Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–2 Motherwell

Saturday 21 August 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 3 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 1,718

Livingston Forrest 38'

Motherwell Watt 48', Grimshaw 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonMotherwell
Goals12
xG0.952.30
Expected Points0.472.35

Livingston 9%Draw 18%Motherwell 72%

Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 1–2, 14%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+2%7%4%2%8%4%4%7%5%2%2%1%12%10%14%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTShinnie on for Sibbald, 30'Kelly on for Bailey, 60'Hamilton on for Obileye, 84'McGinley on for Amaluzor, 84'O'Connor on for Woolery, 90'Forrest 38'Watt 48'Grimshaw 79'Motherwell 2.30Livingston 0.9501230153045607590HTShinnie on for Sibbald, 30'Kelly on for Bailey, 60'Hamilton on for Obileye, 84'McGinley on for Amaluzor, 84'O'Connor on for Woolery, 90'Forrest 38'Watt 48'Grimshaw 79'2.300.95LivingstonMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonMotherwell

0.95 +0.26xG2.30 +0.73
0.95 +0.68xG on target2.57 −0.01
13 +6.0Shots15 +5.5
3 +1.0Shots on target6 +1.0
1 0.0Big chances2 −1.5
63% +33Possession37% −8
408 +173Passes236 −98
74% +18Pass accuracy62% −8
67% +40Field tilt33% +2
39 +22Final-third entries28 −6
15 +9.5Box entries15 +8.0
11.5 −6Passes per defensive action17.2 +5
4 +0.5Corners8 +4.0
10 −7Tackles8 −6
5 −10Interceptions8 −4
23 0Clearances31 +8
4 +1.0Saves2 −1.0
14 −4Fouls13 −2
0 −2.5Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Devlin 75', 0.26 xGAnderson 86', 0.13 xGFitzwater 88', 0.13 xGBailey 43', 0.09 xGAnderson 61', 0.07 xGLongridge 73', 0.06 xGHamilton 87', 0.04 xGForrest 90', 0.04 xGSibbald 16', 0.03 xGBailey 52', 0.03 xGLongridge 63', 0.02 xGForrest 90+1', 0.02 xGForrest 38', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.62 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.62 xG, 0 goals20%0.19 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal15%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Woolery 5', 0.57 xGWatt 81', 0.10 xGWoolery 57', 0.06 xGWoolery 60', 0.06 xGWatt 79', 0.06 xGSlattery 80', 0.06 xGWoolery 26', 0.05 xGO'Hara 9', 0.04 xGWoolery 10', 0.04 xGWatt 80', 0.03 xGMugabi 36', 0.02 xGOjala 48', 0.02 xGWatt 81', 0.02 xGWatt 48', 0.67 xG, goalGrimshaw 79', 0.50 xG, goal76%1.74 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.74 xG, 2 goals5%0.11 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals19%0.43 xGWide in the box: 7 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonMotherwell

0.72 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.59 12 shots, 1 goal
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.15 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.71 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
69 min (76%) · Livingston 0.50, Motherwell 1.40 xG
Livingston ahead
10 min (11%) · Livingston 0.09, Motherwell 0.69 xG
Motherwell ahead
12 min (13%) · Livingston 0.36, Motherwell 0.21 xG

Line-ups

3225631881014917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLongridgeHoltPittmanSibbaldBaileyAndersonForrestYellow cardGoal84'30'60'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale1514432316817327KellyMugabiOjalaLamieCarrollGrimshawSlatteryO'HaraAmaluzorWattWooleryGoalYellow cardGoal84'90'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander

Livingston substitutes

  • 30' Shinnie for Sibbald
  • 60' Kelly for Bailey
  • 84' Hamilton for Obileye

Motherwell substitutes

  • 84' McGinley for Amaluzor
  • 90' O'Connor for Woolery

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0342
DevlinRB900.260.0910.0944
Fitzwater CB900.130.0800.1565
ObileyeCB840.000.0110.04212
LongridgeLB900.080.2910.2664
HoltCM900.000.2720.2167
PittmanCM900.000.0420.0003
SibbaldCM300.030.0100.0012
BaileyRW600.120.0100.0121
AndersonST9010.200.021−0.1700
ForrestLW9010.100.1810.3271
ShinnieMF600.000.2120.0432
KellyMF300.000.0000.0450
HamiltonFW60.040.0200.0600

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0230
MugabiRB900.020.0100.0353
OjalaCB9010.020.0010.0326
LamieCB900.000.0000.03314
CarrollLB900.000.3530.33115
Grimshaw CM9010.500.0610.1094
SlatteryCM900.060.0310.0744
O'HaraCM900.040.2420.2423
AmaluzorRW840.000.2810.1512
WattST9010.870.1510.0432
WooleryLW900.780.0630.1541
McGinleyMF60.000.0000.0004
O'ConnorDF00.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Longridge: 3 passesDevlin and Obileye: 3 passesDevlin and Holt: 3 passesObileye and Holt: 3 passesLongridge and Forrest: 3 passesSibbald and Holt: 3 passesSibbald and Forrest: 3 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 4 passesStryjek and Obileye: 4 passesFitzwater and Longridge: 7 passesStryjek: 5 completed passesDevlin: 8 completed passesFitzwater: 10 completed passesObileye: 7 completed passesLongridge: 8 completed passesPittman: 5 completed passesSibbald: 5 completed passesHolt: 10 completed passesBailey: 3 completed passesForrest: 5 completed passes322563810181417StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLongridgePittmanSibbaldHoltBaileyForrestStarters until 30' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and Watt: 4 passesOjala and Lamie: 4 passesSlattery and Grimshaw: 4 passesSlattery and O'Hara: 4 passesGrimshaw and Amaluzor: 4 passesWatt and Woolery: 4 passesMugabi and Slattery: 5 passesMugabi and Amaluzor: 5 passesMugabi and Watt: 5 passesMugabi and Grimshaw: 6 passesCarroll and O'Hara: 6 passesCarroll and Amaluzor: 6 passesGrimshaw and Watt: 6 passesGrimshaw and Woolery: 6 passesCarroll and Watt: 7 passesSlattery and Amaluzor: 7 passesO'Hara and Amaluzor: 7 passesAmaluzor and Watt: 8 passesCarroll and Slattery: 9 passesKelly: 10 completed passesMugabi: 16 completed passesOjala: 9 completed passesLamie: 12 completed passesCarroll: 23 completed passesSlattery: 23 completed passesGrimshaw: 18 completed passesO'Hara: 11 completed passesAmaluzor: 20 completed passesWatt: 11 completed passesWoolery: 7 completed passes1514431623817327KellyMugabiOjalaLamieCarrollSlatteryGrimshawO'HaraAmaluzorWattWooleryStarters until 84' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
LongridgeHolt13
HoltLongridge10
ShinnieDevlin10
LongridgeFitzwater9
DevlinShinnie9

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CarrollWatt6
SlatteryAmaluzor6
AmaluzorO'Hara6
KellyWatt5
GrimshawWoolery5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.03−5.020+4.560.09+1.05−4.060.05−4.07−2.53−0.53−2.030.03−0.51−3.05−2.01−0.520.03−0.52−1.51−3.50−1.00−1.02−2.01−0.520.00−0.51+1.01+0.51+0.52−8.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Motherwell

6+2.05+1.015−4.55−1.56+2.06+0.52−3.08+3.011+3.05−3.01−4.52−2.03−1.54−4.51−4.51−2.01−1.55+1.51−3.54+3.00−0.53+2.50−2.52+1.50−0.500.01+0.50−0.51−0.55−8.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.050.030.020.120.010.010.010.050.010.010.030.160.090.060.08−0.170.040.40LessMore

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.010.040.010.010.040.030.010.070.040.080.010.050.050.05−0.020.010.150.260.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.20AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.04Motherwell1.06 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.23 → 1.26Motherwell1.45 → 1.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six28%19%−9
11th9%12%+3
Bottom3%5%+2
Motherwell
Top six16%24%+8
11th15%9%−6
Bottom7%4%−3

From the forecast before the match (21 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonMotherwell
Expected goals1.441.03
Win46%26%
Expected Points1.651.07
Clean sheet36%24%

Livingston 46%Draw 28%Motherwell 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%2%6%2%9%9%5%2%4%4%2%2%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawMotherwell win
Livingston
Top six28%35%26%19%
11th9%7%9%12%
Bottom3%2%4%5%
Motherwell
Top six16%11%16%24%
11th15%18%15%9%
Bottom7%10%6%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–28 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.30–0.44
  2. L0–331 JulRangers (A)xG 0.07–1.84
  3. D0–015 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.30–0.22
  4. L0–312 MayRangers (H)xG 0.87–2.44
  5. L1–21 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.35–1.78
  6. L1–221 AprHibernian (A)xG 1.77–2.31

Motherwell

  1. D1–18 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.67–0.80
  2. L2–31 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.47–2.88
  3. L1–216 MayRoss County (H)xG 0.67–1.23
  4. D2–212 MayDundee United (A)xG 0.90–1.56
  5. W2–01 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.00–0.93
  6. W1–021 AprHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.57–0.48

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonMotherwell
Position12th9th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠0–⁠20–⁠1–⁠1
Points0 (0.00 per game)1 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.131.25
Goals1–⁠53–⁠4
xG per game0.69–⁠1.141.57–⁠1.84
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 1.30–⁠0.440.00, 1.47–⁠2.88
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.07–⁠1.841.00, 1.67–⁠0.80
ManagerDavid Martindale (25)Graham Alexander (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.20AttackLivingston1.05, 8thMotherwell1.06, 7thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.23, 8thMotherwell1.45, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugLivingston attack: 1.05Motherwell attack: 1.061.061.05MotherwellLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugLivingston defence: 1.23Motherwell defence: 1.451.451.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%−1%−20%+21%
Counter-attacks−7%−46%+106%+88%
Set pieces−4%−1%+69%+6%
Penalties−58%−16%−47%+116%
Headers−4%−7%+25%average
Left side−3%−6%+6%+24%
Centre−16%+2%+17%+30%
Right side−36%−5%−22%+1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side−3%+1%Centre−16%+30%Right side−36%+24%Open play−25%+21%Counter-attacks−7%+88%Set pieces−4%+6%Headers−4%average

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side+6%−5%Centre+17%+2%Right side−22%−6%Open play−20%−1%Counter-attacks+106%−46%Set pieces+69%−1%Headers+25%−7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonMotherwell

0.69xG1.57
1.14xG against1.84
30%Possession46%
7.0Shots9.5
14.5Shots against13.5
2.0Shots on target5.0
1.0Big chances3.5
235Passes334
56%Pass accuracy70%
3.5Corners4.0
28%Field tilt31%
16.5Final-third entries33.5
5.5Box entries7.0
18.0Passes per defensive action12.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.970.55
Ahead62.100.30
Behind410.181.88

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.931.62
Ahead160.144.13
Behind331.831.00

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.150–1
16–300.010.000–0
31–450.240.041–0
46–600.040.250–1
61–750.110.070–0
76–900.070.620–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.280.071–0
16–300.160.381–1
31–450.000.050–1
46–600.320.610–1
61–750.390.660–1
76–900.430.071–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 2Devlin 1McMillan 1Obileye 2Fitzwater 2Longridge 1Lewis 1Pittman 2Holt 2Sibbald 1Penrice 1Forrest 1Sibbald 1Anderson 2Penrice 1Forrest 14-3-3 in every start

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 2O'Donnell 2Mugabi 2Lamie 2Carroll 2Slattery 2Donnelly 2Maguire 2Woolery 2van Veen 2Shields 1Watt 14-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 March 2021Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.80–1.14
31 October 2020Livingston0–2MotherwellxG 0.70–1.40
12 August 2020Motherwell2–2LivingstonxG 0.50–2.03

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Motherwell won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–7 and xG 1.29–1.23 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest231,993410.170.18
Pittman393,502620.170.06
Devlin363,246220.060.10
Holt292,576140.060.09

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt292,496450.240.11
Maguire161,528110.040.10
O'Donnell363,124120.020.10
Carroll161,381030.010.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.