, xG per game1.67, 0.80–⁠1.421.70, 1.22–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.85–⁠1.331.00, 1.41–⁠0.95
ManagerTam Courts (19)Shaun Maloney (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.86, 10thHibernian1.19, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.27, 8thHibernian0.99, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecDundee United attack: 0.86Hibernian attack: 1.191.190.86HibernianDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecDundee United defence: 1.27Hibernian defence: 0.991.270.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%+2%+8%−15%
Counter-attacks+15%−2%+73%+56%
Set pieces−39%+31%−35%−26%
Penalties−100%+56%+95%−61%
Headers−14%+23%−14%+5%
Left side−10%+3%−6%−17%
Centre−15%+23%average−4%
Right side−58%−14%+4%−36%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−10%−36%Centre−15%−4%Right side−58%−17%Open play−23%−15%Counter-attacks+15%+56%Set pieces−39%−26%Headers−14%+5%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side−6%−14%Centreaverage+23%Right side+4%+3%Open play+8%+2%Counter-attacks+73%−2%Set pieces−35%+31%Headers−14%+23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.83xG1.31
1.37xG against0.98
46%Possession53%
10.3Shots11.8
13.4Shots against10.1
3.8Shots on target3.7
1.1Big chances1.5
15.5Touches in the opposition box19.3
370Passes404
69%Pass accuracy74%
4.3Corners5.6
46%Field tilt55%
33.8Final-third entries40.3
7.5Box entries11.7
15.5Passes per defensive action12.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.761.22
Ahead140.571.34
Behind241.121.74

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.260.87
Ahead211.131.01
Behind221.601.19

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.160–1
16–300.100.151–6
31–450.180.325–3
46–600.150.143–2
61–750.150.313–3
76–900.170.303–5

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.101–4
16–300.160.173–4
31–450.200.165–3
46–600.230.145–3
61–750.300.194–2
76–900.260.233–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 15Carson 4Freeman 11Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 17Smith 1Mulgrew 18McMann 1Reynolds 1McMann 13Robson 4Sporle 1Pawlett 9Niskanen 3Chalmers 2Fuchs 14Mochrie 1Levitt 6Glass 5Butcher 5Harkes 15Hoti 2Meekison 1Niskanen 10Pawlett 4Sporle 3Clark 11McNulty 4Appere 24-5-1 in 7 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (7), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 19McGinn 11Cadden 7Doig 1Porteous 16Wood 1Hanlon 16McGregor 5Doig 12Stevenson 4Nisbet 1Doyle-Hayes 15Cadden 2Newell 14Gogic 3Magennis 3Boyle 9McGinn 6Cadden 3Campbell 7Allan 4Magennis 4Murphy 8Nisbet 5Doig 2Nisbet 10Boyle 7Scott 14-2-3-1 in 8 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 October 2021Hibernian0–3Dundee UnitedxG 0.41–0.73
30 January 2021Dundee United0–2HibernianxG 0.51–1.34
19 December 2020Hibernian1–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.12–1.43
11 August 2020Dundee United0–1HibernianxG 0.83–0.90

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Hibernian won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–4 and xG 0.87–1.19 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett161,400200.140.15
Clark161,379210.190.08
Niskanen131,014130.090.15
Harkes161,477320.130.07

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murphy8714110.340.20
Boyle181,601710.330.20
Magennis7580210.240.15
Nisbet171,436400.340.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.