Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 0–0 Livingston

Saturday 30 October 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 12 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 57,388

Livingston Obileye sent off 90+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticLivingston
Goals00
xG1.800.10
Non-penalty xG1.010.10
Expected Points2.760.13

Celtic 89%Draw 11%Livingston 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 32%. Final score 0–0, 7%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+7%4%4%15%2%4%31%32%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTObileye (Livingston), red card 90+2'Johnston on for Abada and Furuhashi on for Starfelt, 58'Forrest on for Jota, 82'Panayiotou on for Anderson and Forrest on for Shinnie, 73'Longridge on for Kelly, 90'Celtic 1.80Livingston 0.1000.511.520153045607590HTObileye (Livingston), red card 90+2'Johnston on for Abada and Furuhashi on for Starfelt, 58'Forrest on for Jota, 82'Panayiotou on for Anderson and Forrest on for Shinnie, 73'Longridge on for Kelly, 90'1.800.10CelticLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticLivingston

1.80 −0.78xG0.10 −0.59
1.01Non-penalty xG0.10
0.99 −1.66xG on target0.00 −0.76
16 −4.1Shots2 −6.6
2 −5.2Shots on target0 −2.7
3 −0.9Big chances0 −0.9
34 0Touches in the opposition box4 −7
85% +14Possession15% −23
881 +228Passes154 −128
91% +3Pass accuracy52% −8
95% +17Field tilt5% −31
129 +58Final-third entries7 −15
23 +1.8Box entries1 −5.5
6.3 −3.0Passes per defensive action54.1 +38.8
6 −2.4Corners3 −0.8
14 +2Tackles12 −5
2 −5.7Interceptions9 −1.6
9 −7Clearances26 +3
0 −2.0Saves1 −2.4
10 −3Fouls10 −5
0 −1.4Offsides5 +3.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Giakoumakis 90+5', 0.27 xGTurnbull 90+6', 0.14 xGForrest 90+5', 0.13 xGJuranovic 13', 0.07 xGStarfelt 41', 0.07 xGRalston 45', 0.07 xGGiakoumakis 48', 0.07 xGAbada 45', 0.03 xGTurnbull 70', 0.03 xGJuranovic 80', 0.03 xGTurnbull 1', 0.02 xGAbada 38', 0.02 xGTurnbull 61', 0.02 xGTurnbull 86', 0.02 xGRalston 88', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%0.70 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.70 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Panayiotou 77', 0.08 xGForrest 76', 0.03 xG73%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals27%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticLivingston

0.93 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
96 min (100%) · Celtic 1.80, Livingston 0.10 xG

Line-ups

1556204884261411717HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltJuranovicMcGregorBittonTurnbullAbadaGiakoumakisJota58'58'82'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou32256424141833229StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeParkesKellyBaileyHoltOmeongaShinnieAndersonSent off90'73'73'Livingston 5-4-1David Martindale

Celtic substitutes

  • 58' Furuhashi for Starfelt
  • 58' Johnston for Abada
  • 82' Forrest for Jota

Livingston substitutes

  • 73' Forrest for Shinnie
  • 73' Panayiotou for Anderson
  • 90' Longridge for Kelly

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0202
RalstonRB900.090.2130.32141
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0810.2885
StarfeltCB580.070.0400.2271
JuranovicLB900.100.0700.13112
McGregorCM900.000.183−0.0172
BittonCM900.000.0900.1196
TurnbullCM900.230.3920.1141
AbadaRW580.050.2410.1241
GiakoumakisST901.130.021−0.0312
JotaLW820.000.0700.0791
FuruhashiFW320.000.0310.0201
JohnstonFW320.000.1120.0721
ForrestFW80.130.1310.1460

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.0531
DevlinRWB900.000.0000.0117
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0226
Obileye CB900.000.0000.00011
ParkesCB900.000.0000.0005
KellyLWB900.000.0000.0015
BaileyRM900.000.0810.0000
HoltCM900.000.0500.0225
OmeongaCM900.000.001−0.0105
ShinnieLM730.000.0100.0003
AndersonST730.000.010−0.0202
ForrestFW170.030.0000.0113
PanayiotouFW170.080.0000.0001
LongridgeDF00.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Abada: 7 passesBitton and Abada: 7 passesRalston and McGregor: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Juranovic: 8 passesTurnbull and Jota: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 10 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 10 passesMcGregor and Jota: 10 passesStarfelt and Turnbull: 11 passesJuranovic and Bitton: 12 passesTurnbull and Abada: 12 passesStarfelt and Jota: 15 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 16 passesCarter-Vickers and Turnbull: 18 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 18 passesStarfelt and Juranovic: 20 passesBitton and Turnbull: 21 passesRalston and Turnbull: 22 passesBitton and McGregor: 22 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 25 passesRalston and Bitton: 25 passesCarter-Vickers and Bitton: 28 passesJuranovic and Jota: 28 passesStarfelt and Bitton: 30 passesRalston and Abada: 34 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 47 passesHart: 9 completed passesRalston: 68 completed passesStarfelt: 81 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 78 completed passesJuranovic: 51 completed passesBitton: 78 completed passesMcGregor: 49 completed passesTurnbull: 52 completed passesAbada: 28 completed passesGiakoumakis: 2 completed passesJota: 31 completed passes1556420886421411717HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersJuranovicBittonMcGregorTurnbullAbadaGiakoumakisJotaStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Fitzwater: 3 passesDevlin and Bailey: 3 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 3 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 3 passesParkes and Kelly: 3 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 4 passesDevlin and Anderson: 5 passesKelly and Omeonga: 5 passesKelly and Shinnie: 10 passesStryjek: 6 completed passesDevlin: 14 completed passesFitzwater: 11 completed passesParkes: 4 completed passesObileye: 3 completed passesKelly: 11 completed passesBailey: 5 completed passesOmeonga: 8 completed passesHolt: 8 completed passesShinnie: 9 completed passesAnderson: 5 completed passes32254624143318229StryjekDevlinFitzwaterParkesObileyeKellyBaileyOmeongaHoltShinnieAndersonStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
BittonCarter-Vickers30
Carter-VickersStarfelt26
McGregorBitton25
Carter-VickersBitton22
StarfeltCarter-Vickers21

Livingston

FromToPasses
KellyShinnie6
DevlinShinnie4
DevlinBailey4
ShinnieKelly4
DevlinAnderson4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−3.33−2.02−2.54−1.71−4.83−2.75+0.65−0.66−1.25−0.55+1.32−1.53−2.88+2.35+0.52−1.920.02−2.05+0.120.03+1.62+0.31−0.64+1.00−0.41+0.62+1.60−0.83+2.33−6.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Livingston

9+3.72−5.129+13.14−2.76−2.48+1.580.012+6.49+0.66−3.02−4.03−1.32−1.64−1.33−3.51−3.12−0.50−2.02−0.41−3.11−1.20−1.30−1.41−1.20−1.90−1.60−0.50−0.70−0.50−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.020.020.020.030.020.050.060.060.070.030.100.140.07−0.260.070.100.020.11−0.010.070.170.200.220.18LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.02−0.010.01−0.010.03LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackCeltic2.01 → 1.96Livingston0.96 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.80 → 0.78Livingston1.31 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title45%39%−6
Livingston
Top six13%16%+3
11th15%12%−3
Bottom6%4%−2
Rangers
Title54%60%+6
Aberdeen
Top six55%54%−1
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (30 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticLivingston
Expected goals2.430.62
Win77%7%
Expected Points2.470.37
Clean sheet54%9%

Celtic 77%Draw 16%Livingston 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%3%7%2%9%3%7%2%7%4%1%3%2%2%1%11%14%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawLivingston win
Celtic
Title45%47%39%31%
Livingston
Top six13%11%16%26%
11th15%16%12%10%
Bottom6%6%4%3%
Rangers
Title54%52%60%67%
Aberdeen
Top six55%56%54%49%
11th2%2%2%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–127 OctHibernian (A)xG 2.86–1.50
  2. W2–023 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.70–0.13
  3. W2–016 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.18–0.54
  4. W2–13 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.65–0.57
  5. D1–126 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.65–0.98
  6. L0–119 SepLivingston (A)xG 1.24–0.62

Livingston

  1. D1–127 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.34–1.83
  2. W3–223 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.57–2.11
  3. W3–016 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.55–1.45
  4. L0–12 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–0.77
  5. L0–325 SepHearts (A)xG 0.12–2.43
  6. W1–019 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.62–1.24

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticLivingston
Position2nd9th
Played1111
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠1–⁠33–⁠2–⁠6
Points22 (2.00 per game)11 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.340.80
Goals26–⁠710–⁠16
xG per game2.58–⁠0.670.69–⁠1.50
Home: points, xG per game2.60, 3.70–⁠0.410.80, 0.85–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.64–⁠0.891.17, 0.56–⁠1.66
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (11)David Martindale (34)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackCeltic2.01, 1stLivingston0.96, 10thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.80, 2ndLivingston1.31, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctCeltic attack: 2.01Livingston attack: 0.962.010.96LivingstonCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctCeltic defence: 0.80Livingston defence: 1.311.310.80

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+156%−42%−46%+13%
Counter-attacks+77%−37%+27%−43%
Set pieces+38%−32%−24%+36%
Penalties+4%−100%−100%+57%
Headers+91%−16%−34%+17%
Left side+94%−37%−20%−19%
Centre+178%−28%−39%+19%
Right side+31%−64%−49%+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+94%+51%Centre+178%+19%Right side+31%−19%Open play+156%+13%Counter-attacks+77%−43%Set pieces+38%+36%Headers+91%+17%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−20%−64%Centre−39%−28%Right side−49%−37%Open play−46%−42%Counter-attacks+27%−37%Set pieces−24%−32%Headers−34%−16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticLivingston

2.58xG0.69
0.67xG against1.50
71%Possession38%
20.1Shots8.6
7.7Shots against14.5
7.2Shots on target2.7
3.9Big chances0.9
34.0Touches in the opposition box10.8
654Passes282
88%Pass accuracy60%
8.4Corners3.8
78%Field tilt35%
70.5Final-third entries21.9
21.2Box entries6.5
9.3Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level382.090.64
Ahead393.260.80
Behind121.950.39

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.610.98
Ahead190.822.18
Behind260.741.94

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.163–1
16–300.580.108–2
31–450.410.072–1
46–600.190.113–1
61–750.460.134–1
76–900.630.096–1

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.171–2
16–300.060.182–2
31–450.230.275–2
46–600.040.210–3
61–750.170.281–2
76–900.090.391–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 10Bain 1Ralston 9Juranovic 2Carter-Vickers 7Welsh 4Bitton 1Starfelt 10Juranovic 4Taylor 4Bolingoli-Mbo… 2Bolingoli-MbomboRogic 7Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 9McCarthy 2Bitton 1Turnbull 11Abada 9Jota 1Giakoumakis 1Furuhashi 5Ajeti 3Edouard 3Jota 6Furuhashi 2Johnston 14-3-3 in 10 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (10), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 11Devlin 9McMillan 2Obileye 11Fitzwater 11Penrice 4Longridge 4Kelly 2Pittman 6Bailey 2Holt 11Williamson 3Omeonga 3Penrice 3Bailey 4Forrest 2McMillan 2Anderson 8Shinnie 3Forrest 5Montano 2Lewis 24-3-3 in 4 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2021Livingston1–0CelticxG 0.62–1.24
10 April 2021Celtic6–0LivingstonxG 2.83–0.79
20 January 2021Livingston2–2CelticxG 0.77–1.69
16 January 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 0.42–1.22
19 September 2020Celtic3–2LivingstonxG 1.58–1.35

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 2, Livingston won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 11–5 and xG 1.55–0.95 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi7571500.920.16
Abada9778320.350.44
Jota7626230.340.36
Turnbull11956430.210.43

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson8606330.170.12
Pittman6570110.220.02
Forrest7655110.100.11
Shinnie5471100.070.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.