Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 1–0 Livingston

Saturday 20 August 2022, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 5,375

Motherwell van Veen 68' (pen)

Livingston Bahamboula sent off 77'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellLivingston
Goals10
xG1.430.27
Non-penalty xG0.640.27
Expected Points2.470.32

Motherwell 75%Draw 21%Livingston 4%

Most likely score 1–0, 36%. Final score 1–0, 36%.

Livingston goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%2%11%1%23%7%7%2%1%36%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTBahamboula (Livingston), second yellow card 77'Morris on for Cornelius and Efford on for Shields, 54'Maguire on for Spittal, 83'Bahamboula on for Kelly, 65'Goncalves on for Shinnie, 69'Mullin on for Holt, 81'van Veen 68' (pen)Motherwell 1.43Livingston 0.2700.511.50153045607590HTBahamboula (Livingston), second yellow card 77'Morris on for Cornelius and Efford on for Shields, 54'Maguire on for Spittal, 83'Bahamboula on for Kelly, 65'Goncalves on for Shinnie, 69'Mullin on for Holt, 81'van Veen 68' (pen)1.430.27MotherwellLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellLivingston

1.43 −0.09xG0.27 −0.70
0.64Non-penalty xG0.27
1.04 −0.64xG on target0.09 −1.54
13 −0.3Shots5 −4.3
2 −1.3Shots on target1 −3.0
2 −1.0Big chances0 −2.3
58% +9Possession42% +12
409 +29Passes299 +69
73% +3Pass accuracy63% 0
68% +9Field tilt32% −3
28 −13Final-third entries21 +1
7 −2.7Box entries4 −3.7
10.7 −3Passes per defensive action14.9 −2
2 −4.0Corners1 −1.3
16 +5Tackles18 +4
2 −7.7Interceptions6 −5.0
13 −7Clearances13 −18
1 −1.7Saves1 −2.7
15 +2Fouls16 +1
2 +1.3Offsides0 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Goss 90+5', 0.16 xGEfford 71', 0.09 xGLamie 21', 0.05 xGvan Veen 55', 0.05 xGMorris 90+5', 0.05 xGSlattery 36', 0.04 xGEfford 66', 0.04 xGGoss 67', 0.04 xGGoss 90+5', 0.04 xGSpittal 71', 0.03 xGSpittal 28', 0.02 xGO'Donnell 60', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals68%0.44 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals26%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Devlin 53', 0.11 xGDevlin 5', 0.06 xGKelly 38', 0.06 xGGoncalves 87', 0.02 xGObileye 88', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals41%0.11 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals22%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals11%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals26%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellLivingston

0.46 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.08 2 shots, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.19 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
68 min (72%) · Motherwell 1.05, Livingston 0.23 xG
Motherwell ahead
27 min (28%) · Motherwell 0.38, Livingston 0.04 xG

Line-ups

1161542827182997KellyMcGinnJohansenLamieO'DonnellSlatteryGossCorneliusShieldsvan VeenSpittalGoal54'54'83'Motherwell 4-3-3Steven Hammell12561133182422819GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterObileyeMontanoOmeongaHoltKellyShinniePittmanNouble81'65'69'Livingston 4-3-2-1David Martindale

Motherwell substitutes

  • 54' Efford for Shields
  • 54' Morris for Cornelius · yellow card 61'
  • 83' Maguire for Spittal

Livingston substitutes

  • 65' Bahamboula for Kelly · yellow card 74', second yellow 77'
  • 69' Goncalves for Shinnie
  • 81' Mullin for Holt

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0210
McGinnRB900.000.0100.0444
JohansenCB900.000.0000.0119
LamieCB900.050.0010.0635
O'DonnellLB900.020.0300.0973
SlatteryCM900.040.0210.0274
GossCM900.240.0410.0513
CorneliusCM540.000.000−0.0111
ShieldsRW540.000.0000.0011
van VeenST9010.840.0420.0130
SpittalLW830.050.0830.2260
EffordFW360.130.0000.0232
Morris FW360.050.052−0.0110
MaguireMF70.000.0000.0000

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0670
DevlinRB900.170.0400.0823
FitzwaterCB900.000.0010.0228
ObileyeCB900.020.0000.02110
MontanoLB900.000.0210.0775
OmeongaCM900.000.0100.0124
HoltCM810.000.010−0.0213
KellyCM650.060.0000.0101
ShinnieAM690.000.140−0.0103
PittmanAM900.000.000−0.0201
NoubleST900.000.0110.0110
Bahamboula FW120.000.0000.0120
GoncalvesFW210.020.000−0.0200
MullinMF90.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Slattery: 4 passesMcGinn and Spittal: 4 passesSlattery and van Veen: 4 passesGoss and Cornelius: 4 passesvan Veen and Spittal: 4 passesJohansen and Slattery: 5 passesJohansen and Goss: 5 passesO'Donnell and Cornelius: 5 passesSlattery and Goss: 5 passesSlattery and Spittal: 5 passesMcGinn and Goss: 6 passesMcGinn and van Veen: 6 passesLamie and Cornelius: 8 passesO'Donnell and Goss: 8 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 9 passesLamie and Goss: 9 passesMcGinn and Johansen: 10 passesLamie and O'Donnell: 10 passesGoss and Spittal: 10 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 11 passesMcGinn and Shields: 12 passesKelly and Johansen: 13 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 19 passesJohansen and Lamie: 19 passesKelly and Lamie: 21 passesKelly: 31 completed passesMcGinn: 34 completed passesJohansen: 31 completed passesLamie: 36 completed passesO'Donnell: 27 completed passesSlattery: 20 completed passesGoss: 25 completed passesCornelius: 10 completed passesShields: 7 completed passesvan Veen: 9 completed passesSpittal: 17 completed passes1161542827182997KellyMcGinnJohansenLamieO'DonnellSlatteryGossCorneliusShieldsvan VeenSpittalStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

Obileye and Montano: 3 passesObileye and Omeonga: 3 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 3 passesMontano and Nouble: 3 passesOmeonga and Holt: 3 passesOmeonga and Kelly: 3 passesOmeonga and Pittman: 3 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 3 passesHolt and Kelly: 3 passesHolt and Pittman: 3 passesGeorge and Omeonga: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesMontano and Omeonga: 4 passesMontano and Holt: 4 passesFitzwater and Holt: 5 passesGeorge and Obileye: 6 passesGeorge and Montano: 6 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 6 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 6 passesMontano and Pittman: 6 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 7 passesMontano and Kelly: 7 passesObileye and Holt: 10 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 12 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 13 passesGeorge: 24 completed passesDevlin: 17 completed passesObileye: 19 completed passesFitzwater: 21 completed passesMontano: 21 completed passesOmeonga: 17 completed passesHolt: 19 completed passesKelly: 8 completed passesPittman: 5 completed passesShinnie: 7 completed passesNouble: 3 completed passes12651133182482219GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterMontanoOmeongaHoltKellyPittmanShinnieNoubleStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
KellyLamie18
O'DonnellSpittal16
McGinnSlattery15
SlatteryMcGinn12
LamieJohansen10

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterGeorge8
ObileyeFitzwater8
HoltObileye8
OmeongaMontano6
OmeongaDevlin6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

3−1.73−1.34−2.73−4.37+2.03−3.09+5.04−2.02−3.72−7.34−1.32−1.37+0.36−1.77+3.76+2.71−1.01−3.08+3.34+0.30−1.31+0.33+0.76+2.010.01+0.70−2.30−0.32−0.38−9.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Livingston

4−3.06−2.32−6.713+8.39+2.37+0.72−8.04−3.77−1.06−0.79+4.02−0.31−3.711+5.72−2.71−3.01+0.74+1.77+4.01−0.710.02+1.02+1.03+1.71−0.700.01+0.31+1.000.05−12.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.040.010.040.010.020.030.030.040.030.010.020.02−0.040.020.06−0.01−0.020.010.19LessMore

Livingston

0.020.030.010.010.020.01−0.010.010.030.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.010.070.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackMotherwell1.02 → 1.04Livingston1.06 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34 → 1.29Livingston1.22 → 1.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six41%50%+9
11th6%5%−1
Bottom4%2%−2
Livingston
Top six65%57%−8
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%2%+1

From the forecast before the match (20 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellLivingston
Expected goals1.251.09
Win39%31%
Expected Points1.471.23
Clean sheet34%29%

Motherwell 39%Draw 29%Livingston 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Livingston goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+10%6%2%7%3%8%8%4%2%3%3%2%1%1%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawLivingston win
Motherwell
Top six41%50%40%32%
11th6%5%6%8%
Bottom4%2%4%6%
Livingston
Top six65%57%65%77%
11th2%3%2%2%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. W3–213 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.72–1.27
  2. L1–26 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.67–0.87
  3. W1–031 JulSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.16–2.38
  4. L0–614 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.90–2.32
  5. W2–111 MayHearts (H)xG 1.42–1.31
  6. W1–07 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.22–0.72

Livingston

  1. W2–113 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.45–1.86
  2. W1–07 AugDundee United (A)xG 0.90–0.51
  3. L1–230 JulRangers (H)xG 0.57–1.15
  4. W2–115 MayDundee FC (H)xG 1.48–1.58
  5. D0–011 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.85–0.64
  6. D1–17 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.25–1.21

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellLivingston
Position4th5th
Played33
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠12–⁠0–⁠1
Points6 (2.00 per game)6 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.321.21
Goals5–⁠44–⁠3
xG per game1.52–⁠1.510.97–⁠1.17
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.67–⁠0.871.50, 1.01–⁠1.50
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.94–⁠1.823.00, 0.90–⁠0.51
ManagerSteven Hammell (3)David Martindale (64)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackMotherwell1.02, 7thLivingston1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34, 9thLivingston1.22, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugMotherwell attack: 1.02Livingston attack: 1.061.061.02LivingstonMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugMotherwell defence: 1.34Livingston defence: 1.221.341.22

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−6%+19%−17%−10%
Counter-attacks+43%+186%−56%−52%
Set pieces+8%+21%−7%+41%
Penalties+55%−34%−72%−25%
Headers+7%+31%−20%+41%
Left side+32%+18%+9%−14%
Centreaverage+39%−45%−6%
Right side−38%+4%+8%+32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side+32%+32%Centreaverage−6%Right side−38%−14%Open play−6%−10%Counter-attacks+43%−52%Set pieces+8%+41%Headers+7%+41%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side+9%+4%Centre−45%+39%Right side+8%+18%Open play−17%+19%Counter-attacks−56%+186%Set pieces−7%+21%Headers−20%+31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellLivingston

1.52xG0.97
1.51xG against1.17
49%Possession30%
13.3Shots9.3
14.3Shots against18.0
3.3Shots on target4.0
3.0Big chances2.3
380Passes230
71%Pass accuracy63%
6.0Corners2.3
60%Field tilt35%
41.0Final-third entries20.3
9.7Box entries7.7
13.4Passes per defensive action17.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.722.69
Ahead351.511.23
Behind221.240.20

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.710.73
Ahead520.601.46
Behind50.001.07

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.100–0
16–300.120.291–1
31–450.330.361–1
46–600.300.262–1
61–750.100.140–0
76–900.590.341–1

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.012–0
16–300.080.040–0
31–450.230.140–0
46–600.100.391–1
61–750.120.310–2
76–900.210.281–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTKelly 3McGinn 3Mugabi 2Johansen 3Lamie 1O'Donnell 2Carroll 1Spittal 1Slattery 1Morris 1Goss 2Maguire 1Spittal 1Cornelius 1Morris 1Shields 1Goss 1Spittal 1van Veen 3Shields 2Maguire 14-4-2 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 3Devlin 3Fitzwater 3Obileye 3Montano 2Cancar 1Omeonga 2Holt 3Kelly 3Pittman 1Shinnie 3Omeonga 1Pittman 2Nouble 34-3-2-1 in 1 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 April 2022Livingston2–2MotherwellxG 1.21–0.90
26 December 2021Motherwell2–1LivingstonxG 0.92–0.43
21 August 2021Livingston1–2MotherwellxG 0.95–2.30
6 March 2021Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.80–1.14
31 October 2020Livingston0–2MotherwellxG 0.70–1.40
12 August 2020Motherwell2–2LivingstonxG 0.50–2.03

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, Livingston won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 13–7 and xG 1.30–1.08 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen272,5481140.320.09
Efford111,033210.230.06
Tierney5667200.220.04
Shields201,706230.160.09

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson201,6221140.360.10
Nouble161,430230.170.17
Montano9893110.150.06
Shinnie211,936320.130.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.