Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 0–3 Rangers

Saturday 18 February 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 26 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 8,752

Livingston Omeonga sent off 77'

Rangers Tavernier 24' (pen), 78', Roofe 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRangers
Goals03
xG0.842.96
Non-penalty xG0.842.17
Expected Points0.172.73

Livingston 2%Draw 10%Rangers 88%

Most likely score 1–3, 17%. Final score 0–3, 10%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%8%10%7%3%5%11%4%1%1%4%4%3%1%14%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTOmeonga (Livingston), second yellow card 77'Holt on for Bradley, 52'Shinnie on for Sean Kelly, 55'Montano on for Penrice and Guthrie on for Stephen Kelly, 70'Roofe on for Sakala, 69'Colak on for Morelos, 79'Sands on for Raskin, 87'Wright on for Kamara and Rice on for Kent, 88'Tavernier 24' (pen)Tavernier 78'Roofe 85'Rangers 2.96Livingston 0.84012340153045607590HTOmeonga (Livingston), second yellow card 77'Holt on for Bradley, 52'Shinnie on for Sean Kelly, 55'Montano on for Penrice and Guthrie on for Stephen Kelly, 70'Roofe on for Sakala, 69'Colak on for Morelos, 79'Sands on for Raskin, 87'Wright on for Kamara and Rice on for Kent, 88'Tavernier 24' (pen)Tavernier 78'Roofe 85'2.960.84LivingstonRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRangers

0.84 −0.25xG2.96 +0.91
0.84Non-penalty xG2.17
0.15 −1.08xG on target3.56 +1.44
6 −3.5Shots13 −6.3
1 −2.5Shots on target8 +1.0
2 +0.5Big chances3 −0.2
12 −6Touches in the opposition box27 −13
35% −4Possession65% −2
298 +20Passes568 −22
70% +9Pass accuracy85% 0
23% −15Field tilt77% −4
22 −3Final-third entries59 −10
5 −3.0Box entries12 −10.2
22.4 +6.2Passes per defensive action15.0 +5.4
2 −1.6Corners9 +1.7
16 +2Tackles13 −2
5 −5.5Interceptions0 −7.4
24 −2Clearances10 −1
5 +1.9Saves1 −0.3
15 +3Fouls8 −3
0 −1.2Offsides4 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Penrice 27', 0.57 xGStephen Kelly 65', 0.12 xGBradley 20', 0.04 xGGuthrie 74', 0.04 xGSean Kelly 17', 0.03 xGStephen Kelly 60', 0.03 xG14%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals73%0.61 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.61 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals13%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Kent 66', 0.45 xGSakala 49', 0.22 xGDavies 85', 0.22 xGRoofe 85', 0.14 xGRoofe 69', 0.12 xGSakala 60', 0.09 xGCantwell 87', 0.07 xGMorelos 45+4', 0.05 xGTavernier 19', 0.03 xGTavernier 6', 0.01 xGRoofe 85', 0.72 xG, goalTavernier 78', 0.05 xG, goal43%0.94 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.94 xG, 1 goal27%0.59 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals16%0.34 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals13%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRangers

0.23 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.00 7 shots, 0 goals
0.61 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.17 5 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (26%) · Livingston 0.07, Rangers 0.83 xG
Rangers ahead
70 min (74%) · Livingston 0.76, Rangers 2.12 xG

Line-ups

12562933248161719GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceOmeongaSean KellyPittmanBradleyStephen KellyNoubleYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card70'55'52'70'Livingston 4-3-2-1David Martindale1262631431830131420McGregorTavernierGoldsonDaviesBarisicRaskinKamaraSakalaCantwellKentMorelosGoalGoalYellow card87'88'69'88'79'Rangers 4-2-3-1Michael Beale

Livingston substitutes

  • 52' Holt for Bradley · yellow card 84'
  • 55' Shinnie for Sean Kelly
  • 70' Montano for Penrice
  • 70' Guthrie for Stephen Kelly

Rangers substitutes

  • 69' Roofe for Sakala · goal 85'
  • 79' Colak for Morelos
  • 87' Sands for Raskin
  • 88' Rice for Kent
  • 88' Wright for Kamara

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0581
DevlinRB900.000.1710.3855
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0235
ObileyeCB900.000.1610.1929
PenriceLB700.570.0000.0654
Omeonga CM770.000.0100.0114
Sean KellyCM550.030.0100.0132
PittmanCM900.000.021−0.0330
BradleyAM520.040.0000.0334
Stephen Kelly AM700.150.0510.0332
NoubleST900.000.0900.1004
Holt MF380.000.0000.0013
ShinnieFW350.000.0200.0001
MontanoFW200.000.0410.0822
GuthrieFW200.040.000−0.0601

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0110
Tavernier RB9020.880.2410.0983
GoldsonCB900.000.0300.1265
DaviesCB900.220.031−0.0846
BarisicLB900.000.1810.09121
RaskinDM870.000.0200.08111
KamaraDM880.000.4500.2681
SakalaRW690.310.0810.0941
CantwellAM900.070.2430.11116
KentLW880.450.0500.1041
MorelosST790.050.1200.0410
RoofeFW2110.980.0000.0100
ColakFW110.000.0000.0100
SandsMF30.000.000−0.0100
RiceMF20.000.0000.0100
WrightFW20.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

George and Devlin: 3 passesFitzwater and Sean Kelly: 3 passesPenrice and Nouble: 3 passesPittman and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesPittman and Nouble: 3 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 4 passesPenrice and Sean Kelly: 4 passesOmeonga and Sean Kelly: 4 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 5 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 5 passesBradley and Nouble: 5 passesGeorge and Penrice: 6 passesGeorge and Bradley: 6 passesObileye and Sean Kelly: 6 passesOmeonga and Bradley: 6 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 8 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 9 passesPenrice and Stephen Kelly: 9 passesObileye and Penrice: 11 passesGeorge and Obileye: 13 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 13 passesGeorge: 25 completed passesDevlin: 15 completed passesObileye: 23 completed passesFitzwater: 22 completed passesPenrice: 22 completed passesOmeonga: 14 completed passesSean Kelly: 16 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesStephen Kelly: 10 completed passesBradley: 5 completed passesNouble: 7 completed passes12652933248171619GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterPenriceOmeongaSean KellyPittmanStephen KellyBradleyNoubleStarters until 52' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Goldson and Kamara: 7 passesKamara and Morelos: 7 passesTavernier and Raskin: 8 passesTavernier and Sakala: 8 passesSakala and Morelos: 8 passesCantwell and Morelos: 8 passesKent and Morelos: 8 passesTavernier and Goldson: 9 passesBarisic and Raskin: 9 passesDavies and Kamara: 11 passesBarisic and Morelos: 11 passesRaskin and Cantwell: 11 passesRaskin and Kent: 11 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 12 passesDavies and Raskin: 12 passesGoldson and Cantwell: 12 passesKamara and Cantwell: 12 passesRaskin and Kamara: 13 passesSakala and Cantwell: 14 passesTavernier and Cantwell: 15 passesDavies and Goldson: 15 passesKamara and Kent: 16 passesGoldson and Raskin: 18 passesBarisic and Kamara: 18 passesBarisic and Kent: 20 passesDavies and Barisic: 23 passesMcGregor: 19 completed passesTavernier: 31 completed passesDavies: 40 completed passesGoldson: 43 completed passesBarisic: 50 completed passesRaskin: 50 completed passesKamara: 46 completed passesSakala: 18 completed passesCantwell: 40 completed passesKent: 32 completed passesMorelos: 24 completed passes1226631431830131420McGregorTavernierDaviesGoldsonBarisicRaskinKamaraSakalaCantwellKentMorelosStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterGeorge13
PenriceStephen Kelly9
GeorgeObileye8
ObileyeGeorge7
GeorgeBradley6

Rangers

FromToPasses
BarisicDavies16
BarisicKent15
RaskinGoldson13
KamaraBarisic12
DaviesBarisic12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

6+0.620+5.110+1.47+2.58+0.49+3.09+4.08+0.64−4.56+0.14−0.52−0.56+2.23−1.31−2.11−1.34+1.05+0.83+0.76+4.510.02+0.61−1.51−0.30−0.30−0.50−0.30−0.51−7.21−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Rangers

5+1.46+2.65−2.25+0.340.06+0.14−1.27+3.38+2.27+0.86+0.33−1.33−0.16−0.68+2.66+1.42−1.84−0.74+0.12−0.61−0.82−0.20−3.02+1.10−0.80−0.70−0.50−0.63−3.40−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.030.030.020.030.010.030.030.04−0.010.020.040.07−0.010.11−0.060.030.180.140.15LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.030.040.050.080.030.040.050.070.100.060.030.070.09−0.03−0.010.05−0.02−0.130.050.030.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackLivingston1.06 → 1.04Rangers2.13 → 2.16Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.32 → 1.36Rangers0.67 → 0.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six92%90%−2
Rangers
Title5%6%+1
Ross County
11th26%26%0
Bottom42%41%−1
Celtic
Title95%94%−1

From the forecast before the match (18 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRangers
Expected goals0.692.04
Win11%69%
Expected Points0.542.26
Clean sheet13%50%

Livingston 11%Draw 20%Rangers 69%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%9%5%2%4%10%9%6%3%1%2%3%3%2%1%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRangers win
Livingston
Top six92%98%94%90%
Rangers
Title5%2%3%6%
Ross County
11th26%22%26%26%
Bottom42%45%42%41%
Celtic
Title95%98%97%94%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W3–14 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–1.12
  2. L0–31 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.35–1.51
  3. D0–029 JanHearts (H)xG 0.34–1.63
  4. W4–214 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.46–1.86
  5. W2–07 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.90–0.86
  6. D1–12 JanMotherwell (H)xG 2.40–1.82

Rangers

  1. W2–14 FebRoss County (H)xG 2.15–1.01
  2. W3–01 FebHearts (A)xG 3.07–0.86
  3. W2–028 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.29–0.23
  4. W3–218 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 1.49–0.79
  5. W2–08 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.60–0.46
  6. D2–22 JanCeltic (H)xG 2.00–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRangers
Position4th2nd
Played2425
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠5–⁠919–⁠4–⁠2
Points35 (1.46 per game)61 (2.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.132.29
Goals27–⁠3458–⁠23
xG per game1.09–⁠1.552.05–⁠0.62
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.18–⁠1.382.69, 2.44–⁠0.53
Away: points, xG per game1.17, 1.00–⁠1.722.17, 1.63–⁠0.73
ManagerDavid Martindale (85)Michael Beale (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackLivingston1.06, 6thRangers2.13, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.32, 6thRangers0.67, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston attack: 1.06Rangers attack: 2.132.131.06RangersLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston defence: 1.32Rangers defence: 0.671.320.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+18%+82%−48%
Counter-attacks−94%average−19%−72%
Set pieces+14%+23%+19%−32%
Penalties+71%+28%+23%−100%
Headers−29%+30%+62%−42%
Left side−12%+1%+56%−46%
Centre−31%+13%+55%−42%
Right side−37%+45%+79%−51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−12%−51%Centre−31%−42%Right side−37%−46%Open play−38%−48%Counter-attacks−94%−72%Set pieces+14%−32%Headers−29%−42%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+56%+45%Centre+55%+13%Right side+79%+1%Open play+82%+18%Counter-attacks−19%averageSet pieces+19%+23%Headers+62%+30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRangers

1.09xG2.05
1.55xG against0.62
39%Possession67%
9.5Shots19.3
14.7Shots against7.5
3.5Shots on target7.0
1.5Big chances3.2
18.2Touches in the opposition box39.8
278Passes590
61%Pass accuracy85%
3.6Corners7.3
38%Field tilt81%
24.9Final-third entries68.8
8.0Box entries22.2
16.2Passes per defensive action9.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.121.30
Ahead310.981.57
Behind181.222.06

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level282.410.69
Ahead432.040.56
Behind191.530.66

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.138–2
16–300.170.104–2
31–450.190.345–9
46–600.110.343–6
61–750.140.294–10
76–900.240.353–5

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.118–6
16–300.280.105–2
31–450.320.088–4
46–600.410.1013–4
61–750.270.0712–2
76–900.440.1512–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 19Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 22Bahamboula 2Obileye 18Fitzwater 16Boyes 7Sean Kelly 6Montano 15Penrice 4Pittman 2Pittman 13Omeonga 11Shinnie 7Holt 15Sean Kelly 16Stephen Kelly 4Goncalves 1Bahamboula 7Shinnie 5Bradley 4Nouble 10Anderson 10Guthrie 3Nouble 6Stephen Kelly 5Pittman 44-3-3 in 8 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcGregor 15McLaughlin 10Tavernier 25Goldson 18King 7Davies 16Sands 7Lundstram 1Barisic 20Devine 3Yilmaz 2Jack 10Kamara 9Arfield 1Lundstram 22Sands 3Davis 3Sakala 9Wright 5Tillman 4Tillman 12Arfield 4Lawrence 3Kent 21Matondo 2Tillman 1Colak 15Morelos 9Sakala 14-2-3-1 in 23 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (23), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
22 October 2022Rangers1–1LivingstonxG 1.56–0.33
30 July 2022Livingston1–2RangersxG 0.57–1.15
26 January 2022Rangers1–0LivingstonxG 1.51–0.34
28 November 2021Livingston1–3RangersxG 0.94–1.70
31 July 2021Rangers3–0LivingstonxG 1.84–0.07
12 May 2021Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.87–2.44

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Rangers won 7, and 2 were drawn. Goals 3–16 and xG 0.49–1.71 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson11983510.270.07
Sean Kelly221,838220.180.11
Nouble161,430420.200.08
Montano161,257410.140.09

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Morelos91,030940.880.20
Sakala11929450.460.24
Colak151,1401100.570.08
Tavernier252,226850.290.25

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.