Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 0–1 Dundee United

Monday 2 January 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 20 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Graham Grainger · Attendance 7,116

Dundee United Watt 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Dundee United
Goals	0	1
xG	0.63	0.54
Expected Points	1.36	1.19

St. Johnstone 30%Draw 45%Dundee United 24%

Most likely score 0–0, 31%. Final score 0–1, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.63 −0.34xG0.54 −0.32

0.50 −0.43xG on target0.22 −0.73

8 −2Shots10 0

2 −1.1Shots on target2 −1.9

2 +0.6Big chances0 −1.0

12 −4Touches in the opposition box11 −7

44% +2Possession56% +10

350 +26Passes443 +77

66% −1Pass accuracy72% +1

40% +5Field tilt60% +15

31 +4Final-third entries39 +3

8 +0.2Box entries7 −2.4

16.5 0Passes per defensive action19.5 +3

3 −0.2Corners2 −3.3

13 −4Tackles14 0

10 −1.4Interceptions9 −0.2

20 −6Clearances33 +11

1 −1.5Saves2 −0.8

13 +2Fouls8 −3

1 −0.3Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.58 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.52 9 shots, 1 goal

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 81 min (86%) · St. Johnstone 0.30, Dundee United 0.54 xG
Dundee United ahead: 13 min (14%) · St. Johnstone 0.33, Dundee United 0.00 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

65' MacPherson for Murphy
65' McLennan for Clark
65' Wotherspoon for Carey · yellow card 90+4'
82' Bair for Mitchell
85' O'Halloran for Phillips

Dundee United substitutes

69' Djoum for Sibbald
78' MacLeod for Middleton
90+1' Mulgrew for Levitt
90+1' Anaku for Watt

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Matthews	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	0
Mitchell	CB	82	0.00	0.05	0	0.12	5	10
Gordon	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	11
McGowan	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	7
Wright	RWB	90	0.00	0.13	1	0.17	13	5
Phillips	CM	85	0.07	0.01	0	0.02	2	2
Carey	CM	65	0.05	0.02	0	0.04	3	2
Brown	LWB	90	0.08	0.12	1	0.12	5	5
Murphy	AM	65	0.02	0.03	0	0.02	2	0
May	ST	90	0.07	0.01	0	0.09	2	1
Clark	ST	65	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
MacPherson	MF	25	0.00	0.01	1	0.02	1	0
McLennan	MF	25	0.13	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
Wotherspoon	MF	25	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	2
Bair	FW	8	0.17	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
O'Halloran	MF	5	0.02	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Birighitti	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Smith	CB	90			0.04	0.01	1	0.03	4	3
Edwards	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	8	11
McMann	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	4	10
Freeman	RWB	90			0.07	0.01	0	0.06	5	7
Levitt	CM	90		1	0.03	0.10	1	0.11	7	3
Sibbald	CM	69			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	3	5
Behich	LWB	90			0.03	0.06	0	0.10	6	5
Harkes	AM	90			0.04	0.08	1	0.24	4	3
Middleton	AM	78			0.00	0.33	1	−0.10	5	0
Watt	ST	90	1		0.34	0.03	1	0.06	1	5
Djoum	MF	21			0.00	0.01	1	0.01	1	2
MacLeod	MF	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Mulgrew	DF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Anaku	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Mitchell	Clark	7
McGowan	Carey	7
Gordon	Mitchell	7
Brown	Murphy	6
Murphy	Carey	6

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
McMann	Levitt	12
Levitt	Behich	11
Levitt	McMann	11
McMann	Behich	9
Behich	Watt	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 19 matches

Dundee United

Against its average of 18 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	42%	29%	−13
11th	5%	8%	+3
Bottom	1%	2%	+1
Dundee United
Top six	3%	6%	+3
11th	31%	26%	−5
Bottom	23%	15%	−8
Ross County
11th	23%	20%	−3
Bottom	58%	62%	+4
Aberdeen
Top six	69%	73%	+4

From the forecast before the match (2 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Dundee United
Expected goals	1.37	0.93
Win	47%	25%
Expected Points	1.69	1.03
Clean sheet	40%	25%

St. Johnstone 47%Draw 29%Dundee United 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Dundee United win
St. Johnstone
Top six	42%	53%	36%	29%
11th	5%	2%	6%	8%
Bottom	1%	<1%	1%	2%
Dundee United
Top six	3%	1%	3%	6%
11th	31%	33%	31%	26%
Bottom	23%	28%	21%	15%
Ross County
11th	23%	25%	22%	20%
Bottom	58%	55%	58%	62%
Aberdeen
Top six	69%	67%	69%	73%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Dundee United
Position	6th	11th
Played	19	18
Won, drawn, lost	7–⁠3–⁠9	4–⁠4–⁠10
Points	24 (1.26 per game)	16 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.15	0.95
Goals	24–⁠29	22–⁠33
xG per game	0.97–⁠1.27	0.86–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game	1.22, 1.01–⁠1.08	1.30, 0.93–⁠1.57
Away: points, xG per game	1.30, 0.94–⁠1.45	0.38, 0.78–⁠1.71
Manager	Callum Davidson (95)	Liam Fox (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Dundee United
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−25%	+14%	−35%	+28%
Counter-attacks	−60%	−82%	−11%	+231%
Set pieces	−41%	−17%	−42%	+10%
Penalties	−2%	−51%	−22%	−22%
Headers	−49%	+7%	−43%	+9%
Left side	−38%	+12%	−22%	+65%
Centre	−24%	−13%	−37%	+28%
Right side	−30%	+22%	−48%	−2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−38%−2%Centre−24%+28%Right side−30%+65%Open play−25%+28%Counter-attacks−60%+231%Set pieces−41%+10%Headers−49%+9%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−22%+22%Centre−37%−13%Right side−48%+12%Open play−35%+14%Counter-attacks−11%−82%Set pieces−42%−17%Headers−43%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.97xG0.86

1.27xG against1.63

42%Possession46%

10.0Shots10.3

14.7Shots against14.8

3.1Shots on target3.9

1.4Big chances1.0

16.2Touches in the opposition box18.2

324Passes366

66%Pass accuracy71%

3.2Corners5.3

35%Field tilt46%

27.0Final-third entries36.3

7.8Box entries9.4

16.9Passes per defensive action16.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	0.91	1.29
Ahead	21	0.71	0.88
Behind	30	1.24	1.52

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	32	0.68	1.76
Ahead	22	0.84	1.31
Behind	35	1.05	1.72

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.27	3–3
16–30	0.17	0.13	3–3
31–45	0.18	0.21	3–9
46–60	0.17	0.16	2–3
61–75	0.14	0.21	4–3
76–90	0.24	0.30	9–8

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.26	4–5
16–30	0.09	0.18	3–1
31–45	0.16	0.39	3–10
46–60	0.12	0.29	3–7
61–75	0.21	0.16	5–1
76–90	0.14	0.36	4–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 5-3-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-1-4-2 (2)

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 October 2022	Dundee United	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 1.30–0.72
5 February 2022	St. Johnstone	0–0	Dundee United	xG 0.39–1.13
30 October 2021	Dundee United	0–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.84–0.33
22 August 2021	St. Johnstone	0–1	Dundee United	xG 0.85–1.36
12 January 2021	Dundee United	2–2	St. Johnstone	xG 0.82–2.25
24 October 2020	St. Johnstone	0–0	Dundee United	xG 0.96–0.10

7 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Dundee United won 1, and 4 were drawn. Goals 6–5 and xG 0.84–1.20 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
May	12	1,118	4	4	0.27	0.12
Carey	13	1,089	3	0	0.28	0.06
Clark	13	1,058	4	0	0.29	0.03
Wright	18	1,559	3	0	0.15	0.05

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Fletcher	12	994	4	1	0.40	0.07
Watt	11	913	3	1	0.23	0.08
Middleton	13	1,127	1	2	0.14	0.14
McGrath	14	1,171	2	2	0.10	0.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.