Matches › 2022/23

Rangers 3–2 Hibernian

Thursday 15 December 2022, 20:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 48,671

Rangers Sakala 15', Jack 58', Morelos 62'

Hibernian Porteous 8', Nisbet 16'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Goals	3	2
xG	2.31	0.62
Expected Points	2.52	0.32

Rangers 79%Draw 16%Hibernian 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 3–2, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHibernian

2.31 +0.37xG0.62 −0.65

2.92 +1.00xG on target1.50 +0.60

22 +2Shots8 −9

9 +2.8Shots on target5 +0.2

3 −0.1Big chances2 +0.8

50 +9Touches in the opposition box9 −16

72% +4Possession28% −31

677 +97Passes265 −157

86% +1Pass accuracy62% −17

91% +11Field tilt9% −57

68 −1Final-third entries16 −34

31 +9Box entries3 −12

13.2 +4.0Passes per defensive action29.3 +19.0

8 −0.2Corners4 −2.8

11 −4Tackles23 +9

4 −2.7Interceptions13 +5.8

9 −2Clearances34 +16

3 +1.7Saves6 +4.4

10 −1Fouls10 −3

2 −0.1Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHibernian

1.55 15 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.30 5 shots, 1 goal

0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

0.71 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.29 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–23–2

Level: 13 min (13%) · Rangers 0.63, Hibernian 0.36 xG
Rangers ahead: 32 min (33%) · Rangers 0.41, Hibernian 0.11 xG
Hibernian ahead: 53 min (54%) · Rangers 1.26, Hibernian 0.15 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

65' Davis for Sakala · yellow card 88'
87' Davies for Devine
87' Arfield for Kamara
87' Wright for Tillman
90+3' Matondo for Morelos

Hibernian substitutes

68' Melkersen for Magennis
79' McGeady for Nisbet
86' McKirdy for Cadden
87' Henderson for Hanlon
87' Stevenson for Cabraja · yellow card 90'

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
McGregor	GK	90			0.00	0.01	1	0.04	4	1
Tavernier	RB	90			0.06	0.18	2	0.27	13	4
Sands	CB	90			0.02	0.03	0	0.12	9	5
Lundstram	CB	90			0.02	0.03	0	0.17	11	2
Devine	LB	87			0.00	0.68	2	0.46	15	1
Kamara	DM	87			0.05	0.13	3	0.08	10	1
Jack	DM	90	1		0.62	0.07	1	0.10	4	2
Sakala	RW	65	1		0.42	0.03	1	−0.02	2	0
Tillman	AM	87		2	0.21	0.52	4	0.16	3	4
Kent	LW	90		1	0.06	0.15	5	0.18	7	0
Morelos	ST	90	1		0.75	0.06	0	0.06	6	3
Davis	MF	25			0.08	0.03	0	0.04	1	1
Davies	DF	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Arfield	MF	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Wright	FW	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	0
Matondo	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	9	0
Cadden	RB	86			0.00	0.01	1	0.04	4	9
Bushiri	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	11
Hanlon	CB	87			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	13
Cabraja	LB	87			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	9
Magennis	RM	68			0.00	0.02	0	0.03	2	6
Porteous	CM	90	1		0.29	0.00	1	0.02	2	5
Newell	CM	90		1	0.00	0.17	1	0.02	2	7
Youan	LM	90			0.21	0.00	1	0.01	1	4
Campbell	ST	90			0.03	0.21	1	0.05	3	5
Nisbet	ST	79	1		0.08	0.01	0	−0.01	2	8
Melkersen	FW	22			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
McGeady	MF	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
McKirdy	FW	4			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Henderson	MF	3			0.02	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Stevenson	MF	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Sands	Lundstram	24
Kamara	Kent	21
Lundstram	Sands	20
Tavernier	Lundstram	17
Lundstram	Tavernier	16

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Cabraja	Youan	7
Cabraja	Hanlon	6
Youan	Cabraja	6
Magennis	Cadden	5
Nisbet	Campbell	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 15 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Rangers
Title	8%	10%	+2
Hibernian
Top six	57%	54%	−3
11th	1%	2%	+1
Celtic
Title	92%	90%	−2

From the forecast before the match (15 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Expected goals	2.23	0.59
Win	75%	8%
Expected Points	2.41	0.41
Clean sheet	56%	11%

Rangers 75%Draw 18%Hibernian 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 40%.

From the forecast as it stood on 15 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Hibernian win
Rangers
Title	8%	10%	5%	3%
Hibernian
Top six	57%	54%	63%	74%
11th	1%	2%	1%	1%
Celtic
Title	92%	90%	95%	97%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Position	2nd	8th
Played	15	16
Won, drawn, lost	10–⁠3–⁠2	6–⁠2–⁠8
Points	33 (2.20 per game)	20 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.22	1.57
Goals	34–⁠14	18–⁠23
xG per game	1.94–⁠0.61	1.27–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game	2.75, 2.42–⁠0.42	1.75, 1.38–⁠0.79
Away: points, xG per game	1.57, 1.39–⁠0.82	0.75, 1.15–⁠1.20
Manager	Michael Beale (0)	Lee Johnson (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+71%	−50%	−3%	−34%
Counter-attacks	−40%	−96%	+11%	+101%
Set pieces	+11%	−23%	+22%	−20%
Penalties	+38%	−100%	−35%	−3%
Headers	+46%	−54%	+5%	−29%
Left side	+70%	−36%	+21%	−27%
Centre	+29%	−44%	−22%	−24%
Right side	+73%	−60%	+26%	−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+70%−26%Centre+29%−24%Right side+73%−27%Open play+71%−34%Counter-attacks−40%+101%Set pieces+11%−20%Headers+46%−29%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side+21%−60%Centre−22%−44%Right side+26%−36%Open play−3%−50%Counter-attacks+11%−96%Set pieces+22%−23%Headers+5%−54%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHibernian

1.94xG1.27

0.61xG against0.99

68%Possession59%

19.8Shots17.2

7.7Shots against9.2

6.2Shots on target4.8

3.1Big chances1.2

40.6Touches in the opposition box25.2

580Passes422

85%Pass accuracy78%

8.2Corners6.8

80%Field tilt66%

69.0Final-third entries50.0

22.3Box entries14.6

9.2Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	30	2.40	0.51
Ahead	38	1.97	0.55
Behind	22	1.25	0.84

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	0.98	1.17
Ahead	16	1.52	0.63
Behind	36	1.46	0.97

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.35	0.07	3–3
16–30	0.26	0.08	4–1
31–45	0.32	0.10	4–3
46–60	0.34	0.14	6–3
61–75	0.23	0.07	7–1
76–90	0.44	0.14	10–3

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.09	1–5
16–30	0.08	0.15	0–3
31–45	0.26	0.18	3–3
46–60	0.30	0.22	4–4
61–75	0.24	0.13	6–3
76–90	0.26	0.22	4–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-3-3 (2)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
20 August 2022	Hibernian	2–2	Rangers	xG 0.77–1.57
9 February 2022	Rangers	2–0	Hibernian	xG 2.45–0.81
1 December 2021	Hibernian	0–1	Rangers	xG 0.22–1.78
3 October 2021	Rangers	2–1	Hibernian	xG 1.68–0.23
11 April 2021	Rangers	2–1	Hibernian	xG 0.58–1.09
27 January 2021	Hibernian	0–1	Rangers	xG 0.80–1.72

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 6, Hibernian won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 13–6 and xG 1.86–0.68 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Colak	14	1,055	11	0	0.60	0.08
Tavernier	15	1,350	6	5	0.32	0.27
Tillman	10	861	3	2	0.32	0.17
Arfield	5	663	2	1	0.23	0.22

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kukharevych	10	744	3	1	0.39	0.13
Boyle	10	936	5	1	0.33	0.13
Youan	10	872	1	3	0.21	0.14
Henderson	8	632	1	2	0.21	0.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.