Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 1–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 20 March 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 32 · Half-time 0–0

Dundee United Sporle 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Goals10
xG0.460.47
Expected Points1.231.25

Dundee United 24%Draw 52%Aberdeen 24%

Most likely score 0–0, 41%. Final score 1–0, 18%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+18%4%18%10%2%4%2%41%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50153045607590HTAppere on for Sporle, 84'Clark on for Butcher, 90+1'McGinn on for McLennan, 76'Hendry on for Campbell, Kennedy on for Hayes, and Hornby on for Kamberi, 86'Ramsay on for Hoban, 90+1'Sporle 61'Aberdeen 0.47Dundee United 0.4600.250.50153045607590HTAppere on for Sporle, 84'Clark on for Butcher, 90+1'McGinn on for McLennan, 76'Hendry on for Campbell, Kennedy on for Hayes, and Hornby on for Kamberi, 86'Ramsay on for Hoban, 90+1'Sporle 61'0.470.46Dundee UnitedAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.46 −0.47xG0.47 −0.75
0.44 −0.49xG on target0.26 −0.86
7 −2.5Shots10 −1.4
2 −1.0Shots on target2 −1.5
0 −1.2Big chances0 −1.4
19 +5Touches in the opposition box17 −4
44% −2Possession56% +5
342 −22Passes426 +27
65% 0Pass accuracy78% +7
44% +5Field tilt56% +5
36 +5Final-third entries44 +8
12 +3.4Box entries14 +4.4
12.7 −2Passes per defensive action13.1 −1
8 +4.0Corners10 +5.6
12 −2Tackles14 +1
14 +3Interceptions13 +3
18 −7Clearances30 +10
2 −2.0Saves0 −2.1
12 −1Fouls12 −2
2 +0.3Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Sporle 45', 0.08 xGShankland 58', 0.08 xGFuchs 21', 0.06 xGShankland 38', 0.06 xGButcher 6', 0.04 xGRobson 26', 0.03 xGSporle 61', 0.11 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals85%0.39 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.39 xG, 1 goal9%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Campbell 8', 0.09 xGHoban 50', 0.09 xGMcCrorie 90', 0.07 xGMcCrorie 36', 0.05 xGHayes 22', 0.04 xGFerguson 58', 0.04 xGCampbell 20', 0.03 xGMcLennan 23', 0.03 xGCampbell 9', 0.02 xGKamberi 31', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals70%0.33 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals9%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals13%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals9%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.42 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.29 6 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
61 min (67%) · Dundee United 0.46, Aberdeen 0.41 xG
Dundee United ahead
30 min (33%) · Dundee United 0.00, Aberdeen 0.07 xG

Line-ups

12612171823663924SiegristL. SmithReynoldsEdwardsRobsonButcherHarkesFuchsSporleMcNultyShanklandGoal90+1'84'Dundee United 4-3-3Micky Mellon1341429194024182217LewisHobanConsidineTaylorMacKenzieFergusonMcCrorieCampbellMcLennanKamberiHayesYellow card90+1'86'76'86'86'Aberdeen 4-3-3Derek McInnes

Dundee United substitutes

  • 84' Appere for Sporle
  • 90+1' Clark for Butcher

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 76' McGinn for McLennan
  • 86' Kennedy for Hayes
  • 86' Hendry for Campbell
  • 86' Hornby for Kamberi
  • 90+1' Ramsay for Hoban

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0430
L. SmithRB900.000.1510.1795
ReynoldsCB900.000.0100.0355
EdwardsCB900.000.0100.1079
RobsonLB900.030.0100.0226
ButcherCM900.040.0510.1164
HarkesCM900.000.1800.0743
FuchsCM900.060.0200.0565
SporleRW8410.190.0100.0325
McNultyST900.000.1220.1451
ShanklandLW9010.140.1320.0723
AppereFW60.000.0000.0012
ClarkMF00.000.000––0

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0230
HobanRB900.090.1710.2396
ConsidineCB900.000.020−0.07611
TaylorCB900.000.0010.07815
MacKenzieLB900.000.0000.0239
Ferguson CM900.040.0300.0767
McCrorieCM900.110.041−0.1155
CampbellCM860.130.3810.38110
McLennanRW760.030.3320.04103
KamberiST860.020.021−0.0331
HayesLW860.040.0210.0762
McGinnMF140.000.0000.0100
KennedyMF40.000.0400.0930
HendryFW40.000.000−0.0103
HornbyFW40.000.010−0.0700
RamsayDF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Siegrist and Reynolds: 5 passesL. Smith and Edwards: 5 passesL. Smith and Harkes: 5 passesEdwards and Harkes: 5 passesFuchs and McNulty: 5 passesMcNulty and Shankland: 5 passesL. Smith and Butcher: 6 passesRobson and McNulty: 6 passesHarkes and Sporle: 6 passesEdwards and Fuchs: 7 passesRobson and Sporle: 7 passesSiegrist and Robson: 8 passesButcher and Sporle: 8 passesEdwards and Butcher: 9 passesButcher and McNulty: 9 passesRobson and Butcher: 11 passesL. Smith and Fuchs: 12 passesRobson and Shankland: 12 passesL. Smith and McNulty: 18 passesSiegrist: 13 completed passesL. Smith: 33 completed passesEdwards: 20 completed passesReynolds: 15 completed passesRobson: 39 completed passesFuchs: 19 completed passesHarkes: 20 completed passesButcher: 27 completed passesMcNulty: 24 completed passesShankland: 12 completed passesSporle: 14 completed passes12126176623189243SiegristL. SmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonFuchsHarkesButcherMcNultyShanklandSporleStarters until 84' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Hoban: 6 passesHoban and Campbell: 6 passesTaylor and McCrorie: 6 passesTaylor and Ferguson: 6 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 6 passesKamberi and Hayes: 6 passesLewis and Campbell: 7 passesHoban and McCrorie: 7 passesMacKenzie and Kamberi: 7 passesMcCrorie and Campbell: 7 passesLewis and MacKenzie: 8 passesHoban and Taylor: 8 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 8 passesMcCrorie and Kamberi: 8 passesFerguson and Campbell: 8 passesHoban and Kamberi: 9 passesTaylor and Considine: 9 passesMacKenzie and Campbell: 9 passesCampbell and McLennan: 9 passesLewis and Taylor: 13 passesConsidine and MacKenzie: 13 passesHoban and McLennan: 14 passesLewis and Considine: 19 passesConsidine and Campbell: 24 passesLewis: 37 completed passesHoban: 31 completed passesTaylor: 29 completed passesConsidine: 43 completed passesMacKenzie: 31 completed passesMcCrorie: 20 completed passesFerguson: 23 completed passesCampbell: 42 completed passesMcLennan: 18 completed passesKamberi: 19 completed passesHayes: 12 completed passes1314429401924182217LewisHobanTaylorConsidineMacKenzieMcCrorieFergusonCampbellMcLennanKamberiHayesStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
L. SmithMcNulty13
RobsonShankland9
RobsonButcher8
FuchsL. Smith8
ButcherMcNulty7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
CampbellConsidine19
ConsidineLewis12
HobanMcLennan11
ConsidineCampbell10
LewisConsidine9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

2−3.05−1.612+4.710+2.53−3.88+0.65−2.26−2.05−4.57+1.74−1.22−2.43−2.65−0.43−1.31−2.75+2.35+2.311+7.31−1.33+1.71+0.13+1.37+5.21+0.41+0.80−0.52+1.61+0.510−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Aberdeen

7+2.16−0.313+1.83−3.39+4.13−3.89+2.713+6.320+12.47−0.25−0.44−1.04−0.14−2.13−4.33−0.51−2.45+2.42−2.53−1.86+4.24+2.42+1.03+1.11−1.91+0.22+1.61+0.10−0.51+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.020.010.020.050.040.030.010.020.030.050.030.02−0.010.020.060.030.030.130.19LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.010.010.020.010.030.020.100.060.010.010.040.100.020.040.010.12−0.020.010.03−0.38−0.080.100.200.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.93 → 0.92Aberdeen1.04 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.32 → 1.29Aberdeen0.95 → 0.94

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th<1%–0

From the forecast before the match (20 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Expected goals0.821.22
Win24%45%
Expected Points1.041.65
Clean sheet30%44%

Dundee United 24%Draw 31%Aberdeen 45%

Most likely score 0–1, 15%. Both sides score 40%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%10%8%3%1%4%5%3%1%1%1%14%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee United
11th<1%–<1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D0–07 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.51–1.77
  2. D1–127 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.02–1.25
  3. L1–421 FebRangers (A)xG 1.04–3.26
  4. W3–013 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.93–0.93
  5. W2–06 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.65–0.74
  6. L1–23 FebMotherwell (A)xG 0.97–1.90

Aberdeen

  1. D0–06 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.97–0.51
  2. L0–127 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.15–1.33
  3. W1–020 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.88
  4. L0–117 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.43–0.98
  5. D0–013 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.51–0.66
  6. L0–26 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.54–2.26

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Position8th4th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠12–⁠1213–⁠10–⁠9
Points36 (1.12 per game)49 (1.53 per game)
Expected Points per game0.971.51
Goals28–⁠4332–⁠30
xG per game0.93–⁠1.561.22–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 0.93–⁠1.591.82, 1.30–⁠1.01
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.93–⁠1.521.20, 1.14–⁠0.96
ManagerMicky Mellon (32)Derek McInnes (32)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.93, 9thAberdeen1.04, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.32, 9thAberdeen0.95, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United attack: 0.93Aberdeen attack: 1.041.040.93AberdeenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United defence: 1.32Aberdeen defence: 0.951.320.95

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+30%−13%−23%
Counter-attacks+72%+85%+30%−29%
Set pieces−39%+18%+2%−40%
Penalties−64%−27%+27%+27%
Headers−54%+23%average−48%
Left side+16%+43%+1%−12%
Centre−42%+11%−6%−44%
Right side−22%+46%−15%−16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side+16%−16%Centre−42%−44%Right side−22%−12%Open play−21%−23%Counter-attacks+72%−29%Set pieces−39%−40%Headers−54%−48%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side+1%+46%Centre−6%+11%Right side−15%+43%Open play−13%+30%Counter-attacks+30%+85%Set pieces+2%+18%Headersaverage+23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.93xG1.22
1.56xG against0.99
46%Possession51%
9.5Shots11.4
15.9Shots against9.8
3.0Shots on target3.5
1.2Big chances1.4
14.4Touches in the opposition box20.5
364Passes399
65%Pass accuracy71%
4.0Corners4.4
38%Field tilt52%
31.0Final-third entries35.7
8.6Box entries9.6
15.2Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.821.29
Ahead181.131.33
Behind241.002.25

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.320.89
Ahead231.301.12
Behind220.951.03

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.144–3
16–300.200.195–9
31–450.120.324–9
46–600.150.235–4
61–750.070.391–9
76–900.250.289–9

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.125–7
16–300.160.215–6
31–450.200.177–4
46–600.180.146–6
61–750.160.133–3
76–900.240.226–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 30Mehmet 2Smith 15Neilson 6Bolton 4Edwards 18Connolly 16Butcher 1Reynolds 28Robson 1Robson 20Butcher 3Powers 3Bolton 9Smith 7Chalmers 3Butcher 15Clark 7Powers 2Harkes 19Pawlett 10Fuchs 8Robson 8Sporle 8Bolton 4Clark 13McNulty 11Chalmers 1Shankland 25Appere 6Butcher 44-4-2 in 10 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (10), 3-5-2 (10), 4-1-4-1 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 32Hoban 28Hayes 3McCrorie 3Taylor 29McKenna 4Considine 29Kennedy 8Hedges 7McLennan 6Ferguson 21McGeouch 4Kennedy 2McCrorie 18Campbell 8Ojo 5Hayes 19Kennedy 6Leigh 5Hedges 10Wright 9Ferguson 7Cosgrove 9Watkins 7Hornby 5Main 8Kamberi 5McGinn 43-4-1-2 in 9 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (9), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2021Aberdeen0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–0.46
17 October 2020Dundee United0–0AberdeenxG 0.48–1.21

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Aberdeen won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 0–0 and xG 0.47–1.03 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark231,904810.270.13
Shankland252,296720.280.11
Sporle11953320.190.14
Pawlett141,253110.120.16

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGinn9781010.210.32
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.