Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 3–0 Ross County

Saturday 11 September 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 56,511

Celtic Carter-Vickers 64', Ajeti 70', 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRoss County
Goals30
xG2.710.45
Expected Points2.850.09

Celtic 93%Draw 6%Ross County 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 20%. Final score 3–0, 19%.

Ross County goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+7%4%12%2%11%1%10%6%3%2%20%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMontgomery on for Taylor, 48'Soro on for McGregor, 68'McCarthy on for Rogic, 78'H. Paton on for A. Samuel, 46'D. Samuel on for White, 63'Watson on for Burroughs, 73'Carter-Vickers 64'Ajeti 70'Ajeti 85'Celtic 2.71Ross County 0.4501230153045607590HTMontgomery on for Taylor, 48'Soro on for McGregor, 68'McCarthy on for Rogic, 78'H. Paton on for A. Samuel, 46'D. Samuel on for White, 63'Watson on for Burroughs, 73'Carter-Vickers 64'Ajeti 70'Ajeti 85'2.710.45CelticRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRoss County

2.71 −0.63xG0.45 −0.39
2.72 −0.98xG on target0.56 −0.05
21 −3.2Shots5 −2.2
8 −1.2Shots on target2 −0.5
3 −2.8Big chances2 +0.8
77% +5Possession23% −13
753 +94Passes220 −65
89% −1Pass accuracy64% −3
84% +2Field tilt16% −10
80 +14Final-third entries26 +4
23 −0.5Box entries10 +4.2
7.2 −1.4Passes per defensive action27.0 +5.2
7 −1.8Corners0 −3.2
13 −2Tackles25 +9
9 −0.2Interceptions24 +16.5
11 −2Clearances14 −20
2 +0.5Saves5 +1.0
9 −4Fouls8 −6
3 +2.5Offsides6 +3.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Ajeti 23', 0.23 xGAbada 38', 0.21 xGAbada 16', 0.08 xGJota 59', 0.07 xGTurnbull 33', 0.06 xGAbada 36', 0.06 xGJota 22', 0.05 xGMcCarthy 85', 0.05 xGJota 40', 0.04 xGAbada 53', 0.04 xGTurnbull 77', 0.04 xGMcGregor 1', 0.03 xGRogic 43', 0.03 xGJota 3', 0.02 xGTurnbull 27', 0.02 xGJota 44', 0.02 xGJuranovic 58', 0.02 xGAbada 81', 0.02 xGAjeti 85', 0.95 xG, goalAjeti 70', 0.67 xG, goalCarter-Vickers 64', 0.02 xG, goal67%1.83 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.83 xG, 2 goals12%0.34 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals9%0.24 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals11%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 10 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 1 goal

Ross County

D. Samuel 68', 0.30 xGH. Paton 90+1', 0.06 xGCallachan 10', 0.04 xGBurroughs 34', 0.03 xGSpittal 79', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals68%0.30 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.30 xG, 0 goals27%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRoss County

1.82 19 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.45 5 shots, 0 goals
0.23 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.67 1 shot, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
64 min (70%) · Celtic 0.99, Ross County 0.07 xG
Celtic ahead
27 min (30%) · Celtic 1.73, Ross County 0.38 xG

Line-ups

15882043184214111017HartJuranovicCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorRogicMcGregorTurnbullAbadaAjetiJotaGoalGoalGoal48'78'68'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou11820524722981726LaidlawBurroughsClarkeBaldwinB. PatonSpittalTillsonA. SamuelCallachanCharles-CookWhiteYellow card73'46'63'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Celtic substitutes

  • 48' Montgomery for Taylor
  • 68' Soro for McGregor
  • 78' McCarthy for Rogic

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' H. Paton for A. Samuel
  • 63' D. Samuel for White
  • 73' Watson for Burroughs

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0210
JuranovicRB900.020.0710.17136
Carter-VickersCB9010.020.0710.17158
StarfeltCB9010.000.0110.1786
TaylorLB480.000.0620.09100
RogicCM780.030.3620.2450
McGregorCM680.030.0930.1052
TurnbullCM900.110.3610.28122
AbadaRW9010.410.5630.33102
AjetiST9021.840.0110.0202
JotaLW900.210.3020.17172
MontgomeryDF420.000.0100.0443
SoroMF220.000.000−0.0211
McCarthyMF120.050.0000.0340

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0320
BurroughsRB730.030.4200.2129
ClarkeCB900.000.0000.0126
BaldwinCB900.000.0000.0336
B. Paton LB900.000.0200.0957
SpittalDM900.020.0120.03310
TillsonDM900.000.000−0.01010
A. SamuelRW460.000.000−0.0102
CallachanAM900.040.0120.0435
Charles-CookLW900.000.2610.2553
WhiteST630.000.0200.0110
H. PatonMF440.060.0000.0335
D. SamuelMF270.300.000−0.0102
WatsonDF170.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Rogic and Jota: 6 passesMcGregor and Abada: 6 passesJuranovic and Turnbull: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Turnbull: 7 passesTaylor and Rogic: 7 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 8 passesJuranovic and Rogic: 8 passesRogic and Turnbull: 8 passesJuranovic and Starfelt: 9 passesMcGregor and Jota: 9 passesJuranovic and Abada: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 10 passesHart and Starfelt: 11 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 13 passesStarfelt and Jota: 14 passesTurnbull and Jota: 15 passesTaylor and McGregor: 16 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 18 passesStarfelt and Turnbull: 19 passesJuranovic and Carter-Vickers: 23 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 23 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 23 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 24 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 25 passesTaylor and Jota: 35 passesHart: 18 completed passesJuranovic: 44 completed passesStarfelt: 64 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 50 completed passesTaylor: 62 completed passesRogic: 17 completed passesMcGregor: 53 completed passesTurnbull: 49 completed passesAbada: 10 completed passesAjeti: 3 completed passesJota: 39 completed passes15884203184214111017HartJuranovicStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorRogicMcGregorTurnbullAbadaAjetiJotaStarters until 48' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Clarke: 3 passesBurroughs and Spittal: 3 passesBaldwin and B. Paton: 3 passesB. Paton and Spittal: 5 passesB. Paton and Charles-Cook: 5 passesLaidlaw and White: 6 passesB. Paton and A. Samuel: 6 passesB. Paton and White: 7 passesLaidlaw: 9 completed passesBurroughs: 7 completed passesClarke: 3 completed passesBaldwin: 5 completed passesB. Paton: 17 completed passesTillson: 3 completed passesSpittal: 7 completed passesA. Samuel: 4 completed passesCallachan: 3 completed passesCharles-Cook: 5 completed passesWhite: 5 completed passes11820524227981726LaidlawBurroughsClarkeBaldwinB. PatonTillsonSpittalA. SamuelCallachanCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersJuranovic31
Carter-VickersStarfelt24
StarfeltCarter-Vickers22
TaylorJota22
JuranovicCarter-Vickers21

Ross County

FromToPasses
B. PatonCharles-Cook8
B. PatonWhite7
B. PatonBaldwin6
LaidlawWhite6
SpittalB. Paton5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

3−0.53+1.06−2.02−3.86+0.88+2.28+4.83−2.23−1.86−0.850.04−0.840.04−2.55+0.87+4.53+1.23−1.05+1.22+0.82−0.220.01−0.23−0.80−0.81+1.00−0.22+1.51−0.21−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Ross County

6+0.82−3.29−0.85−4.510−1.89+0.811+6.016+7.57+1.56−1.04−0.54+2.53−1.82−3.83−1.00−3.20−2.520.05+2.05+2.82+0.21+0.22+1.84+3.03+2.500.00−0.20−0.20−0.811−9.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.020.030.040.040.020.040.060.060.100.040.030.090.050.100.150.010.030.170.05−0.020.140.070.260.19LessMore

Ross County

0.020.010.010.030.010.010.03−0.010.040.010.020.010.010.030.02−0.010.010.120.140.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackCeltic2.04 → 1.99Ross County0.95 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.79 → 0.79Ross County1.59 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title41%43%+2
Ross County
Top six5%4%−1
11th26%26%0
Bottom26%27%+1
Rangers
Title55%53%−2
Livingston
Top six15%15%0
11th14%14%0
Bottom8%8%0

From the forecast before the match (11 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRoss County
Expected goals3.110.60
Win86%4%
Expected Points2.680.22
Clean sheet55%4%

Celtic 86%Draw 10%Ross County 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 12%. Both sides score 43%.

Ross County goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%7%5%1%7%2%7%2%6%2%6%4%1%5%3%12%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawRoss County win
Celtic
Title41%43%32%25%
Ross County
Top six5%4%6%10%
11th26%26%21%20%
Bottom26%27%20%14%
Rangers
Title55%53%62%69%
Livingston
Top six15%15%15%13%
11th14%14%15%18%
Bottom8%8%8%13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. L0–129 AugRangers (A)xG 1.44–0.74
  2. W6–021 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 4.93–0.23
  3. W6–08 AugDundee FC (H)xG 5.51–0.24
  4. L1–231 JulHearts (A)xG 1.49–1.40
  5. D0–015 MayHibernian (A)xG 2.10–0.35
  6. W4–012 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.22–1.53

Ross County

  1. D1–129 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.15–2.94
  2. L2–422 AugRangers (H)xG 1.44–2.40
  3. L0–38 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.48–1.62
  4. D0–031 JulSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–1.68
  5. W2–116 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–0.67
  6. W2–112 MayHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.41–0.69

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRoss County
Position6th9th
Played44
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠20–⁠2–⁠2
Points6 (1.50 per game)2 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game2.330.47
Goals13–⁠33–⁠8
xG per game3.34–⁠0.650.84–⁠2.16
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 5.22–⁠0.230.50, 0.88–⁠2.04
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 1.46–⁠1.070.50, 0.81–⁠2.28
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (4)Malky Mackay (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackCeltic2.04, 1stRoss County0.95, 10thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.79, 2ndRoss County1.59, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugCeltic attack: 2.04Ross County attack: 0.952.040.95Ross CountyCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugCeltic defence: 0.79Ross County defence: 1.591.590.79

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+182%−44%−30%+63%
Counter-attacks−34%−68%−57%−68%
Set pieces+25%−17%−43%+49%
Penalties+29%−74%+3%+66%
Headers+20%−15%−24%+50%
Left side+117%−49%−40%+74%
Centre+152%−19%−51%+48%
Right side+104%−71%+14%+48%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRoss County concededLeft side+117%+48%Centre+152%+48%Right side+104%+74%Open play+182%+63%Counter-attacks−34%−68%Set pieces+25%+49%Headers+20%+50%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdCeltic concededLeft side−40%−71%Centre−51%−19%Right side+14%−49%Open play−30%−44%Counter-attacks−57%−68%Set pieces−43%−17%Headers−24%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRoss County

3.34xG0.84
0.65xG against2.16
72%Possession36%
24.2Shots7.2
8.0Shots against18.2
9.2Shots on target2.5
5.8Big chances1.2
658Passes285
90%Pass accuracy67%
8.8Corners3.2
82%Field tilt27%
65.8Final-third entries22.2
23.5Box entries5.8
8.6Passes per defensive action21.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.711.20
Ahead365.490.30
Behind182.350.27

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.671.84
Ahead140.752.90
Behind361.082.23

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.370.270–1
16–300.900.065–0
31–450.520.041–0
46–600.240.132–0
61–750.660.072–1
76–900.660.093–1

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.300–1
16–300.000.360–3
31–450.190.152–1
46–600.040.210–1
61–750.160.500–0
76–900.280.641–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 3Bain 1Ralston 4Welsh 3Bitton 1Starfelt 4Taylor 3Juranovic 1Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 4Turnbull 4Rogic 1Abada 4Edouard 3Furuhashi 1Furuhashi 2Christie 1Forrest 14-3-3 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 4Randall 3Donaldson 1Clarke 2Donaldson 1Iacovitti 4Watson 1B. Paton 2Charles-Cook 1Samuel 1Tillson 3Callachan 1Spittal 2Charles-Cook 1Cancola 1Randall 1Cancola 1Charles-Cook 1Callachan 2Tillson 1Watson 1Spittal 2Charles-Cook 1Callachan 1White 44-2-3-1 in 1 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 February 2021Ross County1–0CelticxG 0.98–2.31
23 December 2020Celtic2–0Ross CountyxG 2.15–0.29
12 September 2020Ross County0–5CelticxG 0.81–3.32

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 2, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 7–1 and xG 2.59–0.69 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard312,6022050.780.21
Turnbull292,3961160.270.36
Forrest9848320.340.26
Christie292,6435120.270.32

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White151,378550.300.05
Shaw121,284610.290.06
Spittal11886110.090.14
Charles-Cook131,371100.160.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.