Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 1–1 Livingston

Friday 6 November 2020, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 14 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 300

Ross County Shaw 28'

Livingston Devlin 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyLivingston
Goals11
xG0.621.07
Expected Points0.891.76

Ross County 18%Draw 35%Livingston 47%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 1–1, 18%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+15%12%2%10%9%2%3%4%3%22%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTCharles-Cook on for Gardyne, 59'Tillson on for Lakin, 85'Poplatnik on for Sibbald, 77'Ambrose on for Brown, 81'Shaw 28'Devlin 56'Livingston 1.07Ross County 0.6200.511.50153045607590HTCharles-Cook on for Gardyne, 59'Tillson on for Lakin, 85'Poplatnik on for Sibbald, 77'Ambrose on for Brown, 81'Shaw 28'Devlin 56'1.070.62Ross CountyLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyLivingston

0.62 −0.44xG1.07 −0.28
0.62 +0.03xG on target0.76 −0.34
7 −3Shots7 −4
2 −0.8Shots on target2 −0.8
1 −0.3Big chances2 +0.5
11 −7Touches in the opposition box19 −2
56% +8Possession44% −5
426 +30Passes336 −15
63% −9Pass accuracy58% −5
50% +1Field tilt50% −2
40 +1Final-third entries35 0
5 −3.1Box entries8 −1.8
19.5 +5Passes per defensive action8.7 −4
3 −0.9Corners3 −2.7
9 −4Tackles21 +6
7 −3Interceptions22 +11
26 +2Clearances16 −4
1 −1.8Saves1 −1.2
10 −5Fouls13 −2
3 +1.6Offsides2 +0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Shaw 69', 0.27 xGStewart 32', 0.11 xGKelly 42', 0.06 xGIacovitti 73', 0.05 xGKelly 3', 0.04 xGCharles-Cook 84', 0.03 xGShaw 28', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals79%0.49 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.49 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Emmanuel-Thomas 16', 0.39 xGGuthrie 68', 0.07 xGPittman 72', 0.05 xGForrest 22', 0.04 xGPittman 52', 0.04 xGSibbald 65', 0.03 xGDevlin 56', 0.45 xG, goal78%0.83 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.83 xG, 1 goal7%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals15%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyLivingston

0.41 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.61 5 shots, 1 goal
0.20 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.46 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
62 min (69%) · Ross County 0.44, Livingston 0.58 xG
Ross County ahead
28 min (31%) · Ross County 0.17, Livingston 0.48 xG

Line-ups

21122516437241918278DoohanGrivostiDonaldsonIacovittiReidGardynePatonLakinKellyStewartShawYellow cardGoal59'85'Ross County 4-5-1Stuart Kettlewell32232733861710911StryjekDevlinBrownGuthrieLawsonPittmanBartleyRobinsonSibbaldEmmanuel-ThomasForrestGoalYellow card81'77'Livingston 4-3-3Gary Holt

Ross County substitutes

  • 59' Charles-Cook for Gardyne
  • 85' Tillson for Lakin

Livingston substitutes

  • 77' Poplatnik for Sibbald
  • 81' Ambrose for Brown

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0000.0220
GrivostiRB900.000.0100.0555
DonaldsonCB900.000.0000.0678
IacovittiCB900.050.0000.0783
ReidLB900.000.1110.25115
GardyneRM590.000.0000.0130
PatonCM900.000.0200.06102
LakinCM850.000.0810.0545
Kelly CM9010.100.1010.0637
StewartLM900.110.0210.0024
ShawST9010.330.2310.1431
Charles-CookFW310.030.0100.0131
TillsonMF50.000.0000.0001

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.0660
DevlinRB9010.450.0200.08810
BrownCB810.000.0510.0219
GuthrieCB900.070.0100.0649
LawsonLB900.000.0100.0449
PittmanCM9010.090.1010.1631
Bartley CM900.000.0210.0137
RobinsonCM900.000.1700.0706
SibbaldRW770.030.0300.0453
Emmanuel-ThomasST900.390.0710.0621
ForrestLW900.040.2120.0214
PoplatnikFW130.000.010−0.0300
AmbroseFW90.000.0100.0321

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Doohan and Stewart: 3 passesIacovitti and Donaldson: 3 passesIacovitti and Reid: 3 passesIacovitti and Shaw: 3 passesLakin and Shaw: 3 passesStewart and Shaw: 3 passesGrivosti and Donaldson: 4 passesIacovitti and Lakin: 4 passesReid and Lakin: 4 passesPaton and Gardyne: 4 passesPaton and Shaw: 4 passesLakin and Stewart: 4 passesGrivosti and Kelly: 5 passesDonaldson and Paton: 5 passesGrivosti and Paton: 6 passesReid and Kelly: 6 passesReid and Stewart: 6 passesReid and Shaw: 6 passesDoohan and Iacovitti: 7 passesGrivosti and Stewart: 7 passesReid and Paton: 10 passesLakin and Gardyne: 10 passesReid and Gardyne: 12 passesDoohan: 11 completed passesGrivosti: 15 completed passesIacovitti: 15 completed passesDonaldson: 11 completed passesReid: 31 completed passesPaton: 18 completed passesKelly: 14 completed passesLakin: 10 completed passesStewart: 12 completed passesGardyne: 16 completed passesShaw: 11 completed passes21121625432418192778DoohanGrivostiIacovittiDonaldsonReidPatonKellyLakinStewartGardyneShawStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Devlin and Bartley: 4 passesBrown and Emmanuel-Thomas: 4 passesRobinson and Pittman: 4 passesForrest and Pittman: 4 passesForrest and Emmanuel-Thomas: 4 passesLawson and Forrest: 5 passesLawson and Emmanuel-Thomas: 5 passesSibbald and Bartley: 5 passesSibbald and Robinson: 5 passesPittman and Emmanuel-Thomas: 5 passesStryjek and Lawson: 6 passesStryjek and Emmanuel-Thomas: 6 passesSibbald and Pittman: 6 passesBartley and Pittman: 6 passesRobinson and Forrest: 6 passesDevlin and Brown: 7 passesBrown and Guthrie: 7 passesGuthrie and Lawson: 7 passesLawson and Robinson: 7 passesSibbald and Emmanuel-Thomas: 7 passesDevlin and Emmanuel-Thomas: 9 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 10 passesStryjek: 11 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesBrown: 15 completed passesGuthrie: 17 completed passesLawson: 21 completed passesSibbald: 16 completed passesBartley: 14 completed passesRobinson: 16 completed passesForrest: 13 completed passesPittman: 13 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 17 completed passes32232733106171189StryjekDevlinBrownGuthrieLawsonSibbaldBartleyRobinsonForrestPittmanEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
ReidLakin10
ReidPaton9
ReidStewart8
GrivostiPaton6
ReidGardyne6

Livingston

FromToPasses
StryjekEmmanuel-Thomas9
DevlinEmmanuel-Thomas8
DevlinSibbald6
LawsonGuthrie5
LawsonStryjek5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

3−1.89+2.611−4.27−2.75−0.83−4.24−2.213+6.38−1.910+1.83−2.511+6.64+0.27+2.98+2.10−5.02−1.51−2.17+3.25+0.52+0.21+0.20−0.91−0.51−0.90−0.71+0.71+0.80−0.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Livingston

6+0.83−2.510−1.85+0.17+2.521+13.75−2.74−3.29+0.812+3.810+4.56+0.74−0.24−0.68+2.46+2.54−0.21−2.05+1.74−0.26+2.91−1.93+2.03+1.62−0.50−1.60−0.60−0.70−0.51+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.010.010.010.030.020.020.030.010.020.030.040.030.020.040.010.020.050.01−0.010.010.190.16LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.010.020.030.010.040.020.030.010.010.020.070.010.050.01−0.020.030.03−0.010.040.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackRoss County0.91 → 0.88Livingston1.11 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.59 → 1.54Livingston1.29 → 1.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six4%4%0
11th26%25%−1
Bottom20%19%−1
Livingston
Top six26%21%−5
11th7%9%+2
Bottom3%3%0
Hamilton Academical
11th24%23%−1
Bottom49%51%+2
Dundee United
Top six30%31%+1
11th6%6%0

From the forecast before the match (6 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyLivingston
Expected goals1.011.53
Win24%49%
Expected Points1.001.73
Clean sheet22%36%

Ross County 24%Draw 27%Livingston 49%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%5%2%4%6%5%2%1%2%2%11%9%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawLivingston win
Ross County
Top six4%7%4%2%
11th26%20%25%30%
Bottom20%13%19%25%
Livingston
Top six26%16%21%34%
11th7%11%9%4%
Bottom3%5%3%1%
Hamilton Academical
11th24%23%23%26%
Bottom49%51%51%47%
Dundee United
Top six30%32%31%28%
11th6%7%6%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–231 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.88–1.79
  2. L0–424 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.47–3.11
  3. D0–017 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.63–2.70
  4. L0–24 OctRangers (A)xG 0.46–2.00
  5. L0–327 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–3.26
  6. W1–019 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.23–0.85

Livingston

  1. L0–231 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.70–1.40
  2. L0–225 OctRangers (A)xG 0.87–1.39
  3. L1–317 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–2.27
  4. W2–12 OctDundee United (A)xG 3.09–0.06
  5. W2–026 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.54–1.11
  6. L2–319 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.35–1.58

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyLivingston
Position8th10th
Played1313
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠73–⁠2–⁠8
Points12 (0.92 per game)11 (0.85 per game)
Expected Points per game0.891.30
Goals8–⁠2213–⁠22
xG per game1.06–⁠1.881.35–⁠1.35
Home: points, xG per game0.83, 1.11–⁠2.271.00, 1.14–⁠1.55
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.02–⁠1.550.67, 1.58–⁠1.12
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (13)Gary Holt (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackRoss County0.91, 11thLivingston1.11, 5thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.59, 11thLivingston1.29, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovRoss County attack: 0.91Livingston attack: 1.111.110.91LivingstonRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovRoss County defence: 1.59Livingston defence: 1.291.591.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%+29%+3%−13%
Counter-attacks−100%−34%−100%−57%
Set pieces−19%+12%−4%+31%
Penalties−30%+147%+6%+6%
Headers+6%+1%+2%+11%
Left side−16%+30%−32%−33%
Centre−35%+28%+30%+20%
Right side−2%+3%−29%−10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−16%−10%Centre−35%+20%Right side−2%−33%Open play−19%−13%Counter-attacks−100%−57%Set pieces−19%+31%Headers+6%+11%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−32%+3%Centre+30%+28%Right side−29%+30%Open play+3%+29%Counter-attacks−100%−34%Set pieces−4%+12%Headers+2%+1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyLivingston

1.06xG1.35
1.88xG against1.35
48%Possession49%
10.2Shots10.9
13.9Shots against10.7
2.8Shots on target2.8
1.3Big chances1.5
17.6Touches in the opposition box21.2
396Passes351
72%Pass accuracy63%
3.9Corners5.7
49%Field tilt52%
39.4Final-third entries35.1
8.1Box entries9.8
14.1Passes per defensive action12.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.051.79
Ahead140.371.67
Behind341.372.09

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.141.33
Ahead121.091.27
Behind401.621.41

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.351–2
16–300.150.242–3
31–450.170.251–3
46–600.170.330–5
61–750.170.421–6
76–900.240.293–3

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.133–2
16–300.260.321–8
31–450.170.312–5
46–600.190.212–5
61–750.260.193–0
76–900.260.212–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 10Doohan 3Randall 9Charles-Cook 2Donaldson 1Donaldson 12Watson 1Iacovitti 11Grivosti 1Morris 1Reid 11Stewart 1Watson 1Vigurs 4Draper 4Iacovitti 2Gardyne 3Stewart 2Charles-Cook 2Paton 7Tillson 5Lakin 2Vigurs 7Gardyne 2Kelly 1Stewart 5Gardyne 5Vigurs 1McKay 6Stewart 5Shaw 24-1-4-1 in 4 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcCrorie 10Stryjek 3Devlin 11Ambrose 1Robinson 1Ambrose 6Fitzwater 2Guthrie 12Brown 4Taylor-Sinclair 2Serrano 8Ambrose 2McMillan 2Bartley 11Pittman 1Holt 6Sibbald 6Forrest 2Robinson 5Pittman 3Fitzwater 3Pittman 8Bartley 2Holt 1Forrest 7Sibbald 3Holt 1Tiffoney 3Dykes 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 August 2020Livingston1–0Ross CountyxG 1.31–0.38

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Ross County won 0, Livingston won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–1 and xG 0.38–1.31 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart131,166210.390.08
McKay7573100.310.13
Charles-Cook5539000.230.09
Gardyne10858000.080.21

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest9818300.240.26
Pittman131,170200.240.05
Devlin121,036000.090.14
Robinson8708000.130.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.