Sunday 1 May 2022, 12:00 · Celtic Park · Round 35 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 58,247
Celtic Jota 21'
Rangers Sakala 67'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Celtic
Rangers
Goals
1
1
xG
1.20
1.43
Expected Points
1.19
1.51
Celtic 29%Draw 30%Rangers 40%
Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–1, 17%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticRangers
1.20 −1.32xG1.43 −0.69
0.63 −1.80xG on target1.30 −0.84
9 −12Shots14 −5
1 −5.9Shots on target5 −1.4
3 −0.8Big chances3 +0.4
25 −12Touches in the opposition box23 −13
51% −19Possession49% −15
428 −223Passes423 −132
78% −9Pass accuracy74% −10
59% −20Field tilt41% −34
40 −35Final-third entries43 −12
9 −13Box entries9 −11
10.5 0Passes per defensive action16.8 +5
2 −7.4Corners7 −0.6
19 +7Tackles17 +2
12 +4.4Interceptions13 +5.7
19 +4Clearances14 0
4 +2.6Saves0 −1.8
14 +2Fouls9 −2
4 +2.2Offsides4 +1.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
21'67'
0–01–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
46 min (50%) · Celtic 0.22, Rangers 1.12 xG
Celtic ahead
46 min (50%) · Celtic 0.97, Rangers 0.31 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
61'Bitton for O'Riley · yellow card 72'
61'Giakoumakis for Furuhashi · yellow card 77'
61'Rogic for Hatate
78'Abada for Maeda
Rangers substitutes
63'Jack for Davis
63'Wright for Aribo
87'Diallo for Arfield · yellow card 87'
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
Ralston
RB
90
0.22
0.01
0
0.01
2
5
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
6
Starfelt
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.14
15
13
Taylor
LB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.02
2
5
O'Riley
CM
61
0.00
0.04
2
0.05
4
5
McGregor
CM
90
0.01
0.03
0
0.05
4
5
Hatate
CM
61
0.00
0.07
1
0.14
3
2
Jota
RW
90
1
0.30
0.50
2
0.17
7
3
Furuhashi
ST
61
0.02
0.02
0
0.03
2
1
Maeda
LW
78
1
0.64
0.28
1
0.27
2
3
Bitton
DF
29
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
2
Giakoumakis
FW
29
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
1
Rogic
FW
29
0.00
0.01
0
0.08
3
0
Abada
FW
12
0.00
0.15
0
0.19
2
0
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McGregor
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
0
Tavernier
RB
90
0.12
0.37
5
0.30
11
4
Goldson
CB
90
0.09
0.00
0
0.05
8
10
Bassey
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
3
Barisic
LB
90
0.00
0.15
1
0.21
6
4
Lundstram
DM
90
0.04
0.01
1
0.00
5
10
Davis
DM
63
0.09
0.02
0
0.02
4
1
Sakala
RW
90
1
0.32
0.00
0
0.17
3
2
Arfield
AM
87
0.19
0.04
1
0.15
3
5
Kent
LW
90
1
0.42
0.06
1
0.04
6
0
Aribo
ST
63
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
3
Jack
MF
27
0.16
0.01
0
0.02
2
3
Wright
FW
27
0.00
0.11
1
0.09
1
1
Diallo
FW
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Hart
Starfelt
21
Taylor
Starfelt
19
Carter-Vickers
Starfelt
12
Starfelt
McGregor
12
Starfelt
Carter-Vickers
11
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Lundstram
Bassey
11
Barisic
Kent
10
Tavernier
Sakala
10
Bassey
Lundstram
10
Lundstram
Goldson
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Against its average of 34 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 34 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Celtic
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
98%
>99%
+2
Rangers
Title
2%
<1%
−2
From the forecast before the match (1 May 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
Rangers
Expected goals
1.49
1.09
Win
46%
27%
Expected Points
1.64
1.08
Clean sheet
34%
23%
Celtic 46%Draw 27%Rangers 27%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 1 May 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
Rangers win
Celtic
Title
98%
>99%
>99%
94%
Rangers
Title
2%
–
<1%
6%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Celtic
Rangers
Position
1st
2nd
Played
34
34
Won, drawn, lost
27–4–3
24–7–3
Points
85 (2.50 per game)
79 (2.32 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.46
2.26
Goals
80–19
70–28
xG per game
2.52–0.55
2.12–0.69
Home: points, xG per game
2.75, 3.00–0.43
2.35, 2.22–0.58
Away: points, xG per game
2.28, 2.09–0.67
2.29, 2.02–0.80
Manager
Ange Postecoglou (34)
Giovanni van Bronckhorst (21)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+136%
−57%
+90%
−40%
Counter-attacks
+95%
−62%
+36%
−90%
Set pieces
+57%
−42%
+44%
−46%
Penalties
+43%
−59%
+64%
−39%
Headers
+99%
−38%
+44%
−41%
Left side
+75%
−63%
+32%
−32%
Centre
+158%
−51%
+59%
−50%
Right side
+69%
−49%
+143%
−44%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
CelticRangers
2.52xG2.12
0.55xG against0.69
70%Possession64%
20.5Shots19.1
6.5Shots against6.7
6.9Shots on target6.4
3.8Big chances2.6
36.7Touches in the opposition box36.1
651Passes554
87%Pass accuracy84%
9.4Corners7.6
79%Field tilt75%
75.1Final-third entries55.4
22.1Box entries19.6
10.5Passes per defensive action12.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
38
2.42
0.45
Ahead
48
2.63
0.65
Behind
4
2.22
0.36
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
32
2.20
0.64
Ahead
44
1.97
0.79
Behind
15
2.37
0.50
xG by period
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.36
0.10
11–2
16–30
0.47
0.07
22–4
31–45
0.49
0.08
14–2
46–60
0.25
0.10
10–5
61–75
0.38
0.13
9–5
76–90
0.58
0.08
14–1
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.32
0.13
14–8
16–30
0.25
0.12
10–5
31–45
0.31
0.09
8–5
46–60
0.31
0.10
11–2
61–75
0.45
0.10
12–3
76–90
0.48
0.14
15–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.