Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 6–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 28 January 2023, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 23 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 16,671

Hibernian Campbell 10', 15', 88' (pen), Youan 45', Nisbet 73', Fish 90+1'

Aberdeen Scales sent off 86'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Goals	6	0
xG	2.60	0.52
Non-penalty xG	1.81	0.52
Expected Points	2.76	0.15

Hibernian 89%Draw 9%Aberdeen 2%

Most likely score 3–0, 20%. Final score 6–0, <1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianAberdeen

2.60 +1.36xG0.52 −0.86

1.81Non-penalty xG0.52

3.56 +2.52xG on target0.00 −1.49

12 −4Shots11 −1

8 +3.1Shots on target0 −4.2

3 +1.6Big chances0 −2.0

27 +3Touches in the opposition box16 −6

50% −6Possession50% 0

337 −74Passes324 −52

74% −2Pass accuracy73% 0

64% +4Field tilt36% −5

36 −11Final-third entries36 −1

12 −1Box entries10 0

8.4 −3Passes per defensive action19.4 +3

6 −0.1Corners9 +3.9

31 +16Tackles18 +5

14 +6.1Interceptions6 −2.5

29 +11Clearances22 0

0 −1.9Saves1 −2.1

17 +4Fouls12 +2

1 −0.9Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianAberdeen

0.87 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.42 9 shots, 0 goals

0.57 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.37 5 shots, 3 goalsSet pieces0.10 2 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–02–03–04–0

Level: 10 min (11%) · Hibernian 0.82, Aberdeen 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead: 82 min (89%) · Hibernian 1.78, Aberdeen 0.52 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

68' Nisbet for McGeady · goal 73', yellow card 80'
72' Miller for McKirdy
77' MacIntyre for Cadden
77' O'Connor for Newell

Aberdeen substitutes

60' Coulson for Clarkson
60' Roberts for Kennedy
83' Barron for Shinnie
83' Myslovic for Hayes
83' Duncan for Miovski

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	3
Cadden	RB	77			0.06	0.01	0	0.04	2	3
Fish	CB	90	1		0.14	0.04	0	0.12	6	16
Hanlon	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	8
Stevenson	LB	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.09	3	5
Jeggo	DM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	1	14
McKirdy	RM	72			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	1	7
Newell	CM	77		2	0.00	0.35	5	0.03	1	7
Campbell	CM	90	3	2	1.52	0.11	3	0.02	6	9
McGeady	LM	68			0.07	0.03	1	0.08	7	5
Youan	ST	90	1		0.23	0.01	0	0.06	7	1
Nisbet	FW	22	1		0.57	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Miller	DF	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
MacIntyre	DF	13			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	4
O'Connor	MF	13			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Lewis	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
McCrorie	RB	90	0.20	0.05	0	0.12	11	4
Stewart	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	8
Scales	CB	86	0.08	0.02	0	0.11	9	9
Hayes	LB	83	0.00	0.25	1	0.21	5	8
Ramadani	DM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	3	3
Shinnie	DM	83	0.10	0.01	1	0.04	1	7
Kennedy	RW	60	0.03	0.04	1	0.05	4	1
Clarkson	AM	60	0.01	0.04	2	0.02	1	2
Duk	LW	90	0.02	0.03	0	0.13	5	2
Miovski	ST	83	0.00	0.00	0	−0.11	0	1
Coulson	DF	30	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Roberts	MF	30	0.07	0.05	1	0.03	1	0
Barron	MF	7	0.02	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Myslovic	MF	7	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Duncan	FW	7	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Hanlon	Fish	9
Stevenson	McGeady	8
Campbell	Jeggo	8
Cadden	Youan	8
Campbell	McGeady	7

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Stewart	McCrorie	12
McCrorie	Stewart	8
Scales	Ramadani	8
Scales	Stewart	7
Shinnie	Scales	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 22 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	58%	71%	+13
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Aberdeen
Top six	76%	66%	−10
11th	1%	1%	0
St. Mirren
Top six	44%	42%	−2
11th	4%	4%	0

From the forecast before the match (28 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.46	1.00
Win	47%	25%
Expected Points	1.69	1.03
Clean sheet	37%	23%

Hibernian 47%Draw 28%Aberdeen 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

From the forecast as it stood on 28 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Hibernian
Top six	58%	71%	51%	40%
11th	1%	<1%	2%	2%
Aberdeen
Top six	76%	66%	78%	90%
11th	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
St. Mirren
Top six	44%	42%	46%	45%
11th	4%	4%	5%	4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Position	6th	5th
Played	22	22
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠3–⁠11	9–⁠2–⁠11
Points	27 (1.23 per game)	29 (1.32 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.39	1.28
Goals	29–⁠37	35–⁠37
xG per game	1.24–⁠1.23	1.38–⁠1.66
Home: points, xG per game	1.64, 1.32–⁠1.08	2.00, 1.77–⁠1.16
Away: points, xG per game	0.82, 1.16–⁠1.39	0.64, 1.00–⁠2.17
Manager	Lee Johnson (22)	Jim Goodwin (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−6%	−22%	−3%	+9%
Counter-attacks	−10%	+63%	+58%	−7%
Set pieces	+23%	−6%	−19%	+43%
Penalties	−55%	+59%	+82%	+105%
Headers	+11%	−15%	+20%	+11%
Left side	+19%	−32%	−17%	+20%
Centre	−15%	−4%	−8%	+8%
Right side	+12%	−15%	+12%	+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+19%+26%Centre−15%+8%Right side+12%+20%Open play−6%+9%Counter-attacks−10%−7%Set pieces+23%+43%Headers+11%+11%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−17%−15%Centre−8%−4%Right side+12%−32%Open play−3%−22%Counter-attacks+58%+63%Set pieces−19%−6%Headers+20%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.24xG1.38

1.23xG against1.66

56%Possession50%

16.2Shots12.3

10.5Shots against14.5

4.9Shots on target4.2

1.4Big chances2.0

23.6Touches in the opposition box21.7

410Passes376

77%Pass accuracy73%

6.1Corners5.1

61%Field tilt40%

46.6Final-third entries37.2

13.4Box entries10.3

11.3Passes per defensive action16.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	1.04	1.24
Ahead	20	1.45	1.35
Behind	38	1.30	1.16

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.25	1.55
Ahead	24	1.67	1.24
Behind	25	1.32	2.25

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.11	2–8
16–30	0.10	0.17	3–5
31–45	0.24	0.21	6–5
46–60	0.28	0.26	6–7
61–75	0.22	0.16	7–5
76–90	0.25	0.31	5–7

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.21	3–4
16–30	0.18	0.22	4–5
31–45	0.35	0.31	8–9
46–60	0.25	0.28	6–6
61–75	0.23	0.31	7–6
76–90	0.27	0.33	7–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-5-2 (7), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
4 November 2022	Aberdeen	4–1	Hibernian	xG 1.69–1.50
17 September 2022	Hibernian	3–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.80–0.66
7 May 2022	Hibernian	1–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.02–0.63
19 March 2022	Aberdeen	3–1	Hibernian	xG 2.19–0.55
22 December 2021	Hibernian	1–0	Aberdeen	xG 0.41–0.70
23 October 2021	Aberdeen	1–0	Hibernian	xG 0.24–0.22

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 4, Aberdeen won 5, and 1 was a draw. Goals 10–13 and xG 1.13–1.05 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	6	482	7	1	0.58	0.01
Kukharevych	10	744	3	1	0.39	0.13
Boyle	10	936	5	1	0.33	0.13
Youan	16	1,395	1	6	0.18	0.18

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	22	1,754	11	0	0.62	0.03
Besuijen	9	897	3	1	0.23	0.18
Duk	14	1,273	9	2	0.33	0.05
Kennedy	11	901	2	1	0.12	0.22

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.