Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonHibernian
0.43 −0.63xG1.36 +0.04
0.15 −0.99xG on target1.86 +0.69
9 −0.2Shots12 −3.8
1 −2.3Shots on target7 +1.9
0 −1.5Big chances4 +2.6
20 +2Touches in the opposition box22 −1
44% +5Possession56% −1
312 +30Passes411 −4
65% +4Pass accuracy72% −4
46% +9Field tilt54% −7
21 −4Final-third entries35 −11
15 +7.2Box entries15 +2.2
18.5 +2Passes per defensive action9.2 −2
4 +0.3Corners3 −3.0
14 0Tackles21 +6
4 −6.3Interceptions7 −1.2
24 −2Clearances22 +3
4 +0.9Saves0 −1.8
10 −2Fouls15 +2
1 −0.1Offsides1 −0.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Hibernian
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
9'28'37'61'90+7'
0–01–01–11–21–3
0'HTFT
Level
18 min (18%) · Livingston 0.30, Hibernian 0.14 xG
Livingston ahead
19 min (19%) · Livingston 0.05, Hibernian 0.52 xG
Hibernian ahead
61 min (62%) · Livingston 0.08, Hibernian 0.70 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
54'Obileye for Kelly · off 76'
69'Bahamboula for Anderson
70'Penrice for Montano
70'Shinnie for Pittman
76'de Lucas for Obileye
Hibernian substitutes
68'Nisbet for Henderson · yellow card 77'
68'Kukharevych for Hoppe · goal 90+7'
79'Miller for Egan-Riley
90+3'MacIntyre for Youan
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
1
Devlin
RB
90
0.11
0.12
0
0.38
12
6
Fitzwater
CB
52
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
5
6
Boyes
CB
90
1
0.00
0.03
1
0.10
4
9
Montano
LB
70
0.05
0.01
0
0.02
2
7
Omeonga
CM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.04
3
1
Holt
CM
90
0.00
0.03
2
0.01
3
2
Pittman
CM
70
0.05
0.06
1
0.06
2
3
Nouble
AM
90
1
0.14
0.06
0
0.06
3
3
Kelly
AM
54
0.03
0.02
0
−0.02
5
0
Anderson
ST
69
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
0
0
Obileye
DF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
1
Bahamboula
FW
21
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
1
0
Penrice
DF
20
0.00
0.03
1
0.00
0
1
Shinnie
FW
20
0.02
0.01
0
−0.02
0
0
de Lucas
DF
14
0.03
0.00
0
0.00
0
3
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marshall
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
3
0
Cadden
RB
90
0.00
0.07
1
0.11
6
4
Fish
CB
90
0.09
0.01
0
0.08
5
4
Hanlon
CB
90
0.07
0.01
0
0.07
4
12
Cabraja
LB
90
0.08
0.06
1
0.04
3
5
Egan-Riley
DM
79
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
4
6
Jeggo
DM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.07
5
6
Henderson
RW
68
0.05
0.01
1
0.03
1
3
Campbell
AM
90
0.04
0.02
0
0.05
7
3
Youan
LW
90
2
0.54
0.01
0
0.08
3
3
Hoppe
ST
68
1
0.18
0.09
2
0.15
1
1
Nisbet
FW
22
0.10
0.01
0
0.02
0
1
Kukharevych
FW
22
1
0.21
0.01
1
−0.12
0
0
Miller
DF
11
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
4
MacIntyre
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Devlin
Nouble
9
Devlin
Omeonga
8
Fitzwater
George
7
Montano
Kelly
6
Omeonga
Devlin
6
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Hanlon
Fish
12
Hanlon
Cabraja
11
Cabraja
Hanlon
11
Cadden
Campbell
9
Cabraja
Egan-Riley
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 26 matches
Hibernian
Against its average of 26 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Hibernian
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Livingston
Top six
75%
63%
−12
Hibernian
Top six
92%
98%
+6
Aberdeen
Top six
52%
54%
+2
St. Johnstone
Top six
13%
15%
+2
From the forecast before the match (4 March 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Hibernian
Expected goals
1.11
1.24
Win
32%
39%
Expected Points
1.26
1.45
Clean sheet
29%
33%
Livingston 32%Draw 29%Hibernian 39%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 4 March 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Hibernian win
Livingston
Top six
75%
90%
74%
63%
Hibernian
Top six
92%
83%
93%
98%
Aberdeen
Top six
52%
48%
53%
54%
St. Johnstone
Top six
13%
12%
12%
15%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Hibernian
Position
7th
4th
Played
26
26
Won, drawn, lost
10–5–11
11–4–11
Points
35 (1.35 per game)
37 (1.42 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.08
1.50
Goals
27–38
39–38
xG per game
1.06–1.58
1.32–1.14
Home: points, xG per game
1.62, 1.15–1.50
1.85, 1.54–1.01
Away: points, xG per game
1.08, 0.96–1.67
1.00, 1.11–1.26
Manager
David Martindale (87)
Lee Johnson (26)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Hibernian
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−40%
+16%
average
−25%
Counter-attacks
−87%
−1%
+61%
+20%
Set pieces
+10%
+31%
+18%
−12%
Penalties
+66%
+45%
−38%
+45%
Headers
−34%
+24%
+6%
−22%
Left side
−14%
+14%
+12%
−34%
Centre
−32%
+12%
−7%
−13%
Right side
−39%
+38%
+25%
−16%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonHibernian
1.06xG1.32
1.58xG against1.14
39%Possession57%
9.2Shots15.8
14.5Shots against10.4
3.3Shots on target5.1
1.5Big chances1.4
17.6Touches in the opposition box23.1
282Passes415
61%Pass accuracy76%
3.7Corners6.0
37%Field tilt61%
25.2Final-third entries46.1
7.8Box entries12.8
16.0Passes per defensive action11.3
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
1.07
1.36
Ahead
29
0.98
1.57
Behind
21
1.14
2.03
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
1.12
1.11
Ahead
25
1.64
1.14
Behind
32
1.30
1.16
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.22
0.12
8–2
16–30
0.18
0.14
4–3
31–45
0.17
0.33
5–10
46–60
0.12
0.33
3–6
61–75
0.14
0.29
4–10
76–90
0.23
0.38
3–7
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.18
0.11
4–8
16–30
0.10
0.16
4–5
31–45
0.27
0.20
8–5
46–60
0.29
0.24
7–7
61–75
0.23
0.15
8–6
76–90
0.27
0.28
8–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts