Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 1–1 Livingston

Wednesday 9 February 2022, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 26 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 2,224

Ross County Ramsay 90+3'

Livingston Forrest 50'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyLivingston
Goals11
xG0.481.75
Non-penalty xG0.480.96
Expected Points0.382.42

Ross County 6%Draw 20%Livingston 74%

Most likely score 0–1, 21%. Final score 1–1, 13%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%9%2%2%13%11%5%1%2%3%1%21%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTH. Paton on for Hungbo, 62'Baldwin on for Iacovitti, 77'Ramsay on for Randall and Wright on for Tillson, 83'Anderson on for Bailey, 64'Shinnie on for Forrest, 80'Boyes on for Nouble, 90'Ramsay 90+3'Forrest 50'Livingston 1.75Ross County 0.4800.511.520153045607590HTH. Paton on for Hungbo, 62'Baldwin on for Iacovitti, 77'Ramsay on for Randall and Wright on for Tillson, 83'Anderson on for Bailey, 64'Shinnie on for Forrest, 80'Boyes on for Nouble, 90'Ramsay 90+3'Forrest 50'1.750.48Ross CountyLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyLivingston

0.48 −0.66xG1.75 +0.93
0.48Non-penalty xG0.96
0.56 −0.77xG on target1.11 +0.31
9 −1.3Shots17 +7.9
4 −0.1Shots on target4 +0.9
0 −1.6Big chances2 +1.1
13 −4Touches in the opposition box22 +7
55% +13Possession45% +6
409 +101Passes335 +36
67% +2Pass accuracy62% 0
50% +10Field tilt50% +12
44 +15Final-third entries30 +6
6 −2.4Box entries14 +6.3
12.4 −4Passes per defensive action17.4 +1
8 +4.0Corners6 +2.4
17 +4Tackles14 −2
10 0Interceptions5 −6
23 −4Clearances28 +5
3 −0.7Saves3 −0.2
12 −1Fouls11 −3
1 −1.2Offsides3 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Iacovitti 31', 0.09 xGSpittal 63', 0.06 xGWhite 50', 0.04 xGTillson 11', 0.03 xGVokins 59', 0.03 xGCallachan 16', 0.02 xGIacovitti 19', 0.02 xGCharles-Cook 57', 0.01 xGRamsay 90+3', 0.19 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals81%0.39 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.39 xG, 1 goal2%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals12%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Anderson 83', 0.30 xGForrest 65', 0.14 xGNouble 43', 0.09 xGBailey 22', 0.07 xGDevlin 79', 0.07 xGDevlin 20', 0.05 xGForrest 61', 0.03 xGPittman 89', 0.03 xGForrest 5', 0.02 xGOmeonga 5', 0.02 xGOmeonga 30', 0.02 xGDevlin 69', 0.02 xGObileye 71', 0.02 xGForrest 19', 0.01 xGHolt 90+1', 0.01 xGForrest 50', 0.06 xG, goal6%0.06 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals65%0.62 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.62 xG, 0 goals10%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals12%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal6%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyLivingston

0.15 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.44 9 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.30 1 shot, 0 goals
0.33 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.22 6 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (54%) · Ross County 0.19, Livingston 0.33 xG
Livingston ahead
43 min (46%) · Ross County 0.29, Livingston 1.42 xG

Line-ups

12151637221782326LaidlawRandallWatsonIacovittiVokinsSpittalTillsonCharles-CookCallachanHungboWhiteYellow cardYellow card83'77'83'62'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay322562981833141917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenricePittmanHoltOmeongaBaileyNoubleForrestYellow cardYellow cardGoal64'90'80'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Ross County substitutes

  • 62' H. Paton for Hungbo
  • 77' Baldwin for Iacovitti
  • 83' Ramsay for Randall · goal 90+3'
  • 83' Wright for Tillson

Livingston substitutes

  • 64' Anderson for Bailey · yellow card 90+3'
  • 80' Shinnie for Forrest
  • 90' Boyes for Nouble

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0100
RandallRB830.000.0100.0454
Watson CB900.000.0200.0965
IacovittiCB770.100.0100.10133
VokinsLB900.030.0410.1565
Spittal DM9010.060.3120.28613
TillsonDM830.030.010−0.0125
Charles-CookRW900.010.0100.0052
CallachanAM900.020.072−0.0307
HungboLW620.000.0100.0152
WhiteST900.040.0220.0111
H. PatonMF280.000.0000.0006
BaldwinDF130.000.0000.0211
RamsayDF710.190.0000.0001
WrightFW70.000.000−0.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0341
DevlinRB900.150.0220.1944
FitzwaterCB900.000.0100.0659
Obileye CB900.800.0000.0425
PenriceLB900.000.1010.1447
PittmanCM9010.030.031−0.0115
Holt CM900.010.0720.0237
OmeongaCM900.030.0020.0543
BaileyRW640.070.0300.0132
NoubleST900.090.2320.1854
ForrestLW8010.260.0620.0981
Anderson FW260.300.0110.0610
ShinnieFW100.000.0000.0001
BoyesDF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Watson: 5 passesRandall and Charles-Cook: 5 passesIacovitti and Vokins: 5 passesWatson and Tillson: 5 passesSpittal and Callachan: 5 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 6 passesRandall and Spittal: 6 passesRandall and Hungbo: 6 passesIacovitti and White: 6 passesWatson and Callachan: 6 passesVokins and Callachan: 6 passesVokins and Tillson: 7 passesVokins and Charles-Cook: 7 passesIacovitti and Spittal: 8 passesVokins and Hungbo: 8 passesIacovitti and Watson: 9 passesRandall and Callachan: 10 passesVokins and Spittal: 10 passesSpittal and Hungbo: 12 passesRandall and Watson: 22 passesLaidlaw: 13 completed passesRandall: 32 completed passesIacovitti: 27 completed passesWatson: 28 completed passesVokins: 23 completed passesTillson: 15 completed passesSpittal: 27 completed passesCharles-Cook: 15 completed passesCallachan: 16 completed passesHungbo: 17 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passes12161532271782326LaidlawRandallIacovittiWatsonVokinsTillsonSpittalCharles-CookCallachanHungboWhiteStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Fitzwater: 3 passesObileye and Penrice: 3 passesObileye and Pittman: 3 passesOmeonga and Holt: 3 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesDevlin and Bailey: 4 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 4 passesPenrice and Pittman: 4 passesOmeonga and Forrest: 4 passesBailey and Nouble: 4 passesFitzwater and Bailey: 5 passesHolt and Pittman: 5 passesHolt and Bailey: 5 passesObileye and Holt: 6 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesPenrice and Holt: 6 passesPenrice and Nouble: 6 passesHolt and Forrest: 6 passesBailey and Forrest: 6 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 7 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 7 passesObileye and Forrest: 7 passesOmeonga and Bailey: 7 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 9 passesPenrice and Forrest: 12 passesStryjek: 6 completed passesDevlin: 17 completed passesObileye: 19 completed passesFitzwater: 21 completed passesPenrice: 17 completed passesOmeonga: 12 completed passesHolt: 23 completed passesPittman: 12 completed passesBailey: 16 completed passesNouble: 4 completed passesForrest: 17 completed passes322652933188141917StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterPenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanBaileyNoubleForrestStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallWatson13
WatsonRandall13
IacovittiWhite8
WatsonIacovitti7
VokinsCallachan7

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterObileye8
PenriceForrest7
DevlinOmeonga7
PenriceNouble7
ForrestPenrice6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

12+6.913+7.112−3.95−2.73−3.49+1.212+4.49+2.67−1.44−4.94−1.02−2.62−1.56+0.93−3.24−0.11−1.92−0.86+2.84+0.22−0.25+2.90−0.74+2.511+9.31+0.10−0.10−0.60−0.30−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Livingston

15+9.66−0.115−1.17−0.14−2.615+7.313+5.55−1.312+3.810+0.75−1.22−2.92−2.03−2.17+0.55+0.73+0.21−1.72−1.15+0.72−0.53+1.60−1.12+0.34+2.01−0.30−0.40−0.50−0.31+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.070.020.010.010.010.030.040.060.030.010.020.100.010.010.010.020.17LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.030.020.030.020.030.010.020.070.020.010.060.010.060.010.010.08−0.01−0.010.110.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.08 → 1.07Livingston0.95 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.46 → 1.47Livingston1.19 → 1.18

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six7%5%−2
11th12%14%+2
Bottom2%2%0
Livingston
Top six34%31%−3
11th3%2%−1
Bottom<1%<1%0
Dundee United
Top six28%30%+2
11th4%4%0
St. Mirren
Top six29%30%+1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (9 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyLivingston
Expected goals1.291.14
Win39%32%
Expected Points1.471.24
Clean sheet32%27%

Ross County 39%Draw 29%Livingston 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%9%6%2%7%3%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawLivingston win
Ross County
Top six7%13%5%2%
11th12%7%14%17%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Livingston
Top six34%20%31%52%
11th3%5%2%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
Dundee United
Top six28%30%30%25%
11th4%4%4%4%
St. Mirren
Top six29%31%30%26%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W2–15 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.78–1.12
  2. D1–11 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.32–0.74
  3. D3–329 JanRangers (H)xG 1.63–3.20
  4. L1–226 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.19–2.96
  5. W3–118 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.20–0.59
  6. L1–226 DecHearts (A)xG 1.00–1.73

Livingston

  1. W2–15 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.06–1.02
  2. L1–21 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.24–0.41
  3. W3–229 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.88–1.32
  4. L0–126 JanRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.51
  5. W2–018 JanDundee FC (H)xG 1.27–0.56
  6. L1–226 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.43–0.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyLivingston
Position10th8th
Played2525
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠8–⁠118–⁠5–⁠12
Points26 (1.04 per game)29 (1.16 per game)
Expected Points per game1.201.00
Goals37–⁠4324–⁠32
xG per game1.14–⁠1.480.82–⁠1.32
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 1.26–⁠1.401.17, 1.02–⁠1.22
Away: points, xG per game0.92, 1.03–⁠1.551.15, 0.63–⁠1.42
ManagerMalky Mackay (25)David Martindale (48)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.08, 5thLivingston0.95, 8thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.46, 12thLivingston1.19, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County attack: 1.08Livingston attack: 0.951.080.95LivingstonRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County defence: 1.46Livingston defence: 1.191.461.19

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%+22%−35%+4%
Counter-attacks−56%+44%−35%−5%
Set pieces−20%+41%−11%+13%
Penalties+92%−36%−68%+60%
Headers−41%+61%−27%+7%
Left side−10%+47%−5%−1%
Centre−19%+24%−33%+2%
Right side−7%+14%−41%+21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−10%+21%Centre−19%+2%Right side−7%−1%Open play−9%+4%Counter-attacks−56%−5%Set pieces−20%+13%Headers−41%+7%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−5%+14%Centre−33%+24%Right side−41%+47%Open play−35%+22%Counter-attacks−35%+44%Set pieces−11%+41%Headers−27%+61%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyLivingston

1.14xG0.82
1.48xG against1.32
42%Possession39%
10.3Shots9.1
15.8Shots against14.1
4.1Shots on target3.1
1.6Big chances0.9
17.1Touches in the opposition box15.1
308Passes299
65%Pass accuracy62%
4.0Corners3.6
40%Field tilt37%
28.7Final-third entries23.9
8.4Box entries7.7
16.6Passes per defensive action16.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.921.42
Ahead141.481.53
Behind281.341.55

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.821.09
Ahead180.751.68
Behind270.851.47

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.193–7
16–300.230.206–8
31–450.180.2310–8
46–600.120.223–7
61–750.210.308–5
76–900.340.337–8

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.182–6
16–300.150.165–4
31–450.170.196–4
46–600.130.195–4
61–750.150.212–7
76–900.120.404–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 17Laidlaw 8Clarke 10Randall 9Ramsay 2Baldwin 15Watson 6Clarke 5Iacovitti 19H. Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 10Randall 5B. Paton 5Tillson 13Spittal 9Callachan 8H. Paton 10Cancola 9Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 11Charles-Cook 5Spittal 3Callachan 12Tillson 4H. Paton 3Charles-Cook 16Spittal 5Hungbo 3White 17D. Samuel 4A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 12 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 4-4-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 25Devlin 20McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 23Obileye 21Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 12Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 10Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 25Kelly 1Omeonga 17Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 9Sibbald 6Forrest 3Anderson 17Shinnie 6Forrest 1Forrest 12Montano 4Shinnie 44-3-3 in 12 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (12), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 December 2021Livingston1–1Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.57
23 October 2021Ross County2–3LivingstonxG 2.11–0.57
10 January 2021Livingston3–1Ross CountyxG 1.74–1.28
6 November 2020Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.62–1.07
29 August 2020Livingston1–0Ross CountyxG 1.31–0.38

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 0, Livingston won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–9 and xG 0.99–1.14 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
D. Samuel7810100.310.06
Charles-Cook241,9651120.260.10
Hungbo141,223330.150.14
Spittal191,680410.120.16

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest171,565320.220.14
Anderson171,320830.230.07
Montano6603010.190.07
Bailey151,353210.120.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.