Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 2–2 Motherwell

Saturday 9 April 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 33 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 3,848

Livingston Bailey 26', Forrest 58'

Motherwell Slattery 72', Lamie 90+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonMotherwell
Goals22
xG1.210.90
Expected Points1.581.08

Livingston 42%Draw 33%Motherwell 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 19%. Final score 2–2, 5%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%10%4%7%1%9%10%5%3%3%1%14%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTLewis on for Penrice, 20'Boyes on for Bailey and Shinnie on for Forrest, 76'Soto on for Pittman, 90+5'O'Hara on for Cornelius, 46'Woolery on for Efford and Tierney on for Carroll, 67'Ojala on for van Veen and Donnelly on for Slattery, 90+6'Bailey 26'Forrest 58'Slattery 72'Lamie 90+3'Livingston 1.21Motherwell 0.9000.511.50153045607590HTLewis on for Penrice, 20'Boyes on for Bailey and Shinnie on for Forrest, 76'Soto on for Pittman, 90+5'O'Hara on for Cornelius, 46'Woolery on for Efford and Tierney on for Carroll, 67'Ojala on for van Veen and Donnelly on for Slattery, 90+6'Bailey 26'Forrest 58'Slattery 72'Lamie 90+3'1.210.90LivingstonMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonMotherwell

1.21 +0.26xG0.90 −0.13
1.32 +0.43xG on target1.12 +0.05
12 +2Shots6 −5
4 +0.7Shots on target2 −1.6
1 −0.1Big chances3 +1.7
24 +6Touches in the opposition box24 +6
48% +8Possession52% +10
348 +40Passes357 +58
61% −2Pass accuracy64% +4
63% +23Field tilt37% −2
28 +2Final-third entries32 +5
10 +1.4Box entries8 +0.3
13.2 −2Passes per defensive action9.6 −4
6 +2.1Corners6 +1.7
11 −5Tackles10 −5
12 +2Interceptions11 0
19 −3Clearances21 −1
0 −3.0Saves2 −1.4
7 −7Fouls18 +3
5 +2.6Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Obileye 18', 0.14 xGForrest 60', 0.09 xGObileye 18', 0.08 xGNouble 77', 0.08 xGForrest 18', 0.07 xGBailey 58', 0.04 xGBailey 11', 0.03 xGForrest 38', 0.02 xGShinnie 82', 0.02 xGObileye 29', 0.01 xGBailey 26', 0.42 xG, goalForrest 58', 0.21 xG, goal7%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals82%0.98 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.98 xG, 2 goals6%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

van Veen 55', 0.30 xGMugabi 90+3', 0.24 xGvan Veen 52', 0.07 xGvan Veen 40', 0.02 xGLamie 90+3', 0.24 xG, goalSlattery 72', 0.03 xG, goal53%0.48 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.48 xG, 1 goal41%0.37 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonMotherwell

0.98 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.35 3 shots, 1 goal
0.23 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.55 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
29 min (30%) · Livingston 0.74, Motherwell 0.00 xG
Livingston ahead
67 min (70%) · Livingston 0.47, Motherwell 0.90 xG

Line-ups

322562918824141917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceHoltPittmanKellyBaileyNoubleForrestYellow cardGoalGoal20'90+5'76'76'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale15214318162729920KellyMugabiJohansenLamieCarrollCorneliusSlatteryGossShieldsvan VeenEffordYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card67'46'90+6'90+6'67'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander

Livingston substitutes

  • 20' Lewis for Penrice
  • 76' Boyes for Bailey
  • 76' Shinnie for Forrest
  • 90+5' Soto for Pittman

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' O'Hara for Cornelius
  • 67' Tierney for Carroll
  • 67' Woolery for Efford
  • 90+6' Ojala for van Veen
  • 90+6' Donnelly for Slattery

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0211
DevlinRB9010.000.0510.0976
FitzwaterCB900.000.0200.0952
ObileyeCB900.230.000−0.1018
PenriceLB200.000.0100.0221
HoltCM900.000.0620.0635
PittmanCM900.000.0410.0332
Kelly CM900.000.0400.0337
BaileyRW7610.500.0810.0930
NoubleST900.080.010−0.0213
ForrestLW7610.390.2640.1243
LewisDF700.000.0500.0424
BoyesDF140.000.0000.0110
ShinnieFW140.020.0000.0100
SotoFW00.000.000––0

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0300.0970
MugabiRB9010.240.121−0.0925
Johansen CB900.000.0010.17613
LamieCB9010.240.0200.0429
CarrollLB670.000.0110.0334
CorneliusCM460.000.0100.0024
Slattery CM9010.030.0100.0553
GossCM900.000.7100.2594
ShieldsRW900.000.020−0.1140
van Veen ST900.390.000−0.0312
EffordLW670.000.0100.0010
O'HaraMF440.000.0100.0132
TierneyMF230.000.000−0.0101
WooleryFW230.000.1100.2740
OjalaDF00.000.0000.0000
DonnellyMF00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Mugabi: 3 passesJohansen and Shields: 3 passesCarroll and Slattery: 3 passesCarroll and van Veen: 3 passesGoss and van Veen: 3 passesKelly and Johansen: 4 passesJohansen and Slattery: 4 passesJohansen and Cornelius: 4 passesSlattery and Shields: 4 passesJohansen and Lamie: 5 passesSlattery and Cornelius: 5 passesLamie and Carroll: 6 passesLamie and Goss: 6 passesMugabi and Slattery: 7 passesKelly and Lamie: 8 passesMugabi and Shields: 9 passesSlattery and Goss: 9 passesMugabi and Cornelius: 10 passesCarroll and Goss: 11 passesKelly: 15 completed passesMugabi: 21 completed passesJohansen: 16 completed passesLamie: 18 completed passesCarroll: 11 completed passesSlattery: 19 completed passesGoss: 19 completed passesCornelius: 10 completed passesShields: 2 completed passesvan Veen: 5 completed passesEfford: 2 completed passes15214316271829920KellyMugabiJohansenLamieCarrollSlatteryGossCorneliusShieldsvan VeenEffordStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinNouble8
HoltLewis8
KellyHolt7
DevlinFitzwater6
ForrestPittman6

Motherwell

FromToPasses
LamieGoss14
MugabiShields9
KellyLamie9
LamieKelly9
GossSlattery8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

5−0.83−2.512−3.18+1.112+5.22−5.39+2.85−3.013+3.58+1.93−1.91−2.84−1.111+4.86+1.46+3.25+2.13−0.26+1.32−0.52+0.53+1.92+0.15+2.81−0.21+0.50−0.50−0.50−0.81−7.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Motherwell

4−0.510+3.815−1.06−0.510+4.37+0.54−2.19+3.512+4.27−0.95−0.74−0.76+2.74−1.14−3.15+0.31−2.65+2.30−3.37+2.54+0.23+1.510.01−1.41−2.310.00−0.61+0.21+0.31+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.020.010.020.010.060.010.020.06−0.010.020.020.020.030.040.03−0.040.090.01−0.110.15LessMore

Motherwell

0.020.050.040.050.030.040.020.010.030.010.030.040.010.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.01−0.15−0.020.010.280.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.15AttackLivingston1.01 → 1.02Motherwell1.00 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.20 → 1.22Motherwell1.35 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six44%–−44
11th1%1%0
Motherwell
Top six58%94%+36
11th1%<1%−1
Hibernian
Top six41%47%+6
Ross County
Top six19%21%+2
11th3%4%+1

From the forecast before the match (9 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonMotherwell
Expected goals1.370.97
Win45%26%
Expected Points1.651.07
Clean sheet38%25%

Livingston 45%Draw 29%Motherwell 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%5%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawMotherwell win
Livingston
Top six44%97%––
11th1%–1%3%
Motherwell
Top six58%11%94%>99%
11th1%2%<1%–
Hibernian
Top six41%36%47%45%
Ross County
Top six19%19%21%16%
11th3%3%4%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–12 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.73–0.99
  2. L0–219 MarHearts (A)xG 0.61–1.20
  3. L1–36 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.85–3.63
  4. W2–12 MarDundee United (H)xG 2.16–0.93
  5. W4–026 FebDundee FC (A)xG 2.72–0.49
  6. D1–119 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.29–0.13

Motherwell

  1. W4–22 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.76–1.67
  2. L1–219 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.24–0.37
  3. D1–15 MarDundee FC (H)xG 0.79–0.75
  4. L0–12 MarRoss County (H)xG 1.17–1.05
  5. D2–227 FebRangers (A)xG 1.39–3.26
  6. D1–119 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.62–1.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonMotherwell
Position8th5th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠7–⁠1510–⁠9–⁠13
Points37 (1.16 per game)39 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.141.11
Goals33–⁠4136–⁠48
xG per game0.95–⁠1.281.03–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game1.20, 1.10–⁠1.291.65, 1.07–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game1.12, 0.82–⁠1.270.73, 0.99–⁠1.52
ManagerDavid Martindale (55)Graham Alexander (50)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston1.01, 7thMotherwell1.00, 8thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.20, 7thMotherwell1.35, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston attack: 1.01Motherwell attack: 1.001.011.00MotherwellLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston defence: 1.20Motherwell defence: 1.351.351.20

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%−4%−19%+17%
Counter-attacks−19%+10%−13%+21%
Set pieces−3%+15%+13%+10%
Penalties−56%+56%−56%+33%
Headers−31%+20%+20%−9%
Left side+6%−11%+5%+29%
Centre−23%+3%−2%+7%
Right side−27%+12%−39%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side+6%+18%Centre−23%+7%Right side−27%+29%Open play−23%+17%Counter-attacks−19%+21%Set pieces−3%+10%Headers−31%−9%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side+5%+12%Centre−2%+3%Right side−39%−11%Open play−19%−4%Counter-attacks−13%+10%Set pieces+13%+15%Headers+20%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonMotherwell

0.95xG1.03
1.28xG against1.41
40%Possession42%
10.0Shots10.8
13.3Shots against13.5
3.3Shots on target3.6
1.1Big chances1.3
18.0Touches in the opposition box18.0
308Passes299
63%Pass accuracy60%
3.9Corners4.3
40%Field tilt39%
26.3Final-third entries27.2
8.6Box entries7.7
15.5Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.981.23
Ahead191.101.38
Behind300.821.29

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.921.37
Ahead211.031.24
Behind291.181.60

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.233–9
16–300.170.188–5
31–450.180.176–4
46–600.190.178–7
61–750.140.183–7
76–900.160.355–9

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.236–5
16–300.150.187–10
31–450.100.232–14
46–600.270.2810–5
61–750.210.205–6
76–900.170.306–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 32Devlin 27McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 30Obileye 28Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 19Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 17Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 32Kelly 1Omeonga 24Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 10Forrest 6Sibbald 6Anderson 20Shinnie 6Nouble 4Forrest 16Shinnie 5Montano 44-3-3 in 17 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (17), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 32O'Donnell 22Mugabi 10Johansen 19Mugabi 13Lamie 13Ojala 13McGinley 20Carroll 9Johansen 1Slattery 21Grimshaw 10Cornelius 6Donnelly 14Maguire 11Goss 18O'Hara 12Shaw 2Woolery 20Roberts 4Efford 2van Veen 19Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11Shields 6van Veen 44-3-3 in 29 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (29), 3-4-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2021Motherwell2–1LivingstonxG 0.92–0.43
21 August 2021Livingston1–2MotherwellxG 0.95–2.30
6 March 2021Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.80–1.14
31 October 2020Livingston0–2MotherwellxG 0.70–1.40
12 August 2020Motherwell2–2LivingstonxG 0.50–2.03

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Motherwell won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–11 and xG 1.05–1.38 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson201,5931140.370.10
Forrest242,139430.220.14
Nouble8680030.060.26
Montano6612010.190.07

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen232,079840.270.10
Shields11935220.210.08
Roberts7721200.190.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.