Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–0 Hibernian

Wednesday 8 December 2021, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 13 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 2,363

Livingston McMillan 16'

Hibernian McGinn sent off 85' · Hanlon sent off 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHibernian
Goals10
xG1.231.95
Non-penalty xG1.231.16
Expected Points0.831.91

Livingston 19%Draw 26%Hibernian 55%

Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 1–0, 2%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+2%8%9%5%2%2%8%2%1%7%10%5%2%3%3%2%13%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMcGinn (Hibernian), second yellow card 85'Hanlon (Hibernian), second yellow card 89'Obileye on for Parkes, 46'Montano on for Sibbald, 59'Pittman on for McMillan, 67'Allan on for Murphy and Doidge on for Campbell, 46'McGregor on for Porteous, 82'McMillan 16'Hibernian 1.95Livingston 1.2301230153045607590HTMcGinn (Hibernian), second yellow card 85'Hanlon (Hibernian), second yellow card 89'Obileye on for Parkes, 46'Montano on for Sibbald, 59'Pittman on for McMillan, 67'Allan on for Murphy and Doidge on for Campbell, 46'McGregor on for Porteous, 82'McMillan 16'1.951.23LivingstonHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHibernian

1.23 +0.56xG1.95 +0.59
1.23Non-penalty xG1.16
0.61 −0.13xG on target0.38 −0.96
10 +1.9Shots16 +3.9
4 +1.2Shots on target2 −1.9
2 +1.2Big chances2 +0.5
29 +19Touches in the opposition box29 +10
40% +4Possession60% +6
321 +40Passes458 +54
62% +1Pass accuracy75% +1
42% +10Field tilt58% +3
26 +4Final-third entries49 +8
13 +6.8Box entries12 −0.5
18.2 +2Passes per defensive action20.4 +8
4 +0.6Corners5 −0.9
21 +5Tackles12 −2
13 +2.6Interceptions9 −0.2
19 −3Clearances13 −2
2 −1.2Saves3 +0.3
6 −8Fouls11 0
4 +1.8Offsides4 +1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Montano 67', 0.33 xGForrest 86', 0.19 xGForrest 64', 0.12 xGForrest 77', 0.12 xGSibbald 25', 0.10 xGForrest 62', 0.07 xGDevlin 6', 0.04 xGForrest 63', 0.04 xGMontano 88', 0.02 xGMcMillan 16', 0.20 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%1.05 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.05 xG, 1 goal8%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Allan 58', 0.30 xGMurphy 10', 0.16 xGNisbet 11', 0.14 xGNisbet 90+3', 0.10 xGDoidge 77', 0.07 xGCampbell 7', 0.06 xGNisbet 10', 0.06 xGNisbet 57', 0.06 xGNisbet 28', 0.05 xGNisbet 38', 0.05 xGBoyle 23', 0.04 xGDoig 14', 0.02 xGBoyle 17', 0.02 xGBoyle 80', 0.02 xGMurphy 4', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%0.90 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.90 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals10%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHibernian

0.96 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.87 11 shots, 0 goals
0.27 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.29 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
16 min (17%) · Livingston 0.23, Hibernian 0.46 xG
Livingston ahead
77 min (83%) · Livingston 1.00, Hibernian 1.49 xG

Line-ups

3225429211833102217StryjekDevlinFitzwaterParkesPenriceMcMillanHoltOmeongaSibbaldShinnieForrestYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card46'67'59'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale16543102211183215MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigBoyleDoyle-HayesNewellMurphyCampbellNisbetYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card82'46'46'Hibernian 4-4-1-1Jack Ross

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Obileye for Parkes
  • 59' Montano for Sibbald
  • 67' Pittman for McMillan

Hibernian substitutes

  • 46' Allan for Murphy
  • 46' Doidge for Campbell
  • 82' McGregor for Porteous

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Stryjek GK900.000.0000.0560
DevlinRB900.040.0510.0645
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0238
ParkesCB460.000.0000.0213
Penrice LB900.000.0200.0537
McMillanCM6710.200.011−0.0406
HoltCM900.000.0100.0425
Omeonga CM900.000.0710.1139
SibbaldRW590.100.0510.0325
ShinnieST9010.000.2220.0855
ForrestLW900.550.1300.2982
ObileyeDF440.000.0000.0225
MontanoFW310.360.0010.0340
PittmanMF230.000.1420.0601

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0311
McGinn RB850.000.0400.09114
PorteousCB820.000.1200.1373
Hanlon CB890.000.0000.0449
DoigLB900.020.1030.21106
BoyleRM900.860.1410.2271
Doyle-Hayes CM900.000.0800.1085
NewellCM900.000.2720.0345
MurphyLM460.170.1610.2981
CampbellAM460.060.0100.0150
NisbetST900.470.0110.0420
AllanMF440.300.0200.0321
DoidgeFW440.070.000−0.0200
McGregorDF80.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Shinnie: 3 passesDevlin and Forrest: 3 passesParkes and Holt: 3 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 3 passesHolt and McMillan: 3 passesStryjek and Devlin: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesFitzwater and Holt: 4 passesOmeonga and McMillan: 4 passesSibbald and Shinnie: 4 passesStryjek and Parkes: 5 passesDevlin and McMillan: 5 passesMcMillan and Sibbald: 5 passesParkes and Penrice: 6 passesParkes and McMillan: 6 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 7 passesPenrice and Forrest: 8 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 10 passesStryjek: 16 completed passesDevlin: 13 completed passesFitzwater: 11 completed passesParkes: 12 completed passesPenrice: 12 completed passesOmeonga: 6 completed passesHolt: 13 completed passesMcMillan: 16 completed passesSibbald: 13 completed passesShinnie: 8 completed passesForrest: 8 completed passes3225429331821102217StryjekDevlinFitzwaterParkesPenriceOmeongaHoltMcMillanSibbaldShinnieForrestStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Macey and Hanlon: 3 passesMacey and Doig: 3 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 3 passesMcGinn and Newell: 3 passesPorteous and Doig: 3 passesPorteous and Boyle: 3 passesBoyle and Nisbet: 3 passesNewell and Murphy: 3 passesNewell and Nisbet: 3 passesMacey and McGinn: 4 passesDoig and Campbell: 4 passesBoyle and Campbell: 4 passesHanlon and Doig: 5 passesBoyle and Newell: 5 passesMurphy and Campbell: 5 passesMcGinn and Campbell: 6 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesDoig and Newell: 6 passesDoig and Doyle-Hayes: 7 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 8 passesPorteous and Newell: 8 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 9 passesMacey and Porteous: 11 passesDoig and Murphy: 11 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 15 passesMacey: 16 completed passesMcGinn: 25 completed passesPorteous: 28 completed passesHanlon: 15 completed passesDoig: 19 completed passesBoyle: 8 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 23 completed passesNewell: 20 completed passesMurphy: 11 completed passesCampbell: 10 completed passesNisbet: 4 completed passes16543102211183215MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigBoyleDoyle-HayesNewellMurphyCampbellNisbetStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
ShinnieForrest8
FitzwaterStryjek7
StryjekDevlin5
ForrestPenrice5
PenriceForrest5

Hibernian

FromToPasses
Doyle-HayesMcGinn17
McGinnPorteous13
PorteousMcGinn12
HanlonPorteous12
PorteousHanlon11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.14−1.917+1.113+6.33−4.47−0.16−1.69+2.712+3.911+1.57+1.12−2.79+5.89+4.07+0.14−0.61−1.68+5.68+5.15+0.81−1.40−0.94+2.81−0.83+1.42+0.40−0.40−0.71+0.60−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Hibernian

6+1.27+2.310−1.07+1.97+2.18+1.14−3.04−1.96−0.13−2.96+1.06+2.58+1.24−0.96+0.65+1.43+0.82−1.42−0.31−0.60−1.02+0.92−0.10−1.00−0.10−1.00−0.10−0.95−3.20−3.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.050.010.010.020.010.010.020.040.010.040.030.030.040.040.070.030.05−0.020.070.070.18LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.030.040.010.010.010.080.020.030.080.080.010.020.130.100.010.03−0.040.050.030.030.39LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackLivingston0.92 → 0.92Hibernian1.26 → 1.25Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.27 → 1.26Hibernian1.03 → 1.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six7%13%+6
11th18%14%−4
Bottom16%10%−6
Hibernian
Top six83%75%−8
Ross County
Top six3%3%0
11th23%23%0
Bottom36%38%+2
St. Mirren
11th18%19%+1
Bottom13%15%+2

From the forecast before the match (8 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHibernian
Expected goals0.891.29
Win25%45%
Expected Points1.051.65
Clean sheet28%41%

Livingston 25%Draw 30%Hibernian 45%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%9%8%4%1%4%6%4%2%1%2%1%12%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawHibernian win
Livingston
Top six7%13%7%4%
11th18%14%19%21%
Bottom16%10%16%21%
Hibernian
Top six83%75%81%89%
Ross County
Top six3%3%3%2%
11th23%23%21%23%
Bottom36%38%36%34%
St. Mirren
11th18%19%17%19%
Bottom13%15%13%12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–15 DecHearts (H)xG 1.25–1.84
  2. L0–21 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.08–1.18
  3. L1–328 NovRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.70
  4. D1–120 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.76–0.91
  5. D0–030 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.10–1.80
  6. D1–127 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.34–1.83

Hibernian

  1. D1–14 DecMotherwell (H)xG 1.89–1.32
  2. L0–11 DecRangers (H)xG 0.22–1.78
  3. W2–127 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.27–0.12
  4. L0–124 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.52–1.21
  5. L1–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.50–2.86
  6. L0–123 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.22–0.24

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHibernian
Position11th7th
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠4–⁠95–⁠4–⁠6
Points13 (0.81 per game)19 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game0.761.56
Goals12–⁠2318–⁠19
xG per game0.67–⁠1.501.36–⁠1.04
Home: points, xG per game0.57, 0.92–⁠1.451.38, 1.34–⁠1.10
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.48–⁠1.541.14, 1.38–⁠0.96
ManagerDavid Martindale (39)Jack Ross (53)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackLivingston0.92, 9thHibernian1.26, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.27, 7thHibernian1.03, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston attack: 0.92Hibernian attack: 1.261.260.92HibernianLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston defence: 1.27Hibernian defence: 1.031.271.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−42%+15%+11%−17%
Counter-attacks−22%+35%+119%+98%
Set pieces−40%+15%−41%−19%
Penalties−100%+80%+92%−52%
Headers−40%+4%−25%+16%
Left side−9%+26%−2%−12%
Centre−45%+6%−5%−2%
Right side−59%+25%+18%−35%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−9%−35%Centre−45%−2%Right side−59%−12%Open play−42%−17%Counter-attacks−22%+98%Set pieces−40%−19%Headers−40%+16%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side−2%+25%Centre−5%+6%Right side+18%+26%Open play+11%+15%Counter-attacks+119%+35%Set pieces−41%+15%Headers−25%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHibernian

0.67xG1.36
1.50xG against1.04
36%Possession54%
8.1Shots12.1
14.7Shots against10.7
2.8Shots on target3.9
0.8Big chances1.5
10.2Touches in the opposition box19.1
281Passes404
61%Pass accuracy74%
3.4Corners5.9
32%Field tilt55%
21.8Final-third entries40.6
6.2Box entries12.5
16.5Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.621.11
Ahead130.822.18
Behind310.681.79

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.290.98
Ahead191.270.98
Behind231.561.19

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.161–3
16–300.120.183–4
31–450.200.235–2
46–600.040.220–4
61–750.130.231–4
76–900.090.482–6

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.111–4
16–300.120.203–3
31–450.210.184–3
46–600.210.134–3
61–750.360.183–2
76–900.310.243–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 16Devlin 12McMillan 4Fitzwater 15Obileye 13Parkes 4Penrice 5Longridge 5Kelly 3Pittman 6Bailey 4Parkes 1Holt 16Oméonga 8Shinnie 3Sibbald 3Bailey 5Sibbald 3Forrest 2Anderson 12Shinnie 4Forrest 7Montaño 3Bailey 24-3-3 in 4 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 15McGinn 10Cadden 4Doig 1Porteous 12McGregor 4Wood 1Hanlon 13Doig 10Stevenson 2Nisbet 1Doyle-Hayes 12Cadden 2Newell 11Magennis 3Gogic 2Boyle 7McGinn 4Cadden 3Campbell 4Magennis 4Allan 3Murphy 6Nisbet 3Doig 2Nisbet 8Boyle 5Scott 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 August 2021Hibernian2–0LivingstonxG 1.05–0.63
21 April 2021Hibernian2–1LivingstonxG 2.31–1.77
20 March 2021Livingston1–1HibernianxG 1.09–0.68
2 January 2021Hibernian0–3LivingstonxG 0.49–1.18
8 August 2020Livingston1–4HibernianxG 1.42–3.83

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Hibernian won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 6–9 and xG 1.22–1.67 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest10931110.180.09
Pittman6570110.220.02
Anderson12886430.150.08
Shinnie8784100.120.07

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murphy6543110.370.23
Boyle141,241700.360.18
Magennis7580210.240.15
Nisbet131,112400.340.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.