Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 2–0 St. Mirren

Wednesday 2 March 2022, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 29 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 57,360

Celtic Carter-Vickers 55', McGregor 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	St. Mirren
Goals	2	0
xG	1.60	0.36
Expected Points	2.31	0.44

Celtic 69%Draw 25%St. Mirren 7%

Most likely score 1–0, 22%. Final score 2–0, 18%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Mirren

1.60 −0.83xG0.36 −0.53

1.07 −1.28xG on target0.96 +0.13

21 +1Shots4 −7

6 −0.9Shots on target1 −2.7

1 −2.6Big chances1 +0.1

33 −4Touches in the opposition box3 −14

76% +6Possession24% −22

791 +143Passes248 −94

88% +1Pass accuracy56% −10

93% +14Field tilt7% −35

101 +28Final-third entries17 −12

22 −0.4Box entries2 −6.9

13.6 +4Passes per defensive action33.6 +18

9 −0.5Corners0 −5.3

4 −9Tackles13 −1

1 −7.1Interceptions16 +6.8

11 −4Clearances34 +14

1 −0.3Saves4 0.0

9 −3Fouls7 −4

1 −0.9Offsides1 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Mirren

0.96 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.35 4 shots, 0 goals

0.64 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 57 min (61%) · Celtic 1.03, St. Mirren 0.29 xG
Celtic ahead: 37 min (39%) · Celtic 0.57, St. Mirren 0.06 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

64' Rogic for Hatate
65' Bitton for O'Riley
65' Forrest for Abada
84' Dembélé for Jota · yellow card 86'
87' Ideguchi for McGregor

St. Mirren substitutes

64' Greive for Main
64' Brophy for Kiltie
75' Fraser for Tanser
75' Henderson for Jones
79' Erhahon for Power

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	1
Juranovic	RB	90		0.09	0.11	2	0.18	15	2
Carter-Vickers	CB	90	1	0.15	0.07	1	0.28	16	3
Starfelt	CB	90		0.12	0.05	0	0.29	18	4
Taylor	LB	90		0.00	0.08	1	0.13	9	2
O'Riley	CM	65		0.07	0.65	3	0.15	5	0
McGregor	CM	87	1	0.24	0.15	1	0.08	1	2
Hatate	CM	64		0.03	0.18	2	0.17	5	1
Abada	RW	65		0.17	0.08	0	0.04	3	0
Maeda	ST	90		0.61	0.01	0	0.06	0	0
Jota	LW	84		0.12	0.47	3	0.24	15	1
Rogic	FW	26		0.00	0.12	2	0.19	4	0
Bitton	DF	25		0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	0
Forrest	FW	25		0.00	0.04	0	0.05	3	0
Dembélé	FW	6		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Ideguchi	MF	3		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	1

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Alnwick	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.06	7	0
Tait	RWB	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.02	5	8
Shaughnessy	CB	90	0.28	0.00	0	0.00	2	15
Dunne	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	10
McCarthy	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	8
Tanser	LWB	75	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	4
Kiltie	RM	64	0.01	0.00	0	−0.01	0	2
Power	CM	79	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	8
Gogic	CM	90	0.06	0.00	0	0.02	1	7
Jones	LM	75	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	2
Main	ST	64	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	2
Greive	FW	26	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Brophy	FW	26	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Fraser	DF	15	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Henderson	MF	15	0.00	0.05	1	0.09	2	1
Erhahon	MF	11	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	39
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	39
Starfelt	Taylor	33
Juranovic	Carter-Vickers	27
Taylor	Starfelt	27

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Alnwick	Tait	6
Shaughnessy	Alnwick	6
Kiltie	Tait	5
Tait	McCarthy	5
McCarthy	Shaughnessy	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 28 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	80%	82%	+2
St. Mirren
Top six	23%	20%	−3
11th	3%	3%	0
Rangers
Title	20%	18%	−2
Livingston
Top six	46%	46%	0
11th	1%	1%	0

From the forecast before the match (2 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	St. Mirren
Expected goals	2.58	0.52
Win	81%	5%
Expected Points	2.58	0.29
Clean sheet	60%	8%

Celtic 81%Draw 13%St. Mirren 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 38%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Celtic
Title	80%	82%	70%	66%
St. Mirren
Top six	23%	20%	29%	56%
11th	3%	3%	1%	<1%
Rangers
Title	20%	18%	30%	34%
Livingston
Top six	46%	46%	45%	36%
11th	1%	1%	<1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	St. Mirren
Position	1st	8th
Played	28	27
Won, drawn, lost	21–⁠4–⁠3	7–⁠12–⁠8
Points	67 (2.39 per game)	33 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.43	1.06
Goals	60–⁠17	26–⁠37
xG per game	2.43–⁠0.57	0.89–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game	2.69, 2.95–⁠0.49	1.14, 0.87–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game	2.13, 1.98–⁠0.65	1.31, 0.92–⁠1.88
Manager	Ange Postecoglou (28)	Stephen Robinson (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+130%	−57%	−43%	+38%
Counter-attacks	+104%	−56%	−9%	+9%
Set pieces	+47%	−44%	+10%	−4%
Penalties	+11%	−45%	−14%	+15%
Headers	+75%	−28%	+17%	+5%
Left side	+77%	−60%	−23%	+37%
Centre	+152%	−51%	−21%	+22%
Right side	+54%	−52%	−45%	+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+77%+23%Centre+152%+22%Right side+54%+37%Open play+130%+38%Counter-attacks+104%+9%Set pieces+47%−4%Headers+75%+5%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−23%−52%Centre−21%−51%Right side−45%−60%Open play−43%−57%Counter-attacks−9%−56%Set pieces+10%−44%Headers+17%−28%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Mirren

2.43xG0.89

0.57xG against1.52

70%Possession46%

20.4Shots10.7

6.6Shots against15.4

6.9Shots on target3.7

3.6Big chances0.9

36.7Touches in the opposition box16.7

648Passes342

87%Pass accuracy66%

9.5Corners5.3

79%Field tilt42%

73.0Final-third entries29.1

22.4Box entries8.9

10.1Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	2.34	0.43
Ahead	44	2.57	0.73
Behind	5	1.94	0.37

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	49	0.88	1.35
Ahead	17	0.92	1.46
Behind	24	0.89	1.92

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.32	0.10	7–1
16–30	0.44	0.08	18–4
31–45	0.49	0.08	12–2
46–60	0.25	0.09	6–4
61–75	0.36	0.15	6–5
76–90	0.57	0.08	11–1

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.22	5–4
16–30	0.09	0.21	1–7
31–45	0.15	0.25	5–7
46–60	0.23	0.33	4–6
61–75	0.12	0.36	5–10
76–90	0.23	0.16	6–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (24), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
22 December 2021	St. Mirren	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.29–1.68
21 August 2021	Celtic	6–0	St. Mirren	xG 4.93–0.23
10 February 2021	St. Mirren	0–4	Celtic	xG 0.57–2.57
30 January 2021	Celtic	1–2	St. Mirren	xG 1.61–1.03
16 September 2020	St. Mirren	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.12–2.18

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 3, St. Mirren won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 13–3 and xG 2.59–0.65 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Furuhashi	12	949	8	0	0.81	0.16
Giakoumakis	7	640	5	0	0.74	0.11
Abada	22	1,867	9	6	0.52	0.33
Turnbull	18	1,586	5	4	0.28	0.43

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Brophy	18	1,461	6	0	0.30	0.01
Tanser	22	1,866	2	4	0.07	0.23
McGrath	18	1,588	2	1	0.10	0.15
Ronan	20	1,589	6	3	0.11	0.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.