Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Aberdeen 2–0 Dundee United

Sunday 1 August 2021, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 1 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 6,305

Aberdeen Hayes 27', Ramirez 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenDundee United
Goals20
xG0.670.43
Expected Points1.511.02

Aberdeen 35%Draw 47%Dundee United 19%

Most likely score 0–0, 31%. Final score 2–0, 6%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+16%1%16%1%6%4%31%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTMcLennan on for Hayes, 67'McGeouch on for Ramirez, 74'Gurr on for Ojo, 89'Fuchs on for Reynolds and Chalmers on for Clark, 58'Mochrie on for Shankland, 80'Hayes 27'Ramirez 51'Aberdeen 0.67Dundee United 0.4300.250.50.750153045607590HTMcLennan on for Hayes, 67'McGeouch on for Ramirez, 74'Gurr on for Ojo, 89'Fuchs on for Reynolds and Chalmers on for Clark, 58'Mochrie on for Shankland, 80'Hayes 27'Ramirez 51'0.670.43AberdeenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenDundee United

0.67xG0.43
0.63xG on target0.03
7Shots5
3Shots on target1
2Big chances1
13Touches in the opposition box5
58%Possession42%
536Passes383
82%Pass accuracy74%
52%Field tilt48%
28Final-third entries27
4Box entries2
13.9Passes per defensive action17.4
5Corners4
10Tackles20
18Interceptions4
12Clearances9
2Saves1
12Fouls17
1Offsides3

Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Emmanuel-Thomas 2', 0.05 xGRamirez 6', 0.05 xGMacKenzie 64', 0.04 xGBrown 6', 0.01 xGConsidine 26', 0.01 xGRamirez 51', 0.30 xG, goalHayes 27', 0.21 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals55%0.37 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal36%0.24 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.24 xG, 1 goal9%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Harkes 45', 0.33 xGMulgrew 82', 0.04 xGChalmers 79', 0.03 xGHarkes 70', 0.02 xGHarkes 83', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals77%0.33 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.33 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals14%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenDundee United

0.64 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.38 3 shots, 0 goals
0.03 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
27 min (30%) · Aberdeen 0.33, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Aberdeen ahead
63 min (70%) · Aberdeen 0.34, Dundee United 0.43 xG

Line-ups

1222431619817149LewisRamsayMcCrorieConsidineMacKenzieOjoFergusonBrownHayesEmmanuel-ThomasRamirezYellow cardGoalGoal89'67'74'Aberdeen 4-4-2Stephen Glass11246223181017824SiegristEdwardsMulgrewReynoldsSmithHarkesButcherClarkRobsonPawlettShanklandYellow cardYellow cardYellow card58'58'80'Dundee United 3-5-1-1Tam Courts

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 67' McLennan for Hayes
  • 74' McGeouch for Ramirez
  • 89' Gurr for Ojo

Dundee United substitutes

  • 58' Fuchs for Reynolds
  • 58' Chalmers for Clark
  • 80' Mochrie for Shankland

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0460
RamsayRB9010.000.2520.2353
McCrorieCB900.000.0000.0664
ConsidineCB900.010.0000.05310
MacKenzieLB900.040.0100.0157
OjoRM890.000.030−0.0124
Ferguson CM9010.000.1320.0641
BrownCM900.010.0200.0527
HayesLM6710.210.0100.0333
Emmanuel-ThomasST900.050.0200.0131
RamirezST7410.350.010−0.0102
McLennanFW230.000.0000.0120
McGeouchMF160.000.0000.0000
GurrDF10.000.0000.0110

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0110
Edwards CB900.000.0100.0654
MulgrewCB900.040.0100.0568
ReynoldsCB580.000.0000.0121
SmithRWB900.000.2010.1831
HarkesCM900.360.0210.0112
Butcher CM900.000.0100.0355
ClarkCM580.000.0100.0013
RobsonLWB900.000.0100.0337
PawlettAM900.000.0920.0241
Shankland ST800.000.001−0.0200
FuchsMF320.000.0200.0432
ChalmersMF320.030.0000.0221
MochrieFW100.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Lewis and McCrorie: 6 passesRamsay and Hayes: 6 passesConsidine and Emmanuel-Thomas: 6 passesMcCrorie and Ojo: 6 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 6 passesOjo and Emmanuel-Thomas: 6 passesFerguson and Hayes: 6 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 7 passesMacKenzie and Emmanuel-Thomas: 7 passesOjo and Ferguson: 8 passesBrown and Emmanuel-Thomas: 8 passesRamsay and Emmanuel-Thomas: 9 passesFerguson and Emmanuel-Thomas: 9 passesRamsay and Brown: 11 passesRamsay and Ojo: 12 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 14 passesLewis and Considine: 15 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 15 passesConsidine and Brown: 16 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 17 passesMacKenzie and Brown: 18 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 19 passesConsidine and MacKenzie: 22 passesRamsay and McCrorie: 26 passesBrown and Ferguson: 27 passesConsidine and McCrorie: 29 passesLewis: 19 completed passesRamsay: 49 completed passesConsidine: 57 completed passesMcCrorie: 54 completed passesMacKenzie: 37 completed passesOjo: 16 completed passesBrown: 55 completed passesFerguson: 55 completed passesHayes: 14 completed passesRamirez: 5 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 27 completed passes1224231681917914LewisRamsayConsidineMcCrorieMacKenzieOjoBrownFergusonHayesRamirezEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Dundee United

Siegrist and Mulgrew: 4 passesMulgrew and Harkes: 4 passesHarkes and Butcher: 4 passesButcher and Clark: 4 passesButcher and Pawlett: 4 passesClark and Pawlett: 4 passesEdwards and Harkes: 5 passesReynolds and Butcher: 5 passesEdwards and Butcher: 6 passesSmith and Pawlett: 6 passesButcher and Shankland: 6 passesRobson and Clark: 7 passesMulgrew and Reynolds: 8 passesSmith and Harkes: 8 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 10 passesEdwards and Smith: 12 passesSiegrist: 8 completed passesEdwards: 22 completed passesMulgrew: 21 completed passesReynolds: 17 completed passesSmith: 22 completed passesRobson: 9 completed passesHarkes: 15 completed passesButcher: 17 completed passesClark: 14 completed passesPawlett: 10 completed passesShankland: 7 completed passes11246217231810824SiegristEdwardsMulgrewReynoldsSmithRobsonHarkesButcherClarkPawlettShanklandStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
BrownFerguson19
McCrorieRamsay18
McCrorieConsidine18
RamsayMcCrorie14
MacKenzieConsidine14

Dundee United

FromToPasses
EdwardsMulgrew12
SmithEdwards11
MulgrewEdwards9
MulgrewRobson9
EdwardsSmith6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

73347394952838524111421013LessMore

Dundee United

52574331673664221121991189LessMore

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.030.010.030.010.020.010.010.070.020.020.010.010.020.010.020.010.030.03−0.01−0.020.18LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.050.010.020.020.030.03−0.020.010.01−0.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackAberdeen1.09 → 1.08Dundee United0.90 → 0.89Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.01 → 1.00Dundee United1.39 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six63%69%+6
11th2%1%−1
Bottom1%1%0
Dundee United
Top six11%8%−3
11th21%24%+3
Bottom18%21%+3
Ross County
Top six7%7%0
11th23%22%−1
Bottom23%21%−2

From the forecast before the match (1 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenDundee United
Expected goals1.410.75
Win52%19%
Expected Points1.850.87
Clean sheet47%24%

Aberdeen 52%Draw 29%Dundee United 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 16%. Both sides score 41%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%3%5%1%9%3%5%4%2%2%1%12%16%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawDundee United win
Aberdeen
Top six63%69%60%53%
11th2%1%3%4%
Bottom1%1%1%2%
Dundee United
Top six11%8%11%18%
11th21%24%20%16%
Bottom18%21%17%11%
Ross County
Top six7%7%8%8%
11th23%22%24%24%
Bottom23%21%24%25%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–415 MayRangers (A)xG 1.98–1.19
  2. L0–112 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.28–0.44
  3. W2–11 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.78–1.35
  4. D1–121 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.52–2.87
  5. W1–010 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.39
  6. L0–120 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.47–0.46

Dundee United

  1. D0–016 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 1.22–0.62
  2. D2–212 MayMotherwell (H)xG 1.56–0.90
  3. L0–21 MayRoss County (H)xG 0.16–2.18
  4. L0–321 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.15–2.29
  5. W1–010 AprHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.32–2.76
  6. W1–020 MarAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–0.47

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackAberdeen1.09, 5thDundee United0.90, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.01, 5thDundee United1.39, 9th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−7%−20%−19%+27%
Counter-attacks+18%−36%+67%+72%
Set pieces+7%−24%−45%+25%
Penalties+11%+11%−53%−21%
Headers+3%−41%−51%+32%
Left side+3%−4%+12%+46%
Centre+2%−39%−40%+13%
Right side−14%−7%−24%+36%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side+3%+36%Centre+2%+13%Right side−14%+46%Open play−7%+27%Counter-attacks+18%+72%Set pieces+7%+25%Headers+3%+32%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side+12%−7%Centre−40%−39%Right side−24%−4%Open play−19%−20%Counter-attacks+67%−36%Set pieces−45%−24%Headers−51%−41%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 March 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.46–0.47
2 January 2021Aberdeen0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–0.46
17 October 2020Dundee United0–0AberdeenxG 0.48–1.21

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Dundee United won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 0–1 and xG 0.84–0.47 per game.