Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–0 Hibernian

Saturday 30 April 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 35 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 2,840

Livingston Pittman 57'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHibernian
Goals10
xG1.321.12
Expected Points1.531.16

Livingston 41%Draw 31%Hibernian 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–0, 12%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+6%7%4%1%12%9%3%8%11%7%2%3%3%2%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTForrest on for Bailey, 66'Sibbald on for Shinnie, 84'Soto on for Nouble, 90+4'Jasper on for Scott, 61'Mitchell on for Stevenson, 81'Pittman 57'Livingston 1.32Hibernian 1.1200.511.50153045607590HTForrest on for Bailey, 66'Sibbald on for Shinnie, 84'Soto on for Nouble, 90+4'Jasper on for Scott, 61'Mitchell on for Stevenson, 81'Pittman 57'1.321.12LivingstonHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHibernian

1.32 +0.34xG1.12 0.00
1.05 +0.10xG on target0.00 −1.04
9 −1Shots18 +6
3 −0.4Shots on target0 −3.4
2 +0.9Big chances1 −0.4
44% +4Possession56% +2
341 +33Passes407 −12
72% +9Pass accuracy81% +5
33% −8Field tilt67% +15
25 −1Final-third entries50 +11
10 +1.4Box entries13 +2.2
14.2 −1Passes per defensive action10.3 −3
5 +1.0Corners9 +3.6
17 0Tackles17 +3
10 −0.4Interceptions7 −2.6
31 +9Clearances10 −7
0 −2.9Saves2 −0.4
13 0Fouls18 +6
3 +0.5Offsides0 −2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Forrest 71', 0.54 xGNouble 66', 0.28 xGNouble 39', 0.12 xGForrest 88', 0.12 xGShinnie 39', 0.05 xGPittman 7', 0.03 xGNouble 45', 0.02 xGHolt 67', 0.01 xGPittman 57', 0.14 xG, goal4%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals50%0.66 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.66 xG, 1 goal41%0.54 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.54 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Henderson 74', 0.25 xGDoig 29', 0.13 xGMelkersen 16', 0.10 xGNewell 54', 0.09 xGMelkersen 71', 0.09 xGClarke 16', 0.07 xGNewell 29', 0.07 xGNewell 42', 0.05 xGScott 46', 0.05 xGScott 25', 0.04 xGClarke 9', 0.03 xGHenderson 33', 0.03 xGJasper 68', 0.03 xGDoyle-Hayes 30', 0.02 xGClarke 37', 0.02 xGNewell 9', 0.01 xGScott 23', 0.01 xGNewell 53', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%0.82 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.82 xG, 0 goals13%0.14 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals10%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHibernian

1.14 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.12 18 shots, 0 goals
0.12 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
57 min (61%) · Livingston 0.37, Hibernian 0.75 xG
Livingston ahead
37 min (39%) · Livingston 0.95, Hibernian 0.37 xG

Line-ups

312561518824141922KonovalovDevlinFitzwaterObileyeBoyesHoltPittmanKellyBaileyNoubleShinnieYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card66'90+4'84'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale16416222113803425MaceyMcGinnHanlonStevensonClarkeDoyle-HayesNewellDoigHendersonMelkersenScottYellow cardYellow card81'61'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray

Livingston substitutes

  • 66' Forrest for Bailey
  • 84' Sibbald for Shinnie
  • 90+4' Soto for Nouble

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Jasper for Scott
  • 81' Mitchell for Stevenson

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KonovalovGK900.000.0000.0351
DevlinRB900.000.0710.1477
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.01113
ObileyeCB900.000.0000.0339
BoyesLB900.000.0310.101015
Holt CM900.010.0100.0015
Pittman CM9010.170.0200.0623
Kelly CM900.000.0100.0348
BaileyRW660.000.0420.0010
NoubleST900.420.0100.0452
ShinnieLW8410.050.1110.0312
ForrestFW240.660.0100.1221
SibbaldMF60.000.0200.0100
SotoFW00.000.000––0

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0100
McGinnCB900.000.0310.14139
HanlonCB900.000.0100.0439
StevensonCB810.000.2620.37124
ClarkeRWB900.130.2720.40166
Doyle-HayesCM900.020.0310.0173
NewellCM900.240.0220.0253
DoigLWB900.130.1430.16152
Henderson AM900.280.2810.3080
Melkersen ST900.190.010−0.0300
ScottST610.100.1020.0310
JasperFW290.030.000−0.0100
MitchellMF90.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesDevlin and Nouble: 4 passesFitzwater and Kelly: 4 passesBoyes and Bailey: 4 passesKelly and Bailey: 4 passesHolt and Bailey: 4 passesBailey and Shinnie: 4 passesObileye and Kelly: 5 passesBoyes and Kelly: 5 passesBoyes and Pittman: 5 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 6 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesHolt and Shinnie: 6 passesKonovalov and Fitzwater: 7 passesDevlin and Bailey: 7 passesKelly and Holt: 7 passesKelly and Shinnie: 7 passesBoyes and Shinnie: 8 passesObileye and Holt: 9 passesKonovalov and Obileye: 10 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 11 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 11 passesBoyes and Holt: 12 passesObileye and Boyes: 14 passesKonovalov: 12 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesFitzwater: 24 completed passesObileye: 28 completed passesBoyes: 33 completed passesKelly: 20 completed passesHolt: 27 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesBailey: 12 completed passesNouble: 4 completed passesShinnie: 18 completed passes312561524188141922KonovalovDevlinFitzwaterObileyeBoyesKellyHoltPittmanBaileyNoubleShinnieStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hibernian

McGinn and Henderson: 5 passesMcGinn and Melkersen: 5 passesClarke and Scott: 5 passesNewell and Doig: 5 passesDoig and Scott: 5 passesHenderson and Scott: 5 passesMacey and McGinn: 6 passesNewell and Scott: 6 passesDoig and Melkersen: 6 passesClarke and Henderson: 7 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 8 passesStevenson and Hanlon: 9 passesDoyle-Hayes and Newell: 9 passesDoyle-Hayes and Henderson: 9 passesStevenson and Newell: 10 passesClarke and Doyle-Hayes: 10 passesStevenson and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesHanlon and McGinn: 12 passesStevenson and Doig: 13 passesNewell and Henderson: 13 passesDoig and Henderson: 14 passesMcGinn and Clarke: 15 passesMacey: 13 completed passesStevenson: 30 completed passesHanlon: 24 completed passesMcGinn: 31 completed passesClarke: 23 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 35 completed passesNewell: 26 completed passesDoig: 24 completed passesHenderson: 27 completed passesMelkersen: 9 completed passesScott: 8 completed passes11646222113803425MaceyStevensonHanlonMcGinnClarkeDoyle-HayesNewellDoigHendersonMelkersenScottStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
BoyesObileye9
BoyesHolt9
ObileyeFitzwater8
BoyesShinnie8
HoltObileye7

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnClarke18
Doyle-HayesClarke13
HanlonMcGinn12
NewellHenderson11
ClarkeHenderson11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

5−0.813+7.623+7.612+5.111+3.88+0.410+2.97+0.79+1.13−6.64−2.12−2.83−0.64−1.017+10.72−2.62−1.02−0.93−0.28+3.20−2.51−0.61−0.11−0.91−1.41−0.11+0.51+0.60−0.51+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Hibernian

7+2.45+0.410−1.82−3.73−1.74−2.85−1.94−1.75−3.25−2.04−2.04−1.26+2.44−2.83−2.310+4.712+8.63+0.86+2.89+4.76+3.62+0.510.03+1.93+0.40−1.10−0.13+2.10−0.33+2.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.010.010.010.020.01−0.010.010.020.010.03−0.010.040.020.030.010.020.020.070.050.030.090.09LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.030.020.070.040.060.030.050.050.010.040.040.04−0.020.120.09−0.150.100.300.230.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.04Hibernian1.07 → 1.06Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.25 → 1.22Hibernian1.00 → 1.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHibernian
Expected goals1.021.06
Win33%35%
Expected Points1.311.38
Clean sheet35%36%

Livingston 33%Draw 31%Hibernian 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%2%7%3%6%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Livingston

  1. W2–123 AprAberdeen (A)xG 1.54–2.15
  2. D2–29 AprMotherwell (H)xG 1.21–0.90
  3. L0–12 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.73–0.99
  4. L0–219 MarHearts (A)xG 0.61–1.20
  5. L1–36 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.85–3.63
  6. W2–12 MarDundee United (H)xG 2.16–0.93

Hibernian

  1. W1–023 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.72–0.69
  2. L1–39 AprHearts (A)xG 0.52–0.94
  3. D1–12 AprDundee United (H)xG 1.51–0.46
  4. L1–319 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.55–2.19
  5. D0–05 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.99–0.44
  6. D0–02 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.58–0.20

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHibernian
Position8th7th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠8–⁠1510–⁠11–⁠13
Points41 (1.21 per game)41 (1.21 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.42
Goals37–⁠4432–⁠37
xG per game0.98–⁠1.291.12–⁠1.03
Home: points, xG per game1.19, 1.11–⁠1.261.41, 1.14–⁠0.93
Away: points, xG per game1.22, 0.86–⁠1.321.00, 1.10–⁠1.12
ManagerDavid Martindale (57)David Gray (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackLivingston1.05, 6thHibernian1.07, 5thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.25, 7thHibernian1.00, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston attack: 1.05Hibernian attack: 1.071.071.05HibernianLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston defence: 1.25Hibernian defence: 1.001.251.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%−9%−4%−23%
Counter-attacks−27%+7%+60%+14%
Set pieces−5%+26%−34%−8%
Penalties−39%+63%+2%+2%
Headers−29%+22%−24%−1%
Left side+2%−12%−3%−13%
Centre−21%+1%−19%−17%
Right side−28%+13%+3%−25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side+2%−25%Centre−21%−17%Right side−28%−13%Open play−22%−23%Counter-attacks−27%+14%Set pieces−5%−8%Headers−29%−1%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side−3%+13%Centre−19%+1%Right side+3%−12%Open play−4%−9%Counter-attacks+60%+7%Set pieces−34%+26%Headers−24%+22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHibernian

0.98xG1.12
1.29xG against1.03
40%Possession54%
10.0Shots11.5
13.3Shots against10.6
3.4Shots on target3.4
1.1Big chances1.4
18.1Touches in the opposition box18.2
308Passes419
63%Pass accuracy76%
4.0Corners5.4
41%Field tilt52%
26.2Final-third entries39.2
8.6Box entries10.8
15.5Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.031.21
Ahead211.091.46
Behind280.821.29

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.120.88
Ahead181.071.13
Behind221.161.27

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.233–9
16–300.180.179–5
31–450.190.177–4
46–600.190.189–7
61–750.150.174–8
76–900.150.375–11

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.143–7
16–300.110.174–6
31–450.200.158–5
46–600.190.196–8
61–750.230.185–4
76–900.230.196–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 34Devlin 29McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 32Obileye 30Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 20Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 19Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 34Omeonga 24Shinnie 3Kelly 3Bailey 12Forrest 6Sibbald 6Anderson 20Shinnie 6Nouble 6Forrest 17Shinnie 6Montano 44-3-3 in 19 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (19), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 28Dabrowski 6McGinn 12Bushiri 11Boyle 9Porteous 26Wood 1Hanlon 21Stevenson 8Doig 5Cadden 23McGinn 9Doig 1Doyle-Hayes 29Cadden 2Stevenson 2Newell 21Campbell 8Gogic 3Doig 21Stevenson 6Clarke 3Campbell 10Henderson 6Allan 4Nisbet 25Doidge 6Melkersen 4Boyle 11Murphy 8Jasper 53-4-1-2 in 13 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (13), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 January 2022Hibernian2–3LivingstonxG 1.32–1.88
8 December 2021Livingston1–0HibernianxG 1.23–1.95
28 August 2021Hibernian2–0LivingstonxG 1.05–0.63
21 April 2021Hibernian2–1LivingstonxG 2.31–1.77
20 March 2021Livingston1–1HibernianxG 1.09–0.68
2 January 2021Hibernian0–3LivingstonxG 0.49–1.18

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 3, Hibernian won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 10–11 and xG 1.31–1.66 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson201,5931140.370.10
Forrest252,215530.220.14
Nouble10860030.060.21
Montano6628010.190.07

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Murphy8801210.320.19
Henderson6575100.230.21
Doidge6712200.370.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.