Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Motherwell 1–2 Ross County

Sunday 16 May 2021, 12:00 · Fir Park · Round 38 · Half-time 1–0

Motherwell Foley 7'

Ross County Vigurs 49', Gardyne 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellRoss County
Goals12
xG0.671.23
Expected Points0.851.81

Motherwell 17%Draw 34%Ross County 49%

Most likely score 1–1, 20%. Final score 1–2, 11%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+11%11%3%10%11%3%2%4%3%18%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTLawless on for Hastie, 60'Watt on for Crawford, 65'Lakin on for Tremarco, 42'Charles-Cook on for Gardyne, 88'Foley 7'Vigurs 49'Gardyne 66'Ross County 1.23Motherwell 0.6700.511.50153045607590HTLawless on for Hastie, 60'Watt on for Crawford, 65'Lakin on for Tremarco, 42'Charles-Cook on for Gardyne, 88'Foley 7'Vigurs 49'Gardyne 66'1.230.67MotherwellRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellRoss County

0.67 −0.45xG1.23 +0.21
0.58 −0.41xG on target1.28 +0.39
7 −3.8Shots10 +0.2
1 −2.3Shots on target2 −1.2
1 −0.3Big chances2 +0.7
51% +5Possession49% +1
473 +131Passes445 +67
74% +6Pass accuracy74% +6
44% +6Field tilt56% +11
49 +19Final-third entries50 +15
8 −1.7Box entries4 −3.5
19.4 +5Passes per defensive action16.9 +3
3 −2.0Corners4 −0.1
9 −5Tackles11 −3
12 +1Interceptions11 0
12 −11Clearances11 −14
0 −2.9Saves0 −3.1
9 −3Fouls14 0
2 −0.1Offsides4 +2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Long 2', 0.06 xGO'Hara 81', 0.06 xGLong 27', 0.05 xGFoley 29', 0.03 xGLawless 75', 0.03 xGMcGinley 83', 0.03 xGFoley 7', 0.43 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.43 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.43 xG, 1 goal10%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals21%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 13', 0.43 xGWatson 17', 0.16 xGKelly 21', 0.06 xGSpittal 4', 0.05 xGGardyne 45+1', 0.05 xGVigurs 11', 0.04 xGGardyne 19', 0.03 xGSpittal 67', 0.03 xGGardyne 65', 0.31 xG, goalVigurs 49', 0.08 xG, goal13%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.16 xG, 0 goals67%0.82 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.82 xG, 2 goals9%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals11%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellRoss County

0.56 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.02 8 shots, 2 goals
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (26%) · Motherwell 0.49, Ross County 0.36 xG
Motherwell ahead
43 min (47%) · Motherwell 0.07, Ross County 0.84 xG
Ross County ahead
24 min (26%) · Motherwell 0.11, Ross County 0.03 xG

Line-ups

13334045783711944KellyO'DonnellMagloireLamieMcGinleyO'HaraCrawfordFoleyHastieLongColeYellow cardGoalYellow card65'60'Motherwell 4-3-2-1Graham Alexander1231525322111820267LaidlawNaismithWatsonDonaldsonTremarcoTillsonVigursKellySpittalWhiteGardyneYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal42'88'Ross County 4-3-3John Hughes

Motherwell substitutes

  • 60' Lawless for Hastie
  • 65' Watt for Crawford · yellow card 79'

Ross County substitutes

  • 42' Lakin for Tremarco
  • 88' Charles-Cook for Gardyne

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0100.1180
O'DonnellRB900.000.0210.0987
Magloire CB900.000.0100.0433
LamieCB900.000.0100.0688
McGinleyLB900.030.0100.0654
O'HaraCM900.060.0100.0453
CrawfordCM650.000.0100.0444
FoleyCM9010.460.0200.0132
HastieAM600.000.011−0.0100
LongAM900.100.0100.0432
Cole ST900.000.020−0.0100
LawlessFW300.030.0700.2030
Watt FW250.000.000−0.1310

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.1091
NaismithRB900.000.1000.2483
WatsonCB900.160.0100.0863
DonaldsonCB900.000.0000.0225
Tremarco LB420.000.0100.0321
Tillson CM900.000.010−0.0114
Vigurs CM9010.110.1210.1225
KellyCM9010.060.012−0.0423
SpittalRW900.080.2410.0463
WhiteST9010.430.033−0.0312
GardyneLW8810.380.0200.1240
LakinMF480.000.0100.0636
Charles-CookFW20.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Lamie and Foley: 5 passesLamie and Crawford: 5 passesFoley and Long: 5 passesHastie and Cole: 5 passesO'Hara and Hastie: 6 passesO'Donnell and O'Hara: 7 passesLamie and McGinley: 7 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 8 passesKelly and Lamie: 8 passesO'Donnell and Hastie: 8 passesMcGinley and Crawford: 8 passesCrawford and O'Hara: 8 passesCrawford and Hastie: 8 passesMcGinley and Long: 9 passesFoley and Crawford: 10 passesO'Donnell and Magloire: 11 passesMagloire and Crawford: 13 passesKelly and Magloire: 14 passesMcGinley and Foley: 18 passesKelly: 19 completed passesO'Donnell: 24 completed passesMagloire: 29 completed passesLamie: 25 completed passesMcGinley: 27 completed passesFoley: 26 completed passesCrawford: 34 completed passesO'Hara: 19 completed passesLong: 9 completed passesHastie: 13 completed passesCole: 12 completed passes13334045378791144KellyO'DonnellMagloireLamieMcGinleyFoleyCrawfordO'HaraLongHastieColeStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Tremarco: 3 passesNaismith and Tillson: 3 passesWatson and Spittal: 3 passesTillson and Vigurs: 3 passesVigurs and White: 3 passesLaidlaw and Donaldson: 4 passesNaismith and Vigurs: 4 passesDonaldson and Vigurs: 4 passesDonaldson and Kelly: 4 passesWatson and White: 4 passesTremarco and Kelly: 4 passesVigurs and Gardyne: 4 passesKelly and Spittal: 4 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 5 passesWatson and Vigurs: 5 passesTremarco and Vigurs: 5 passesTremarco and Spittal: 5 passesSpittal and White: 5 passesDonaldson and Watson: 6 passesTremarco and White: 6 passesKelly and White: 6 passesDonaldson and Tremarco: 9 passesVigurs and Kelly: 9 passesNaismith and Gardyne: 10 passesNaismith and Spittal: 12 passesNaismith and Watson: 26 passesLaidlaw: 7 completed passesNaismith: 33 completed passesDonaldson: 16 completed passesWatson: 27 completed passesTremarco: 23 completed passesTillson: 10 completed passesVigurs: 21 completed passesKelly: 15 completed passesSpittal: 15 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passesGardyne: 6 completed passes1232515322111820267LaidlawNaismithDonaldsonWatsonTremarcoTillsonVigursKellySpittalWhiteGardyneStarters until 42' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinleyFoley14
MagloireO'Donnell13
KellyMagloire10
FoleyMcGinley10
CrawfordMagloire9

Ross County

FromToPasses
WatsonNaismith15
NaismithWatson13
KellyVigurs11
VigursKelly11
NaismithSpittal11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

3−1.07+0.611−5.45−1.24−2.910+2.37+0.810+2.24−3.57+1.64−1.23−1.07+1.43−1.96+2.53−0.31−1.51−2.02−1.40−2.32−0.20−0.91−0.20−1.91+0.21+0.51+0.10−0.40−0.91−7.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Ross County

3−2.56−0.46−2.69+3.16−1.611+3.52−5.68−1.210+1.43−2.38+2.24+0.36+0.59+3.42−2.27+3.32−0.34+0.53−1.03+0.83+1.61−0.21−0.52+0.10−0.80−0.31+0.31+0.51+0.15−10.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.030.020.040.010.010.030.060.020.020.020.080.030.050.01−0.020.03−0.010.020.02−0.160.030.18LessMore

Ross County

0.010.050.010.030.020.040.020.020.030.09−0.010.020.020.030.050.020.020.020.020.05−0.020.020.04−0.01−0.020.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackMotherwell1.05 → 1.03Ross County0.97 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.37 → 1.38Ross County1.54 → 1.51

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th19%–−19
Kilmarnock
11th81%>99%+19

From the forecast before the match (16 May 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellRoss County
Expected goals1.541.09
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.681.05
Clean sheet34%22%

Motherwell 47%Draw 27%Ross County 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%2%9%5%2%4%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawRoss County win
Ross County
11th19%39%––
Kilmarnock
11th81%61%>99%>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. D2–212 MayDundee United (A)xG 0.90–1.56
  2. W2–01 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.00–0.93
  3. W1–021 AprHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.57–0.48
  4. W1–010 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.95–1.45
  5. L1–420 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 1.33–1.86
  6. W3–16 MarLivingston (H)xG 1.80–1.14

Ross County

  1. W2–112 MayHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.41–0.69
  2. W2–01 MayDundee United (A)xG 2.18–0.16
  3. L1–321 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.65–2.23
  4. D2–210 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.07–0.69
  5. L0–120 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.15–1.93
  6. L1–213 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.36–2.75

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellRoss County
Position7th10th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠9–⁠1610–⁠6–⁠21
Points45 (1.22 per game)36 (0.97 per game)
Expected Points per game1.120.92
Goals38–⁠5333–⁠65
xG per game1.12–⁠1.551.02–⁠1.73
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 1.14–⁠1.591.00, 0.97–⁠1.96
Away: points, xG per game1.26, 1.10–⁠1.500.94, 1.07–⁠1.49
ManagerGraham Alexander (17)John Hughes (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackMotherwell1.05, 6thRoss County0.97, 10thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.37, 9thRoss County1.54, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMotherwell attack: 1.05Ross County attack: 0.971.050.97Ross CountyMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMotherwell defence: 1.37Ross County defence: 1.541.541.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−13%+4%−19%+31%
Counter-attacks−74%+143%+34%average
Set pieces+4%+27%−7%+18%
Penalties−19%+78%−68%+127%
Headers−10%+37%+13%+4%
Left side−21%+7%−23%+24%
Centre−7%+21%−4%+37%
Right side−7%+18%−22%+9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side−21%+9%Centre−7%+37%Right side−7%+24%Open play−13%+31%Counter-attacks−74%averageSet pieces+4%+18%Headers−10%+4%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−23%+18%Centre−4%+21%Right side−22%+7%Open play−19%+4%Counter-attacks+34%+143%Set pieces−7%+27%Headers+13%+37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellRoss County

1.12xG1.02
1.55xG against1.73
46%Possession48%
10.8Shots9.8
13.7Shots against14.0
3.3Shots on target3.2
1.3Big chances1.3
18.7Touches in the opposition box14.8
342Passes378
67%Pass accuracy68%
5.0Corners4.1
38%Field tilt45%
30.3Final-third entries35.1
9.7Box entries7.5
14.3Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.301.43
Ahead260.971.52
Behind281.021.72

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.971.70
Ahead160.761.78
Behind301.231.76

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.287–11
16–300.250.188–5
31–450.140.245–7
46–600.170.266–9
61–750.250.249–7
76–900.120.353–14

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.294–7
16–300.150.2411–12
31–450.150.203–5
46–600.210.344–12
61–750.150.323–14
76–900.230.338–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 17Carson 12Chapman 4O'Donnell 32Grimshaw 2Gallagher 1Gallagher 25Mugabi 18Magloire 6Lamie 21Carroll 14McGinley 11Grimshaw 8Campbell 34Long 1Seedorf 1Crawford 18O'Hara 15Lawless 3Polworth 18Maguire 14Foley 2Long 6Hastie 5Seedorf 5Cole 14Watt 13Long 7Watt 15Lang 7Cole 64-3-3 in 24 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (24), 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 32Doohan 5Naismith 15Randall 10Watson 4Donaldson 21Watson 10Morris 9Iacovitti 29Hjelde 4Grivosti 1Reid 17Hjelde 6Tremarco 6Vigurs 11Tillson 7McKay 5Paton 5Charles-Cook 5Gardyne 4Vigurs 14Tillson 9Draper 8Paton 14Kelly 13Lakin 8Gardyne 12Hylton 6Stewart 6Shaw 11White 10Stewart 94-1-4-1 in 8 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (8), 4-5-1 (5), 4-4-1-1 (5), 4-3-3 (4), 3-5-1-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 January 2021Ross County1–2MotherwellxG 1.86–1.56
24 October 2020Motherwell4–0Ross CountyxG 3.11–1.47
3 August 2020Ross County1–0MotherwellxG 1.33–1.96

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 2, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–2 and xG 2.21–1.55 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cole231,9351150.490.05
Lang121,038310.360.03
Roberts5454110.180.21
Watt282,359350.230.12

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart191,650210.370.06
McKay141,288510.310.11
White10928440.300.06
Shaw121,259610.290.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.