Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 0–2 Rangers

Sunday 8 January 2023, 16:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 21 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 12,599

Rangers Sakala 54', Tillman 57'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRangers
Goals02
xG0.461.60
Expected Points0.512.25

Dundee United 9%Draw 25%Rangers 67%

Most likely score 0–1, 21%. Final score 0–2, 18%.

Rangers goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+11%9%3%5%12%9%4%1%1%2%2%21%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTDjoum on for Sibbald, 67'MacLeod on for Middleton and Watt on for Fletcher, 75'Meekison on for Levitt, 90'Morelos on for Colak, 46'Arfield on for Sakala, 71'Roofe on for Tillman, 78'Wright on for Kent and Devine on for Barisic, 90+1'Sakala 54'Tillman 57'Rangers 1.60Dundee United 0.4600.511.520153045607590HTDjoum on for Sibbald, 67'MacLeod on for Middleton and Watt on for Fletcher, 75'Meekison on for Levitt, 90'Morelos on for Colak, 46'Arfield on for Sakala, 71'Roofe on for Tillman, 78'Wright on for Kent and Devine on for Barisic, 90+1'Sakala 54'Tillman 57'1.600.46Dundee UnitedRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.46 −0.39xG1.60 −0.38
0.20 −0.71xG on target1.41 −0.60
6 −4Shots20 +1
1 −2.8Shots on target10 +3.5
0 −0.9Big chances2 −1.1
9 −9Touches in the opposition box31 −8
30% −16Possession70% +3
291 −79Passes672 +97
64% −7Pass accuracy88% +3
16% −31Field tilt84% +4
23 −13Final-third entries80 +13
6 −3.3Box entries19 −2.6
24.8 +8.5Passes per defensive action12.7 +2.9
1 −4.1Corners7 −0.6
17 +3Tackles15 0
10 +0.8Interceptions10 +3.0
26 +4Clearances6 −5
8 +5.2Saves1 −0.2
4 −7Fouls2 −9
2 +0.6Offsides4 +1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Fletcher 23', 0.14 xGSmith 41', 0.13 xGHarkes 4', 0.06 xGFletcher 51', 0.06 xGFletcher 17', 0.05 xGMacLeod 86', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals41%0.19 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals13%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals41%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Sakala 49', 0.42 xGSakala 56', 0.27 xGTavernier 64', 0.08 xGColak 12', 0.07 xGLundstram 61', 0.06 xGGoldson 10', 0.04 xGGoldson 18', 0.04 xGKent 64', 0.04 xGSakala 71', 0.04 xGMorelos 76', 0.04 xGMorelos 83', 0.04 xGJack 52', 0.03 xGKent 53', 0.03 xGKent 9', 0.02 xGKent 40', 0.02 xGSakala 64', 0.02 xGTavernier 67', 0.02 xGMorelos 90+2', 0.02 xGTillman 57', 0.15 xG, goalSakala 54', 0.14 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals67%1.06 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.06 xG, 1 goal16%0.25 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal15%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.25 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.44 16 shots, 2 goals
0.21 3 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.16 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
54 min (59%) · Dundee United 0.44, Rangers 0.82 xG
Rangers ahead
38 min (41%) · Dundee United 0.02, Rangers 0.77 xG

Line-ups

121232214191623159BirighittiSmithEdwardsMcMannFreemanSibbaldLevittBehichHarkesMiddletonFletcherYellow card67'90'75'75'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Liam Fox33262631843071149McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonDaviesBarisicJackLundstramSakalaTillmanKentColakGoalGoal90+1'71'78'90+1'46'Rangers 4-2-3-1Michael Beale

Dundee United substitutes

  • 67' Djoum for Sibbald
  • 75' MacLeod for Middleton
  • 75' Watt for Fletcher
  • 90' Meekison for Levitt

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Morelos for Colak
  • 71' Arfield for Sakala
  • 78' Roofe for Tillman
  • 90+1' Devine for Barisic
  • 90+1' Wright for Kent

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0442
SmithCB900.130.0100.0855
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.03210
McMannCB900.000.0000.01214
Freeman RWB900.000.0300.1042
SibbaldCM670.000.0000.0003
LevittCM900.000.0000.0244
BehichLWB900.000.0600.2275
HarkesAM900.060.0220.0642
MiddletonAM750.000.1010.1414
FletcherST750.250.0010.0312
DjoumMF230.000.0110.0113
MacLeodMF150.020.000−0.0110
WattFW150.000.0000.0001
MeekisonMF00.000.000––0

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0221
TavernierRB900.100.1330.18123
GoldsonCB900.080.0310.13133
DaviesCB900.000.0100.1074
BarisicLB900.000.1630.1869
JackDM9010.030.0440.0673
LundstramDM900.060.0510.0544
SakalaRW7110.890.1010.4252
TillmanAM7810.150.1400.1641
KentLW900.120.2320.14112
ColakST460.070.010−0.0110
MorelosFW440.100.0100.0320
ArfieldMF190.000.0010.0110
RoofeFW120.000.0000.0001
DevineDF00.000.000––0
WrightFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Birighitti and Behich: 3 passesEdwards and Sibbald: 3 passesMcMann and Smith: 3 passesSmith and Sibbald: 3 passesSmith and Harkes: 3 passesFreeman and Sibbald: 3 passesLevitt and Fletcher: 3 passesMiddleton and Fletcher: 3 passesEdwards and Smith: 4 passesEdwards and Fletcher: 4 passesFreeman and Fletcher: 4 passesBirighitti and Fletcher: 5 passesBehich and Fletcher: 5 passesSibbald and Levitt: 5 passesHarkes and Fletcher: 5 passesEdwards and McMann: 6 passesEdwards and Levitt: 6 passesBehich and Middleton: 6 passesLevitt and Middleton: 6 passesBehich and Levitt: 7 passesFreeman and Harkes: 9 passesMcMann and Levitt: 10 passesSmith and Freeman: 10 passesMcMann and Behich: 11 passesBirighitti: 10 completed passesEdwards: 13 completed passesMcMann: 18 completed passesSmith: 15 completed passesFreeman: 16 completed passesBehich: 22 completed passesSibbald: 10 completed passesLevitt: 23 completed passesHarkes: 8 completed passesMiddleton: 8 completed passesFletcher: 11 completed passes112322216141923159BirighittiEdwardsMcMannSmithFreemanBehichSibbaldLevittHarkesMiddletonFletcherStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Davies and Jack: 5 passesDavies and Kent: 5 passesGoldson and Kent: 5 passesSakala and Tillman: 5 passesMcLaughlin and Davies: 6 passesMcLaughlin and Lundstram: 6 passesTavernier and Sakala: 6 passesLundstram and Sakala: 6 passesLundstram and Tillman: 6 passesDavies and Barisic: 7 passesDavies and Lundstram: 7 passesGoldson and Jack: 7 passesTavernier and Tillman: 8 passesBarisic and Kent: 9 passesLundstram and Kent: 9 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 10 passesMcLaughlin and Goldson: 11 passesGoldson and Tillman: 11 passesLundstram and Jack: 13 passesJack and Kent: 13 passesBarisic and Jack: 14 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 18 passesTavernier and Goldson: 22 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 25 passesDavies and Goldson: 28 passesMcLaughlin: 20 completed passesTavernier: 37 completed passesDavies: 33 completed passesGoldson: 52 completed passesBarisic: 23 completed passesLundstram: 51 completed passesJack: 35 completed passesSakala: 12 completed passesTillman: 18 completed passesKent: 21 completed passesColak: 6 completed passes33226631483071149McLaughlinTavernierDaviesGoldsonBarisicLundstramJackSakalaTillmanKentColakStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
BehichMcMann11
FreemanHarkes9
SmithFreeman7
McMannLevitt6
FreemanSmith6

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonDavies24
TavernierGoldson22
LundstramJack22
LundstramTavernier21
GoldsonTavernier21

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

1−3.46−0.316+1.210+4.08+2.250.011+3.510+3.65−1.35+0.33−1.91−2.710+4.95−1.250.02−1.21−1.32−1.71−2.43+1.42+0.71−0.10−1.61−0.51+0.40−0.20−0.60−0.42+0.70−4.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Rangers

0−3.91−2.74−3.78+3.54−0.14−2.44−1.23−0.99+3.511+5.37+1.72−2.24+0.610+3.45−0.84−1.07+2.52−1.87+2.94−0.52−1.60−2.40−1.61−1.52−1.21+0.11+0.30−0.70−0.50−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.030.020.010.010.010.020.020.010.030.010.010.010.040.030.010.010.020.02−0.010.070.050.050.070.17LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.010.040.060.050.060.020.120.100.030.080.080.090.120.020.010.06−0.010.11−0.010.120.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackDundee United0.98 → 0.96Rangers2.07 → 2.07Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.40 → 1.41Rangers0.67 → 0.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six6%5%−1
11th24%26%+2
Bottom11%13%+2
Rangers
Title5%6%+1
Ross County
11th19%20%+1
Bottom67%66%−1
Kilmarnock
11th30%29%−1

From the forecast before the match (8 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRangers
Expected goals0.652.12
Win10%71%
Expected Points0.482.33
Clean sheet12%52%

Dundee United 10%Draw 19%Rangers 71%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Rangers goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%10%5%2%1%4%9%9%6%3%1%1%3%3%2%1%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRangers win
Dundee United
Top six6%13%7%5%
11th24%13%20%26%
Bottom11%5%9%13%
Rangers
Title5%2%3%6%
Ross County
11th19%15%19%20%
Bottom67%73%69%66%
Kilmarnock
11th30%34%31%29%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–02 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.54–0.63
  2. W3–028 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.85–0.98
  3. D2–224 DecHearts (H)xG 0.79–1.72
  4. L0–112 NovAberdeen (A)xG 0.32–1.18
  5. W4–09 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.83–0.85
  6. L2–45 NovCeltic (A)xG 1.05–3.07

Rangers

  1. D2–22 JanCeltic (H)xG 2.00–1.17
  2. W3–028 DecMotherwell (H)xG 2.55–0.41
  3. W1–023 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.13–0.38
  4. W3–220 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.58–0.54
  5. W3–215 DecHibernian (H)xG 2.31–0.62
  6. D1–112 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.85–1.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRangers
Position11th2nd
Played1920
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠4–⁠1014–⁠4–⁠2
Points19 (1.00 per game)46 (2.30 per game)
Expected Points per game0.972.27
Goals23–⁠3346–⁠20
xG per game0.85–⁠1.581.98–⁠0.61
Home: points, xG per game1.30, 0.93–⁠1.572.64, 2.38–⁠0.51
Away: points, xG per game0.67, 0.75–⁠1.591.89, 1.49–⁠0.74
ManagerLiam Fox (14)Michael Beale (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackDundee United0.98, 8thRangers2.07, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.40, 11thRangers0.67, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanDundee United attack: 0.98Rangers attack: 2.072.070.98RangersDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanDundee United defence: 1.40Rangers defence: 0.671.400.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+27%+74%−47%
Counter-attacks−15%+216%−19%−93%
Set pieces−47%+1%+16%−37%
Penalties−24%−24%+20%−100%
Headers−45%+6%+45%−56%
Left side−24%+64%+64%−43%
Centre−37%+21%+37%−42%
Right side−48%−2%+80%−58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRangers concededLeft side−24%−58%Centre−37%−42%Right side−48%−43%Open play−34%−47%Counter-attacks−15%−93%Set pieces−47%−37%Headers−45%−56%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee United concededLeft side+64%−2%Centre+37%+21%Right side+80%+64%Open play+74%+27%Counter-attacks−19%+216%Set pieces+16%+1%Headers+45%+6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.85xG1.98
1.58xG against0.61
46%Possession67%
10.3Shots19.2
14.4Shots against7.5
3.8Shots on target6.5
0.9Big chances3.1
17.7Touches in the opposition box39.2
370Passes575
71%Pass accuracy84%
5.1Corners7.6
46%Field tilt80%
36.4Final-third entries66.8
9.3Box entries21.6
16.3Passes per defensive action9.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level350.671.58
Ahead220.821.36
Behind341.051.72

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level272.470.64
Ahead401.940.55
Behind231.480.67

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.244–5
16–300.080.173–1
31–450.150.373–10
46–600.110.293–7
61–750.200.155–1
76–900.140.355–9

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.106–5
16–300.260.094–2
31–450.310.096–4
46–600.380.119–4
61–750.240.079–1
76–900.470.1512–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 10Eriksson 9Smith 12Middleton 2Cudjoe 2Edwards 19Graham 9McMann 8Mulgrew 5Freeman 11Smith 7Niskanen 1Levitt 16Djoum 4Mulgrew 1Sibbald 9Harkes 3McGrath 3Behich 14McMann 3Sibbald 1McGrath 10Harkes 8Sibbald 1Middleton 10Watt 5Fletcher 3Fletcher 9Watt 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcGregor 13McLaughlin 7Tavernier 20Goldson 13King 7Davies 11Sands 7Lundstram 1Barisic 15Devine 3Yilmaz 2Lundstram 18Kamara 6Arfield 1Jack 7Sands 3Davis 3Sakala 6Wright 5Matondo 4Tillman 10Arfield 3Lawrence 3Kent 16Matondo 2Tillman 1Colak 14Morelos 5Sakala 14-2-3-1 in 18 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (18), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 September 2022Rangers2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.51–0.59
8 May 2022Rangers2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.45–0.06
20 February 2022Dundee United1–1RangersxG 0.58–3.93
18 December 2021Rangers1–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.27–0.33
7 August 2021Dundee United1–0RangersxG 0.53–0.82
21 February 2021Rangers4–1Dundee UnitedxG 3.26–1.04

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Rangers won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–16 and xG 0.56–2.33 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher12994410.400.07
Watt121,003410.240.08
Middleton141,205120.130.16
McGrath141,171220.100.14

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Morelos5677520.770.16
Colak141,0551100.600.08
Sakala7594330.430.21
Tavernier201,776750.300.26

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.