Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 2–4 Livingston

Saturday 14 January 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 22 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 2,899

St. Johnstone Murphy 65', McLennan 67'

Livingston Stephen Kelly 8', 15', Penrice 39', 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneLivingston
Goals24
xG1.861.46
Expected Points1.641.06

St. Johnstone 45%Draw 29%Livingston 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 2–4, <1%.

Livingston goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+1%5%3%1%3%9%3%3%11%3%2%9%6%2%3%2%16%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMacPherson on for Mitchell, Murphy on for Wotherspoon, and McLennan on for Carey, 46'Phillips on for McGowan, 50'Bair on for Clark, 75'Pittman on for Shinnie and Holt on for Omeonga, 70'Guthrie on for Anderson, 76'Obileye on for Stephen Kelly, 84'Murphy 65'McLennan 67'Stephen Kelly 8'Stephen Kelly 15'Penrice 39'Penrice 81'St. Johnstone 1.86Livingston 1.4600.511.520153045607590HTMacPherson on for Mitchell, Murphy on for Wotherspoon, and McLennan on for Carey, 46'Phillips on for McGowan, 50'Bair on for Clark, 75'Pittman on for Shinnie and Holt on for Omeonga, 70'Guthrie on for Anderson, 76'Obileye on for Stephen Kelly, 84'Murphy 65'McLennan 67'Stephen Kelly 8'Stephen Kelly 15'Penrice 39'Penrice 81'1.861.46St. JohnstoneLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneLivingston

1.86 +0.93xG1.46 +0.33
1.82 +0.95xG on target1.85 +0.62
15 +5.1Shots11 +1.3
5 +2.1Shots on target5 +1.5
2 +0.6Big chances1 −0.6
24 +8Touches in the opposition box18 −1
55% +13Possession45% +6
406 +79Passes339 +63
67% 0Pass accuracy56% −5
55% +20Field tilt45% +7
38 +11Final-third entries20 −5
13 +5.4Box entries10 +1.9
17.8 +1Passes per defensive action16.6 0
5 +1.9Corners5 +1.2
13 −4Tackles12 −1
7 −4Interceptions5 −6
14 −12Clearances23 −4
1 −1.5Saves4 +0.9
13 +2Fouls10 −2
4 +2.7Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Wright 2', 0.14 xGClark 65', 0.13 xGConsidine 1', 0.11 xGMurphy 67', 0.11 xGBair 76', 0.09 xGClark 25', 0.06 xGCarey 45', 0.06 xGMontgomery 76', 0.06 xGMurphy 78', 0.06 xGWright 29', 0.05 xGMay 54', 0.05 xGMay 67', 0.03 xGPhillips 78', 0.02 xGMcLennan 67', 0.51 xG, goalMurphy 65', 0.37 xG, goal27%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.51 xG, 1 goal58%1.07 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.07 xG, 1 goal10%0.18 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals5%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Shinnie 32', 0.10 xGAnderson 32', 0.08 xGStephen Kelly 59', 0.07 xGStephen Kelly 36', 0.05 xGAnderson 35', 0.03 xGAnderson 45+3', 0.03 xGBradley 24', 0.02 xGPenrice 39', 0.82 xG, goalStephen Kelly 15', 0.12 xG, goalStephen Kelly 8', 0.07 xG, goalPenrice 81', 0.07 xG, goal57%0.82 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.82 xG, 1 goal14%0.20 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 1 goal6%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal23%0.34 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneLivingston

1.64 12 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.48 7 shots, 3 goals
0.23 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.98 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (9%) · St. Johnstone 0.25, Livingston 0.07 xG
Livingston ahead
85 min (91%) · St. Johnstone 1.61, Livingston 1.39 xG

Line-ups

15641423131910377MatthewsMitchellGordonConsidineWrightCareyMcGowanMontgomeryWotherspoonClarkMayYellow card46'46'50'46'75'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson125152922243316917GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesPenriceShinnieSean KellyOmeongaBradleyAndersonStephen KellyGoalGoalYellow cardGoalGoal70'70'76'84'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' MacPherson for Mitchell
  • 46' McLennan for Carey · goal 67'
  • 46' Murphy for Wotherspoon · goal 65'
  • 50' Phillips for McGowan
  • 75' Bair for Clark

Livingston substitutes

  • 70' Holt for Omeonga
  • 70' Pittman for Shinnie
  • 76' Guthrie for Anderson
  • 84' Obileye for Stephen Kelly

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0120
MitchellCB460.000.0100.0344
Gordon CB900.000.2510.1787
ConsidineCB900.110.1320.17108
WrightRWB900.190.0200.1186
CareyCM460.060.1720.0831
McGowanCM500.000.0000.0121
MontgomeryLWB900.060.0100.0122
WotherspoonAM460.000.1120.0210
ClarkST7510.190.401−0.1103
MayST900.080.0320.0850
MacPhersonMF440.000.0100.0131
McLennanMF4410.510.0100.0251
MurphyMF4410.540.1110.1341
PhillipsMF400.020.0210.0102
BairFW150.090.001−0.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0231
DevlinRB9010.000.0610.1767
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.03411
BoyesCB900.000.0000.0216
PenriceLB9020.890.0000.0726
ShinnieCM700.100.021−0.0311
Sean KellyCM900.000.0100.0232
Omeonga CM700.000.0320.0102
BradleyRW9010.020.0710.12112
AndersonST7610.130.4810.1800
Stephen KellyLW84210.310.031−0.0422
HoltMF200.000.000−0.0102
PittmanMF200.000.0000.0111
GuthrieFW140.000.0000.0000
ObileyeMF60.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Mitchell: 3 passesMitchell and Carey: 3 passesMitchell and Clark: 3 passesConsidine and Clark: 3 passesGordon and Wright: 3 passesCarey and May: 3 passesMontgomery and Wotherspoon: 3 passesWotherspoon and Clark: 3 passesMatthews and Gordon: 4 passesWright and Carey: 4 passesCarey and Wotherspoon: 4 passesMitchell and Wright: 5 passesConsidine and Gordon: 5 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 5 passesWright and May: 5 passesConsidine and Wotherspoon: 6 passesWright and Wotherspoon: 6 passesWotherspoon and May: 7 passesWright and Clark: 8 passesMatthews: 5 completed passesMitchell: 15 completed passesConsidine: 14 completed passesGordon: 15 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesMcGowan: 6 completed passesCarey: 9 completed passesMontgomery: 6 completed passesWotherspoon: 15 completed passesClark: 8 completed passesMay: 10 completed passes15461413231910377MatthewsMitchellConsidineGordonWrightMcGowanCareyMontgomeryWotherspoonClarkMayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

George and Shinnie: 3 passesDevlin and Anderson: 3 passesFitzwater and Shinnie: 3 passesOmeonga and Anderson: 3 passesSean Kelly and Shinnie: 3 passesSean Kelly and Anderson: 3 passesBradley and Anderson: 3 passesFitzwater and Bradley: 4 passesBoyes and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesPenrice and Sean Kelly: 4 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 4 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 5 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 5 passesBoyes and Sean Kelly: 5 passesPenrice and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesShinnie and Bradley: 5 passesBradley and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesBoyes and Omeonga: 6 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 6 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 8 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 9 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 9 passesShinnie and Stephen Kelly: 9 passesOmeonga and Bradley: 10 passesDevlin and Bradley: 14 passesGeorge: 6 completed passesDevlin: 28 completed passesFitzwater: 16 completed passesBoyes: 13 completed passesPenrice: 11 completed passesOmeonga: 26 completed passesSean Kelly: 14 completed passesShinnie: 18 completed passesBradley: 18 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passesStephen Kelly: 14 completed passes125152933242216917GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesPenriceOmeongaSean KellyShinnieBradleyAndersonStephen KellyStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
GordonWright9
ConsidineMontgomery7
GordonConsidine7
MacPhersonMontgomery6
McLennanWright6

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinBradley14
FitzwaterDevlin6
OmeongaBradley6
FitzwaterGeorge6
PenriceShinnie5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

6−0.56−2.89−6.211+3.44−1.711+2.77−1.36−0.69+0.19+0.77+0.52−3.05+1.85−0.315+8.81−3.140.02−0.43+0.38+4.23+0.71−0.60−0.40−0.92−0.30−0.90−0.20−0.41+0.70−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Livingston

1−4.73−5.517+1.68−0.66+1.27−0.77+0.85+0.211+4.07−1.69+3.38+3.23+0.41−3.011+4.014+10.24+1.03+0.74+1.45+1.14+1.90−1.41+0.11−0.41−1.41−0.10−0.12+1.50−0.32+1.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.020.020.050.030.020.020.050.110.030.040.010.040.030.05−0.010.040.04−0.02−0.11−0.010.060.15LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.030.010.010.020.010.010.030.040.010.020.010.070.020.02−0.060.030.130.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackSt. Johnstone0.95 → 0.97Livingston1.07 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.30 → 1.32Livingston1.29 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six20%10%−10
11th8%12%+4
Bottom2%4%+2
Livingston
Top six76%87%+11
11th1%<1%−1

From the forecast before the match (14 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneLivingston
Expected goals1.211.02
Win40%30%
Expected Points1.491.21
Clean sheet36%30%

St. Johnstone 40%Draw 30%Livingston 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Livingston goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%11%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawLivingston win
St. Johnstone
Top six20%31%16%10%
11th8%4%9%12%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Livingston
Top six76%66%79%87%
11th1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–27 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.51–1.10
  2. L0–12 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.63–0.54
  3. L2–328 DecHearts (H)xG 2.50–2.33
  4. L1–424 DecCeltic (A)xG 1.03–2.89
  5. W2–117 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.42
  6. D1–112 NovMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–0.93

Livingston

  1. W2–07 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.90–0.86
  2. D1–12 JanMotherwell (H)xG 2.40–1.82
  3. D1–128 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.59–1.36
  4. L0–424 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.06–2.06
  5. L1–221 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.28–1.96
  6. D1–112 NovHearts (A)xG 1.84–2.95

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneLivingston
Position8th5th
Played2120
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠3–⁠118–⁠4–⁠8
Points24 (1.14 per game)28 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.18
Goals24–⁠3220–⁠28
xG per game0.93–⁠1.231.13–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game1.10, 0.97–⁠1.021.70, 1.24–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game1.18, 0.90–⁠1.411.10, 1.02–⁠1.73
ManagerCallum Davidson (97)David Martindale (81)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackSt. Johnstone0.95, 11thLivingston1.07, 6thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.30, 7thLivingston1.29, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone attack: 0.95Livingston attack: 1.071.070.95LivingstonSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone defence: 1.30Livingston defence: 1.291.301.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−26%+12%−39%+12%
Counter-attacks−66%−85%−92%−43%
Set pieces−41%−20%+13%+35%
Penalties−7%−54%+95%+46%
Headers−47%+5%−29%+41%
Left side−38%+6%−12%−1%
Centre−28%−14%−33%+8%
Right side−30%+20%−37%+46%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−38%+46%Centre−28%+8%Right side−30%−1%Open play−26%+12%Counter-attacks−66%−43%Set pieces−41%+35%Headers−47%+41%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−12%+20%Centre−33%−14%Right side−37%+6%Open play−39%+12%Counter-attacks−92%−85%Set pieces+13%−20%Headers−29%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.93xG1.13
1.23xG against1.55
42%Possession39%
9.9Shots9.7
14.5Shots against15.2
2.9Shots on target3.5
1.4Big chances1.6
15.5Touches in the opposition box18.7
327Passes276
66%Pass accuracy62%
3.1Corners3.8
36%Field tilt38%
27.4Final-third entries25.0
7.6Box entries8.1
16.9Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.811.22
Ahead190.710.88
Behind281.271.48

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.191.28
Ahead300.921.59
Behind191.342.09

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.273–3
16–300.160.133–3
31–450.170.213–9
46–600.170.142–3
61–750.130.204–4
76–900.240.289–10

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.144–2
16–300.180.093–1
31–450.150.354–7
46–600.120.293–5
61–750.170.284–8
76–900.290.402–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMatthews 19Parish 2Mitchell 17McGowan 12Brown 1Gordon 13Considine 20Wright 17Carey 2Brown 2Hallberg 9Phillips 4MacPherson 3McGowan 6Montgomery 6Carey 4Hallberg 8Brown 4Montgomery 3Carey 8Brown 4Murphy 2May 14Bair 5Clark 13Murphy 8McLennan 23-4-1-2 in 6 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 5-3-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 15Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 18Bahamboula 2Obileye 18Fitzwater 12Sean Kelly 6Boyes 3Montano 14Penrice 2Pittman 1Pittman 11Omeonga 8Shinnie 6Holt 14Sean Kelly 13Stephen Kelly 3Goncalves 1Bahamboula 7Shinnie 4Omeonga 3Nouble 10Anderson 6Guthrie 3Nouble 5Pittman 4Penrice 34-3-3 in 6 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 October 2022Livingston1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.08–0.42
7 May 2022Livingston1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.25–1.21
2 April 2022St. Johnstone1–0LivingstonxG 0.99–0.73
1 February 2022Livingston1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.24–0.41
16 October 2021St. Johnstone0–3LivingstonxG 1.45–1.55
15 May 2021St. Johnstone0–0LivingstonxG 0.22–0.30

9 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 3, Livingston won 4, and 2 were drawn. Goals 7–11 and xG 0.96–0.95 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May141,289440.250.10
Clark141,137400.280.03
Carey151,244300.250.05
Wright201,739300.130.06

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sean Kelly191,594220.200.12
Anderson7674400.270.03
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Montano151,154410.140.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.