Saturday 20 August 2022, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 5,375
Motherwell van Veen 68' (pen)
Livingston Bahamboula sent off 77'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
Livingston
Goals
1
0
xG
1.43
0.27
Non-penalty xG
0.64
0.27
Expected Points
2.47
0.32
Motherwell 75%Draw 21%Livingston 4%
Most likely score 1–0, 36%. Final score 1–0, 36%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellLivingston
1.43 −0.09xG0.27 −0.70
0.64Non-penalty xG0.27
1.04 −0.64xG on target0.09 −1.54
13 −0.3Shots5 −4.3
2 −1.3Shots on target1 −3.0
2 −1.0Big chances0 −2.3
58% +9Possession42% +12
409 +29Passes299 +69
73% +3Pass accuracy63% 0
68% +9Field tilt32% −3
28 −13Final-third entries21 +1
7 −2.7Box entries4 −3.7
10.7 −3Passes per defensive action14.9 −2
2 −4.0Corners1 −1.3
16 +5Tackles18 +4
2 −7.7Interceptions6 −5.0
13 −7Clearances13 −18
1 −1.7Saves1 −2.7
15 +2Fouls16 +1
2 +1.3Offsides0 −0.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
68'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
68 min (72%) · Motherwell 1.05, Livingston 0.23 xG
Motherwell ahead
27 min (28%) · Motherwell 0.38, Livingston 0.04 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
54'Efford for Shields
54'Morris for Cornelius · yellow card 61'
83'Maguire for Spittal
Livingston substitutes
65'Bahamboula for Kelly · yellow card 74', second yellow 77'
69'Goncalves for Shinnie
81'Mullin for Holt
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
McGinn
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
4
Johansen
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
9
Lamie
CB
90
0.05
0.00
1
0.06
3
5
O'Donnell
LB
90
0.02
0.03
0
0.09
7
3
Slattery
CM
90
0.04
0.02
1
0.02
7
4
Goss
CM
90
0.24
0.04
1
0.05
1
3
Cornelius
CM
54
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
1
Shields
RW
54
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
1
van Veen
ST
90
1
0.84
0.04
2
0.01
3
0
Spittal
LW
83
0.05
0.08
3
0.22
6
0
Efford
FW
36
0.13
0.00
0
0.02
3
2
Morris
FW
36
0.05
0.05
2
−0.01
1
0
Maguire
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
7
0
Devlin
RB
90
0.17
0.04
0
0.08
2
3
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
2
8
Obileye
CB
90
0.02
0.00
0
0.02
1
10
Montano
LB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.07
7
5
Omeonga
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
4
Holt
CM
81
0.00
0.01
0
−0.02
1
3
Kelly
CM
65
0.06
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Shinnie
AM
69
0.00
0.14
0
−0.01
0
3
Pittman
AM
90
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
1
Nouble
ST
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.01
1
0
Bahamboula
FW
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
0
Goncalves
FW
21
0.02
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Mullin
MF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Kelly
Lamie
18
O'Donnell
Spittal
16
McGinn
Slattery
15
Slattery
McGinn
12
Lamie
Johansen
10
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Fitzwater
George
8
Obileye
Fitzwater
8
Holt
Obileye
8
Omeonga
Montano
6
Omeonga
Devlin
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Against its average of 3 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 3 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Motherwell
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
41%
50%
+9
11th
6%
5%
−1
Bottom
4%
2%
−2
Livingston
Top six
65%
57%
−8
11th
2%
3%
+1
Bottom
1%
2%
+1
From the forecast before the match (20 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
Livingston
Expected goals
1.25
1.09
Win
39%
31%
Expected Points
1.47
1.23
Clean sheet
34%
29%
Motherwell 39%Draw 29%Livingston 31%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
Livingston win
Motherwell
Top six
41%
50%
40%
32%
11th
6%
5%
6%
8%
Bottom
4%
2%
4%
6%
Livingston
Top six
65%
57%
65%
77%
11th
2%
3%
2%
2%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
<1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Motherwell
Livingston
Position
4th
5th
Played
3
3
Won, drawn, lost
2–0–1
2–0–1
Points
6 (2.00 per game)
6 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.32
1.21
Goals
5–4
4–3
xG per game
1.52–1.51
0.97–1.17
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 0.67–0.87
1.50, 1.01–1.50
Away: points, xG per game
3.00, 1.94–1.82
3.00, 0.90–0.51
Manager
Steven Hammell (3)
David Martindale (64)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−6%
+19%
−17%
−10%
Counter-attacks
+43%
+186%
−56%
−52%
Set pieces
+8%
+21%
−7%
+41%
Penalties
+55%
−34%
−72%
−25%
Headers
+7%
+31%
−20%
+41%
Left side
+32%
+18%
+9%
−14%
Centre
average
+39%
−45%
−6%
Right side
−38%
+4%
+8%
+32%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
MotherwellLivingston
1.52xG0.97
1.51xG against1.17
49%Possession30%
13.3Shots9.3
14.3Shots against18.0
3.3Shots on target4.0
3.0Big chances2.3
380Passes230
71%Pass accuracy63%
6.0Corners2.3
60%Field tilt35%
41.0Final-third entries20.3
9.7Box entries7.7
13.4Passes per defensive action17.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
33
1.72
2.69
Ahead
35
1.51
1.23
Behind
22
1.24
0.20
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
33
1.71
0.73
Ahead
52
0.60
1.46
Behind
5
0.00
1.07
xG by period
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.07
0.10
0–0
16–30
0.12
0.29
1–1
31–45
0.33
0.36
1–1
46–60
0.30
0.26
2–1
61–75
0.10
0.14
0–0
76–90
0.59
0.34
1–1
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.24
0.01
2–0
16–30
0.08
0.04
0–0
31–45
0.23
0.14
0–0
46–60
0.10
0.39
1–1
61–75
0.12
0.31
0–2
76–90
0.21
0.28
1–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Motherwell
Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)
Livingston
Formations: 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
6 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, Livingston won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 13–7 and xG 1.30–1.08 per game.
Key players
Motherwell
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
van Veen
27
2,548
11
4
0.32
0.09
Efford
11
1,033
2
1
0.23
0.06
Tierney
5
667
2
0
0.22
0.04
Shields
20
1,706
2
3
0.16
0.09
Livingston
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Anderson
20
1,622
11
4
0.36
0.10
Nouble
16
1,430
2
3
0.17
0.17
Montano
9
893
1
1
0.15
0.06
Shinnie
21
1,936
3
2
0.13
0.07
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.