Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
RangersCeltic
1.12 −1.03xG1.47 −1.00
0.83 −1.32xG on target1.23 −1.15
15 −4Shots11 −10
6 −0.5Shots on target5 −2.0
1 −1.5Big chances3 −0.7
29 −8Touches in the opposition box19 −18
61% −3Possession39% −31
511 −46Passes335 −318
80% −4Pass accuracy72% −15
70% −6Field tilt30% −50
58 +2Final-third entries40 −35
17 −3Box entries9 −14
16.2 +4Passes per defensive action14.3 +4
4 −4.0Corners4 −5.6
22 +8Tackles11 −2
9 +1.8Interceptions13 +5.3
14 0Clearances44 +30
2 +0.3Saves5 +3.7
7 −4Fouls13 +1
6 +3.9Offsides0 −1.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Rangers
Celtic
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
3'7'42'
1–11–2
0'HTFT
Level
38 min (42%) · Rangers 0.61, Celtic 0.46 xG
Rangers ahead
4 min (4%) · Rangers 0.00, Celtic 0.54 xG
Celtic ahead
48 min (53%) · Rangers 0.52, Celtic 0.47 xG
Line-ups
Rangers substitutes
65'Sakala for Ramsey
66'Arfield for Jack
Celtic substitutes
62'Bitton for Hatate · yellow card 82'
62'O'Riley for Rogic · off 76'
71'Ralston for Taylor · yellow card 88'
76'Turnbull for O'Riley
76'Abada for Jota
Players
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McGregor
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Tavernier
RB
90
0.02
0.29
2
0.32
14
5
Goldson
CB
90
0.01
0.11
1
0.17
12
9
Balogun
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
7
Bassey
LB
90
0.00
0.14
3
0.22
6
8
Lundstram
DM
90
0.05
0.06
0
0.07
7
7
Jack
DM
66
0.02
0.05
0
0.12
6
1
Aribo
RW
90
0.09
0.02
0
0.01
2
3
Ramsey
AM
65
1
0.41
0.01
2
0.01
3
1
Kent
LW
90
1
0.15
0.26
2
0.14
7
2
Roofe
ST
90
0.32
0.01
1
0.02
1
0
Sakala
FW
25
0.05
0.03
1
0.03
2
1
Arfield
MF
24
0.00
0.04
2
0.00
2
2
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Juranovic
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.08
7
7
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
1
0.11
0.01
0
0.05
5
11
Starfelt
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
0
16
Taylor
LB
71
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
3
3
Rogic
CM
62
1
0.70
0.02
0
0.03
4
1
McGregor
CM
90
0.00
0.15
1
0.12
3
5
Hatate
CM
62
0.08
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Jota
RW
76
0.02
0.25
1
0.23
8
2
Giakoumakis
ST
90
0.09
0.04
2
0.00
1
4
Maeda
LW
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.06
1
4
Bitton
DF
28
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
8
O'Riley
MF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
1
Ralston
DF
19
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
6
Turnbull
MF
14
0.02
0.01
0
0.01
0
2
Abada
FW
14
0.45
0.00
0
0.06
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Rangers
Celtic
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Lundstram
Bassey
19
Bassey
Lundstram
15
Lundstram
Balogun
14
Bassey
Kent
13
Goldson
Tavernier
13
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Taylor
Hatate
11
Hart
Starfelt
10
Starfelt
Carter-Vickers
10
Rogic
Jota
10
Hart
Carter-Vickers
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Rangers
Against its average of 31 matches
Celtic
Against its average of 31 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Rangers
Celtic
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Rangers
Title
19%
3%
−16
Celtic
Title
81%
97%
+16
From the forecast before the match (3 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Rangers
Celtic
Expected goals
1.38
1.16
Win
41%
31%
Expected Points
1.52
1.21
Clean sheet
31%
25%
Rangers 41%Draw 28%Celtic 31%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 3 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Rangers win
Draw
Celtic win
Rangers
Title
19%
35%
12%
3%
Celtic
Title
81%
65%
88%
97%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Rangers
Celtic
Position
2nd
1st
Played
31
31
Won, drawn, lost
22–7–2
24–4–3
Points
73 (2.35 per game)
76 (2.45 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.27
2.46
Goals
62–25
69–18
xG per game
2.15–0.68
2.47–0.56
Home: points, xG per game
2.50, 2.29–0.52
2.73, 2.89–0.45
Away: points, xG per game
2.20, 2.00–0.86
2.19, 2.08–0.66
Manager
Giovanni van Bronckhorst (18)
Ange Postecoglou (31)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Rangers
Celtic
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+93%
−41%
+131%
−59%
Counter-attacks
+30%
−89%
+123%
−57%
Set pieces
+52%
−48%
+61%
−39%
Penalties
+60%
−32%
+37%
−54%
Headers
+53%
−42%
+107%
−32%
Left side
+28%
−37%
+82%
−61%
Centre
+62%
−49%
+159%
−49%
Right side
+156%
−43%
+53%
−54%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
RangersCeltic
2.15xG2.47
0.68xG against0.56
64%Possession70%
19.5Shots20.6
6.5Shots against6.4
6.5Shots on target7.0
2.5Big chances3.7
37.1Touches in the opposition box37.2
557Passes653
84%Pass accuracy87%
8.0Corners9.6
76%Field tilt80%
56.5Final-third entries74.8
19.9Box entries22.7
11.8Passes per defensive action10.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
33
2.24
0.64
Ahead
43
1.95
0.80
Behind
14
2.52
0.45
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
2.45
0.43
Ahead
46
2.55
0.69
Behind
5
1.94
0.37
xG by period
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.32
0.13
11–7
16–30
0.27
0.13
10–5
31–45
0.32
0.09
7–3
46–60
0.32
0.11
9–2
61–75
0.42
0.11
11–3
76–90
0.50
0.12
14–5
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.33
0.09
8–1
16–30
0.49
0.08
21–4
31–45
0.49
0.08
12–2
46–60
0.24
0.10
9–5
61–75
0.38
0.14
7–5
76–90
0.55
0.07
12–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.