Wednesday 8 March 2023, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 17 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 2,115
Livingston Bradley 13'
Dundee United Behich 59'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Goals
1
1
xG
1.17
1.04
Expected Points
1.38
1.25
Livingston 34%Draw 37%Dundee United 29%
Most likely score 1–1, 27%. Final score 1–1, 27%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonDundee United
1.17 +0.14xG1.04 +0.15
0.96 −0.15xG on target0.73 −0.15
17 +7.8Shots6 −4.6
4 +0.7Shots on target1 −2.6
1 −0.4Big chances1 +0.1
30 +12Touches in the opposition box10 −8
64% +24Possession36% −10
429 +146Passes238 −128
73% +12Pass accuracy50% −20
77% +40Field tilt23% −23
35 +10Final-third entries18 −18
10 +2.0Box entries4 −5.1
10.9 −5Passes per defensive action12.2 −4
4 +0.3Corners6 +1.1
17 +3Tackles30 +15
5 −5.0Interceptions5 −4.0
20 −6Clearances45 +21
0 −3.1Saves3 −0.2
10 −2.2Fouls16 +6.1
1 −0.1Offsides2 +0.7
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
13'59'
0–01–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
49 min (52%) · Livingston 0.93, Dundee United 0.09 xG
Livingston ahead
46 min (48%) · Livingston 0.24, Dundee United 0.95 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
76'Kelly for Anderson
81'Omeonga for Bradley
85'Guthrie for Shinnie
Dundee United substitutes
33'Smith for Freeman
46'Fotheringham for Anaku · 1 assist
87'Niskanen for McGrath · yellow card 90+5'
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.08
3
5
de Lucas
CB
90
0.07
0.17
2
0.09
6
4
Boyes
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.15
12
11
Montano
LB
90
0.29
0.02
0
0.04
8
7
Holt
DM
90
0.00
0.04
2
0.02
1
6
Shinnie
DM
85
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
5
4
Bradley
RW
81
1
0.70
0.15
1
0.04
2
1
Pittman
AM
90
0.00
0.04
2
0.02
2
1
Nouble
LW
90
0.02
0.03
1
0.01
2
1
Anderson
ST
76
0.06
0.16
2
0.14
0
0
Kelly
MF
14
0.00
0.17
1
0.00
0
0
Omeonga
MF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
Guthrie
FW
5
0.03
0.00
0
−0.10
0
2
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Birighitti
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Ayina
CB
90
0.04
0.00
0
0.01
2
15
Mulgrew
CB
90
0.09
0.01
0
0.04
5
17
McMann
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
4
6
Freeman
RWB
33
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
4
Harkes
CM
90
0.02
0.01
0
0.01
2
7
Sibbald
CM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.03
6
14
McGrath
CM
87
0.00
0.08
2
−0.02
1
7
Behich
LWB
90
1
0.11
0.41
2
0.22
3
3
Anaku
ST
46
0.74
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Fletcher
ST
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
4
Smith
DF
57
0.00
0.05
0
0.08
2
6
Fotheringham
MF
44
1
0.04
0.27
1
0.16
1
2
Niskanen
DF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
de Lucas
Devlin
13
de Lucas
Boyes
13
Devlin
de Lucas
13
Devlin
Holt
11
Shinnie
Holt
10
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Smith
Fletcher
5
McMann
McGrath
4
McMann
Fletcher
4
Mulgrew
Fletcher
4
Mulgrew
McMann
3
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 27 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 27 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Livingston
Top six
58%
49%
−9
Dundee United
11th
29%
28%
−1
Bottom
47%
48%
+1
St. Mirren
Top six
55%
59%
+4
Ross County
11th
34%
34%
0
Bottom
26%
25%
−1
From the forecast before the match (8 March 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.43
0.97
Win
47%
25%
Expected Points
1.69
1.03
Clean sheet
38%
24%
Livingston 47%Draw 28%Dundee United 25%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 8 March 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Dundee United win
Livingston
Top six
58%
72%
49%
41%
Dundee United
11th
29%
27%
28%
31%
Bottom
47%
56%
48%
30%
St. Mirren
Top six
55%
48%
59%
65%
Ross County
11th
34%
35%
34%
30%
Bottom
26%
21%
25%
35%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Position
7th
12th
Played
27
27
Won, drawn, lost
10–5–12
5–5–17
Points
35 (1.30 per game)
20 (0.74 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.06
0.98
Goals
28–42
28–52
xG per game
1.03–1.58
0.89–1.61
Home: points, xG per game
1.50, 1.10–1.49
0.93, 0.95–1.56
Away: points, xG per game
1.08, 0.96–1.67
0.54, 0.83–1.65
Manager
David Martindale (88)
Jim Goodwin (1)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−41%
+16%
−33%
+31%
Counter-attacks
−88%
+10%
−33%
+124%
Set pieces
+7%
+29%
−41%
+6%
Penalties
+55%
+36%
−3%
−22%
Headers
−35%
+23%
−38%
+33%
Left side
−16%
+12%
−21%
+54%
Centre
−34%
+13%
−38%
+20%
Right side
−38%
+37%
−44%
+15%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−16%+15%Centre−34%+20%Right side−38%+54%Open play−41%+31%Counter-attacks−88%+124%Set pieces+7%+6%Headers−35%+33%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−21%+37%Centre−38%+13%Right side−44%+12%Open play−33%+16%Counter-attacks−33%+10%Set pieces−41%+29%Headers−38%+23%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonDundee United
1.03xG0.89
1.58xG against1.61
40%Possession46%
9.2Shots10.6
14.4Shots against15.3
3.3Shots on target3.6
1.4Big chances0.9
17.7Touches in the opposition box17.9
283Passes366
61%Pass accuracy70%
3.7Corners4.9
38%Field tilt45%
25.1Final-third entries36.4
8.0Box entries9.1
16.0Passes per defensive action16.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
1.07
1.35
Ahead
29
0.96
1.59
Behind
22
1.05
1.95
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
0.78
1.52
Ahead
20
0.82
1.23
Behind
35
1.05
1.90
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.22
0.12
9–2
16–30
0.17
0.15
4–4
31–45
0.17
0.33
5–11
46–60
0.11
0.32
3–6
61–75
0.13
0.28
4–11
76–90
0.22
0.37
3–8
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.20
6–7
16–30
0.13
0.16
4–2
31–45
0.16
0.31
3–12
46–60
0.10
0.37
3–12
61–75
0.20
0.21
6–4
76–90
0.14
0.36
6–15
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts