Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 2–0 Livingston

Saturday 28 August 2021, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 13,431

Hibernian Nisbet 51', Boyle 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Livingston
Goals	2	0
xG	1.05	0.63
Expected Points	1.66	0.98

Hibernian 43%Draw 36%Livingston 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 19%. Final score 2–0, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianLivingston

1.05 −1.27xG0.63 −0.14

0.56 −2.34xG on target0.29 −0.20

15 −0.7Shots7 −2.0

3 −3.0Shots on target0 −2.3

0 −3.0Big chances0 −1.0

59% +2Possession41% 0

427 −4Passes305 +12

76% −2Pass accuracy63% 0

64% +3Field tilt36% −5

44 +4Final-third entries21 −3

17 +2.0Box entries6 −2.7

17.5 +3Passes per defensive action10.3 −6

3 −4.0Corners5 +1.3

11 −2Tackles24 +9

7 −2.3Interceptions11 −1.0

9 −8Clearances19 −4

0 −3.0Saves1 −2.3

12 +1Fouls12 −4

3 +2.0Offsides0 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianLivingston

1.03 14 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.08 2 shots, 0 goals

0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.55 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 55 min (57%) · Hibernian 0.62, Livingston 0.22 xG
Hibernian ahead: 41 min (43%) · Hibernian 0.42, Livingston 0.41 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

45+1' Allan for Murphy · 1 assist
69' Wright for Nisbet
90+1' Mackay for Scott

Livingston substitutes

45+2' Hamilton for Anderson
49' Kelly for Fitzwater
59' Jacobs for Sibbald

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Macey	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
McGinn	RB	90		1	0.00	0.02	1	0.13	9	3
Porteous	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.10	5	5
McGregor	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	3	9
Doig	LB	90			0.00	0.01	2	0.08	6	2
Doyle-Hayes	DM	90			0.16	0.01	0	0.02	1	2
Magennis	DM	90			0.04	0.04	1	0.03	2	4
Boyle	RW	90	1		0.24	0.86	3	0.98	21	0
Scott	AM	90			0.09	0.06	2	0.06	2	0
Murphy	LW	45			0.14	0.00	0	0.01	3	0
Nisbet	ST	69	1		0.28	0.04	2	−0.03	3	3
Allan	MF	45		1	0.00	0.05	2	0.01	1	1
Wright	DF	21			0.03	0.00	0	0.01	2	1
Mackay	MF	0			0.06	0.00	0	0.15	0	0

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Stryjek	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Devlin	RB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.04	6	9
Obileye	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	7
Fitzwater	CB	49	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	8
Penrice	LB	90	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	1	8
Bailey	DM	90	0.10	0.03	1	0.04	4	6
Sibbald	RM	59	0.00	0.01	0	0.06	1	4
Holt	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	8
Shinnie	CM	90	0.04	0.13	1	0.06	1	2
Forrest	LM	90	0.38	0.04	0	0.03	1	4
Anderson	ST	45	0.10	0.01	0	0.03	0	0
Hamilton	FW	45	0.02	0.00	2	0.06	0	1
Kelly	MF	41	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	3
Jacobs	MF	31	0.00	0.05	0	0.07	1	3

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
McGinn	Boyle	16
McGinn	Porteous	16
McGregor	Doig	16
Porteous	McGinn	13
McGregor	Porteous	12

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Shinnie	Devlin	10
Bailey	Shinnie	7
Devlin	Bailey	7
Bailey	Devlin	5
Fitzwater	Stryjek	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 3 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Title	1%	2%	+1
Top six	93%	95%	+2
Livingston
Top six	19%	15%	−4
11th	12%	14%	+2
Bottom	6%	8%	+2
St. Johnstone
Top six	50%	51%	+1

From the forecast before the match (28 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Livingston
Expected goals	1.63	0.83
Win	56%	18%
Expected Points	1.94	0.81
Clean sheet	44%	20%

Hibernian 56%Draw 26%Livingston 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 28 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Livingston win
Hibernian
Title	1%	2%	1%	1%
Top six	93%	95%	92%	89%
Livingston
Top six	19%	15%	20%	29%
11th	12%	14%	11%	8%
Bottom	6%	8%	5%	3%
St. Johnstone
Top six	50%	51%	51%	47%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Livingston
Position	1st	12th
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠1–⁠0	0–⁠0–⁠3
Points	7 (2.33 per game)	0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.38	0.91
Goals	8–⁠4	2–⁠7
xG per game	2.32–⁠0.90	0.77–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.62–⁠0.48	0.00, 1.12–⁠1.37
Away: points, xG per game	2.00, 2.67–⁠1.11	0.00, 0.07–⁠1.84
Manager	Jack Ross (41)	David Martindale (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+31%	−31%	−28%	+9%
Counter-attacks	+88%	+144%	+14%	−57%
Set pieces	+13%	−9%	−13%	+27%
Penalties	+150%	−53%	−68%	−37%
Headers	+14%	+19%	−7%	+27%
Left side	+37%	−33%	−1%	−20%
Centre	+35%	−28%	−30%	+15%
Right side	+4%	+14%	−23%	+30%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+37%+30%Centre+35%+15%Right side+4%−20%Open play+31%+9%Counter-attacks+88%−57%Set pieces+13%+27%Headers+14%+27%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−1%+14%Centre−30%−28%Right side−23%−33%Open play−28%−31%Counter-attacks+14%+144%Set pieces−13%−9%Headers−7%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianLivingston

2.32xG0.77

0.90xG against1.53

57%Possession41%

15.7Shots9.0

9.3Shots against14.7

6.0Shots on target2.3

3.0Big chances1.0

431Passes293

78%Pass accuracy62%

7.0Corners3.7

61%Field tilt41%

40.0Final-third entries23.9

15.0Box entries8.7

14.2Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	2.39	1.73
Ahead	37	1.54	0.62
Behind	20	3.66	0.11

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	52	0.83	1.12
Ahead	7	1.51	2.99
Behind	31	0.50	1.86

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.12	0.32	0–2
16–30	0.49	0.07	3–1
31–45	0.40	0.07	2–0
46–60	0.50	0.04	2–0
61–75	0.58	0.22	1–0
76–90	0.23	0.18	0–1

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.32	0–1
16–30	0.02	0.02	0–0
31–45	0.20	0.04	2–0
46–60	0.04	0.43	0–2
61–75	0.21	0.05	0–0
76–90	0.17	0.67	0–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Livingston

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
21 April 2021	Hibernian	2–1	Livingston	xG 2.31–1.77
20 March 2021	Livingston	1–1	Hibernian	xG 1.09–0.68
2 January 2021	Hibernian	0–3	Livingston	xG 0.49–1.18
8 August 2020	Livingston	1–4	Hibernian	xG 1.42–3.83

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 2, Livingston won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 7–6 and xG 1.83–1.36 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyle	38	3,403	15	6	0.40	0.16
Nisbet	29	2,657	14	2	0.48	0.08
Doidge	30	2,829	9	2	0.38	0.06
Murphy	17	1,449	1	1	0.14	0.16

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Forrest	24	2,083	5	1	0.16	0.18
Pittman	40	3,592	6	2	0.17	0.06
Devlin	37	3,336	2	2	0.07	0.10
Holt	30	2,666	1	4	0.05	0.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.