Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–0 Celtic

Sunday 19 September 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 8,573

Livingston Shinnie 25'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	Celtic
Goals	1	0
xG	0.62	1.24
Expected Points	0.84	1.83

Livingston 17%Draw 33%Celtic 50%

Most likely score 0–1, 18%. Final score 1–0, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonCeltic

0.62 −0.06xG1.24 −1.98

1.61 +1.20xG on target0.94 −2.57

7 −2.2Shots16 −7.6

4 +1.8Shots on target5 −4.0

1 +0.4Big chances0 −5.2

21% −22Possession79% +6

183 −120Passes685 +8

56% −7Pass accuracy87% −2

12% −27Field tilt88% +6

13 −11Final-third entries87 +18

5 −2.8Box entries22 −1.4

22.9 +10.1Passes per defensive action7.9 −0.5

3 −1.8Corners10 +1.6

15 −4Tackles10 −5

10 −1.2Interceptions4 −5.2

44 +23Clearances7 −6

5 +1.2Saves3 +1.4

12 −4Fouls13 +1

2 +0.6Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonCeltic

0.11 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.62 10 shots, 0 goals

0.23 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.28 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.62 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 25 min (28%) · Livingston 0.24, Celtic 0.15 xG
Livingston ahead: 65 min (72%) · Livingston 0.38, Celtic 1.09 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

60' Bailey for McMillan
60' Pittman for Williamson
65' Forrest for Longridge

Celtic substitutes

72' Soro for McCarthy
72' Johnston for Rogic
72' Bitton for Welsh

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Stryjek	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Devlin	RB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	13
Obileye	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	10
Fitzwater	CB	90			0.27	0.00	0	0.01	1	8
Longridge	LB	65		1	0.02	0.02	1	0.08	2	3
McMillan	RM	60			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	3
Williamson	CM	60			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Holt	CM	90			0.00	0.05	0	0.09	2	16
Penrice	CM	90			0.04	0.01	0	0.03	3	3
Lewis	LM	90			0.02	0.19	1	0.01	1	8
Shinnie	ST	90	1		0.23	0.04	0	0.01	2	2
Bailey	FW	30			0.00	0.01	1	0.06	2	2
Pittman	MF	30			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Forrest	FW	25			0.06	0.00	0	−0.01	0	2

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	1
Juranovic	RB	90	0.00	0.09	1	0.09	5	4
Carter-Vickers	CB	90	0.42	0.05	0	0.20	15	3
Welsh	CB	72	0.06	0.31	0	0.27	9	0
Bolingoli-Mbombo	LB	90	0.00	0.08	0	0.18	9	5
Rogic	CM	72	0.11	0.09	0	0.23	7	0
McCarthy	CM	72	0.00	0.02	0	0.01	4	2
Turnbull	CM	90	0.27	0.55	5	−0.01	6	2
Abada	RW	90	0.08	0.14	2	0.20	4	0
Ajeti	ST	90	0.26	0.07	1	0.00	1	1
Jota	LW	90	0.00	0.10	2	0.10	9	1
Soro	MF	18	0.00	0.06	1	0.08	6	1
Johnston	FW	18	0.02	0.02	0	0.04	4	0
Bitton	DF	18	0.00	0.02	3	0.07	3	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Lewis	Shinnie	6
McMillan	Devlin	5
Longridge	Shinnie	5
Penrice	Lewis	3
Shinnie	Penrice	3

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Welsh	Carter-Vickers	29
Welsh	Bolingoli-Mbombo	27
Carter-Vickers	Welsh	22
McCarthy	Welsh	21
Bolingoli-Mbombo	Jota	21

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 5 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	11%	22%	+11
11th	17%	11%	−6
Bottom	11%	6%	−5
Celtic
Title	42%	30%	−12
Rangers
Title	56%	67%	+11

From the forecast before the match (19 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	Celtic
Expected goals	0.73	1.99
Win	12%	66%
Expected Points	0.58	2.21
Clean sheet	14%	48%

Livingston 12%Draw 21%Celtic 66%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

From the forecast as it stood on 19 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	Celtic win
Livingston
Top six	11%	22%	13%	9%
11th	17%	11%	17%	19%
Bottom	11%	6%	9%	12%
Celtic
Title	42%	30%	37%	46%
Rangers
Title	56%	67%	61%	53%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	Celtic
Position	12th	6th
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠4	3–⁠0–⁠2
Points	1 (0.20 per game)	9 (1.80 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.90	2.43
Goals	2–⁠9	16–⁠3
xG per game	0.68–⁠1.34	3.22–⁠0.61
Home: points, xG per game	0.00, 1.12–⁠1.37	3.00, 4.38–⁠0.31
Away: points, xG per game	0.33, 0.38–⁠1.32	0.00, 1.46–⁠1.07
Manager	David Martindale (28)	Ange Postecoglou (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−49%	+24%	+196%	−44%
Counter-attacks	+5%	−56%	+1%	−77%
Set pieces	−1%	average	+52%	−33%
Penalties	−89%	−79%	+32%	−87%
Headers	−13%	+21%	+101%	−17%
Left side	−5%	+18%	+119%	−59%
Centre	−48%	+6%	+187%	−20%
Right side	−34%	+30%	+107%	−75%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−5%−75%Centre−48%−20%Right side−34%−59%Open play−49%−44%Counter-attacks+5%−77%Set pieces−1%−33%Headers−13%−17%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+119%+30%Centre+187%+6%Right side+107%+18%Open play+196%+24%Counter-attacks+1%−56%Set pieces+52%averageHeaders+101%+21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonCeltic

0.68xG3.22

1.34xG against0.61

43%Possession73%

9.2Shots23.6

16.0Shots against7.4

2.2Shots on target9.0

0.6Big chances5.2

2.0Touches in the opposition box25.0

303Passes677

63%Pass accuracy90%

4.8Corners8.4

39%Field tilt82%

24.4Final-third entries68.6

7.8Box entries23.4

12.8Passes per defensive action8.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	59	0.64	1.10
Ahead	4	1.51	2.99
Behind	26	0.63	1.60

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	1.61	0.86
Ahead	34	5.57	0.45
Behind	14	2.35	0.27

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.28	0–1
16–30	0.04	0.04	0–0
31–45	0.17	0.11	2–0
46–60	0.02	0.36	0–3
61–75	0.21	0.05	0–0
76–90	0.13	0.50	0–5

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.31	0.22	0–1
16–30	0.79	0.04	5–0
31–45	0.50	0.04	1–0
46–60	0.22	0.10	2–0
61–75	0.67	0.12	4–1
76–90	0.74	0.09	4–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
10 April 2021	Celtic	6–0	Livingston	xG 2.83–0.79
20 January 2021	Livingston	2–2	Celtic	xG 0.77–1.69
16 January 2021	Celtic	0–0	Livingston	xG 0.42–1.22
19 September 2020	Celtic	3–2	Livingston	xG 1.58–1.35

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Celtic won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 4–11 and xG 1.03–1.63 per game.

Key players

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Forrest	26	2,263	5	1	0.17	0.17
Pittman	40	3,592	6	2	0.17	0.06
Devlin	39	3,516	2	2	0.06	0.10
Holt	32	2,846	1	4	0.05	0.10

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Edouard	31	2,602	20	5	0.78	0.21
Turnbull	30	2,486	11	6	0.27	0.36
Forrest	9	848	3	2	0.34	0.26
Christie	29	2,643	5	12	0.27	0.32

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.