Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 1–1 Motherwell

Monday 2 January 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 20 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 2,163

Livingston Boyes 39'

Motherwell van Veen 42'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonMotherwell
Goals11
xG2.401.82
Non-penalty xG0.821.82
Expected Points1.810.94

Livingston 52%Draw 25%Motherwell 23%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 1–1, 5%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+2%5%5%3%1%5%7%2%4%9%9%6%2%1%3%3%2%12%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBradley on for Montano, 46'Omeonga on for Bahamboula, 59'Goncalves on for Anderson, 89'McKinstry on for Shields, 77'Boyes 39'van Veen 42'Livingston 2.40Motherwell 1.8201230153045607590HTBradley on for Montano, 46'Omeonga on for Bahamboula, 59'Goncalves on for Anderson, 89'McKinstry on for Shields, 77'Boyes 39'van Veen 42'2.401.82LivingstonMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonMotherwell

2.40 +1.33xG1.82 +0.53
0.82Non-penalty xG1.82
2.94 +1.83xG on target1.29 +0.13
11 +1.5Shots16 +3.8
6 +2.8Shots on target5 +1.7
3 +1.4Big chances3 +1.2
18 −1Touches in the opposition box22 +5
46% +8Possession54% +6
328 +57Passes369 +10
60% −2Pass accuracy63% −5
35% −3Field tilt65% +16
27 +2Final-third entries34 0
8 +0.2Box entries11 +2.5
16.1 −1Passes per defensive action12.4 0
5 +1.3Corners4 −1.5
13 0Tackles17 +2
9 −2Interceptions6 −4
36 +10Clearances23 +7
4 +0.9Saves5 +2.6
8 −5Fouls15 +1
2 +0.8Offsides5 +3.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Devlin 14', 0.21 xGStephen Kelly 57', 0.17 xGMontano 12', 0.10 xGStephen Kelly 25', 0.03 xGStephen Kelly 27', 0.03 xGSean Kelly 80', 0.03 xGBradley 46', 0.02 xGAnderson 71', 0.02 xGBoyes 39', 0.21 xG, goal26%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals59%0.48 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.48 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Johansen 45+6', 0.46 xGvan Veen 48', 0.29 xGvan Veen 22', 0.15 xGGoss 42', 0.15 xGvan Veen 32', 0.11 xGvan Veen 58', 0.10 xGShields 62', 0.08 xGGoss 48', 0.05 xGvan Veen 76', 0.05 xGCornelius 11', 0.04 xGShields 51', 0.04 xGShields 23', 0.03 xGSlattery 35', 0.02 xGPenney 12', 0.01 xGGoss 48', 0.01 xGvan Veen 42', 0.22 xG, goal13%0.23 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals73%1.33 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.33 xG, 1 goal7%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals6%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonMotherwell

0.37 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.79 11 shots, 0 goals
0.45 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces1.03 5 shots, 1 goal
1.58 2 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
93 min (97%) · Livingston 2.40, Motherwell 1.59 xG
Livingston ahead
3 min (3%) · Livingston 0.00, Motherwell 0.22 xG

Line-ups

12615112224177929GeorgeDevlinObileyeBoyesMontanoShinnieSean KellyStephen KellyBahamboulaAndersonPenriceGoalYellow cardYellow card46'59'89'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale11615424182782997KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneyCorneliusGossSlatteryShieldsvan VeenSpittalYellow cardYellow cardGoal77'Motherwell 4-3-3Steven Hammell

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Bradley for Montano
  • 59' Omeonga for Bahamboula · yellow card 70'
  • 89' Goncalves for Anderson

Motherwell substitutes

  • 77' McKinstry for Shields

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0332
DevlinRB901.780.3620.55106
ObileyeCB900.000.0100.0658
BoyesCB9010.210.0000.0449
Montano LB460.100.0000.0134
ShinnieCM900.000.0700.0616
Sean Kelly CM900.030.0900.0223
Stephen KellyCM9010.230.1310.0335
BahamboulaRW590.000.0210.0215
AndersonST890.020.0500.0030
PenriceLW900.000.010−0.1528
BradleyMF440.020.0610.1261
Omeonga MF310.000.0100.0114
GoncalvesFW10.000.000––0

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0131
McGinnRB900.000.0900.1675
JohansenCB900.460.0100.0428
LamieCB900.000.0410.0545
PenneyLB900.010.0310.0466
CorneliusCM900.040.0410.0562
Goss CM900.220.2610.15107
Slattery CM900.020.0300.0548
ShieldsRW770.140.312−0.0232
van VeenST9010.920.0110.1202
SpittalLW900.000.3920.1132
McKinstryFW130.000.0100.0320

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

George and Boyes: 3 passesObileye and Shinnie: 3 passesBoyes and Sean Kelly: 3 passesStephen Kelly and Bahamboula: 3 passesAnderson and Penrice: 3 passesBoyes and Montano: 4 passesMontano and Sean Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Obileye: 5 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 5 passesDevlin and Bahamboula: 5 passesBoyes and Shinnie: 5 passesGeorge and Devlin: 6 passesGeorge and Obileye: 6 passesGeorge and Montano: 6 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 7 passesGeorge: 14 completed passesDevlin: 19 completed passesObileye: 10 completed passesBoyes: 10 completed passesMontano: 13 completed passesSean Kelly: 12 completed passesStephen Kelly: 5 completed passesShinnie: 10 completed passesBahamboula: 6 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passesPenrice: 3 completed passes12615112417227929GeorgeDevlinObileyeBoyesMontanoSean KellyStephen KellyShinnieBahamboulaAndersonPenriceStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and Cornelius: 3 passesLamie and Slattery: 3 passesLamie and Spittal: 3 passesSlattery and Goss: 3 passesGoss and Cornelius: 3 passesGoss and Shields: 3 passesShields and van Veen: 3 passesShields and Spittal: 3 passesMcGinn and Shields: 4 passesvan Veen and Spittal: 4 passesKelly and Spittal: 5 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 5 passesMcGinn and van Veen: 5 passesLamie and Penney: 5 passesJohansen and Goss: 6 passesMcGinn and Johansen: 7 passesMcGinn and Spittal: 7 passesCornelius and Shields: 7 passesGoss and Spittal: 9 passesKelly and McGinn: 10 passesMcGinn and Goss: 10 passesPenney and Spittal: 10 passesPenney and Slattery: 11 passesPenney and Goss: 11 passesSlattery and Spittal: 11 passesMcGinn and Cornelius: 23 passesKelly: 16 completed passesMcGinn: 45 completed passesJohansen: 12 completed passesLamie: 16 completed passesPenney: 23 completed passesSlattery: 14 completed passesGoss: 24 completed passesCornelius: 18 completed passesShields: 8 completed passesvan Veen: 5 completed passesSpittal: 22 completed passes11615424827182997KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneySlatteryGossCorneliusShieldsvan VeenSpittalStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinBradley8
DevlinShinnie7
Sean KellyDevlin6
ObileyeDevlin5
PenriceStephen Kelly5

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinnCornelius18
CorneliusMcGinn12
PenneySlattery9
SlatterySpittal8
SpittalGoss7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.610+1.417+1.311+2.84−0.96−1.78+1.83−1.910+3.413+4.711+5.710+5.53+0.33−1.15−2.13−0.66+3.22−0.42−0.74+0.22−0.21−0.60−0.93+1.93+0.710.00−0.20−0.60−0.40−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 18 matches

Motherwell

6+0.710+4.99−3.64−3.05−0.36−0.19+3.03−2.811+4.012+4.75−1.54−1.830.06+0.23−3.73−2.23−1.34+0.53−0.69+3.71−2.10−1.52+1.14+2.12−1.31−0.10−0.60−0.93+2.60−1.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 18 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.030.040.03−0.010.020.010.010.010.010.030.030.030.010.030.01−0.010.01−0.06−0.020.57LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.030.040.010.040.030.050.020.070.020.150.010.02−0.010.07−0.05−0.05−0.010.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.06Motherwell1.06 → 1.06Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.33 → 1.31Motherwell1.34 → 1.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six60%59%−1
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0
Motherwell
Top six20%19%−1
11th10%10%0
Bottom4%3%−1
Hibernian
Top six53%53%0

From the forecast before the match (2 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonMotherwell
Expected goals1.371.02
Win44%27%
Expected Points1.611.10
Clean sheet36%25%

Livingston 44%Draw 28%Motherwell 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%9%9%4%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawMotherwell win
Livingston
Top six60%70%59%46%
11th3%1%3%5%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Motherwell
Top six20%13%19%33%
11th10%12%10%6%
Bottom4%5%3%2%
Hibernian
Top six53%51%53%55%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D1–128 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.59–1.36
  2. L0–424 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.06–2.06
  3. L1–221 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.28–1.96
  4. D1–112 NovHearts (A)xG 1.84–2.95
  5. W2–18 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.29–3.34
  6. W3–24 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.68–1.04

Motherwell

  1. L0–328 DecRangers (A)xG 0.41–2.55
  2. D2–223 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.33–0.34
  3. D1–112 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.93–1.38
  4. L1–29 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.47–1.43
  5. L2–36 NovHearts (A)xG 2.25–2.61
  6. W1–029 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.92–0.75

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonMotherwell
Position7th10th
Played1818
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠3–⁠85–⁠3–⁠10
Points24 (1.33 per game)18 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.141.31
Goals17–⁠2722–⁠27
xG per game1.07–⁠1.571.29–⁠1.37
Home: points, xG per game1.78, 1.11–⁠1.330.62, 1.36–⁠0.93
Away: points, xG per game0.89, 1.04–⁠1.821.30, 1.24–⁠1.71
ManagerDavid Martindale (79)Steven Hammell (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackLivingston1.05, 7thMotherwell1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.33, 7thMotherwell1.34, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston attack: 1.05Motherwell attack: 1.061.061.05MotherwellLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston defence: 1.33Motherwell defence: 1.341.341.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−41%+14%−10%+23%
Counter-attacks−100%−71%+94%+22%
Set pieces+19%+31%−12%−12%
Penalties+56%+56%+30%−74%
Headers−30%+51%−25%+26%
Left side−12%−5%+1%average
Centre−34%+9%−14%+36%
Right side−39%+45%−1%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side−12%−1%Centre−34%+36%Right side−39%averageOpen play−41%+23%Counter-attacks−100%+22%Set pieces+19%−12%Headers−30%+26%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side+1%+45%Centre−14%+9%Right side−1%−5%Open play−10%+14%Counter-attacks+94%−71%Set pieces−12%+31%Headers−25%+51%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonMotherwell

1.07xG1.29
1.57xG against1.37
38%Possession48%
9.5Shots12.2
15.5Shots against12.1
3.2Shots on target3.3
1.6Big chances1.8
18.8Touches in the opposition box17.0
271Passes359
62%Pass accuracy69%
3.7Corners5.5
38%Field tilt50%
25.1Final-third entries34.4
7.8Box entries8.5
16.8Passes per defensive action12.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.041.27
Ahead310.941.59
Behind211.342.09

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.381.75
Ahead201.210.94
Behind301.231.15

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.154–2
16–300.150.093–1
31–450.160.343–6
46–600.120.273–5
61–750.170.292–8
76–900.310.442–5

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.261–4
16–300.170.254–3
31–450.230.253–3
46–600.220.187–4
61–750.290.162–8
76–900.300.265–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 13Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 18Obileye 17Fitzwater 11Sean Kelly 6Boyes 1Montano 13Pittman 1Holt 1Pittman 10Omeonga 7Stephen Kelly 3Holt 14Bahamboula 4Sean Kelly 11Shinnie 3Goncalves 1Shinnie 7Bahamboula 4Stephen Kelly 4Pittman 5Nouble 5Penrice 3Nouble 10Anderson 4Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 5 of 18 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTKelly 18McGinn 14O'Donnell 4Johansen 15Mugabi 3McGinn 2Lamie 16Penney 13O'Donnell 4Carroll 1Slattery 10Maguire 4Spittal 1Goss 14Cornelius 5Tierney 1Shields 7Spittal 4McKinstry 2Spittal 4Goss 3Slattery 3Spittal 8McKinstry 6Shields 2van Veen 14Shields 2Moult 14-2-3-1 in 10 of 18 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-3-3 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 August 2022Motherwell1–0LivingstonxG 1.43–0.27
9 April 2022Livingston2–2MotherwellxG 1.21–0.90
26 December 2021Motherwell2–1LivingstonxG 0.92–0.43
21 August 2021Livingston1–2MotherwellxG 0.95–2.30
6 March 2021Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.80–1.14
31 October 2020Livingston0–2MotherwellxG 0.70–1.40

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Motherwell won 5, and 2 were drawn. Goals 7–14 and xG 0.96–1.32 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sean Kelly171,414220.230.13
Anderson5495200.260.03
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Montano141,108410.140.10

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen171,472800.580.08
Tierney4468100.220.12
McKinstry8744210.110.20
Spittal171,269330.120.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.