Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 1–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 18 February 2023, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 26 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 9,796

Dundee United Levitt 81'

St. Johnstone May 31', 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Goals12
xG1.170.95
Expected Points1.491.18

Dundee United 38%Draw 33%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 1–2, 7%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%13%5%1%12%7%1%7%10%5%3%4%1%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMacLeod on for McGrath, 76'Newman on for Birighitti, 85'Cudjoe on for Fotheringham, 90+2'McLennan on for Clark, 76'Carey on for Hallberg, 80'Rudden on for May, 90+2'Levitt 81'May 31'May 82'Dundee United 1.17St. Johnstone 0.9500.511.50153045607590HTMacLeod on for McGrath, 76'Newman on for Birighitti, 85'Cudjoe on for Fotheringham, 90+2'McLennan on for Clark, 76'Carey on for Hallberg, 80'Rudden on for May, 90+2'Levitt 81'May 31'May 82'1.170.95Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.17 +0.32xG0.95 +0.03
0.76 −0.11xG on target1.25 +0.35
19 +9.2Shots9 −0.8
4 +0.5Shots on target5 +2.1
0 −0.9Big chances1 −0.4
34 +18Touches in the opposition box14 −1
66% +21Possession34% −8
497 +139Passes257 −70
81% +11Pass accuracy59% −8
63% +19Field tilt37% 0
60 +25Final-third entries23 −5
15 +6.2Box entries7 −0.6
11.6 −6Passes per defensive action56.3 +38
11 +6.4Corners6 +2.8
11 −4Tackles8 −9
8 −1.0Interceptions10 −1.4
19 −6Clearances37 +13
3 −0.2Saves3 +0.4
7 −3Fouls12 +1
1 −0.4Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Sibbald 72', 0.17 xGAyina 39', 0.12 xGFotheringham 67', 0.12 xGBehich 2', 0.10 xGMulgrew 35', 0.09 xGFletcher 51', 0.08 xGMulgrew 72', 0.07 xGLevitt 72', 0.07 xGMacLeod 89', 0.07 xGMulgrew 67', 0.06 xGDjoum 2', 0.03 xGSmith 35', 0.03 xGSmith 79', 0.03 xGLevitt 6', 0.02 xGLevitt 14', 0.02 xGFotheringham 37', 0.02 xGSmith 72', 0.02 xGFletcher 1', 0.01 xGLevitt 81', 0.03 xG, goal25%0.30 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals40%0.47 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals19%0.22 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals11%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 1 goal

St. Johnstone

Clark 69', 0.16 xGMay 21', 0.07 xGGordon 50', 0.07 xGMacPherson 90+7', 0.05 xGMacPherson 62', 0.04 xGMacPherson 12', 0.02 xGCarey 90', 0.02 xGMay 82', 0.45 xG, goalMay 31', 0.08 xG, goal47%0.45 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.45 xG, 1 goal39%0.37 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.39 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.85 7 shots, 2 goals
0.78 10 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
32 min (33%) · Dundee United 0.19, St. Johnstone 0.62 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
65 min (67%) · Dundee United 0.98, St. Johnstone 0.33 xG

Line-ups

122741619101418925BirighittiSmithAyinaMulgrewBehichLevittDjoumSibbaldMcGrathFletcherFotheringhamYellow cardGoalYellow card85'76'90+2'Dundee United 4-3-3Liam Fox15621418342219377MatthewsMitchellGordonBrownWrightMacPhersonPhillipsHallbergMontgomeryClarkMayYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal80'76'90+2'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Callum Davidson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 76' MacLeod for McGrath
  • 85' Newman for Birighitti
  • 90+2' Cudjoe for Fotheringham

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 76' McLennan for Clark
  • 80' Carey for Hallberg
  • 90+2' Rudden for May

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK850.000.0000.0211
SmithRB900.080.0210.0966
AyinaCB9010.120.0330.0357
Mulgrew CB900.220.0710.17168
BehichLB900.100.0410.1071
LevittCM9010.140.0520.0741
DjoumCM900.030.2010.1284
SibbaldCM900.170.1810.0117
McGrathRW760.000.2920.0161
FletcherST900.090.0600.0202
Fotheringham LW900.140.0520.0981
MacLeodMF140.070.0800.0500
NewmanGK50.000.0000.0110
CudjoeFW00.000.0000.0220

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0222
Mitchell CB900.000.0100.0435
GordonCB900.070.020−0.0108
BrownCB900.000.0100.04412
WrightRWB900.000.0410.1023
MacPhersonCM900.110.1610.0453
Phillips CM900.000.0210.00211
HallbergCM8010.000.0420.0715
MontgomeryLWB900.000.0810.1263
ClarkST760.160.010−0.0213
MayST9020.600.0110.0934
McLennanMF140.000.000−0.0101
CareyMF100.020.0000.0100
RuddenFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Smith and Fletcher: 5 passesBirighitti and Mulgrew: 6 passesAyina and McGrath: 6 passesMulgrew and Fotheringham: 6 passesDjoum and Levitt: 6 passesDjoum and McGrath: 6 passesDjoum and Fotheringham: 6 passesSibbald and McGrath: 6 passesMcGrath and Fotheringham: 6 passesAyina and Behich: 7 passesMulgrew and Sibbald: 7 passesAyina and Levitt: 8 passesBehich and McGrath: 8 passesSmith and Levitt: 9 passesBehich and Sibbald: 11 passesAyina and Djoum: 12 passesSmith and Ayina: 15 passesLevitt and McGrath: 17 passesBehich and Fotheringham: 18 passesMulgrew and Behich: 22 passesSmith and McGrath: 28 passesAyina and Mulgrew: 28 passesBirighitti: 12 completed passesSmith: 40 completed passesAyina: 45 completed passesMulgrew: 43 completed passesBehich: 43 completed passesDjoum: 26 completed passesSibbald: 19 completed passesLevitt: 24 completed passesMcGrath: 38 completed passesFletcher: 10 completed passesFotheringham: 22 completed passes122741610141918925BirighittiSmithAyinaMulgrewBehichDjoumSibbaldLevittMcGrathFletcherFotheringhamStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Mitchell and Phillips: 3 passesMitchell and Clark: 3 passesBrown and Clark: 3 passesBrown and May: 3 passesWright and Hallberg: 3 passesWright and MacPherson: 3 passesMontgomery and Phillips: 3 passesMontgomery and May: 3 passesPhillips and May: 3 passesClark and May: 3 passesBrown and MacPherson: 4 passesGordon and MacPherson: 4 passesWright and Clark: 4 passesMitchell and Wright: 5 passesBrown and Montgomery: 5 passesGordon and Phillips: 5 passesPhillips and MacPherson: 5 passesMacPherson and Clark: 5 passesMontgomery and MacPherson: 6 passesHallberg and Clark: 6 passesHallberg and May: 6 passesPhillips and Clark: 9 passesMacPherson and May: 11 passesMatthews: 6 completed passesMitchell: 9 completed passesBrown: 15 completed passesGordon: 7 completed passesWright: 13 completed passesMontgomery: 9 completed passesHallberg: 13 completed passesPhillips: 14 completed passesMacPherson: 23 completed passesClark: 15 completed passesMay: 11 completed passes15261419223418377MatthewsMitchellBrownGordonWrightMontgomeryHallbergPhillipsMacPhersonClarkMayStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
AyinaMulgrew25
MulgrewAyina17
BehichMulgrew16
SmithMcGrath15
MulgrewBehich14

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MacPhersonMontgomery6
MacPhersonMay6
MayMacPherson6
HallbergMay5
PhillipsClark5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

1−3.34−2.111−5.24−1.87+1.56+0.63−4.58+1.36−0.28+3.34−0.75+1.29+3.61−5.24−0.84+0.62−0.32−1.52−1.13+1.31−0.20−1.02+0.31−0.30−0.70−0.22+1.50−0.42+0.80−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

St. Johnstone

9+2.416+7.624+9.69+0.87+1.512+3.43−5.04−2.312+3.05−3.35−1.43−1.91−2.34−1.24−2.41−2.80−3.90−2.51−1.94+0.13+0.42+0.40−0.52+1.00−2.30−0.80−0.20−0.40−0.31+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.020.010.010.010.030.020.010.020.050.040.040.010.050.010.050.07−0.030.020.02−0.11−0.010.050.090.120.090.12LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.010.020.020.040.01−0.010.050.010.010.080.070.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackDundee United0.94 → 0.95St. Johnstone0.96 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.46 → 1.46St. Johnstone1.35 → 1.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six1%<1%−1
11th25%28%+3
Bottom23%33%+10
St. Johnstone
Top six14%24%+10
11th4%2%−2
Bottom2%<1%−2
Ross County
11th26%29%+3
Bottom42%37%−5
Aberdeen
Top six51%47%−4

From the forecast before the match (18 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.241.02
Win41%30%
Expected Points1.521.18
Clean sheet36%29%

Dundee United 41%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%11%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Dundee United
Top six1%1%<1%<1%
11th25%21%26%28%
Bottom23%15%24%33%
St. Johnstone
Top six14%8%13%24%
11th4%7%4%2%
Bottom2%3%1%<1%
Ross County
11th26%24%25%29%
Bottom42%45%43%37%
Aberdeen
Top six51%53%51%47%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–34 FebHearts (A)xG 1.22–1.01
  2. L0–11 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–2.71
  3. L0–229 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.33–2.91
  4. D2–214 JanHibernian (A)xG 0.87–0.80
  5. L0–28 JanRangers (H)xG 0.46–1.60
  6. W1–02 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.54–0.63

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–45 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.26–2.02
  2. W2–01 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–0.31
  3. L0–228 JanRangers (A)xG 0.23–3.29
  4. L2–414 JanLivingston (H)xG 1.86–1.46
  5. L0–27 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.51–1.10
  6. L0–12 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.63–0.54

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Position12th8th
Played2425
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠5–⁠148–⁠3–⁠14
Points20 (0.83 per game)27 (1.08 per game)
Expected Points per game0.941.12
Goals26–⁠4329–⁠42
xG per game0.85–⁠1.630.92–⁠1.31
Home: points, xG per game1.08, 0.84–⁠1.680.92, 0.98–⁠1.14
Away: points, xG per game0.58, 0.85–⁠1.571.23, 0.85–⁠1.47
ManagerLiam Fox (19)Callum Davidson (101)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackDundee United0.94, 11thSt. Johnstone0.96, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.46, 11thSt. Johnstone1.35, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee United attack: 0.94St. Johnstone attack: 0.960.960.94St. JohnstoneDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee United defence: 1.46St. Johnstone defence: 1.351.461.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+35%−24%+18%
Counter-attacks−28%+138%−75%−73%
Set pieces−48%−4%−44%−14%
Penalties−14%−14%−18%−38%
Headers−47%+16%−52%−8%
Left side−23%+60%−38%+13%
Centre−41%+19%−26%−4%
Right side−45%+16%−31%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−23%+17%Centre−41%−4%Right side−45%+13%Open play−34%+18%Counter-attacks−28%−73%Set pieces−48%−14%Headers−47%−8%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−38%+16%Centre−26%+19%Right side−31%+60%Open play−24%+35%Counter-attacks−75%+138%Set pieces−44%−4%Headers−52%+16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.85xG0.92
1.63xG against1.31
45%Possession42%
9.8Shots9.8
15.5Shots against14.1
3.5Shots on target2.9
0.9Big chances1.4
16.5Touches in the opposition box14.9
358Passes327
70%Pass accuracy67%
4.6Corners3.2
44%Field tilt37%
34.8Final-third entries27.9
8.8Box entries7.6
17.3Passes per defensive action18.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level350.761.55
Ahead230.821.23
Behind320.961.99

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.821.27
Ahead200.730.78
Behind331.141.68

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.226–5
16–300.130.164–2
31–450.150.343–11
46–600.110.343–11
61–750.170.205–2
76–900.140.365–12

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.274–7
16–300.150.154–4
31–450.150.273–11
46–600.160.173–4
61–750.170.186–4
76–900.220.269–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 15Eriksson 9Smith 15Middleton 2Cudjoe 2Edwards 24Mulgrew 7McMann 12Graham 10Freeman 14Smith 9Niskanen 1Levitt 20Djoum 6Mulgrew 1Sibbald 13McGrath 3Harkes 3Behich 17McMann 4Sibbald 1McGrath 11Harkes 11Sibbald 1Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 3Fletcher 14Watt 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 11 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 5-3-2 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 23Parish 2Wright 20Brown 3Carey 2Mitchell 20McGowan 12Brown 2Gordon 16Wright 1Considine 24Montgom… 11MontgomeryBrown 5Carey 3Carey 12Brown 4Wright 3Hallberg 20McGowan 9Phillips 8MacPherson 6May 17Bair 5Clark 16Murphy 8McLennan 45-3-2 in 7 of 25 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (7), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2023St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.63–0.54
1 October 2022Dundee United1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.30–0.72
5 February 2022St. Johnstone0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.39–1.13
30 October 2021Dundee United0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.84–0.33
22 August 2021St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–1.36
12 January 2021Dundee United2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.82–2.25

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 2, St. Johnstone won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 6–6 and xG 1.12–0.81 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher171,406520.440.07
Watt121,018410.240.08
Middleton191,613220.130.15
McGrath151,276220.090.15

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May171,544450.220.11
Clark171,338420.260.06
Carey171,393310.230.06
McLennan4623110.160.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.