Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenMotherwell
1.94 +0.61xG0.85 −0.38
1.94Non-penalty xG0.06
3.27 +1.87xG on target0.99 −0.05
12 0Shots4 −8
7 +3.0Shots on target1 −2.2
3 +1.1Big chances1 −0.6
17 −4Touches in the opposition box5 −12
56% +7Possession44% −6
446 +78Passes366 +1
67% −5Pass accuracy58% −10
53% +14Field tilt47% −3
28 −8Final-third entries22 −14
8 −2.0Box entries2 −6.6
22.8 +6Passes per defensive action18.8 +6
9 +3.9Corners2 −3.3
7 −6Tackles15 −1
8 −0.4Interceptions5 −4.7
16 −7Clearances29 +12
0 −3.0Saves4 +1.5
9 −1Fouls18 +4
1 −0.2Offsides1 −0.8
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
42'64'69'75'
0–01–03–1
0'HTFT
Level
42 min (42%) · Aberdeen 0.58, Motherwell 0.00 xG
Aberdeen ahead
57 min (58%) · Aberdeen 1.36, Motherwell 0.85 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
45'Coulson for Hayes
90+2'Watkins for Miovski
90+5'Bavidge for Duk
Motherwell substitutes
55'van Veen for Obika · goal 75' (pen)
55'Crankshaw for Goss
56'McKinstry for Aitchison
62'Slattery for Lamie
70'Danzaki for Cornelius
70'Tierney for Spittal
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Gorter
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Pollock
CB
90
0.24
0.08
1
0.12
7
7
MacDonald
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
4
Scales
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
1
4
Kennedy
RWB
90
0.02
0.03
0
0.02
5
1
Ramadani
CM
90
1
0.03
0.08
2
0.11
4
2
Clarkson
CM
90
1
0.04
0.49
2
0.17
3
0
Shinnie
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.02
2
6
Hayes
LWB
45
1
0.00
0.42
2
0.23
6
3
Miovski
ST
90
2
1.21
0.00
1
0.02
2
1
Duk
ST
90
1
0.40
0.01
0
−0.01
3
1
Coulson
DF
45
0.00
0.01
1
0.05
5
3
Watkins
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Bavidge
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
1
O'Donnell
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
5
9
Lamie
CB
62
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
6
McGinn
CB
90
0.01
0.01
0
0.07
7
6
Johnston
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
6
Cornelius
CM
70
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
2
Spittal
CM
70
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
2
Goss
CM
55
0.00
0.02
1
0.01
3
6
Furlong
LWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
3
Obika
ST
55
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
2
3
Aitchison
ST
56
0.01
0.00
0
0.01
2
0
van Veen
FW
35
1
0.79
0.01
0
0.01
1
0
Crankshaw
FW
35
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
McKinstry
FW
34
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
0
1
Slattery
MF
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Danzaki
MF
20
0.04
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Tierney
MF
20
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Pollock
Kennedy
12
Kennedy
Ramadani
11
Scales
MacDonald
9
Ramadani
Kennedy
8
Ramadani
Clarkson
8
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
McGinn
Furlong
12
Cornelius
Johnston
7
McGinn
Kelly
7
Furlong
McGinn
6
Johnston
O'Donnell
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 24 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 23 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
33%
45%
+12
11th
2%
1%
−1
Bottom
1%
<1%
−1
Motherwell
Top six
1%
<1%
−1
11th
21%
24%
+3
Bottom
18%
23%
+5
Ross County
11th
26%
27%
+1
Bottom
43%
40%
−3
St. Mirren
Top six
82%
78%
−4
From the forecast before the match (4 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.47
1.03
Win
47%
26%
Expected Points
1.68
1.05
Clean sheet
36%
23%
Aberdeen 47%Draw 27%Motherwell 26%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 4 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Motherwell win
Aberdeen
Top six
33%
45%
27%
18%
11th
2%
1%
2%
5%
Bottom
1%
<1%
1%
2%
Motherwell
Top six
1%
<1%
1%
3%
11th
21%
24%
21%
16%
Bottom
18%
23%
16%
9%
Ross County
11th
26%
27%
27%
24%
Bottom
43%
40%
44%
48%
St. Mirren
Top six
82%
78%
84%
85%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Position
7th
11th
Played
24
23
Won, drawn, lost
9–2–13
5–5–13
Points
29 (1.21 per game)
20 (0.87 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.20
1.24
Goals
36–46
26–35
xG per game
1.33–1.72
1.23–1.37
Home: points, xG per game
1.83, 1.70–1.24
0.55, 1.24–1.04
Away: points, xG per game
0.58, 0.96–2.20
1.17, 1.22–1.68
Manager
Barry Robson (1)
Steven Hammell (23)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−8%
+14%
−13%
+17%
Counter-attacks
+23%
+19%
+26%
−16%
Set pieces
−22%
+43%
average
−7%
Penalties
+87%
+108%
+8%
−35%
Headers
+12%
+17%
−15%
+18%
Left side
−23%
+35%
+5%
−1%
Centre
−14%
+12%
−12%
+28%
Right side
+7%
+21%
−14%
−8%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenMotherwell
1.33xG1.23
1.72xG against1.37
49%Possession50%
12.0Shots11.8
14.7Shots against11.8
4.0Shots on target3.2
1.9Big chances1.6
20.5Touches in the opposition box16.8
368Passes365
72%Pass accuracy68%
5.1Corners5.3
39%Field tilt50%
36.1Final-third entries35.5
10.0Box entries8.6
16.4Passes per defensive action12.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
1.16
1.65
Ahead
22
1.67
1.24
Behind
28
1.29
2.23
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
1.32
1.73
Ahead
17
1.20
1.07
Behind
34
1.13
1.11
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.23
3–6
16–30
0.17
0.22
4–5
31–45
0.33
0.33
8–10
46–60
0.24
0.26
6–7
61–75
0.25
0.33
8–7
76–90
0.25
0.35
7–11
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.27
1–5
16–30
0.17
0.27
4–5
31–45
0.24
0.22
4–4
46–60
0.23
0.22
8–6
61–75
0.27
0.16
3–9
76–90
0.25
0.24
6–6
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts