Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 1–1 St. Mirren

Wednesday 28 December 2022, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 19 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 1,897

Livingston Montano 56' · Pittman sent off 24'

St. Mirren Main 63' · O'Hara sent off 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Goals11
xG1.591.36
Expected Points1.551.16

Livingston 42%Draw 30%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 1–1, 16%.

St. Mirren goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%5%3%1%7%10%4%7%10%3%3%5%4%2%1%16%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTPittman (Livingston), red card 24'O'Hara (St. Mirren), second yellow card 55'Holt on for Shinnie and Penrice on for Montano, 72'Omeonga on for Bahamboula, 82'Brophy on for Ayunga, 46'Kiltie on for Strain, 80'Montano 56'Main 63'Livingston 1.59St. Mirren 1.3600.511.520153045607590HTPittman (Livingston), red card 24'O'Hara (St. Mirren), second yellow card 55'Holt on for Shinnie and Penrice on for Montano, 72'Omeonga on for Bahamboula, 82'Brophy on for Ayunga, 46'Kiltie on for Strain, 80'Montano 56'Main 63'1.591.36LivingstonSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.59 +0.55xG1.36 +0.23
1.79 +0.72xG on target1.50 +0.43
8 −1.6Shots16 +4.9
3 −0.2Shots on target3 −0.1
3 +1.5Big chances2 0.0
20 +1Touches in the opposition box21 +4
53% +16Possession47% +10
385 +121Passes327 +66
77% +15Pass accuracy72% +10
60% +24Field tilt40% +2
27 +2Final-third entries40 +10
8 +0.2Box entries13 +4.2
27.6 +11Passes per defensive action15.3 −2
4 +0.3Corners5 −1.1
6 −8Tackles8 −8
5 −6.0Interceptions7 −2.6
25 −1Clearances32 +10
2 −1.2Saves2 −0.4
8 −5Fouls17 +3
1 −0.2Offsides3 +1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 60', 0.35 xGMontano 56', 0.27 xGAnderson 69', 0.09 xGMontano 34', 0.08 xGObileye 45+2', 0.06 xGAnderson 90+4', 0.06 xGAnderson 90+5', 0.06 xGMontano 56', 0.62 xG, goal39%0.62 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.62 xG, 1 goal56%0.89 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.89 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Strain 60', 0.15 xGBrophy 90', 0.15 xGBrophy 70', 0.08 xGTanser 78', 0.07 xGBrophy 60', 0.06 xGMain 89', 0.06 xGMain 66', 0.05 xGMain 84', 0.05 xGFraser 45', 0.04 xGTanser 61', 0.03 xGTanser 27', 0.02 xGBrophy 60', 0.02 xGBrophy 70', 0.02 xGBrophy 82', 0.02 xGBaccus 90+1', 0.02 xGMain 63', 0.51 xG, goal37%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.51 xG, 1 goal36%0.50 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.50 xG, 0 goals15%0.21 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals9%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Mirren

0.52 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.28 15 shots, 1 goal
1.07 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (93%) · Livingston 1.25, St. Mirren 0.58 xG
Livingston ahead
7 min (7%) · Livingston 0.35, St. Mirren 0.78 xG

Line-ups

31261572224811179KonovalovDevlinObileyeBoyesBahamboulaShinnieSean KellyPittmanMontanoStephen KellyAndersonSent offGoal82'72'72'Livingston 3-5-2David Martindale123223118317166710CarsonStrainFraserGallagherDunneTanserBaccusErhahonO'HaraAyungaMainYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoal80'46'St. Mirren 5-3-2Stephen Robinson

Livingston substitutes

  • 72' Penrice for Montano
  • 72' Holt for Shinnie · yellow card 89'
  • 82' Omeonga for Bahamboula

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Brophy for Ayunga · 1 assist
  • 80' Kiltie for Strain

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KonovalovGK900.000.0000.0241
DevlinCB900.000.0700.14118
ObileyeCB900.060.000−0.0336
BoyesCB900.000.0000.0414
BahamboulaRWB820.000.1310.1042
ShinnieCM720.000.010−0.0103
Sean KellyCM900.000.2110.0468
Pittman CM240.000.0000.0001
MontanoLWB7210.980.0300.1474
Stephen KellyST900.000.1010.0753
AndersonST900.560.0100.1410
PenriceDF180.000.0410.0231
Holt MF180.000.0000.0111
OmeongaMF80.000.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0544
StrainRWB800.150.0200.0591
FraserCB900.040.1040.27145
Gallagher CB900.000.0200.12313
Dunne CB900.000.0000.0655
TanserLWB900.120.0510.14108
BaccusCM900.020.0220.0635
ErhahonCM900.000.0710.1263
O'Hara CM550.000.000−0.0101
AyungaST460.000.0110.0002
MainST9010.670.0710.0722
BrophyFW4410.360.6920.2831
KiltieFW100.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesBoyes and Montano: 3 passesBoyes and Pittman: 3 passesBoyes and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesKonovalov and Obileye: 4 passesKonovalov and Boyes: 4 passesObileye and Sean Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Bahamboula: 4 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 5 passesBoyes and Sean Kelly: 6 passesBahamboula and Sean Kelly: 6 passesObileye and Devlin: 7 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 8 passesObileye and Boyes: 11 passesKonovalov: 7 completed passesObileye: 17 completed passesDevlin: 15 completed passesBoyes: 16 completed passesBahamboula: 8 completed passesMontano: 4 completed passesSean Kelly: 17 completed passesShinnie: 3 completed passesPittman: 4 completed passesAnderson: 2 completed passesStephen Kelly: 9 completed passes31621571124228917KonovalovObileyeDevlinBoyesBahamboulaMontanoSean KellyShinniePittmanAndersonStephen KellyStarters until 24' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Carson and Fraser: 3 passesStrain and Main: 3 passesDunne and Erhahon: 3 passesGallagher and Erhahon: 3 passesFraser and Ayunga: 3 passesTanser and Erhahon: 3 passesBaccus and Erhahon: 3 passesErhahon and Ayunga: 3 passesStrain and Baccus: 4 passesCarson and Gallagher: 5 passesFraser and Baccus: 5 passesCarson and Dunne: 6 passesStrain and Erhahon: 6 passesGallagher and O'Hara: 6 passesDunne and Tanser: 7 passesDunne and O'Hara: 7 passesFraser and Erhahon: 7 passesDunne and Gallagher: 8 passesGallagher and Fraser: 12 passesStrain and Fraser: 13 passesCarson: 13 completed passesStrain: 18 completed passesDunne: 19 completed passesGallagher: 18 completed passesFraser: 25 completed passesTanser: 9 completed passesBaccus: 8 completed passesErhahon: 14 completed passesO'Hara: 11 completed passesAyunga: 5 completed passesMain: 5 completed passes123183122317166710CarsonStrainDunneGallagherFraserTanserBaccusErhahonO'HaraAyungaMainStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
ObileyeBoyes13
BoyesObileye13
DevlinObileye13
DevlinBahamboula12
Sean KellyDevlin11

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserStrain13
FraserGallagher13
GallagherFraser11
CarsonDunne8
ErhahonFraser8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.87−1.717+1.44−4.45+0.15−2.84−2.36+1.19+2.512+3.93−2.45+0.53+0.43−1.12−1.73+0.22−0.40−2.93−0.82−0.21−0.60−0.91−0.10−2.410.01+0.91+0.50−0.41+0.51−6.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

St. Mirren

5+0.39+1.813−0.213+4.47+3.39−0.24−1.010+3.94−2.93−3.23−1.44+0.95+0.79+3.12−1.98+4.42−0.46+2.74+0.62−0.60−1.82+1.32+0.24+2.11−0.20−0.610.01+0.410.03−4.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.030.030.010.030.020.040.03−0.010.020.020.040.01−0.010.010.070.070.06−0.01−0.020.110.10LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.050.010.020.010.040.050.020.040.010.080.04−0.010.050.07−0.010.01−0.050.070.180.170.190.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackLivingston1.04 → 1.05St. Mirren1.00 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.33 → 1.33St. Mirren1.36 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six59%54%−5
11th2%3%+1
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Mirren
Top six46%47%+1
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (28 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.390.97
Win46%26%
Expected Points1.661.05
Clean sheet38%25%

Livingston 46%Draw 28%St. Mirren 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Mirren goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%13%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Mirren win
Livingston
Top six59%70%54%44%
11th2%1%3%4%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
St. Mirren
Top six46%37%47%62%
11th3%5%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%–

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–424 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.06–2.06
  2. L1–221 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.28–1.96
  3. D1–112 NovHearts (A)xG 1.84–2.95
  4. W2–18 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.29–3.34
  5. W3–24 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.68–1.04
  6. L0–330 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.24–2.47

St. Mirren

  1. W3–124 DecAberdeen (H)xG 3.27–0.98
  2. D1–112 NovRangers (H)xG 1.10–1.85
  3. D2–29 NovSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.87–1.19
  4. L2–35 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.59–1.14
  5. L0–329 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.82–1.87
  6. W2–122 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–0.70

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Position8th6th
Played1716
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠2–⁠87–⁠3–⁠6
Points23 (1.35 per game)24 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.121.13
Goals16–⁠2620–⁠24
xG per game1.04–⁠1.591.13–⁠1.46
Home: points, xG per game1.88, 1.05–⁠1.322.10, 1.28–⁠1.08
Away: points, xG per game0.89, 1.04–⁠1.820.50, 0.89–⁠2.10
ManagerDavid Martindale (78)Stephen Robinson (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackLivingston1.04, 7thSt. Mirren1.00, 8thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.33, 8thSt. Mirren1.36, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston attack: 1.04St. Mirren attack: 1.001.041.00St. MirrenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston defence: 1.33St. Mirren defence: 1.361.361.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−41%+12%−34%+1%
Counter-attacks−100%−70%+62%−71%
Set pieces+4%+39%+24%−19%
Penalties+72%+72%+22%+144%
Headers−28%+55%+32%+3%
Left side−19%−5%−14%+19%
Centre−39%+9%−23%−16%
Right side−37%+46%−13%−19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−19%−19%Centre−39%−16%Right side−37%+19%Open play−41%+1%Counter-attacks−100%−71%Set pieces+4%−19%Headers−28%+3%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−14%+46%Centre−23%+9%Right side−13%−5%Open play−34%+12%Counter-attacks+62%−70%Set pieces+24%+39%Headers+32%+55%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.04xG1.13
1.59xG against1.46
37%Possession37%
9.6Shots11.1
15.5Shots against12.8
3.2Shots on target3.1
1.5Big chances2.0
18.7Touches in the opposition box16.8
264Passes261
61%Pass accuracy62%
3.7Corners6.1
37%Field tilt38%
25.0Final-third entries30.0
7.8Box entries8.8
16.5Passes per defensive action16.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level350.991.36
Ahead330.891.49
Behind221.342.09

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.151.34
Ahead221.381.54
Behind240.891.61

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.164–2
16–300.160.093–1
31–450.160.363–6
46–600.050.272–5
61–750.170.272–7
76–900.320.442–5

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.192–3
16–300.120.240–3
31–450.230.306–5
46–600.260.176–3
61–750.170.201–4
76–900.260.365–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 13Konovalov 3Hamilton 1Devlin 17Obileye 16Fitzwater 11Sean Kelly 6Longridge 1Montano 13Holt 1Penrice 1Sean Kelly 10Omeonga 7Stephen Kelly 3Holt 14Bahamboula 3Pittman 10Shinnie 2Goncalves 1Shinnie 7Bahamboula 4Stephen Kelly 4Pittman 5Nouble 5Penrice 3Nouble 10Anderson 4Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 5 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 16Strain 14Fraser 2Fraser 11Gogic 5Gallagher 13Shaughne… 3ShaughnessyDunne 16Tanser 8Tait 7Fraser 1Baccus 14Kiltie 4Erhahon 16O'Hara 14Ayunga 14Kiltie 1Main 14Greive 35-3-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 October 2022St. Mirren2–1LivingstonxG 0.77–1.45
11 May 2022St. Mirren0–0LivingstonxG 0.64–0.85
19 February 2022Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.29–0.13
20 November 2021St. Mirren1–1LivingstonxG 0.91–0.76
2 October 2021Livingston0–1St. MirrenxG 1.03–0.77
20 February 2021St. Mirren1–1LivingstonxG 0.71–0.29

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, St. Mirren won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 4–8 and xG 0.83–0.67 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sean Kelly161,324220.240.12
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Bahamboula7547100.160.08
Montano131,036310.060.11

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ayunga141,140320.450.03
O'Hara141,237400.200.06
Main141,133200.160.08
Strain141,208120.040.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.