Wednesday 28 December 2022, 19:45 · Tannadice Park · Round 19 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 8,249
Dundee United Randall 9' (og), Mulgrew 70', Sibbald 90+6'
Ross County Edwards sent off 85'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Dundee United
Ross County
Goals
3
0
xG
0.85
0.98
Expected Points
1.18
1.46
Dundee United 28%Draw 36%Ross County 37%
Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 3–0, 1%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee UnitedRoss County
0.85 −0.02xG0.98 +0.27
1.20 +0.26xG on target0.56 −0.25
12 +1.8Shots8 +0.5
6 +2.2Shots on target0 −2.3
2 +1.1Big chances1 +0.1
20 +2Touches in the opposition box16 +2
50% +4Possession50% +8
355 −11Passes355 +34
69% −2Pass accuracy64% −2
66% +22Field tilt34% −1
32 −4Final-third entries32 +4
13 +3.8Box entries7 0.0
13.8 −2Passes per defensive action13.8 −2
3 −2.4Corners2 −1.2
8 −6Tackles14 −3
8 −1.3Interceptions8 −2.4
17 −5Clearances7 −15
0 −3.0Saves4 +0.6
12 +1Fouls10 −2
1 −0.4Offsides4 +2.1
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee United
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
9'70'90+6'
0–01–02–0
0'HTFT
Level
9 min (9%) · Dundee United 0.11, Ross County 0.00 xG
Dundee United ahead
88 min (91%) · Dundee United 0.74, Ross County 0.98 xG
Line-ups
Dundee United substitutes
79'Djoum for Levitt
81'Watt for Fletcher
89'MacLeod for Middleton
Ross County substitutes
71'Akio for Loturi
80'Baldwin for Watson
80'Olaigbe for Harmon
81'Johnson for Randall
86'Paton for Callachan
Players
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Birighitti
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
2
Edwards
CB
90
0.11
0.01
0
0.03
7
3
Mulgrew
CB
90
1
0.05
0.05
1
0.02
2
4
Graham
CB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
5
7
Smith
RWB
90
0.12
0.23
3
0.26
4
5
Levitt
CM
79
1
0.11
0.17
2
0.11
8
2
Sibbald
CM
90
1
0.11
0.01
0
0.04
4
3
McMann
LWB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.07
9
7
Harkes
AM
90
1
0.16
0.09
2
0.02
5
3
Middleton
AM
89
0.00
0.06
2
0.07
3
1
Fletcher
ST
81
0.16
0.02
1
0.00
0
0
Djoum
MF
11
0.03
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Watt
FW
9
0.00
0.04
0
0.07
2
0
MacLeod
MF
1
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
0
0
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.09
6
0
Randall
RB
81
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
4
6
Watson
CB
80
0.11
0.00
0
0.03
4
6
Iacovitti
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
2
1
Harmon
LB
80
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
2
2
Loturi
DM
71
0.00
0.05
1
0.08
1
0
Tillson
DM
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.01
2
6
Edwards
RW
85
0.46
0.04
1
0.09
4
2
Callachan
AM
86
0.11
0.05
0
0.03
3
4
Dhanda
LW
90
0.27
0.31
2
0.03
5
1
White
ST
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.05
2
0
Akio
FW
19
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Baldwin
DF
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Olaigbe
MF
10
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Johnson
DF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Paton
DF
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee United
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
McMann
Levitt
13
Levitt
McMann
10
Harkes
Smith
8
Sibbald
Levitt
8
Sibbald
Smith
7
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Randall
Watson
9
Watson
Randall
9
Randall
Edwards
8
Callachan
Randall
7
Randall
Callachan
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee United
Against its average of 17 matches
Ross County
Against its average of 18 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Dundee United
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee United
Top six
1%
2%
+1
11th
29%
29%
0
Bottom
29%
19%
−10
Ross County
Top six
1%
<1%
−1
11th
27%
25%
−2
Bottom
45%
55%
+10
Kilmarnock
Top six
2%
2%
0
11th
27%
29%
+2
Bottom
21%
21%
0
From the forecast before the match (28 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee United
Ross County
Expected goals
1.46
0.92
Win
49%
23%
Expected Points
1.75
0.97
Clean sheet
40%
23%
Dundee United 49%Draw 28%Ross County 23%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 28 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee United win
Draw
Ross County win
Dundee United
Top six
1%
2%
<1%
<1%
11th
29%
29%
31%
27%
Bottom
29%
19%
32%
46%
Ross County
Top six
1%
<1%
1%
2%
11th
27%
25%
29%
29%
Bottom
45%
55%
43%
25%
Kilmarnock
Top six
2%
2%
2%
2%
11th
27%
29%
25%
27%
Bottom
21%
21%
21%
23%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Dundee United
Ross County
Position
12th
11th
Played
17
18
Won, drawn, lost
3–4–10
4–3–11
Points
13 (0.76 per game)
15 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.94
0.86
Goals
19–33
14–29
xG per game
0.87–1.67
0.71–1.48
Home: points, xG per game
1.11, 0.94–1.63
0.80, 0.73–1.48
Away: points, xG per game
0.38, 0.78–1.71
0.88, 0.69–1.49
Manager
Liam Fox (12)
Malky Mackay (56)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee United
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−35%
+31%
−47%
+29%
Counter-attacks
−24%
+245%
−42%
+146%
Set pieces
−42%
+11%
−23%
average
Penalties
−14%
−14%
−73%
−73%
Headers
−44%
+16%
−23%
+1%
Left side
−24%
+72%
−29%
+12%
Centre
−36%
+28%
−35%
+36%
Right side
−48%
+3%
−63%
+28%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−24%+28%Centre−36%+36%Right side−48%+12%Open play−35%+29%Counter-attacks−24%+146%Set pieces−42%averageHeaders−44%+1%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−29%+3%Centre−35%+28%Right side−63%+72%Open play−47%+31%Counter-attacks−42%+245%Set pieces−23%+11%Headers−23%+16%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Dundee UnitedRoss County
0.87xG0.71
1.67xG against1.48
46%Possession42%
10.2Shots7.5
15.2Shots against16.8
3.8Shots on target2.3
0.9Big chances0.9
18.1Touches in the opposition box14.1
366Passes320
71%Pass accuracy65%
5.4Corners3.2
44%Field tilt34%
36.5Final-third entries28.3
9.2Box entries7.0
16.3Passes per defensive action15.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
0.67
1.78
Ahead
19
0.84
1.37
Behind
38
1.05
1.72
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
51
0.78
1.32
Ahead
11
0.30
2.14
Behind
28
0.75
1.53
xG by period
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.25
3–5
16–30
0.09
0.17
3–1
31–45
0.16
0.41
3–10
46–60
0.12
0.30
3–7
61–75
0.20
0.17
4–1
76–90
0.14
0.38
3–9
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.17
2–2
16–30
0.12
0.20
1–4
31–45
0.15
0.26
2–3
46–60
0.11
0.34
4–8
61–75
0.12
0.20
1–3
76–90
0.13
0.32
4–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts