Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianDundee United
0.41 −1.26xG0.73 −0.13
0.64 −1.10xG on target2.26 +1.27
8 −6Shots9 −1
3 −1.6Shots on target6 +1.9
0 −1.8Big chances1 −0.1
16 +3Touches in the opposition box12 −2
61% +8Possession39% −5
448 +53Passes300 −50
79% +6Pass accuracy67% −1
60% +5Field tilt40% −2
43 +6Final-third entries28 −5
11 −2.0Box entries5 −2.6
8.5 −5Passes per defensive action12.4 −2
6 +0.2Corners8 +3.6
11 −3Tackles20 +6
7 −2.1Interceptions11 −0.1
13 −6Clearances29 +7
3 +0.4Saves3 +0.8
13 +2Fouls16 +3
1 −0.8Offsides0 −2.2
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
44'52'74'
0–00–10–20–3
0'HTFT
Level
44 min (48%) · Hibernian 0.07, Dundee United 0.15 xG
Dundee United ahead
48 min (52%) · Hibernian 0.34, Dundee United 0.57 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
46'Scott for Allan
Dundee United substitutes
59'Hoti for Glass
80'Biamou for Clark
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Macey
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Cadden
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
7
5
Wood
CB
90
0.07
0.00
0
0.07
7
7
Hanlon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
3
7
Doig
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
6
2
Doyle-Hayes
DM
90
0.00
0.24
1
0.11
2
2
Newell
DM
90
0.02
0.02
0
0.03
2
5
Boyle
RW
90
0.02
0.08
2
0.15
11
2
Allan
AM
46
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Murphy
LW
90
0.09
0.18
2
0.23
15
0
Nisbet
ST
90
0.21
0.02
1
−0.02
3
2
Scott
FW
44
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
0
Freeman
RB
90
1
0.42
0.00
0
0.01
2
7
Edwards
CB
90
1
0.08
0.00
0
0.04
3
18
Mulgrew
CB
90
0.06
0.01
0
0.04
3
10
McMann
LB
90
1
0.00
0.09
3
0.05
1
10
Pawlett
RM
90
0.00
0.06
2
−0.04
0
3
Fuchs
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
3
Harkes
CM
90
1
0.03
0.01
1
0.03
6
5
Niskanen
LM
90
1
0.02
0.25
1
0.09
2
3
Glass
AM
59
0.00
0.06
1
0.05
5
1
Clark
ST
80
1
0.09
0.15
0
−0.01
1
0
Hoti
MF
31
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
2
Biamou
FW
10
0.03
0.05
0
0.04
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Hanlon
Wood
23
Cadden
Wood
23
Doig
Murphy
19
Wood
Cadden
18
Hanlon
Doig
15
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Niskanen
McMann
7
Glass
Harkes
6
McMann
Niskanen
6
Harkes
Mulgrew
6
Hoti
Niskanen
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 8 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 8 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Title
1%
1%
0
Top six
95%
91%
−4
Dundee United
Top six
35%
50%
+15
11th
6%
3%
−3
Bottom
2%
1%
−1
Motherwell
Top six
40%
37%
−3
11th
5%
6%
+1
Dundee FC
11th
25%
28%
+3
Bottom
47%
45%
−2
From the forecast before the match (16 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.66
0.67
Win
61%
14%
Expected Points
2.07
0.68
Clean sheet
51%
19%
Hibernian 61%Draw 25%Dundee United 14%
Most likely score 1–0, 16%. Both sides score 40%.
From the forecast as it stood on 16 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Dundee United win
Hibernian
Title
1%
2%
1%
1%
Top six
95%
97%
94%
91%
Dundee United
Top six
35%
29%
38%
50%
11th
6%
7%
5%
3%
Bottom
2%
2%
2%
1%
Motherwell
Top six
40%
42%
40%
37%
11th
5%
5%
5%
6%
Dundee FC
11th
25%
25%
26%
28%
Bottom
47%
47%
47%
45%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Dundee United
Position
3rd
5th
Played
8
8
Won, drawn, lost
4–3–1
4–2–2
Points
15 (1.88 per game)
14 (1.75 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.92
1.12
Goals
14–8
5–5
xG per game
1.67–0.91
0.86–1.21
Home: points, xG per game
2.50, 1.67–0.54
2.25, 0.73–1.20
Away: points, xG per game
1.25, 1.67–1.28
1.25, 0.99–1.22
Manager
Jack Ross (46)
Tam Courts (8)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+27%
−30%
−24%
−8%
Counter-attacks
+62%
+75%
+116%
−36%
Set pieces
−30%
−3%
−45%
+27%
Penalties
+220%
−100%
−100%
−20%
Headers
−39%
+35%
−13%
+52%
Left side
+20%
−9%
−17%
+12%
Centre
+10%
−20%
−7%
+12%
Right side
+14%
−22%
−62%
−41%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hibernian attacking
Hibernian createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+20%−41%Centre+10%+12%Right side+14%+12%Open play+27%−8%Counter-attacks+62%−36%Set pieces−30%+27%Headers−39%+52%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−17%−22%Centre−7%−20%Right side−62%−9%Open play−24%−30%Counter-attacks+116%+75%Set pieces−45%−3%Headers−13%+35%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianDundee United
1.67xG0.86
0.91xG against1.21
52%Possession44%
14.1Shots10.1
11.1Shots against13.5
4.6Shots on target4.1
1.8Big chances1.1
13.0Touches in the opposition box14.4
395Passes350
73%Pass accuracy67%
5.8Corners4.4
54%Field tilt43%
37.1Final-third entries33.4
13.0Box entries7.6
13.8Passes per defensive action14.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
47
1.69
1.00
Ahead
32
1.11
0.97
Behind
11
3.22
0.35
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
61
0.92
1.45
Ahead
16
0.57
0.97
Behind
14
0.92
0.44
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.14
1–2
16–30
0.22
0.09
3–1
31–45
0.23
0.10
2–1
46–60
0.34
0.18
4–1
61–75
0.47
0.21
3–0
76–90
0.28
0.20
1–3
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.19
0–0
16–30
0.14
0.19
1–2
31–45
0.22
0.29
1–1
46–60
0.19
0.15
1–1
61–75
0.17
0.13
1–0
76–90
0.06
0.26
1–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts