Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 6–0 Livingston

Saturday 10 April 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 34 · Half-time 2–0

Celtic Forrest 30', Turnbull 38', Fitzwater 50' (og), Elyounoussi 54', 66', Christie 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticLivingston
Goals60
xG2.830.79
Expected Points2.710.18

Celtic 87%Draw 11%Livingston 2%

Most likely score 3–1, 18%. Final score 6–0, 1%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+4%8%1%9%3%10%3%6%11%2%2%4%1%16%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTChristie on for Forrest, 58'Ajeti on for Edouard and Rogic on for Turnbull, 68'Soro on for Brown and Griffiths on for Elyounoussi, 75'Mullin on for Sibbald and Poplatnik on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 46'Diani on for Bartley and Ambrose on for Forrest, 67'Lithgow on for Fitzwater, 80'Forrest 30'Turnbull 38'Fitzwater 50' (og)Elyounoussi 54'Elyounoussi 66'Christie 87'Celtic 2.83Livingston 0.7901230153045607590HTChristie on for Forrest, 58'Ajeti on for Edouard and Rogic on for Turnbull, 68'Soro on for Brown and Griffiths on for Elyounoussi, 75'Mullin on for Sibbald and Poplatnik on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 46'Diani on for Bartley and Ambrose on for Forrest, 67'Lithgow on for Fitzwater, 80'Forrest 30'Turnbull 38'Fitzwater 50' (og)Elyounoussi 54'Elyounoussi 66'Christie 87'2.830.79CelticLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticLivingston

2.83 +0.93xG0.79 −0.35
3.29 +1.31xG on target1.27 +0.20
17 −1Shots4 −6
11 +4.5Shots on target2 −1.0
3 +0.6Big chances1 −0.5
26 −4Touches in the opposition box11 −6
70% +4Possession30% −18
689 +103Passes294 −44
88% +4Pass accuracy69% +10
72% −1Field tilt28% −22
62 −4Final-third entries23 −8
11 −6.0Box entries5 −3.1
12.7 +2Passes per defensive action20.2 +8
6 −0.3Corners1 −3.7
9 −4Tackles17 +1
9 −0.9Interceptions12 +0.2
14 −2Clearances20 +2
2 +0.3Saves5 +3.0
10 −2Fouls11 −3
1 −0.2Offsides3 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Elyounoussi 48', 0.35 xGElyounoussi 37', 0.22 xGBrown 50', 0.10 xGEdouard 56', 0.07 xGEdouard 56', 0.07 xGBrown 57', 0.07 xGElyounoussi 36', 0.06 xGEdouard 45+2', 0.06 xGForrest 9', 0.04 xGEdouard 37', 0.04 xGForrest 52', 0.04 xGElyounoussi 50', 0.03 xGTurnbull 38', 0.82 xG, goalForrest 30', 0.58 xG, goalElyounoussi 66', 0.17 xG, goalChristie 87', 0.07 xG, goalElyounoussi 54', 0.04 xG, goal39%1.11 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.11 xG, 1 goal53%1.51 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.51 xG, 3 goals5%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals2%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Poplatnik 55', 0.63 xGForrest 45+1', 0.06 xGForrest 55', 0.06 xGGuthrie 45+1', 0.04 xG80%0.63 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.63 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals20%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticLivingston

2.51 12 shots, 5 goalsOpen play0.74 3 shots, 0 goals
0.32 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
30 min (33%) · Celtic 0.62, Livingston 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
62 min (67%) · Celtic 2.21, Livingston 0.79 xG

Line-ups

29165735314842492227BainKennyWelshAjerTaylorTurnbullBrownMcGregorForrestEdouardElyounoussiGoalGoalGoalGoal68'75'58'68'75'Celtic 4-3-3John Kennedy1252723610188119McCrorieDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieLongridgeBartleySibbaldHoltPittmanForrestEmmanuel-ThomasOwn goal80'67'46'67'46'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

Celtic substitutes

  • 58' Christie for Forrest · goal 87'
  • 68' Ajeti for Edouard
  • 68' Rogic for Turnbull
  • 75' Soro for Brown
  • 75' Griffiths for Elyounoussi

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Mullin for Sibbald
  • 46' Poplatnik for Emmanuel-Thomas
  • 67' Diani for Bartley
  • 67' Ambrose for Forrest
  • 80' Lithgow for Fitzwater

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0211
KennyRB9010.000.1220.12125
WelshCB900.000.0100.15139
AjerCB9010.000.6920.55176
TaylorLB900.000.0200.0774
TurnbullCM6810.820.3740.1340
BrownCM750.170.0100.0573
McGregorCM900.000.0600.13100
ForrestRW5810.660.1710.1250
EdouardST6810.240.6520.2330
ElyounoussiLW75210.880.0620.0143
ChristieMF3210.070.0100.1150
AjetiFW220.000.010−0.0100
RogicFW220.000.0100.0120
SoroMF150.000.0000.0112
GriffithsFW150.000.000−0.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrorieGK900.000.0000.0790
DevlinRB900.000.0100.0369
FitzwaterCB800.000.0000.00110
GuthrieCB900.040.0000.0455
LongridgeLB900.000.000−0.0405
BartleyDM670.000.000−0.0102
SibbaldDM460.000.0100.0422
HoltRW900.000.0100.0123
PittmanAM900.000.5410.0803
ForrestLW670.120.1400.0543
Emmanuel-ThomasST460.000.0310.0421
MullinMF440.000.1800.1452
PoplatnikFW440.630.0100.0102
DianiMF230.000.0000.0000
AmbroseFW230.000.0000.0005
LithgowDF100.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Welsh and Forrest: 7 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 7 passesAjer and Brown: 8 passesAjer and McGregor: 8 passesTurnbull and Edouard: 8 passesKenny and Turnbull: 9 passesTaylor and Elyounoussi: 9 passesTurnbull and McGregor: 9 passesBrown and McGregor: 9 passesAjer and Elyounoussi: 10 passesMcGregor and Elyounoussi: 10 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 11 passesAjer and Welsh: 14 passesTurnbull and Brown: 14 passesTurnbull and Forrest: 14 passesWelsh and Turnbull: 15 passesTaylor and McGregor: 15 passesBain and Ajer: 16 passesAjer and Taylor: 16 passesWelsh and McGregor: 16 passesBain and Welsh: 17 passesKenny and Brown: 18 passesKenny and Forrest: 20 passesKenny and Welsh: 23 passesWelsh and Brown: 32 passesBain: 27 completed passesKenny: 49 completed passesAjer: 47 completed passesWelsh: 71 completed passesTaylor: 34 completed passesTurnbull: 45 completed passesBrown: 45 completed passesMcGregor: 44 completed passesForrest: 24 completed passesEdouard: 14 completed passesElyounoussi: 19 completed passes29163557314842492227BainKennyAjerWelshTaylorTurnbullBrownMcGregorForrestEdouardElyounoussiStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Livingston

McCrorie and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 3 passesFitzwater and Guthrie: 3 passesFitzwater and Holt: 3 passesGuthrie and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesLongridge and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesGuthrie and Pittman: 4 passesLongridge and Sibbald: 4 passesSibbald and Holt: 4 passesPittman and Forrest: 4 passesSibbald and Emmanuel-Thomas: 5 passesMcCrorie and Fitzwater: 7 passesDevlin and Holt: 8 passesGuthrie and Longridge: 11 passesMcCrorie and Guthrie: 12 passesMcCrorie: 13 completed passesDevlin: 10 completed passesFitzwater: 8 completed passesGuthrie: 18 completed passesLongridge: 16 completed passesBartley: 2 completed passesSibbald: 7 completed passesHolt: 14 completed passesPittman: 9 completed passesForrest: 6 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 7 completed passes1252723610188119McCrorieDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieLongridgeBartleySibbaldHoltPittmanForrestEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshBrown22
KennyWelsh20
WelshKenny19
McGregorTaylor17
BainAjer16

Livingston

FromToPasses
GuthrieMcCrorie12
LongridgeGuthrie10
HoltDevlin7
DevlinHolt7
FitzwaterMcCrorie7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

3−1.22−2.57−3.15+0.81−3.64−3.56−0.24−0.74−3.014+6.19+3.28+2.83−0.811+6.09+2.83−1.21−2.83−0.44−0.32−2.02−0.37+5.11−1.00−2.30−2.50−0.40−0.50−0.80−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Livingston

2−3.47+2.212+1.42−3.41−3.98−0.45−1.97+0.216+8.610+0.77+1.45−0.55+1.07+1.45−1.55+0.93−1.33+0.13−0.85+0.55+1.83+0.65+3.90−1.41−1.90−1.42+1.60−0.70−0.61−0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.030.020.050.030.010.020.060.040.050.010.050.130.020.040.050.060.130.140.060.020.070.200.070.31LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.020.010.020.020.010.03−0.020.010.030.010.02−0.010.010.020.040.03−0.020.010.040.010.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackCeltic1.70 → 1.76Livingston1.03 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.75 → 0.74Livingston1.11 → 1.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticLivingston
Expected goals1.790.67
Win64%13%
Expected Points2.150.62
Clean sheet51%17%

Celtic 64%Draw 23%Livingston 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%3%9%3%8%5%2%4%2%1%15%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 April 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

  1. D1–121 MarRangers (H)xG 1.33–0.83
  2. D0–07 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.77–0.51
  3. W1–027 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.33–1.15
  4. L0–121 FebRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.98
  5. W1–017 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–0.43
  6. W2–114 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–0.30

Livingston

  1. D1–120 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.09–0.68
  2. W2–113 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.26–0.19
  3. L1–36 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.14–1.80
  4. L0–13 MarRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.73
  5. D1–120 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.29–0.71
  6. L0–313 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.93–1.93

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticLivingston
Position2nd5th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost20–⁠9–⁠412–⁠8–⁠13
Points69 (2.09 per game)44 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.961.36
Goals66–⁠2440–⁠41
xG per game1.90–⁠0.921.14–⁠1.13
Home: points, xG per game2.18, 1.70–⁠0.881.29, 1.05–⁠1.29
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 2.12–⁠0.971.38, 1.23–⁠0.96
ManagerJohn Kennedy (3)David Martindale (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackCeltic1.70, 2ndLivingston1.03, 6thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.75, 2ndLivingston1.11, 6th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarCeltic attack: 1.70Livingston attack: 1.031.701.03LivingstonCelticDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarCeltic defence: 0.75Livingston defence: 1.111.110.75

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+72%−42%−8%−19%
Counter-attacks+111%−54%−92%−28%
Set pieces+4%+9%+13%+7%
Penalties+25%−10%−46%+7%
Headers+1%−1%+16%+1%
Left side+54%−24%−20%−37%
Centre+51%−23%+12%−6%
Right side+60%−44%−20%+4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+54%+4%Centre+51%−6%Right side+60%−37%Open play+72%−19%Counter-attacks+111%−28%Set pieces+4%+7%Headers+1%+1%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−20%−44%Centre+12%−23%Right side−20%−24%Open play−8%−42%Counter-attacks−92%−54%Set pieces+13%+9%Headers+16%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticLivingston

1.90xG1.14
0.92xG against1.13
66%Possession48%
17.8Shots10.1
8.5Shots against9.7
6.5Shots on target3.0
2.4Big chances1.5
29.5Touches in the opposition box17.5
586Passes338
84%Pass accuracy60%
6.3Corners4.7
74%Field tilt50%
65.6Final-third entries31.5
17.0Box entries8.1
10.2Passes per defensive action12.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.700.95
Ahead382.140.98
Behind91.870.59

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.001.10
Ahead171.060.86
Behind241.481.39

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.148–3
16–300.290.1312–3
31–450.330.097–4
46–600.380.1712–5
61–750.310.208–5
76–900.380.1919–4

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.118–3
16–300.230.205–12
31–450.130.263–11
46–600.200.1910–10
61–750.190.135–1
76–900.240.249–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 15Barkas 13Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 9Ajer 4Duffy 13Welsh 10Bitton 9Ajer 25Taylor 16Laxalt 12Edouard 2Brown 10Soro 10Christie 5McGregor 29Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 11Brown 5Frimpong 4Turnbull 12Christie 4Rogic 4Edouard 12Elyounoussi 9Taylor 3Edouard 8Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 14 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-3-2 (5), 4-1-2-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 18McCrorie 15Devlin 30Ambrose 1Robinson 1Fitzwater 12Ambrose 12Guthrie 30Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 4Serrano 17Brown 5Longridge 3Bartley 25Pittman 4Lawson 4Holt 19Sibbald 10Forrest 2Mullin 12Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 22Bartley 4Sibbald 2Forrest 18Sibbald 8Robinson 2Emmanuel-Thomas 8Robinson 5Poplatnik 34-2-3-1 in 19 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (19), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 January 2021Livingston2–2CelticxG 0.77–1.69
16 January 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 0.42–1.22
19 September 2020Celtic3–2LivingstonxG 1.58–1.35

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 1, Livingston won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–4 and xG 1.23–1.11 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard232,0031630.750.19
Griffiths7657520.500.16
Elyounoussi161,373820.500.12
Turnbull201,642650.210.37

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest201,705410.170.20
Emmanuel-Thomas91,021300.260.05
Robinson161,473410.200.08
Mullin141,190230.080.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.