Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 2–1 Livingston

Sunday 26 December 2021, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 20 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 500

Motherwell van Veen 13', 69'

Livingston Anderson 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellLivingston
Goals21
xG0.920.43
Expected Points1.750.85

Motherwell 45%Draw 40%Livingston 15%

Most likely score 0–0, 25%. Final score 2–1, 5%.

Livingston goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+11%2%13%2%11%5%1%3%1%25%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTOjala on for Johansen, 79'Grimshaw on for Shields, 84'Roberts on for Woolery, 90'Anderson on for Sibbald, 60'Panayiotou on for Forrest, 71'McMillan on for Omeonga, 74'van Veen 13'van Veen 69'Anderson 87'Motherwell 0.92Livingston 0.4300.250.50.7510153045607590HTOjala on for Johansen, 79'Grimshaw on for Shields, 84'Roberts on for Woolery, 90'Anderson on for Sibbald, 60'Panayiotou on for Forrest, 71'McMillan on for Omeonga, 74'van Veen 13'van Veen 69'Anderson 87'0.920.43MotherwellLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellLivingston

0.92 −0.13xG0.43 −0.32
1.18 −0.05xG on target0.21 −0.53
11 +1.1Shots7 −1.5
5 +1.5Shots on target3 +0.2
1 −0.6Big chances0 −0.8
21 +3Touches in the opposition box22 +9
43% +4Possession57% +19
262 −23Passes369 +77
51% −10Pass accuracy62% +1
33% 0Field tilt67% +33
23 −3Final-third entries23 0
10 +2.4Box entries13 +6.0
11.2 −2Passes per defensive action9.3 −7
5 +0.8Corners1 −2.5
14 0Tackles19 +3
10 −2Interceptions3 −8
22 −4Clearances20 −3
2 −2.2Saves3 −0.2
13 −2Fouls15 +1
2 +0.2Offsides6 +3.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Goss 52', 0.18 xGvan Veen 89', 0.15 xGGoss 65', 0.10 xGvan Veen 48', 0.07 xGGoss 37', 0.04 xGJohansen 49', 0.04 xGGoss 52', 0.03 xGWoolery 81', 0.02 xGO'Donnell 20', 0.01 xGvan Veen 69', 0.21 xG, goalvan Veen 13', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.59 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.59 xG, 1 goal14%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals21%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Sibbald 23', 0.15 xGHolt 44', 0.06 xGShinnie 16', 0.01 xGHolt 25', 0.01 xGKelly 26', 0.01 xGShinnie 33', 0.01 xGAnderson 87', 0.17 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%0.32 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal2%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals21%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellLivingston

0.55 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.42 6 shots, 1 goal
0.15 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.23 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
13 min (14%) · Motherwell 0.06, Livingston 0.00 xG
Motherwell ahead
77 min (86%) · Motherwell 0.86, Livingston 0.43 xG

Line-ups

1252119226277929KellyO'DonnellMugabiJohansenMcGinleyDonnellyMaguireGossWooleryvan VeenShieldsGoalGoal79'90'84'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander3256310182433291722StryjekFitzwaterObileyeLongridgeSibbaldHoltKellyOmeongaPenriceForrestShinnieYellow cardYellow cardYellow card60'74'71'Livingston 3-1-4-2David Martindale

Motherwell substitutes

  • 79' Ojala for Johansen
  • 84' Grimshaw for Shields
  • 90' Roberts for Woolery

Livingston substitutes

  • 60' Anderson for Sibbald · goal 87'
  • 71' Panayiotou for Forrest
  • 74' McMillan for Omeonga

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0000
O'DonnellRB900.010.0200.0755
MugabiCB900.000.0100.03212
JohansenCB790.040.0100.0336
McGinleyLB900.000.1010.0635
DonnellyCM900.000.1510.0725
MaguireCM900.000.0000.0002
GossCM900.360.210−0.0208
WooleryRW900.020.0810.1450
van VeenST9020.490.0710.1134
ShieldsLW8410.000.3110.2151
OjalaDF110.000.0000.0001
GrimshawDF60.000.0000.0000
RobertsFW00.000.000−0.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0451
FitzwaterCB900.000.0600.2166
ObileyeCB900.000.0100.0638
Longridge CB900.000.0000.02312
Sibbald DM600.150.0110.0101
HoltRWB900.070.0700.0535
Kelly CM900.010.0100.0313
OmeongaCM740.000.0400.0434
PenriceLWB9010.000.2010.1822
ForrestST710.000.0520.0311
ShinnieST900.020.0400.0103
AndersonFW3010.170.0000.0310
PanayiotouFW190.000.010−0.0300
McMillanDF160.000.0100.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

O'Donnell and Johansen: 3 passesO'Donnell and Maguire: 3 passesMugabi and McGinley: 3 passesMugabi and Maguire: 3 passesMcGinley and Donnelly: 3 passesGoss and Woolery: 3 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 4 passesKelly and Woolery: 4 passesJohansen and McGinley: 4 passesJohansen and Donnelly: 4 passesMcGinley and van Veen: 4 passesGoss and Shields: 4 passesO'Donnell and Donnelly: 5 passesO'Donnell and Woolery: 5 passesO'Donnell and van Veen: 5 passesWoolery and van Veen: 5 passesvan Veen and Shields: 5 passesMcGinley and Goss: 9 passesKelly: 9 completed passesO'Donnell: 13 completed passesJohansen: 14 completed passesMugabi: 11 completed passesMcGinley: 15 completed passesGoss: 14 completed passesMaguire: 9 completed passesDonnelly: 12 completed passesWoolery: 6 completed passesvan Veen: 10 completed passesShields: 10 completed passes1221519276227929KellyO'DonnellJohansenMugabiMcGinleyGossMaguireDonnellyWooleryvan VeenShieldsStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Longridge and Holt: 4 passesLongridge and Penrice: 4 passesKelly and Holt: 4 passesKelly and Penrice: 4 passesSibbald and Shinnie: 4 passesOmeonga and Forrest: 4 passesPenrice and Forrest: 4 passesStryjek and Obileye: 5 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 5 passesKelly and Sibbald: 5 passesSibbald and Holt: 5 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 5 passesHolt and Shinnie: 5 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 6 passesFitzwater and Sibbald: 6 passesOmeonga and Penrice: 6 passesHolt and Forrest: 6 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 7 passesShinnie and Forrest: 7 passesFitzwater and Kelly: 8 passesSibbald and Forrest: 10 passesStryjek: 11 completed passesFitzwater: 14 completed passesObileye: 10 completed passesLongridge: 6 completed passesKelly: 18 completed passesSibbald: 18 completed passesOmeonga: 14 completed passesHolt: 17 completed passesPenrice: 14 completed passesShinnie: 17 completed passesForrest: 17 completed passes3256324103318292217StryjekFitzwaterObileyeLongridgeKellySibbaldOmeongaHoltPenriceShinnieForrestStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
GossMcGinley7
O'Donnellvan Veen5
McGinleyGoss5
McGinleyvan Veen5
DonnellyO'Donnell4

Livingston

FromToPasses
ShinnieHolt7
ObileyeFitzwater7
FitzwaterShinnie7
KellyFitzwater7
HoltKelly6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

2−2.26−0.47−0.36+0.310+3.84−2.12−4.211+3.111+2.87+1.82−2.73−0.73−2.18+1.86+1.83−0.33+0.52−1.55+0.82−1.61−0.31−0.12−0.46+3.00−0.91+0.61+0.30−0.72+1.513−6.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Livingston

8+2.63−2.913+5.810+3.38+0.57−1.16−2.29−0.47+0.82−2.83−0.81−4.54−3.04−0.37+4.52−0.72−1.24−0.33+0.50−1.20−1.21−0.74+2.40−1.51+0.60−0.60−0.40−1.111−5.11−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.050.040.010.050.040.010.030.040.040.050.010.020.060.22LessMore

Livingston

0.010.040.020.010.030.010.030.010.02−0.010.020.050.030.03−0.02−0.010.020.010.200.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackMotherwell1.01 → 1.02Livingston0.90 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34 → 1.34Livingston1.23 → 1.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six73%84%+11
11th1%<1%−1
Livingston
Top six14%7%−7
11th10%13%+3
Bottom6%8%+2
St. Johnstone
11th26%25%−1
Bottom31%30%−1
Dundee United
Top six35%33%−2
11th5%4%−1

From the forecast before the match (26 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellLivingston
Expected goals1.231.01
Win40%30%
Expected Points1.511.19
Clean sheet36%29%

Motherwell 40%Draw 30%Livingston 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Livingston goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%11%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawLivingston win
Motherwell
Top six73%84%70%61%
11th1%<1%1%2%
Livingston
Top six14%7%13%25%
11th10%13%10%6%
Bottom6%8%6%3%
St. Johnstone
11th26%25%27%25%
Bottom31%30%30%34%
Dundee United
Top six35%33%36%37%
11th5%4%4%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. W2–018 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–0.52
  2. L0–112 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.75–2.45
  3. D1–14 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.32–1.89
  4. W1–030 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.72–0.31
  5. L0–327 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.61–1.69
  6. W2–020 NovHearts (H)xG 2.16–0.30

Livingston

  1. D1–118 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.00–0.57
  2. W1–011 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.22–0.87
  3. W1–08 DecHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.95
  4. L0–15 DecHearts (H)xG 1.25–1.84
  5. L0–21 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.08–1.18
  6. L1–328 NovRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.70

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellLivingston
Position4th8th
Played1919
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠4–⁠75–⁠5–⁠9
Points28 (1.47 per game)20 (1.05 per game)
Expected Points per game1.080.86
Goals23–⁠2615–⁠24
xG per game1.05–⁠1.500.75–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game1.90, 1.00–⁠1.410.89, 0.96–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.10–⁠1.601.20, 0.55–⁠1.47
ManagerGraham Alexander (37)David Martindale (42)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackMotherwell1.01, 7thLivingston0.90, 9thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34, 10thLivingston1.23, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecMotherwell attack: 1.01Livingston attack: 0.901.010.90LivingstonMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecMotherwell defence: 1.34Livingston defence: 1.231.341.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+24%−38%+11%
Counter-attacks−35%−61%−34%+13%
Set pieces+14%+23%−32%+12%
Penalties−22%+56%−61%+95%
Headers+36%+6%−33%+6%
Left side−7%+40%−12%+18%
Centre+1%+8%−40%+5%
Right side−45%+25%−50%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side−7%+19%Centre+1%+5%Right side−45%+18%Open play−21%+11%Counter-attacks−35%+13%Set pieces+14%+12%Headers+36%+6%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side−12%+25%Centre−40%+8%Right side−50%+40%Open play−38%+24%Counter-attacks−34%−61%Set pieces−32%+23%Headers−33%+6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellLivingston

1.05xG0.75
1.50xG against1.44
39%Possession38%
9.9Shots8.5
15.9Shots against14.7
3.5Shots on target2.8
1.6Big chances0.8
17.7Touches in the opposition box12.9
285Passes292
61%Pass accuracy62%
4.2Corners3.5
33%Field tilt34%
25.7Final-third entries23.0
7.6Box entries7.0
13.5Passes per defensive action16.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.061.61
Ahead280.991.28
Behind281.091.58

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.701.06
Ahead160.862.05
Behind280.751.72

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.224–2
16–300.150.224–5
31–450.110.191–8
46–600.270.308–3
61–750.220.233–4
76–900.170.353–4

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.161–3
16–300.130.204–4
31–450.170.205–3
46–600.050.220–4
61–750.190.212–4
76–900.120.443–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 19O'Donnell 12Mugabi 7Mugabi 10Johansen 8Ojala 10Lamie 9Carroll 1McGinley 15Carroll 4Grimshaw 10Cornelius 2Slattery 17Maguire 7Donnelly 3Goss 10O'Hara 8Woolery 14Roberts 3Amaluzor 2van Veen 8Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11van Veen 4Woolery 34-3-3 in every start

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 19Devlin 15McMillan 4Fitzwater 18Obileye 15Parkes 5Penrice 8Longridge 5Kelly 3Pittman 6McMillan 4Bailey 4Holt 19Omeonga 11Shinnie 3Sibbald 3Sibbald 5Bailey 5Forrest 3Anderson 13Shinnie 6Forrest 9Montano 4Bailey 24-3-3 in 7 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 August 2021Livingston1–2MotherwellxG 0.95–2.30
6 March 2021Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.80–1.14
31 October 2020Livingston0–2MotherwellxG 0.70–1.40
12 August 2020Motherwell2–2LivingstonxG 0.50–2.03

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 3, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–4 and xG 1.50–1.20 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen121,106510.280.10
Woolery171,388110.200.06
Goss10932040.050.18

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest131,201110.210.11
Montano5471000.240.02
Pittman6647110.200.04
Anderson13964430.140.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.