Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenRoss County
2.08 +0.70xG0.44 −0.29
0.50 −1.03xG on target0.02 −0.78
24 +12.4Shots7 −0.5
7 +2.9Shots on target1 −1.2
0 −2.3Big chances0 −0.9
48 +29Touches in the opposition box11 −3
56% +7Possession44% +2
397 +25Passes335 +13
74% +1Pass accuracy62% −4
56% +17Field tilt44% +10
56 +20Final-third entries34 +6
24 +14.3Box entries5 −2.0
15.9 0Passes per defensive action11.4 −4
11 +6.6Corners1 −2.1
7 −7Tackles27 +10
8 −0.6Interceptions5 −5.3
11 −13Clearances45 +24
1 −2.4Saves6 +2.6
5 −4.8Fouls12 0.0
0 −1.2Offsides3 +0.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
93 min (100%) · Aberdeen 2.08, Ross County 0.44 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
63'Hayes for Ramirez
76'Barron for Clarkson
76'Besuijen for Miovski
89'Duncan for Kennedy
Ross County substitutes
46'Cancola for Dhanda
63'Hiwula-Mayifuila for Olaigbe · yellow card 65'
74'Samuel for White · yellow card 90+3'
83'Paton for Callachan
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Roos
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
McCrorie
RB
90
0.29
0.10
0
0.23
15
3
Stewart
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
5
3
Scales
CB
90
0.10
0.01
0
0.18
6
6
Coulson
LB
90
0.07
0.04
1
0.20
11
2
Ramadani
DM
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.03
6
5
Clarkson
DM
76
0.10
0.03
3
0.08
4
1
Kennedy
RW
89
0.52
0.24
5
0.21
13
1
Ramirez
AM
63
0.19
0.01
1
0.02
3
2
Duk
LW
90
0.18
0.11
1
0.12
8
1
Miovski
ST
76
0.29
0.07
2
0.08
2
1
Hayes
DF
27
0.00
0.44
2
0.22
4
1
Barron
MF
14
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Besuijen
FW
14
0.31
0.00
1
0.00
0
0
Duncan
FW
1
0.04
0.00
1
0.03
2
0
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
6
1
Johnson
RWB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.02
6
4
Randall
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
7
10
Watson
CB
90
0.19
0.00
0
0.03
3
9
Iacovitti
CB
90
0.09
0.01
1
0.03
1
19
Harmon
LWB
90
0.00
0.23
1
0.00
3
9
Callachan
CM
83
0.08
0.10
2
0.22
6
7
Tillson
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
14
Dhanda
CM
46
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
2
Olaigbe
ST
63
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
3
White
ST
74
0.07
0.10
1
0.02
1
1
Cancola
MF
44
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
2
7
Hiwula-Mayifuila
FW
27
0.00
0.31
1
0.15
0
1
Samuel
FW
16
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Paton
DF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
McCrorie
Kennedy
15
Coulson
Duk
10
Kennedy
McCrorie
9
Scales
Roos
9
Ramadani
Clarkson
9
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Harmon
Callachan
8
Johnson
Callachan
7
Johnson
Tillson
6
Randall
Johnson
6
Johnson
Randall
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 19 matches
Ross County
Against its average of 19 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
69%
62%
−7
11th
1%
2%
+1
Bottom
<1%
<1%
0
Ross County
Top six
1%
<1%
−1
11th
23%
24%
+1
Bottom
58%
56%
−2
Dundee United
Top six
3%
3%
0
11th
31%
30%
−1
Bottom
23%
24%
+1
St. Johnstone
Top six
42%
44%
+2
11th
5%
4%
−1
From the forecast before the match (2 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Ross County
Expected goals
1.66
0.84
Win
56%
18%
Expected Points
1.94
0.81
Clean sheet
43%
19%
Aberdeen 56%Draw 25%Ross County 18%
Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Ross County win
Aberdeen
Top six
69%
77%
62%
53%
11th
1%
1%
2%
2%
Bottom
<1%
<1%
<1%
1%
Ross County
Top six
1%
<1%
<1%
2%
11th
23%
22%
24%
26%
Bottom
58%
63%
56%
42%
Dundee United
Top six
3%
3%
3%
3%
11th
31%
33%
30%
26%
Bottom
23%
20%
24%
31%
St. Johnstone
Top six
42%
40%
44%
46%
11th
5%
4%
4%
6%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Ross County
Position
4th
12th
Played
19
19
Won, drawn, lost
8–1–10
4–3–12
Points
25 (1.32 per game)
15 (0.79 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.25
0.89
Goals
33–32
14–32
xG per game
1.38–1.69
0.73–1.45
Home: points, xG per game
2.00, 1.81–1.31
0.80, 0.73–1.48
Away: points, xG per game
0.70, 0.99–2.03
0.78, 0.72–1.42
Manager
Jim Goodwin (4)
Malky Mackay (57)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−8%
+14%
−46%
+25%
Counter-attacks
+60%
+11%
−44%
+152%
Set pieces
−20%
+34%
−22%
−3%
Penalties
+96%
+96%
−75%
−75%
Headers
+17%
+15%
−26%
−1%
Left side
−25%
+22%
−31%
+10%
Centre
−7%
+4%
−31%
+30%
Right side
+4%
+38%
−62%
+27%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Aberdeen attacking
Aberdeen createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−25%+27%Centre−7%+30%Right side+4%+10%Open play−8%+25%Counter-attacks+60%+152%Set pieces−20%−3%Headers+17%−1%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−31%+38%Centre−31%+4%Right side−62%+22%Open play−46%+14%Counter-attacks−44%+11%Set pieces−22%+34%Headers−26%+15%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenRoss County
1.38xG0.73
1.69xG against1.45
49%Possession42%
11.6Shots7.5
15.2Shots against16.6
4.1Shots on target2.2
2.3Big chances0.9
19.1Touches in the opposition box14.2
372Passes322
73%Pass accuracy65%
4.4Corners3.1
39%Field tilt34%
36.4Final-third entries28.5
9.7Box entries7.0
16.0Passes per defensive action15.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
37
1.17
1.74
Ahead
28
1.70
1.24
Behind
25
1.34
2.10
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
49
0.77
1.32
Ahead
10
0.30
2.14
Behind
31
0.80
1.43
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.20
3–3
16–30
0.18
0.24
4–4
31–45
0.37
0.31
8–7
46–60
0.24
0.29
6–6
61–75
0.24
0.31
6–5
76–90
0.27
0.33
6–7
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.17
2–3
16–30
0.14
0.19
1–4
31–45
0.14
0.25
2–3
46–60
0.11
0.33
4–8
61–75
0.12
0.20
1–4
76–90
0.12
0.32
4–10
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts