Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Rangers 4–1 Celtic

Sunday 2 May 2021, 12:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 36 · Half-time 2–1

Rangers Roofe 26', 57', Morelos 33', Defoe 90+2'

Celtic Edouard 30' · McGregor sent off 26'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersCeltic
Goals41
xG1.332.07
Expected Points0.831.93

Rangers 20%Draw 24%Celtic 56%

Most likely score 1–2, 13%. Final score 4–1, 1%.

Celtic goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+2%6%8%5%2%2%8%3%2%6%6%2%3%4%3%1%10%13%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMcGregor (Celtic), second yellow card 26'Wright on for Barisic, 79'Hagi on for Morelos, 84'Defoe on for Roofe, 86'Soro on for Brown and Christie on for Forrest, 60'Johnston on for Edouard, 75'Roofe 26'Morelos 33'Roofe 57'Defoe 90+2'Edouard 30'Celtic 2.07Rangers 1.3301230153045607590HTMcGregor (Celtic), second yellow card 26'Wright on for Barisic, 79'Hagi on for Morelos, 84'Defoe on for Roofe, 86'Soro on for Brown and Christie on for Forrest, 60'Johnston on for Edouard, 75'Roofe 26'Morelos 33'Roofe 57'Defoe 90+2'Edouard 30'2.071.33RangersCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersCeltic

1.33 −0.69xG2.07 +0.11
1.84 −0.07xG on target0.92 −1.07
18 +2Shots12 −6
9 +3.2Shots on target3 −3.7
1 −1.7Big chances3 +0.5
26 −4Touches in the opposition box22 −8
51% −15Possession49% −18
447 −155Passes425 −166
88% +4Pass accuracy83% −2
63% −14Field tilt37% −37
48 −9Final-third entries42 −25
18 +1Box entries12 −5
17.3 +7Passes per defensive action10.5 0
5 −1.6Corners9 +2.6
14 0Tackles21 +9
7 −2.4Interceptions6 −3.8
16 +4Clearances21 +5
2 +0.1Saves5 +3.3
10 −1Fouls14 +3
2 +0.2Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Kent 26', 0.08 xGRoofe 31', 0.08 xGSimpson 9', 0.07 xGAribo 32', 0.07 xGGoldson 32', 0.07 xGRoofe 53', 0.07 xGMorelos 63', 0.06 xGAribo 8', 0.05 xGKent 19', 0.05 xGRoofe 31', 0.04 xGAribo 65', 0.04 xGKent 80', 0.04 xGMorelos 36', 0.03 xGDavis 65', 0.03 xGRoofe 57', 0.30 xG, goalRoofe 26', 0.12 xG, goalDefoe 90+2', 0.10 xG, goalMorelos 33', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals73%0.97 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 0.97 xG, 3 goals11%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 1 goal16%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Turnbull 55', 0.45 xGElyounoussi 82', 0.39 xGEdouard 69', 0.10 xGAjer 80', 0.10 xGElyounoussi 4', 0.08 xGForrest 40', 0.07 xGElyounoussi 2', 0.05 xGEdouard 41', 0.05 xGEdouard 55', 0.05 xGForrest 15', 0.04 xGElyounoussi 25', 0.03 xGEdouard 30', 0.67 xG, goal73%1.51 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.51 xG, 1 goal11%0.23 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals13%0.26 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersCeltic

1.02 12 shots, 3 goalsOpen play1.36 10 shots, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.25 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.71 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
29 min (31%) · Rangers 0.65, Celtic 0.20 xG
Rangers ahead
64 min (69%) · Rangers 0.68, Celtic 1.88 xG

Line-ups

126431181017142520McGregorTavernierGoldsonSimpsonBarisicKamaraDavisAriboKentRoofeMorelosYellow cardGoalGoalGoal79'86'84'Rangers 4-3-1-2Steven Gerrard29165735384249142722BainKennyWelshAjerTaylorBrownMcGregorForrestTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardGoal60'60'75'Celtic 4-2-3-1John Kennedy

Rangers substitutes

  • 79' Wright for Barisic
  • 84' Hagi for Morelos · 1 assist
  • 86' Defoe for Roofe · goal 90+2'

Celtic substitutes

  • 60' Soro for Brown
  • 60' Christie for Forrest
  • 75' Johnston for Edouard

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0113
TavernierRB900.000.4310.40192
GoldsonCB900.070.0100.08612
Simpson CB900.070.0000.1226
BarisicLB7910.000.3830.3384
KamaraCM900.000.0800.1184
DavisCM900.030.0500.0754
AriboCM900.160.0610.0333
KentAM9010.160.3550.36101
RoofeST8620.620.032−0.0321
MorelosST8410.130.061−0.0422
WrightFW110.000.0000.0000
HagiMF610.000.0010.0000
DefoeFW410.100.0000.1810

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0110
KennyRB900.000.3110.24149
WelshCB900.000.0100.05310
AjerCB9010.100.5220.19106
TaylorLB900.000.0200.0735
BrownDM600.000.0010.0144
McGregor DM260.000.0100.0332
ForrestRW600.110.2910.2041
TurnbullAM900.450.1320.0133
Elyounoussi LW900.550.0410.0753
EdouardST7510.860.0210.0542
SoroMF300.000.0010.0002
ChristieMF300.000.0100.0115
JohnstonFW150.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

McGregor and Simpson: 7 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 8 passesTavernier and Morelos: 8 passesKent and Roofe: 8 passesBarisic and Davis: 9 passesKamara and Kent: 9 passesDavis and Kent: 9 passesGoldson and Aribo: 10 passesSimpson and Kamara: 10 passesTavernier and Aribo: 11 passesGoldson and Kamara: 11 passesKamara and Morelos: 11 passesGoldson and Simpson: 12 passesTavernier and Kent: 13 passesBarisic and Kent: 13 passesAribo and Davis: 13 passesKent and Morelos: 13 passesTavernier and Kamara: 14 passesGoldson and Davis: 14 passesAribo and Kent: 14 passesBarisic and Aribo: 15 passesTavernier and Goldson: 17 passesSimpson and Barisic: 17 passesTavernier and Davis: 18 passesKamara and Davis: 18 passesBarisic and Kamara: 21 passesMcGregor: 17 completed passesTavernier: 49 completed passesGoldson: 41 completed passesSimpson: 31 completed passesBarisic: 44 completed passesKamara: 59 completed passesAribo: 32 completed passesDavis: 46 completed passesKent: 38 completed passesRoofe: 15 completed passesMorelos: 19 completed passes126431181710142520McGregorTavernierGoldsonSimpsonBarisicKamaraAriboDavisKentRoofeMorelosStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Celtic

Kenny and Brown: 3 passesKenny and McGregor: 3 passesKenny and Turnbull: 3 passesAjer and McGregor: 3 passesAjer and Elyounoussi: 3 passesBain and McGregor: 4 passesWelsh and McGregor: 4 passesMcGregor and Elyounoussi: 4 passesAjer and Welsh: 5 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 5 passesForrest and Turnbull: 5 passesBain and Ajer: 6 passesBain and Welsh: 6 passesAjer and Taylor: 7 passesTaylor and McGregor: 7 passesKenny and Forrest: 8 passesTaylor and Elyounoussi: 8 passesKenny and Welsh: 14 passesBain: 11 completed passesKenny: 17 completed passesAjer: 13 completed passesWelsh: 18 completed passesTaylor: 15 completed passesBrown: 8 completed passesMcGregor: 19 completed passesForrest: 6 completed passesTurnbull: 10 completed passesElyounoussi: 8 completed passesEdouard: 5 completed passes29163557384249142722BainKennyAjerWelshTaylorBrownMcGregorForrestTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardStarters until 26' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
DavisTavernier14
SimpsonBarisic12
BarisicKamara12
AriboKent11
KamaraDavis11

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshKenny16
KennyWelsh13
KennyTurnbull13
BainAjer13
TaylorElyounoussi12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

7+3.37+3.511+3.98+3.15+0.47−0.94−2.45+1.24−3.38+1.54−1.12−1.35+0.77+1.34−0.73−1.43+0.62−1.66+1.11−1.91−1.21−0.11−1.13+0.30−1.00−0.52+1.11+0.52+0.92−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Celtic

1−3.25+0.620+10.14−0.23−1.512+4.710+3.92−2.66−0.85−3.19+3.13−2.22−1.86+0.87+0.89+4.80−3.72−1.43−1.340.01−1.35+3.01−1.03+0.82−0.42+1.60−0.51+0.22+1.30−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.030.010.010.020.040.060.020.030.020.030.060.030.050.01−0.03−0.030.170.040.170.110.120.190.190.26LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.020.020.040.010.040.04−0.010.060.070.010.010.020.06−0.010.070.39LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.79 → 1.83Celtic1.79 → 1.83Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.65 → 0.68Celtic0.78 → 0.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersCeltic
Expected goals1.310.98
Win43%27%
Expected Points1.591.11
Clean sheet37%27%

Rangers 43%Draw 29%Celtic 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Celtic goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. D1–121 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.23–1.93
  2. W2–111 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.58–1.09
  3. D1–121 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.83–1.33
  4. W3–06 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.50–0.21
  5. W1–03 MarLivingston (A)xG 2.73–0.35
  6. W4–121 FebDundee United (H)xG 3.26–1.04

Celtic

  1. D1–121 AprAberdeen (A)xG 2.87–1.52
  2. W6–010 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.83–0.79
  3. D1–121 MarRangers (H)xG 1.33–0.83
  4. D0–07 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.77–0.51
  5. W1–027 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.33–1.15
  6. L0–121 FebRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.98

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersCeltic
Position1st2nd
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost29–⁠6–⁠021–⁠10–⁠4
Points93 (2.66 per game)73 (2.09 per game)
Expected Points per game2.211.99
Goals81–⁠1273–⁠25
xG per game2.02–⁠0.631.96–⁠0.94
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.22–⁠0.552.22, 1.76–⁠0.88
Away: points, xG per game2.33, 1.82–⁠0.701.94, 2.17–⁠1.00
ManagerSteven Gerrard (35)John Kennedy (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.79, 2ndCeltic1.79, 1stDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.65, 1stCeltic0.78, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRangers attack: 1.79Celtic attack: 1.791.791.79CelticRangersDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRangers defence: 0.65Celtic defence: 0.780.780.65

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+76%−48%+76%−41%
Counter-attacks+55%−29%+110%−54%
Set pieces+24%−45%+12%+10%
Penalties+51%−83%+18%−16%
Headers+46%−34%+4%−5%
Left side+28%−40%+58%−27%
Centre+74%−45%+55%−19%
Right side+67%−58%+67%−44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+28%−44%Centre+74%−19%Right side+67%−27%Open play+76%−41%Counter-attacks+55%−54%Set pieces+24%+10%Headers+46%−5%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+58%−58%Centre+55%−45%Right side+67%−40%Open play+76%−48%Counter-attacks+110%−29%Set pieces+12%−45%Headers+4%−34%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersCeltic

2.02xG1.96
0.63xG against0.94
66%Possession66%
16.1Shots17.9
6.3Shots against8.4
5.8Shots on target6.7
2.7Big chances2.5
30.4Touches in the opposition box29.6
602Passes592
84%Pass accuracy84%
6.6Corners6.4
77%Field tilt74%
57.4Final-third entries66.6
17.4Box entries16.8
10.6Passes per defensive action10.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.950.73
Ahead512.040.60
Behind42.290.16

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.690.98
Ahead382.190.99
Behind102.180.61

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.138–1
16–300.350.1319–3
31–450.320.0715–1
46–600.400.0815–0
61–750.310.0914–2
76–900.400.1210–5

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.138–3
16–300.310.1513–4
31–450.360.098–4
46–600.400.1814–5
61–750.310.209–5
76–900.380.1821–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 25McLaughlin 10Tavernier 30Patterson 3Balogun 2Goldson 35Helander 21Balogun 13Simpson 1Barisic 32Bassey 3Aribo 21Arfield 11Itten 1Davis 26Jack 16Hagi 2Kamara 25Hagi 17Roofe 7Kent 3Morelos 23Roofe 6Defoe 3Kent 29Hagi 2Roofe 24-3-3 in 27 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (27), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-4-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 17Barkas 13Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 11Ajer 4Duffy 13Welsh 12Bitton 10Ajer 26Taylor 18Laxalt 12Edouard 2Brown 11Soro 10Turnbull 6McGregor 31Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 12Brown 5Forrest 4Turnbull 13Christie 4Brown 4Edouard 12Elyounoussi 11Taylor 3Edouard 10Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 15 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (15), 4-1-3-2 (5), 4-1-2-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-3-3 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 March 2021Celtic1–1RangersxG 1.33–0.83
2 January 2021Rangers1–0CelticxG 0.58–0.61
17 October 2020Celtic0–2RangersxG 0.55–1.50

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 2, Celtic won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–1 and xG 0.97–0.83 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe151,3301030.580.10
Tavernier302,6471190.400.26
Morelos231,8611130.550.10
Itten5751410.330.19

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard252,1321640.750.21
Griffiths7701620.510.16
Turnbull221,800750.270.40
Elyounoussi181,5381040.510.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.