Saturday 21 August 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 3 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 1,718
Livingston Forrest 38'
Motherwell Watt 48', Grimshaw 79'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Livingston
Motherwell
Goals
1
2
xG
0.95
2.30
Expected Points
0.47
2.35
Livingston 9%Draw 18%Motherwell 72%
Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 1–2, 14%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonMotherwell
0.95 +0.26xG2.30 +0.73
0.95 +0.68xG on target2.57 −0.01
13 +6.0Shots15 +5.5
3 +1.0Shots on target6 +1.0
1 0.0Big chances2 −1.5
63% +33Possession37% −8
408 +173Passes236 −98
74% +18Pass accuracy62% −8
67% +40Field tilt33% +2
39 +22Final-third entries28 −6
15 +9.5Box entries15 +8.0
11.5 −6Passes per defensive action17.2 +5
4 +0.5Corners8 +4.0
10 −7Tackles8 −6
5 −10Interceptions8 −4
23 0Clearances31 +8
4 +1.0Saves2 −1.0
14 −4Fouls13 −2
0 −2.5Offsides1 0.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
38'48'79'
0–01–01–11–2
0'HTFT
Level
69 min (76%) · Livingston 0.50, Motherwell 1.40 xG
Livingston ahead
10 min (11%) · Livingston 0.09, Motherwell 0.69 xG
Motherwell ahead
12 min (13%) · Livingston 0.36, Motherwell 0.21 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
30'Shinnie for Sibbald
60'Kelly for Bailey
84'Hamilton for Obileye
Motherwell substitutes
84'McGinley for Amaluzor
90'O'Connor for Woolery
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
2
Devlin
RB
90
0.26
0.09
1
0.09
4
4
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.13
0.08
0
0.15
6
5
Obileye
CB
84
0.00
0.01
1
0.04
2
12
Longridge
LB
90
0.08
0.29
1
0.26
6
4
Holt
CM
90
0.00
0.27
2
0.21
6
7
Pittman
CM
90
0.00
0.04
2
0.00
0
3
Sibbald
CM
30
0.03
0.01
0
0.00
1
2
Bailey
RW
60
0.12
0.01
0
0.01
2
1
Anderson
ST
90
1
0.20
0.02
1
−0.17
0
0
Forrest
LW
90
1
0.10
0.18
1
0.32
7
1
Shinnie
MF
60
0.00
0.21
2
0.04
3
2
Kelly
MF
30
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
0
Hamilton
FW
6
0.04
0.02
0
0.06
0
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Mugabi
RB
90
0.02
0.01
0
0.03
5
3
Ojala
CB
90
1
0.02
0.00
1
0.03
2
6
Lamie
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
14
Carroll
LB
90
0.00
0.35
3
0.33
11
5
Grimshaw
CM
90
1
0.50
0.06
1
0.10
9
4
Slattery
CM
90
0.06
0.03
1
0.07
4
4
O'Hara
CM
90
0.04
0.24
2
0.24
2
3
Amaluzor
RW
84
0.00
0.28
1
0.15
1
2
Watt
ST
90
1
0.87
0.15
1
0.04
3
2
Woolery
LW
90
0.78
0.06
3
0.15
4
1
McGinley
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
4
O'Connor
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Longridge
Holt
13
Holt
Longridge
10
Shinnie
Devlin
10
Longridge
Fitzwater
9
Devlin
Shinnie
9
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Carroll
Watt
6
Slattery
Amaluzor
6
Amaluzor
O'Hara
6
Kelly
Watt
5
Grimshaw
Woolery
5
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 2 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 2 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Livingston
Top six
28%
19%
−9
11th
9%
12%
+3
Bottom
3%
5%
+2
Motherwell
Top six
16%
24%
+8
11th
15%
9%
−6
Bottom
7%
4%
−3
From the forecast before the match (21 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.44
1.03
Win
46%
26%
Expected Points
1.65
1.07
Clean sheet
36%
24%
Livingston 46%Draw 28%Motherwell 26%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 21 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Motherwell win
Livingston
Top six
28%
35%
26%
19%
11th
9%
7%
9%
12%
Bottom
3%
2%
4%
5%
Motherwell
Top six
16%
11%
16%
24%
11th
15%
18%
15%
9%
Bottom
7%
10%
6%
4%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Motherwell
Position
12th
9th
Played
2
2
Won, drawn, lost
0–0–2
0–1–1
Points
0 (0.00 per game)
1 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.13
1.25
Goals
1–5
3–4
xG per game
0.69–1.14
1.57–1.84
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 1.30–0.44
0.00, 1.47–2.88
Away: points, xG per game
0.00, 0.07–1.84
1.00, 1.67–0.80
Manager
David Martindale (25)
Graham Alexander (20)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−25%
−1%
−20%
+21%
Counter-attacks
−7%
−46%
+106%
+88%
Set pieces
−4%
−1%
+69%
+6%
Penalties
−58%
−16%
−47%
+116%
Headers
−4%
−7%
+25%
average
Left side
−3%
−6%
+6%
+24%
Centre
−16%
+2%
+17%
+30%
Right side
−36%
−5%
−22%
+1%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonMotherwell
0.69xG1.57
1.14xG against1.84
30%Possession46%
7.0Shots9.5
14.5Shots against13.5
2.0Shots on target5.0
1.0Big chances3.5
235Passes334
56%Pass accuracy70%
3.5Corners4.0
28%Field tilt31%
16.5Final-third entries33.5
5.5Box entries7.0
18.0Passes per defensive action12.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
0.97
0.55
Ahead
6
2.10
0.30
Behind
41
0.18
1.88
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
1.93
1.62
Ahead
16
0.14
4.13
Behind
33
1.83
1.00
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.21
0.15
0–1
16–30
0.01
0.00
0–0
31–45
0.24
0.04
1–0
46–60
0.04
0.25
0–1
61–75
0.11
0.07
0–0
76–90
0.07
0.62
0–3
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.28
0.07
1–0
16–30
0.16
0.38
1–1
31–45
0.00
0.05
0–1
46–60
0.32
0.61
0–1
61–75
0.39
0.66
0–1
76–90
0.43
0.07
1–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Livingston
Motherwell
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
3 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Motherwell won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–7 and xG 1.29–1.23 per game.
Key players
Livingston
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Forrest
23
1,993
4
1
0.17
0.18
Pittman
39
3,502
6
2
0.17
0.06
Devlin
36
3,246
2
2
0.06
0.10
Holt
29
2,576
1
4
0.06
0.09
Motherwell
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Watt
29
2,496
4
5
0.24
0.11
Maguire
16
1,528
1
1
0.04
0.10
O'Donnell
36
3,124
1
2
0.02
0.10
Carroll
16
1,381
0
3
0.01
0.10
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.