Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 4–0 Dundee United

Saturday 25 February 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 4,922

Ross County Brophy 6', 70', Dhanda 14', White 62'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee United
Goals40
xG2.570.60
Expected Points2.690.20

Ross County 86%Draw 11%Dundee United 3%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 4–0, 7%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%7%2%12%3%10%3%7%5%1%3%2%17%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMurray on for Brophy and Sims on for Edwards, 73'Callachan on for Kenneh, 78'Samuel on for White and Smith on for Randall, 83'Anaku on for Levitt, 46'Middleton on for Fotheringham, 58'Niskanen on for McGrath, 78'MacLeod on for Fletcher, 85'Brophy 6'Dhanda 14'White 62'Brophy 70'Ross County 2.57Dundee United 0.6001230153045607590HTMurray on for Brophy and Sims on for Edwards, 73'Callachan on for Kenneh, 78'Samuel on for White and Smith on for Randall, 83'Anaku on for Levitt, 46'Middleton on for Fotheringham, 58'Niskanen on for McGrath, 78'MacLeod on for Fletcher, 85'Brophy 6'Dhanda 14'White 62'Brophy 70'2.570.60Ross CountyDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee United

2.57 +1.78xG0.60 −0.26
2.77 +2.01xG on target0.33 −0.53
22 +13.8Shots9 −1.1
10 +7.7Shots on target3 −0.6
4 +3.0Big chances0 −0.9
33 +18Touches in the opposition box16 −1
45% +1Possession55% +10
318 −6Passes415 +52
57% −7Pass accuracy65% −6
53% +16Field tilt47% +2
31 +2Final-third entries41 +5
11 +3.8Box entries9 0.0
15.8 0Passes per defensive action9.2 −8
3 −0.2Corners2 −2.8
20 +4Tackles20 +5
15 +5.3Interceptions8 −0.9
13 −11Clearances31 +7
3 −0.4Saves5 +1.8
11 −0.7Fouls10 +0.2
1 −1.0Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 53', 0.94 xGHarmon 53', 0.15 xGBrophy 53', 0.14 xGWhite 75', 0.12 xGBaldwin 29', 0.10 xGSamuel 90+5', 0.09 xGMurray 90+6', 0.09 xGEdwards 52', 0.07 xGEdwards 69', 0.07 xGBrophy 9', 0.04 xGLoturi 11', 0.04 xGRandall 67', 0.04 xGBrophy 9', 0.03 xGWhite 50', 0.03 xGLoturi 53', 0.03 xGKenneh 21', 0.02 xGWhite 51', 0.02 xGWhite 57', 0.01 xGWhite 62', 0.32 xG, goalBrophy 6', 0.09 xG, goalDhanda 14', 0.06 xG, goalBrophy 70', 0.06 xG, goal48%1.23 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.23 xG, 0 goals31%0.80 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.80 xG, 2 goals7%0.19 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal10%0.27 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals3%0.09 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 1 goal

Dundee United

Fletcher 37', 0.26 xGFletcher 76', 0.09 xGFletcher 38', 0.05 xGSibbald 37', 0.04 xGAnaku 76', 0.04 xGNiskanen 84', 0.04 xGFotheringham 43', 0.03 xGAnaku 76', 0.02 xGNiskanen 90+3', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%0.44 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals17%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee United

0.89 11 shots, 4 goalsOpen play0.60 9 shots, 0 goals
1.68 11 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (6%) · Ross County 0.09, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Ross County ahead
90 min (94%) · Ross County 2.48, Dundee United 0.60 xG

Line-ups

125616291442102726LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiHarmonEdwardsLoturiKennehDhandaBrophyWhiteYellow cardGoalGoalGoalGoal83'73'78'73'83'Ross County 4-4-2Malky Mackay3121241619101418925NewmanSmithEdwardsMulgrewBehichLevittDjoumSibbaldMcGrathFletcherFotheringhamYellow cardYellow card46'78'85'58'Dundee United 4-3-3Liam Fox

Ross County substitutes

  • 73' Sims for Edwards
  • 73' Murray for Brophy
  • 78' Callachan for Kenneh · yellow card 86'
  • 83' Smith for Randall
  • 83' Samuel for White

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Anaku for Levitt
  • 58' Middleton for Fotheringham
  • 78' Niskanen for McGrath
  • 85' MacLeod for Fletcher

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0660
RandallRB830.040.0100.0128
BaldwinCB900.100.1120.1487
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.0108
HarmonLB900.150.0310.0127
EdwardsRM730.140.0100.0788
LoturiCM9010.070.1930.0741
Kenneh CM780.020.0000.0234
DhandaLM9010.060.0630.0661
BrophyST73220.360.4320.2850
WhiteST8311.450.2020.0910
SimsFW170.000.1010.2022
MurrayFW170.090.0100.0320
Callachan MF120.000.0000.0111
SmithDF70.000.0000.0231
SamuelFW70.090.0000.0521

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
NewmanGK900.000.0000.0441
SmithRB900.000.010−0.0114
EdwardsCB900.000.0300.111211
MulgrewCB900.000.0100.071118
BehichLB900.000.0100.0127
LevittCM460.000.0610.0953
DjoumCM900.000.0610.1265
Sibbald CM900.040.0110.0234
McGrath RW780.000.0220.0355
FletcherST850.400.1210.1120
FotheringhamLW580.030.0100.0323
AnakuFW440.070.022−0.0210
MiddletonFW320.000.0000.0211
NiskanenDF120.060.0100.0110
MacLeodMF50.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Randall and Dhanda: 3 passesHarmon and White: 3 passesKenneh and Loturi: 3 passesKenneh and White: 3 passesRandall and Brophy: 4 passesRandall and White: 4 passesEdwards and White: 4 passesDhanda and White: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 5 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 5 passesHarmon and Loturi: 5 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 5 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 5 passesRandall and Edwards: 6 passesBaldwin and Edwards: 6 passesBaldwin and White: 6 passesEdwards and Loturi: 6 passesLoturi and Brophy: 6 passesDhanda and Brophy: 7 passesRandall and Loturi: 10 passesEdwards and Brophy: 12 passesLaidlaw: 10 completed passesRandall: 18 completed passesBaldwin: 18 completed passesIacovitti: 5 completed passesHarmon: 11 completed passesEdwards: 15 completed passesKenneh: 7 completed passesLoturi: 23 completed passesDhanda: 16 completed passesBrophy: 13 completed passesWhite: 11 completed passes125616294214102726LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiHarmonEdwardsKennehLoturiDhandaBrophyWhiteStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Edwards and Fletcher: 3 passesMulgrew and Fletcher: 3 passesMulgrew and Fotheringham: 3 passesSibbald and McGrath: 3 passesSibbald and Fotheringham: 3 passesSmith and Djoum: 4 passesSmith and Fotheringham: 4 passesMulgrew and Djoum: 4 passesBehich and Fletcher: 4 passesDjoum and Fletcher: 4 passesSibbald and Fletcher: 4 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 4 passesLevitt and Fotheringham: 5 passesEdwards and Djoum: 6 passesDjoum and Levitt: 6 passesDjoum and Fotheringham: 6 passesBehich and Fotheringham: 7 passesSmith and Levitt: 8 passesEdwards and Levitt: 8 passesSmith and Edwards: 9 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 9 passesLevitt and McGrath: 9 passesBehich and Sibbald: 10 passesSmith and McGrath: 11 passesNewman: 3 completed passesSmith: 20 completed passesEdwards: 26 completed passesMulgrew: 16 completed passesBehich: 18 completed passesDjoum: 19 completed passesSibbald: 11 completed passesLevitt: 21 completed passesMcGrath: 13 completed passesFletcher: 11 completed passesFotheringham: 13 completed passes3121241610141918925NewmanSmithEdwardsMulgrewBehichDjoumSibbaldLevittMcGrathFletcherFotheringhamStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallLoturi7
BrophyEdwards6
LaidlawWhite6
EdwardsBrophy6
BaldwinWhite5

Dundee United

FromToPasses
EdwardsSmith11
SibbaldBehich9
SmithMcGrath8
DjoumSmith8
BehichSibbald8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

2−3.63−5.78−9.18−0.22−4.214+6.314+6.770.07−0.811+3.513+7.43−1.07+3.84−0.93−1.117+12.91−2.61−1.54+1.05+1.110+7.44+2.31+0.40−1.54+2.01+0.31+0.60−0.61+0.70−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Dundee United

2−2.23−3.0160.015+8.412+6.27+1.43−2.46−1.318+11.212+5.89+4.24−0.74+0.27+1.512+6.05+0.32−1.44+1.70−3.44+1.08+6.23+1.83+2.04+2.34+2.70−0.60−0.20−0.50−0.40−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.020.040.010.010.020.050.030.030.020.010.060.030.010.070.070.06−0.010.010.020.040.130.36LessMore

Dundee United

0.020.010.010.020.040.030.060.010.030.010.010.030.050.010.030.01−0.010.01−0.020.040.08−0.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.89 → 0.94Dundee United0.95 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.50 → 1.44Dundee United1.46 → 1.51

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th28%30%+2
Bottom47%32%−15
Dundee United
11th29%30%+1
Bottom26%38%+12
Kilmarnock
11th30%28%−2
Bottom23%26%+3

From the forecast before the match (25 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee United
Expected goals1.271.03
Win41%29%
Expected Points1.531.18
Clean sheet36%28%

Ross County 41%Draw 29%Dundee United 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+10%5%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%4%2%1%1%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee United win
Ross County
11th28%30%30%22%
Bottom47%32%50%65%
Dundee United
11th29%30%30%27%
Bottom26%38%25%11%
Kilmarnock
11th30%28%28%36%
Bottom23%26%21%20%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–118 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.63–2.34
  2. L1–24 FebRangers (A)xG 1.01–2.15
  3. D1–131 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.69–1.03
  4. W3–028 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.38
  5. D1–114 JanMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–0.82
  6. L0–27 JanLivingston (H)xG 0.86–0.90

Dundee United

  1. L1–218 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.17–0.95
  2. L1–34 FebHearts (A)xG 1.22–1.01
  3. L0–11 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–2.71
  4. L0–229 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.33–2.91
  5. D2–214 JanHibernian (A)xG 0.87–0.80
  6. L0–28 JanRangers (H)xG 0.46–1.60

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee United
Position11th12th
Played2625
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠6–⁠155–⁠5–⁠15
Points21 (0.81 per game)20 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game0.920.96
Goals20–⁠3927–⁠45
xG per game0.79–⁠1.470.86–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game0.92, 0.82–⁠1.401.00, 0.87–⁠1.62
Away: points, xG per game0.69, 0.76–⁠1.550.58, 0.85–⁠1.57
ManagerMalky Mackay (64)Liam Fox (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.89, 12thDundee United0.95, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.50, 12thDundee United1.46, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County attack: 0.89Dundee United attack: 0.950.950.89Dundee UnitedRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County defence: 1.50Dundee United defence: 1.461.501.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−41%+25%−35%+33%
Counter-attacks+11%+119%−28%+137%
Set pieces−24%+8%−40%−8%
Penalties−80%−80%−16%−16%
Headers−23%+11%−41%+15%
Left side−30%+16%−22%+57%
Centre−28%+26%−39%+17%
Right side−50%+35%−44%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−30%+14%Centre−28%+17%Right side−50%+57%Open play−41%+33%Counter-attacks+11%+137%Set pieces−24%−8%Headers−23%+15%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side−22%+35%Centre−39%+26%Right side−44%+16%Open play−35%+25%Counter-attacks−28%+119%Set pieces−40%+8%Headers−41%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee United

0.79xG0.86
1.47xG against1.60
44%Possession45%
8.2Shots10.1
16.8Shots against15.3
2.3Shots on target3.6
1.0Big chances0.9
15.1Touches in the opposition box17.4
324Passes363
64%Pass accuracy70%
3.2Corners4.8
37%Field tilt45%
29.0Final-third entries35.8
7.2Box entries9.0
15.5Passes per defensive action17.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.781.37
Ahead100.591.99
Behind300.861.46

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.751.55
Ahead220.821.23
Behind341.001.88

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.163–4
16–300.130.191–4
31–450.120.312–5
46–600.140.285–8
61–750.130.204–8
76–900.140.325–10

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.216–5
16–300.120.164–2
31–450.160.333–12
46–600.100.333–11
61–750.180.205–2
76–900.130.376–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 26Johnson 14Randall 10Watson 2Baldwin 19Watson 6Randall 1Iacovitti 26Harmon 11Purrington 11Kenneh 3Tillson 12Callachan 8Harmon 4Cancola 16Loturi 9Paton 2O. Edwards 8Watson 5Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Dhanda 10Callachan 8Tillson 4O. Edwards 6White 5Olaigbe 4White 16Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 34-2-3-1 in 21 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (4), 5-3-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 16Eriksson 9Smith 15Middleton 2Cudjoe 2Edwards 24Mulgrew 8Ayina 1McMann 12Graham 10Freeman 14Smith 10Niskanen 1Levitt 20Djoum 7Mulgrew 1Sibbald 14McGrath 3Harkes 3Behich 18McMann 4Sibbald 1McGrath 11Harkes 11Sibbald 1Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 3Fletcher 15Watt 7McGrath 13-4-2-1 in 11 of 25 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 4-3-3 (4), 5-3-2 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 December 2022Dundee United3–0Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.98
15 October 2022Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.35–1.64
14 May 2022Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.52–2.93
26 January 2022Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 2.96–1.19
27 November 2021Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.53–0.47
2 October 2021Dundee United1–0Ross CountyxG 1.26–0.90

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Dundee United won 7, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–16 and xG 1.07–1.50 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White211,891610.230.05
O. Edwards151,398220.120.08
Callachan171,453110.110.09
Harmon161,394210.060.12

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher181,496520.420.07
Watt121,018410.240.08
Middleton191,613220.130.15
McGrath161,352220.080.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.