Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 2–1 Hibernian

Saturday 13 August 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 3 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 3,854

Livingston Nouble 6', Obileye 86'

Hibernian Kenneh 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHibernian
Goals21
xG1.451.86
Expected Points1.101.64

Livingston 28%Draw 26%Hibernian 46%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Final score 2–1, 8%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%6%6%3%1%5%6%3%4%8%5%2%2%3%4%2%12%11%9%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTCancar on for Montano, 64'Anderson on for Shinnie, 75'Brandon on for Devlin, 89'Doidge on for Melkersen, 22'Boyle on for Tavares, 46'Doyle-Hayes on for Henderson and McClelland on for Hanlon, 82'Bojang on for Kenneh, 89'Nouble 6'Obileye 86'Kenneh 51'Hibernian 1.86Livingston 1.4500.511.520153045607590HTCancar on for Montano, 64'Anderson on for Shinnie, 75'Brandon on for Devlin, 89'Doidge on for Melkersen, 22'Boyle on for Tavares, 46'Doyle-Hayes on for Henderson and McClelland on for Hanlon, 82'Bojang on for Kenneh, 89'Nouble 6'Obileye 86'Kenneh 51'1.861.45LivingstonHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHibernian

1.45 +0.72xG1.86 +0.72
2.75 +1.68xG on target0.94 +0.76
12 +4.0Shots23 +10.0
6 +3.0Shots on target5 +3.0
4 +2.5Big chances1 −0.5
36% +8Possession64% +2
230 0Passes404 0
63% 0Pass accuracy78% 0
48% +19Field tilt52% −23
18 −4Final-third entries43 −6
11 +5.0Box entries11 −5.0
18.7 +1.8Passes per defensive action12.4 +4.4
3 +1.0Corners14 +6.0
10 −6Tackles8 −5
9 −3.0Interceptions7 +1.5
38 +11Clearances18 +6
4 +0.5Saves4 +1.0
15 0Fouls10 −6
0 −0.5Offsides0 −3.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Nouble 32', 0.31 xGCancar 84', 0.16 xGNouble 78', 0.14 xGAnderson 83', 0.10 xGPittman 24', 0.06 xGPittman 74', 0.06 xGFitzwater 37', 0.04 xGHolt 42', 0.04 xGFitzwater 69', 0.02 xGObileye 71', 0.02 xGNouble 6', 0.34 xG, goalObileye 86', 0.15 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals96%1.38 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.38 xG, 2 goals1%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Doidge 45', 0.20 xGBojang 90+3', 0.20 xGHenderson 76', 0.15 xGBoyle 63', 0.14 xGHenderson 58', 0.09 xGPorteous 34', 0.08 xGDoidge 60', 0.08 xGHanlon 59', 0.07 xGHanlon 50', 0.06 xGYouan 63', 0.04 xGMcClelland 90', 0.04 xGNewell 90', 0.04 xGYouan 90+1', 0.04 xGBojang 90+5', 0.04 xGHenderson 33', 0.03 xGKenneh 48', 0.03 xGPorteous 65', 0.03 xGNewell 80', 0.03 xGTavares 18', 0.02 xGCabraja 54', 0.02 xGBoyle 74', 0.02 xGCabraja 20', 0.01 xGKenneh 50', 0.39 xG, goal21%0.39 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.39 xG, 1 goal56%1.05 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.05 xG, 0 goals5%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals12%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals5%0.09 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHibernian

1.06 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.96 12 shots, 0 goals
0.39 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.90 11 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (43%) · Livingston 1.00, Hibernian 0.68 xG
Livingston ahead
54 min (57%) · Livingston 0.45, Hibernian 1.18 xG

Line-ups

12561133182422819GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterObileyeMontanoOmeongaHoltKellyShinniePittmanNoubleGoalYellow cardGoal89'64'75'Livingston 4-3-2-1David Martindale11254361120101823MarshallCaddenPorteousHanlonCabrajaKennehNewellMelkersenTavaresHendersonYouanYellow cardGoal82'89'22'46'82'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Lee Johnson

Livingston substitutes

  • 64' Cancar for Montano
  • 75' Anderson for Shinnie
  • 89' Brandon for Devlin

Hibernian substitutes

  • 22' Doidge for Melkersen
  • 46' Boyle for Tavares · yellow card 52'
  • 82' McClelland for Hanlon
  • 82' Doyle-Hayes for Henderson
  • 89' Bojang for Kenneh

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0440
DevlinRB890.000.0700.0323
FitzwaterCB900.060.0000.02210
ObileyeCB9010.170.2110.01115
Montano LB640.000.0200.0947
OmeongaCM900.000.1210.1455
HoltCM9010.040.0310.0257
KellyCM9010.000.1720.0117
ShinnieAM750.000.0620.0423
PittmanAM900.120.0210.0905
NoubleST9010.790.1420.2354
CancarDF260.160.0000.0103
AndersonFW150.100.0000.0501
BrandonMF10.000.0000.0011

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0220
CaddenRB900.000.0100.0023
PorteousCB900.110.2420.23194
HanlonCB820.130.0100.0767
Cabraja LB900.030.1520.34134
KennehDM8910.420.0200.0445
NewellDM900.080.274−0.0233
MelkersenRW220.000.000−0.0400
TavaresAM460.020.000−0.0221
HendersonLW820.270.1120.2221
YouanST9010.080.1410.1355
DoidgeFW680.280.101−0.1501
Boyle FW440.160.1220.1530
McClellandDF80.040.0000.0000
Doyle-HayesMF80.000.0100.0011
BojangFW10.240.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Pittman: 3 passesObileye and Holt: 3 passesMontano and Pittman: 3 passesOmeonga and Holt: 3 passesHolt and Nouble: 3 passesGeorge and Shinnie: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 4 passesFitzwater and Holt: 4 passesMontano and Kelly: 4 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 4 passesShinnie and Nouble: 4 passesGeorge and Montano: 5 passesMontano and Omeonga: 5 passesHolt and Kelly: 6 passesDevlin and Holt: 8 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 8 passesHolt and Shinnie: 8 passesGeorge: 11 completed passesDevlin: 16 completed passesObileye: 8 completed passesFitzwater: 7 completed passesMontano: 14 completed passesOmeonga: 9 completed passesHolt: 20 completed passesKelly: 9 completed passesShinnie: 16 completed passesPittman: 4 completed passesNouble: 3 completed passes12651133182422819GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterMontanoOmeongaHoltKellyShinniePittmanNoubleStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Marshall and Hanlon: 3 passesMarshall and Cabraja: 3 passesHanlon and Newell: 3 passesPorteous and Cabraja: 3 passesKenneh and Henderson: 3 passesMelkersen and Henderson: 3 passesPorteous and Newell: 4 passesPorteous and Henderson: 4 passesCabraja and Newell: 4 passesCabraja and Henderson: 4 passesTavares and Youan: 4 passesHanlon and Kenneh: 6 passesCabraja and Kenneh: 6 passesCabraja and Youan: 6 passesMarshall and Porteous: 7 passesPorteous and Kenneh: 7 passesCadden and Porteous: 8 passesCabraja and Tavares: 8 passesHanlon and Porteous: 13 passesHanlon and Cabraja: 19 passesMarshall: 8 completed passesCadden: 9 completed passesHanlon: 27 completed passesPorteous: 25 completed passesCabraja: 28 completed passesNewell: 7 completed passesKenneh: 15 completed passesMelkersen: 3 completed passesTavares: 7 completed passesHenderson: 8 completed passesYouan: 5 completed passes11245311620101823MarshallCaddenHanlonPorteousCabrajaNewellKennehMelkersenTavaresHendersonYouanStarters until 22' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinShinnie6
ShinnieHolt5
DevlinPittman5
FitzwaterDevlin5
GeorgeNouble4

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanlonCabraja15
MarshallPorteous12
CabrajaHanlon11
CaddenPorteous11
PorteousHanlon11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

8+1.58−0.525+11.05−5.56+2.05−2.59+4.015+7.58+0.56−3.05−2.550.02−0.55+0.53−3.52−4.040.00−0.50−3.530.02+0.510.02+1.52+1.52+1.02+0.500.00−1.000.000.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Hibernian

5+3.57+6.07+0.58+2.560.02−2.52−2.55+1.56+1.012+3.53−4.01−4.01−0.53−2.09+0.50−3.52−0.52−2.56+1.00−2.50−4.01+1.03+1.52−0.50−1.00−1.00−1.50−1.01+0.50−9.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.030.010.010.020.010.020.030.020.010.030.100.070.030.090.01−0.220.060.200.25LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.060.040.030.040.030.060.040.020.040.080.030.010.010.10−0.01−0.020.19−0.010.08−0.150.040.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.04 → 1.05Hibernian1.11 → 1.12Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.21 → 1.22Hibernian1.06 → 1.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six56%67%+11
11th4%2%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Hibernian
Top six77%70%−7
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (13 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHibernian
Expected goals1.121.05
Win37%33%
Expected Points1.401.29
Clean sheet35%33%

Livingston 37%Draw 31%Hibernian 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%7%8%4%1%3%3%1%12%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawHibernian win
Livingston
Top six56%67%55%46%
11th4%2%4%5%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Hibernian
Top six77%70%77%85%
11th1%1%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W1–07 AugDundee United (A)xG 0.90–0.51
  2. L1–230 JulRangers (H)xG 0.57–1.15
  3. W2–115 MayDundee FC (H)xG 1.48–1.58
  4. D0–011 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.85–0.64
  5. D1–17 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.25–1.21
  6. W1–030 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.32–1.12

Hibernian

  1. D1–17 AugHearts (H)xG 1.50–0.96
  2. W1–030 JulSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.78–0.15
  3. W4–015 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.99–0.51
  4. L1–310 MayDundee FC (A)xG 0.99–1.48
  5. D1–17 MayAberdeen (H)xG 2.02–0.63
  6. L0–130 AprLivingston (A)xG 1.12–1.32

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHibernian
Position8th4th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠11–⁠1–⁠0
Points3 (1.50 per game)4 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.261.82
Goals2–⁠22–⁠1
xG per game0.73–⁠0.831.14–⁠0.55
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.57–⁠1.151.00, 1.50–⁠0.96
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 0.90–⁠0.513.00, 0.78–⁠0.15
ManagerDavid Martindale (63)Lee Johnson (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.04, 6thHibernian1.11, 4thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.21, 6thHibernian1.06, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugLivingston attack: 1.04Hibernian attack: 1.111.111.04HibernianLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugLivingston defence: 1.21Hibernian defence: 1.061.211.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%−12%+3%−30%
Counter-attacks−42%−36%+22%−23%
Set pieces−7%+15%−16%−22%
Penalties−62%average−37%−37%
Headers−34%+3%+13%−20%
Left side+1%−12%+23%−14%
Centre−37%−13%−27%−40%
Right side−11%+13%+23%−18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side+1%−18%Centre−37%−40%Right side−11%−14%Open play−24%−30%Counter-attacks−42%−23%Set pieces−7%−22%Headers−34%−20%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+23%+13%Centre−27%−13%Right side+23%−12%Open play+3%−12%Counter-attacks+22%−36%Set pieces−16%+15%Headers+13%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHibernian

0.73xG1.14
0.83xG against0.55
28%Possession62%
8.0Shots13.0
15.5Shots against8.0
3.0Shots on target2.0
1.5Big chances1.5
230Passes404
63%Pass accuracy77%
2.0Corners8.0
29%Field tilt75%
21.5Final-third entries49.0
6.0Box entries16.0
16.9Passes per defensive action8.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level281.380.18
Ahead540.491.13
Behind80.001.07

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level560.810.20
Ahead0––
Behind341.681.14

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.021–0
16–300.090.050–0
31–450.140.060–0
46–600.150.221–0
61–750.130.340–2
76–900.030.150–0

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.010–0
16–300.110.080–1
31–450.150.000–0
46–600.120.370–0
61–750.060.040–0
76–900.520.062–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 2Devlin 2Fitzwater 2Obileye 2Montano 1Cancar 1Kelly 2Holt 2Omeonga 1Pittman 1Omeonga 1Shinnie 1Nouble 2Shinnie 1Pittman 14-3-3 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 2Cadden 2Bushiri 2Porteous 2Cabraja 2Kenneh 2Newell 2Melkersen 2Henderson 1Campbell 1Henderson 1Tavares 1Youan 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 April 2022Livingston1–0HibernianxG 1.32–1.12
29 January 2022Hibernian2–3LivingstonxG 1.32–1.88
8 December 2021Livingston1–0HibernianxG 1.23–1.95
28 August 2021Hibernian2–0LivingstonxG 1.05–0.63
21 April 2021Hibernian2–1LivingstonxG 2.31–1.77
20 March 2021Livingston1–1HibernianxG 1.09–0.68

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 4, Hibernian won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 11–11 and xG 1.31–1.59 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson201,6071140.360.10
Nouble151,340130.120.18
Montano8829110.160.06
Shinnie201,861320.140.07

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle201,809830.320.20
Henderson121,079110.180.22
Doidge6769200.340.06
Melkersen9722010.280.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.