Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 1–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 20 November 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 10,500

Dundee United Harkes 80' · Butcher sent off 42'

Aberdeen Ojo sent off 45'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Goals10
xG0.580.69
Expected Points1.181.39

Dundee United 25%Draw 44%Aberdeen 32%

Most likely score 0–0, 28%. Final score 1–0, 16%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+19%6%1%16%15%4%4%3%1%28%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTButcher (Dundee United), red card 42'Ojo (Aberdeen), second yellow card 45'Appere on for Niskanen, 56'Hoti on for Fuchs, 59'Glass on for Pawlett, 68'Hayes on for MacKenzie, 46'Jenks on for McGeouch, 65'Longstaff on for Gurr, 73'Harkes 80'Aberdeen 0.69Dundee United 0.5800.250.50.750153045607590HTButcher (Dundee United), red card 42'Ojo (Aberdeen), second yellow card 45'Appere on for Niskanen, 56'Hoti on for Fuchs, 59'Glass on for Pawlett, 68'Hayes on for MacKenzie, 46'Jenks on for McGeouch, 65'Longstaff on for Gurr, 73'Harkes 80'0.690.58Dundee UnitedAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.58 −0.42xG0.69 −0.28
0.51 −0.90xG on target0.55 −0.40
7 −4Shots12 −1
2 −2.5Shots on target4 −0.5
1 −0.5Big chances1 0.0
15 −1Touches in the opposition box20 +2
37% −10Possession63% +6
273 −108Passes462 +12
56% −14Pass accuracy77% +1
32% −15Field tilt68% +11
20 −16Final-third entries51 +13
5 −2.8Box entries13 +4.2
17.5 +4Passes per defensive action17.2 +4
4 −1.0Corners3 −2.5
12 −2Tackles6 −6
5 −5.4Interceptions8 −1.2
22 0Clearances10 −7
4 +1.4Saves1 +0.1
7 −6Fouls13 −1
2 +0.3Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Clark 77', 0.18 xGFuchs 1', 0.17 xGMcMann 64', 0.04 xGMulgrew 76', 0.04 xGFreeman 29', 0.03 xGAppere 79', 0.02 xGHarkes 80', 0.10 xG, goal31%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals47%0.27 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.27 xG, 1 goal16%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals7%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Hedges 57', 0.24 xGJenks 67', 0.15 xGWatkins 90+2', 0.06 xGMcGeouch 9', 0.05 xGCampbell 44', 0.05 xGWatkins 28', 0.03 xGGurr 28', 0.03 xGRamirez 90+1', 0.03 xGRamirez 14', 0.02 xGHedges 24', 0.02 xGGurr 65', 0.02 xGGurr 30', 0.01 xG35%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals22%0.15 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals22%0.15 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals19%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.26 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.60 9 shots, 0 goals
0.32 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.09 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
80 min (87%) · Dundee United 0.58, Aberdeen 0.60 xG
Dundee United ahead
12 min (13%) · Dundee United 0.00, Aberdeen 0.09 xG

Line-ups

122124338661823710SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannPawlettFuchsButcherHarkesNiskanenClarkYellow cardSent offGoal68'59'56'Dundee United 4-5-1Tam Courts1283211516241179LewisMcCrorieBrownMacKenzieGurrMcGeouchOjoCampbellHedgesWatkinsRamirezYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card46'73'65'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Stephen Glass

Dundee United substitutes

  • 56' Appere for Niskanen
  • 59' Hoti for Fuchs
  • 68' Glass for Pawlett

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Hayes for MacKenzie
  • 65' Jenks for McGeouch
  • 73' Longstaff for Gurr

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0111
Freeman RB900.030.0100.0572
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.0227
MulgrewCB900.040.0000.03413
McMannLB9010.040.0220.0556
PawlettRM680.000.010−0.0120
FuchsCM590.170.000−0.0103
Butcher CM420.000.0100.0032
HarkesCM9010.100.0200.0123
NiskanenLM560.000.0110.0311
ClarkST900.180.010−0.0111
AppereFW340.020.0100.0121
HotiMF310.000.0320.0323
GlassMF220.000.0300.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0210
McCrorieCB900.000.0100.0527
BrownCB900.000.2100.17102
MacKenzieCB460.000.0000.0214
GurrRWB730.060.0410.1182
McGeouchCM650.050.0400.0242
Ojo CM450.000.0100.0120
CampbellLWB900.050.0110.0341
Hedges AM900.260.0730.22113
WatkinsST900.090.0300.0642
RamirezST900.050.0410.0440
HayesDF440.000.0820.1270
JenksDF250.150.0100.0110
LongstaffMF170.000.0100.0024

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Freeman and Butcher: 3 passesEdwards and Pawlett: 3 passesEdwards and Harkes: 3 passesMcMann and Butcher: 3 passesPawlett and Butcher: 3 passesFuchs and Clark: 3 passesFreeman and Edwards: 4 passesFreeman and Harkes: 4 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 4 passesMulgrew and McMann: 4 passesMulgrew and Fuchs: 4 passesHarkes and Clark: 4 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 5 passesMcMann and Niskanen: 5 passesPawlett and Harkes: 5 passesMcMann and Fuchs: 7 passesSiegrist: 4 completed passesFreeman: 9 completed passesEdwards: 9 completed passesMulgrew: 6 completed passesMcMann: 12 completed passesPawlett: 8 completed passesFuchs: 11 completed passesHarkes: 13 completed passesButcher: 10 completed passesNiskanen: 4 completed passesClark: 4 completed passes122124338662318710SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannPawlettFuchsHarkesButcherNiskanenClarkStarters until 42' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Brown and Gurr: 3 passesBrown and Ojo: 3 passesMcCrorie and Ojo: 3 passesHedges and Ramirez: 3 passesHedges and Watkins: 3 passesLewis and McCrorie: 4 passesBrown and Campbell: 4 passesBrown and Hedges: 4 passesGurr and McGeouch: 4 passesOjo and Hedges: 4 passesOjo and Watkins: 4 passesLewis and MacKenzie: 5 passesMcCrorie and Gurr: 5 passesGurr and Hedges: 5 passesCampbell and Hedges: 6 passesOjo and Campbell: 8 passesBrown and MacKenzie: 9 passesBrown and McCrorie: 10 passesMcCrorie and McGeouch: 10 passesMacKenzie and Ojo: 10 passesBrown and McGeouch: 13 passesMacKenzie and Campbell: 13 passesLewis: 9 completed passesBrown: 29 completed passesMcCrorie: 20 completed passesMacKenzie: 22 completed passesGurr: 11 completed passesOjo: 20 completed passesMcGeouch: 18 completed passesCampbell: 19 completed passesHedges: 10 completed passesRamirez: 6 completed passesWatkins: 5 completed passes1823211615241197LewisBrownMcCrorieMacKenzieGurrOjoMcGeouchCampbellHedgesRamirezWatkinsStarters until 45' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FreemanPawlett11
HarkesFreeman8
EdwardsFreeman8
HarkesClark5
HotiMcMann5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
BrownMcCrorie15
McCrorieBrown12
BrownMcGeouch11
BrownGurr9
MacKenzieCampbell9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

3−1.59+3.810+2.25−2.25−1.55−0.12−4.07−0.36−1.64−1.05+0.96−0.46−0.12−2.82−1.53+0.37+3.66+1.83+0.63+1.60−1.53+1.61−1.90−1.00−0.30−0.60−0.510.012−5.21−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Aberdeen

7+2.26+0.11−3.46+0.44−3.75−0.23−2.26−0.412+3.14−1.07+2.66+2.86+0.22−1.13−0.14+1.91−1.94−1.80−2.51+0.10−1.10−1.11−1.70−0.60−0.10−0.80−0.11+0.56−4.81−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.020.020.010.010.010.010.02−0.010.03−0.010.02−0.020.020.03−0.010.020.010.04LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.070.010.020.020.030.040.020.040.020.040.050.020.010.050.020.090.09−0.03−0.070.130.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackDundee United0.98 → 0.97Aberdeen1.12 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.31 → 1.28Aberdeen1.06 → 1.05

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six57%72%+15
11th2%1%−1
Bottom1%<1%−1
Aberdeen
Top six57%43%−14
11th2%3%+1
Bottom<1%1%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six28%30%+2
11th7%7%0

From the forecast before the match (20 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Expected goals0.921.18
Win28%41%
Expected Points1.141.55
Clean sheet31%40%

Dundee United 28%Draw 31%Aberdeen 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%3%1%8%3%5%6%4%1%2%2%1%13%14%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee United
Top six57%72%57%46%
11th2%1%3%3%
Bottom1%<1%<1%1%
Aberdeen
Top six57%43%55%69%
11th2%3%1%1%
Bottom<1%1%1%<1%
St. Johnstone
Top six28%30%27%26%
11th7%7%7%7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L2–56 NovHearts (A)xG 0.85–2.14
  2. L0–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.84–0.33
  3. D1–127 OctLivingston (A)xG 1.83–0.34
  4. W2–123 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.83–1.38
  5. W3–016 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.73–0.41
  6. W1–02 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.26–0.90

Aberdeen

  1. L0–26 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.94–0.47
  2. W2–130 OctHearts (H)xG 1.11–0.95
  3. D2–227 OctRangers (A)xG 1.02–2.34
  4. W1–023 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.24–0.22
  5. L1–216 OctDundee FC (A)xG 0.96–0.56
  6. L1–23 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.57–1.65

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Position4th7th
Played1313
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠3–⁠44–⁠3–⁠6
Points21 (1.62 per game)15 (1.15 per game)
Expected Points per game1.311.27
Goals13–⁠1315–⁠18
xG per game1.00–⁠1.100.97–⁠1.00
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 0.93–⁠1.091.43, 1.00–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game1.29, 1.05–⁠1.110.83, 0.94–⁠1.30
ManagerTam Courts (13)Stephen Glass (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackDundee United0.98, 10thAberdeen1.12, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.31, 7thAberdeen1.06, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDundee United attack: 0.98Aberdeen attack: 1.121.120.98AberdeenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDundee United defence: 1.31Aberdeen defence: 1.061.311.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−3%−15%−17%−30%
Counter-attacks+84%−46%−50%−37%
Set pieces−33%+10%+14%−8%
Penalties−100%−6%−100%+40%
Headers+6%+20%+17%−8%
Left sideaverage+3%−25%−27%
Centre+13%−13%−15%−28%
Right side−59%−15%+14%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft sideaverage−15%Centre+13%−28%Right side−59%−27%Open play−3%−30%Counter-attacks+84%−37%Set pieces−33%−8%Headers+6%−8%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−25%−15%Centre−15%−13%Right side+14%+3%Open play−17%−15%Counter-attacks−50%−46%Set pieces+14%+10%Headers+17%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

1.00xG0.97
1.10xG against1.00
47%Possession58%
11.2Shots12.8
12.6Shots against8.2
4.5Shots on target4.5
1.5Big chances1.0
16.0Touches in the opposition box17.8
380Passes450
70%Pass accuracy76%
5.0Corners5.5
47%Field tilt56%
35.9Final-third entries38.3
7.8Box entries8.8
13.9Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.891.11
Ahead170.621.18
Behind201.601.00

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.871.11
Ahead190.531.12
Behind251.510.70

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.150–0
16–300.130.141–5
31–450.250.265–2
46–600.170.122–2
61–750.190.203–1
76–900.170.232–3

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.131–2
16–300.230.094–2
31–450.120.221–3
46–600.150.204–6
61–750.160.123–2
76–900.180.242–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 10Carson 3Freeman 6Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 12Smith 1Mulgrew 12Reynolds 1McMann 9Robson 4Pawlett 6Niskanen 2Chalmers 2Fuchs 11Levitt 6Butcher 4Clark 3Harkes 11Niskanen 6Pawlett 4Sporle 2Clark 8McNulty 4Shankland 14-5-1 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (5), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLewis 11Woods 2Ramsay 9Ojo 3Gurr 1Bates 6Gallagher 6Brown 3McCrorie 9Considine 2MacKenzie 7Campbell 4McCrorie 1McGeouch 4Hedges 3Ojo 2Brown 9Jenks 3Ferguson 10Longstaff 3McGinn 1Ojo 5Hedges 3Ferguson 2Ramirez 9Watkins 2Emmanuel-Tho… 2Emmanuel-ThomasHayes 4Samuels 3Watkins 24-3-3 in 3 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 August 2021Aberdeen2–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.67–0.43
20 March 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.46–0.47
2 January 2021Aberdeen0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–0.46
17 October 2020Dundee United0–0AberdeenxG 0.48–1.21

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Aberdeen won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 1–2 and xG 0.46–0.80 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett11972200.190.17
Clark11893210.240.11
Niskanen8659130.100.20
Harkes111,027220.170.08

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramirez121,045610.290.05
Ramsay9726040.010.28
Ferguson121,071210.150.09
Hedges7612030.100.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.