Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 1–1 Dundee United

Sunday 26 September 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 7 · Half-time 1–1 · Attendance 56,403

Celtic Abada 16'

Dundee United Harkes 18'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee United
Goals11
xG2.650.98
Expected Points2.420.41

Celtic 75%Draw 16%Dundee United 8%

Most likely score 2–1, 12%. Final score 1–1, 8%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%2%5%8%3%8%6%1%8%5%1%5%7%3%2%3%1%1%12%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMontgomery on for Juranovic, 26'Soro on for McCarthy, 46'Sporle on for Niskanen, 62'Appere on for Pawlett, 79'Abada 16'Harkes 18'Celtic 2.65Dundee United 0.9801230153045607590HTMontgomery on for Juranovic, 26'Soro on for McCarthy, 46'Sporle on for Niskanen, 62'Appere on for Pawlett, 79'Abada 16'Harkes 18'2.650.98CelticDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee United

2.65 −0.24xG0.98 +0.21
0.93 −2.15xG on target0.97 −0.09
23 +0.7Shots12 +2.7
7 −1.3Shots on target5 +1.0
5 +0.7Big chances1 −0.2
57 +32Touches in the opposition box14 0
63% −11Possession37% −7
591 −88Passes360 +20
82% −8Pass accuracy72% +5
56% −27Field tilt44% +2
70 −2Final-third entries43 +11
27 +3.8Box entries10 +3.2
12.0 +3.7Passes per defensive action27.2 +13.9
9 +0.3Corners2 −2.2
14 0Tackles17 +3
6 −2.3Interceptions14 +3.7
7 −5Clearances34 +13
4 +2.2Saves4 +2.5
12 0Fouls5 −10
2 +1.2Offsides5 +3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Ajeti 78', 0.49 xGAjeti 19', 0.39 xGAbada 59', 0.32 xGAjeti 6', 0.25 xGRogic 8', 0.13 xGAbada 47', 0.11 xGAjeti 39', 0.09 xGAbada 55', 0.09 xGTurnbull 65', 0.09 xGRalston 27', 0.07 xGJota 39', 0.07 xGRogic 86', 0.07 xGJota 85', 0.05 xGTurnbull 45+3', 0.04 xGStarfelt 88', 0.04 xGJota 26', 0.03 xGJuranovic 8', 0.02 xGTurnbull 34', 0.02 xGJota 72', 0.02 xGJota 90+2', 0.02 xGJota 90+3', 0.02 xGJota 77', 0.01 xGAbada 16', 0.21 xG, goal45%1.20 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.20 xG, 0 goals39%1.04 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 1.04 xG, 1 goal10%0.27 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals5%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Smith 48', 0.21 xGHarkes 9', 0.09 xGNiskanen 51', 0.04 xGAppere 90+1', 0.04 xGClark 4', 0.03 xGPawlett 65', 0.03 xGLevitt 7', 0.02 xGNiskanen 52', 0.02 xGSporle 69', 0.02 xGSporle 82', 0.02 xGLevitt 53', 0.01 xGHarkes 18', 0.46 xG, goal21%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals56%0.55 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.55 xG, 1 goal10%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals8%0.08 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee United

2.25 18 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.72 9 shots, 1 goal
0.20 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.01 1 shot, 0 goals
0.20 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
94 min (98%) · Celtic 2.65, Dundee United 0.52 xG
Celtic ahead
2 min (2%) · Celtic 0.00, Dundee United 0.46 xG

Line-ups

155620488181614111017HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltJuranovicRogicMcCarthyTurnbullAbadaAjetiJotaGoal26'46'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou1222812332386619107SiegristFreemanSmithEdwardsMcMannHarkesPawlettFuchsLevittClarkNiskanenYellow cardGoalYellow card79'62'Dundee United 4-3-3Tam Courts

Celtic substitutes

  • 26' Montgomery for Juranovic
  • 46' Soro for McCarthy

Dundee United substitutes

  • 62' Sporle for Niskanen
  • 79' Appere for Pawlett

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0300
RalstonRB900.070.3610.2773
Carter-VickersCB900.000.2000.21167
StarfeltCB900.040.0200.16104
JuranovicLB260.020.2100.2141
RogicCM900.190.2540.4873
McCarthyCM460.000.0300.0321
TurnbullCM900.150.7040.2871
AbadaRW9010.721.0630.41101
AjetiST901.230.000−0.0500
JotaLW9010.220.9430.76133
MontgomeryDF640.000.0420.10102
SoroMF440.000.0110.0132

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0341
Freeman RB900.000.1810.2562
SmithCB900.210.0200.0217
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.00016
McMannLB900.000.0100.0138
HarkesCM9010.550.1020.0735
PawlettCM790.030.1120.0014
Fuchs CM900.000.0200.05513
LevittRW900.030.0510.10910
ClarkST900.030.051−0.0222
NiskanenLW6210.060.2310.2050
SporleDF280.040.0110.0742
AppereFW110.040.0000.0320

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

McCarthy and Jota: 3 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 4 passesRalston and Abada: 4 passesStarfelt and McCarthy: 4 passesStarfelt and Jota: 4 passesCarter-Vickers and McCarthy: 4 passesJuranovic and Turnbull: 4 passesRogic and Abada: 4 passesHart and Starfelt: 7 passesJuranovic and McCarthy: 7 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 9 passesStarfelt and Juranovic: 10 passesJuranovic and Jota: 11 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 21 passesHart: 9 completed passesRalston: 16 completed passesStarfelt: 25 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 20 completed passesJuranovic: 19 completed passesRogic: 5 completed passesMcCarthy: 13 completed passesTurnbull: 5 completed passesAbada: 5 completed passesAjeti: 1 completed passesJota: 9 completed passes155642088181614111017HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersJuranovicRogicMcCarthyTurnbullAbadaAjetiJotaStarters until 26' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Siegrist and Edwards: 3 passesSiegrist and Pawlett: 3 passesSiegrist and Clark: 3 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 3 passesSmith and Pawlett: 3 passesMcMann and Pawlett: 3 passesLevitt and Niskanen: 3 passesMcMann and Niskanen: 4 passesFuchs and Pawlett: 4 passesHarkes and Niskanen: 4 passesClark and Niskanen: 4 passesFreeman and Clark: 5 passesMcMann and Fuchs: 5 passesFreeman and Fuchs: 6 passesFreeman and Levitt: 6 passesPawlett and Niskanen: 6 passesFuchs and Levitt: 7 passesLevitt and Clark: 7 passesHarkes and Pawlett: 8 passesHarkes and Clark: 8 passesMcMann and Harkes: 9 passesPawlett and Clark: 9 passesLevitt and Pawlett: 10 passesHarkes and Levitt: 12 passesMcMann and Levitt: 16 passesSiegrist: 10 completed passesFreeman: 12 completed passesEdwards: 3 completed passesSmith: 5 completed passesMcMann: 20 completed passesFuchs: 15 completed passesHarkes: 22 completed passesLevitt: 35 completed passesPawlett: 24 completed passesClark: 20 completed passesNiskanen: 10 completed passes1221228336623198107SiegristFreemanEdwardsSmithMcMannFuchsHarkesLevittPawlettClarkNiskanenStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers44
Carter-VickersStarfelt30
Carter-VickersRalston24
StarfeltMontgomery23
HartStarfelt22

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannLevitt11
HarkesLevitt9
PawlettLevitt9
LevittFuchs8
LevittMcMann8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

10+6.34+2.09+1.55+0.810+4.54−2.36+1.52−2.34−0.59+2.510+5.34−0.24+0.34−1.35−1.27+2.57+3.33+1.21−3.30−4.26+4.51−0.82+0.31−0.32−2.01+0.50−0.21+0.83+2.20−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Dundee United

5+1.38+3.033+15.38−1.810+1.82−3.510+6.211+5.25−2.76−1.03−2.35+0.33−0.58+1.59+2.34−0.51−2.82−2.32−1.75+1.53+0.51−0.72+0.73+1.83+0.22+1.30−0.30−0.70−0.710.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.030.040.020.030.080.040.090.020.020.080.090.100.090.110.150.020.110.100.280.320.460.54LessMore

Dundee United

0.040.010.010.020.010.030.020.030.040.030.030.020.06−0.010.040.07−0.020.02−0.020.150.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackCeltic1.92 → 1.91Dundee United0.85 → 0.86Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.79 → 0.80Dundee United1.27 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title37%30%−7
Dundee United
Top six24%31%+7
11th10%8%−2
Bottom5%4%−1
Rangers
Title58%64%+6

From the forecast before the match (26 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee United
Expected goals2.480.54
Win80%6%
Expected Points2.530.32
Clean sheet58%8%

Celtic 80%Draw 15%Dundee United 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%2%8%2%7%2%8%4%1%4%2%2%1%12%15%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee United win
Celtic
Title37%39%30%24%
Dundee United
Top six24%21%31%38%
11th10%11%8%4%
Bottom5%5%4%3%
Rangers
Title58%56%64%69%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. L0–119 SepLivingston (A)xG 1.24–0.62
  2. W3–011 SepRoss County (H)xG 2.71–0.45
  3. L0–129 AugRangers (A)xG 1.44–0.74
  4. W6–021 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 4.93–0.23
  5. W6–08 AugDundee FC (H)xG 5.51–0.24
  6. L1–231 JulHearts (A)xG 1.49–1.40

Dundee United

  1. W1–019 SepDundee FC (H)xG 0.72–0.84
  2. D0–011 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–0.72
  3. L0–228 AugHearts (H)xG 0.40–2.25
  4. W1–022 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.36–0.85
  5. W1–07 AugRangers (H)xG 0.53–0.82
  6. L0–21 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.43–0.67

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee United
Position6th5th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠0–⁠33–⁠1–⁠2
Points9 (1.50 per game)10 (1.67 per game)
Expected Points per game2.331.16
Goals16–⁠43–⁠4
xG per game2.89–⁠0.610.77–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 4.38–⁠0.312.00, 0.55–⁠1.30
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 1.39–⁠0.921.33, 1.00–⁠0.75
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (6)Tam Courts (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackCeltic1.92, 1stDundee United0.85, 12thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.79, 2ndDundee United1.27, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepCeltic attack: 1.92Dundee United attack: 0.851.920.85Dundee UnitedCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepCeltic defence: 0.79Dundee United defence: 1.271.270.79

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+187%−51%−38%−39%
Counter-attacks−24%−8%+137%−80%
Set pieces+59%−38%−42%+38%
Penalties+11%−100%−100%+11%
Headers+112%−35%−48%−10%
Left side+97%−69%−35%+10%
Centre+202%−23%−15%−20%
Right side+74%−68%−61%−56%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+97%−56%Centre+202%−20%Right side+74%+10%Open play+187%−39%Counter-attacks−24%−80%Set pieces+59%+38%Headers+112%−10%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−35%−68%Centre−15%−23%Right side−61%−69%Open play−38%−51%Counter-attacks+137%−8%Set pieces−42%−38%Headers−48%−35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee United

2.89xG0.77
0.61xG against1.02
74%Possession44%
22.3Shots9.3
7.3Shots against12.0
8.3Shots on target4.0
4.3Big chances1.2
25.0Touches in the opposition box13.7
679Passes340
89%Pass accuracy67%
8.7Corners4.2
83%Field tilt42%
71.6Final-third entries31.6
23.2Box entries6.8
8.3Passes per defensive action13.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.500.86
Ahead285.570.45
Behind231.950.39

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level610.971.20
Ahead110.010.97
Behind180.560.45

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.280.180–1
16–300.660.085–1
31–450.500.081–0
46–600.210.092–0
61–750.600.104–1
76–900.640.074–1

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.190–0
16–300.100.100–1
31–450.190.340–1
46–600.160.091–1
61–750.210.111–0
76–900.050.201–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 5Bain 1Ralston 4Juranovic 2Welsh 4Carter-Vickers 2Bitton 1Starfelt 5Taylor 4Juranovic 1Bolingoli-Mbo… 1Bolingoli-MbomboRogic 3Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 5McCarthy 1Turnbull 6Abada 6Edouard 3Ajeti 2Furuhashi 1Jota 2Furuhashi 2Christie 14-3-3 in 5 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (5), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 3Carson 3Smith 5Smith 1Edwards 5Mulgrew 6Reynolds 1Robson 4McMann 2Edwards 1Pawlett 1Fuchs 1Harkes 4Levitt 2Butcher 1Fuchs 4Clark 1Pawlett 3Spörle 2Butcher 1McNulty 4Shankland 1Clark 3Butcher 2Pawlett 14-4-2 in 2 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 March 2021Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.51–1.77
30 December 2020Celtic3–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–0.95
22 August 2020Dundee United0–1CelticxG 0.29–3.00

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 2, Dundee United won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–0 and xG 2.29–0.58 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada6525220.340.40
Turnbull6506300.280.34
Starfelt5450010.060.01
Hart5450000.000.00

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Mulgrew6540000.110.01
Edwards6528000.010.07
Fuchs5482000.000.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.