Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hibernian 0–0 Celtic

Saturday 15 May 2021, 12:30 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 38 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianCeltic
Goals00
xG0.352.10
Expected Points0.262.59

Hibernian 4%Draw 15%Celtic 81%

Most likely score 0–2, 22%. Final score 0–0, 6%.

Celtic goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+6%15%7%2%2%7%8%6%2%1%1%17%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTIrvine on for Murphy and Doidge on for Hallberg, 71'Doig on for Wright and McGinn on for Gray, 77'Griffiths on for Edouard and Forrest on for Christie, 61'Montgomery on for Taylor and Dembélé on for Elyounoussi, 81'Celtic 2.10Hibernian 0.3501230153045607590HTIrvine on for Murphy and Doidge on for Hallberg, 71'Doig on for Wright and McGinn on for Gray, 77'Griffiths on for Edouard and Forrest on for Christie, 61'Montgomery on for Taylor and Dembélé on for Elyounoussi, 81'2.100.35HibernianCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

0.35 −1.13xG2.10 +0.13
0.00 −1.53xG on target1.55 −0.43
6 −6Shots17 −1
0 −4.2Shots on target9 +2.3
0 −1.9Big chances4 +1.5
8 −13Touches in the opposition box42 +12
27% −23Possession73% +7
280 −110Passes771 +178
68% −2Pass accuracy91% +6
10% −38Field tilt90% +17
22 −17Final-third entries80 +14
6 −4Box entries31 +14
22.5 +8Passes per defensive action11.2 +1
1 −4.5Corners6 −0.4
27 +13Tackles7 −6
22 +11.6Interceptions6 −3.7
27 +7Clearances4 −12
8 +5.5Saves0 −1.8
13 0Fouls9 −2
3 +0.8Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Irvine 90+2', 0.09 xGMcGregor 7', 0.08 xGHallberg 51', 0.07 xGGogic 65', 0.05 xGDoidge 88', 0.04 xGWright 45', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals66%0.23 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals11%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals14%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals9%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Forrest 89', 0.45 xGElyounoussi 6', 0.39 xGElyounoussi 13', 0.28 xGChristie 15', 0.26 xGElyounoussi 25', 0.12 xGEdouard 42', 0.10 xGElyounoussi 55', 0.07 xGTurnbull 4', 0.06 xGEdouard 34', 0.06 xGGriffiths 62', 0.06 xGEdouard 4', 0.05 xGChristie 15', 0.05 xGTurnbull 83', 0.04 xGTurnbull 15', 0.03 xGMcGregor 21', 0.03 xGBrown 80', 0.03 xGChristie 26', 0.02 xG40%0.84 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.84 xG, 0 goals16%0.33 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals33%0.69 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals8%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals4%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.20 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.02 15 shots, 0 goals
0.15 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
92 min (100%) · Hibernian 0.35, Celtic 2.10 xG

Line-ups

12245161311720188MarcianoGrayMcGregorPorteousStevensonGogicNewellMagennisHallbergMurphyWrightYellow card77'71'71'77'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Jack Ross1165735384217142722BarkasKennyWelshAjerTaylorBrownMcGregorChristieTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardYellow cardYellow card81'61'81'61'Celtic 4-2-3-1John Kennedy

Hibernian substitutes

  • 71' Doidge for Hallberg
  • 71' Irvine for Murphy
  • 77' Doig for Wright
  • 77' McGinn for Gray

Celtic substitutes

  • 61' Forrest for Christie
  • 61' Griffiths for Edouard
  • 81' Montgomery for Taylor
  • 81' Dembélé for Elyounoussi

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0790
GrayRB770.000.0100.04513
McGregorCB900.080.0000.01314
PorteousCB900.000.0510.01011
StevensonLB900.000.0310.07511
Gogic DM900.050.0110.0128
NewellDM900.000.0000.0017
MagennisRW900.000.0200.0319
HallbergAM710.070.1810.0004
MurphyLW710.000.0310.1133
WrightST770.030.0100.0112
DoidgeFW190.040.0410.0910
IrvineMF190.090.0000.0200
DoigDF130.000.0000.0100
McGinnDF130.000.000−0.0100

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BarkasGK900.000.0000.0100
Kenny RB900.000.0900.1282
Welsh CB900.000.0100.0923
AjerCB900.000.0310.19143
TaylorLB810.000.3230.42121
BrownDM900.030.0600.22114
McGregorDM900.030.1520.2482
ChristieRW610.340.0500.0442
TurnbullAM900.130.1610.1770
ElyounoussiLW810.870.3440.1751
EdouardST610.200.0510.0600
ForrestFW290.450.0300.0440
GriffithsFW290.060.2320.1020
MontgomeryDF90.000.0100.0300
DembéléMF90.000.020−0.0201

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Marciano and McGregor: 3 passesMarciano and Newell: 3 passesMarciano and Magennis: 3 passesGray and Newell: 3 passesPorteous and McGregor: 3 passesMcGregor and Newell: 3 passesGogic and Wright: 3 passesMagennis and Hallberg: 3 passesMagennis and Murphy: 3 passesGray and Porteous: 4 passesGray and Hallberg: 4 passesGray and Wright: 4 passesGogic and Newell: 4 passesNewell and Murphy: 4 passesGray and McGregor: 5 passesPorteous and Newell: 5 passesMarciano and Stevenson: 6 passesPorteous and Murphy: 6 passesGray and Gogic: 7 passesMarciano and Gray: 8 passesStevenson and Newell: 8 passesGray and Magennis: 9 passesPorteous and Stevenson: 9 passesStevenson and Murphy: 10 passesMarciano and Porteous: 13 passesMarciano: 24 completed passesGray: 23 completed passesPorteous: 21 completed passesMcGregor: 12 completed passesStevenson: 17 completed passesGogic: 13 completed passesNewell: 20 completed passesMagennis: 8 completed passesHallberg: 7 completed passesMurphy: 13 completed passesWright: 7 completed passes12524161311720188MarcianoGrayPorteousMcGregorStevensonGogicNewellMagennisHallbergMurphyWrightStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Ajer and Turnbull: 8 passesTaylor and Brown: 8 passesMcGregor and Christie: 8 passesBarkas and Welsh: 9 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 9 passesChristie and Turnbull: 9 passesKenny and Turnbull: 10 passesTurnbull and Elyounoussi: 10 passesElyounoussi and Edouard: 10 passesKenny and Welsh: 11 passesKenny and Brown: 12 passesAjer and Elyounoussi: 12 passesWelsh and McGregor: 12 passesAjer and Taylor: 14 passesWelsh and Turnbull: 15 passesBrown and Turnbull: 15 passesTaylor and Elyounoussi: 19 passesAjer and Welsh: 23 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 23 passesMcGregor and Elyounoussi: 23 passesTaylor and McGregor: 25 passesBrown and McGregor: 25 passesAjer and Brown: 28 passesAjer and McGregor: 29 passesWelsh and Brown: 30 passesBarkas: 18 completed passesKenny: 24 completed passesAjer: 65 completed passesWelsh: 60 completed passesTaylor: 47 completed passesBrown: 69 completed passesMcGregor: 77 completed passesChristie: 25 completed passesTurnbull: 50 completed passesElyounoussi: 45 completed passesEdouard: 13 completed passes1163557384217142722BarkasKennyAjerWelshTaylorBrownMcGregorChristieTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 8+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousMarciano8
NewellStevenson7
StevensonPorteous6
StevensonMurphy6
MagennisGray5

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshBrown25
AjerMcGregor22
McGregorTaylor21
WelshAjer19
AjerWelsh18

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

8+3.115+9.423+10.511+4.37+0.911+3.919+11.516+7.913+5.71−6.86−0.14−1.96+1.58+1.83−2.93−1.01−2.31−1.02−0.81−3.34+2.10−1.40−0.90−1.31−0.92+1.22+1.51−0.10−0.41+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Celtic

3−1.13−1.41−3.21−3.54−3.36−0.11−3.65−1.93−3.03−2.01−2.88+2.88+1.83−1.46+2.52−1.48+3.77+3.02−0.42−0.22+0.16+3.82−0.40−0.40−0.50−0.80−0.81+0.23−7.22−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.020.030.010.020.020.010.030.010.020.01−0.01−0.010.030.01−0.010.080.010.020.020.010.14LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.030.020.020.040.050.070.050.050.030.060.100.130.070.020.080.070.01−0.080.130.180.380.31LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackHibernian1.29 → 1.26Celtic1.91 → 1.89Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.02 → 1.00Celtic0.83 → 0.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianCeltic
Expected goals1.001.58
Win23%50%
Expected Points0.961.77
Clean sheet21%37%

Hibernian 23%Draw 26%Celtic 50%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Celtic goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%5%2%7%5%2%4%6%5%2%1%1%2%2%11%9%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W1–012 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.44–1.28
  2. L0–11 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.73
  3. W2–121 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.31–1.77
  4. L1–211 AprRangers (A)xG 1.09–0.58
  5. D1–120 MarLivingston (A)xG 0.68–1.09
  6. W2–113 MarRoss County (A)xG 2.75–1.36

Celtic

  1. W4–012 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.22–1.53
  2. L1–42 MayRangers (A)xG 2.07–1.33
  3. D1–121 AprAberdeen (A)xG 2.87–1.52
  4. W6–010 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.83–0.79
  5. D1–121 MarRangers (H)xG 1.33–0.83
  6. D0–07 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.77–0.51

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianCeltic
Position3rd2nd
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost18–⁠8–⁠1122–⁠10–⁠5
Points62 (1.68 per game)76 (2.05 per game)
Expected Points per game1.621.99
Goals48–⁠3578–⁠29
xG per game1.48–⁠1.101.97–⁠0.96
Home: points, xG per game1.44, 1.44–⁠1.222.26, 1.79–⁠0.91
Away: points, xG per game1.89, 1.51–⁠0.981.83, 2.16–⁠1.02
ManagerJack Ross (37)John Kennedy (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackHibernian1.29, 3rdCeltic1.91, 1stDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.02, 4thCeltic0.83, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian attack: 1.29Celtic attack: 1.911.911.29CelticHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian defence: 1.02Celtic defence: 0.831.020.83

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+18%−18%+77%−36%
Counter-attacks−30%+14%+103%−51%
Set pieces+1%−10%+14%+7%
Penalties+60%−4%+12%−20%
Headers+26%−35%+15%−1%
Left side+14%−13%+61%−27%
Centre+7%−26%+58%−14%
Right side+17%+7%+64%−41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+14%−41%Centre+7%−14%Right side+17%−27%Open play+18%−36%Counter-attacks−30%−51%Set pieces+1%+7%Headers+26%−1%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+61%+7%Centre+58%−26%Right side+64%−13%Open play+77%−18%Counter-attacks+103%+14%Set pieces+14%−10%Headers+15%−35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.48xG1.97
1.10xG against0.96
50%Possession66%
11.7Shots17.8
11.2Shots against8.6
4.2Shots on target6.7
1.9Big chances2.5
21.1Touches in the opposition box30.3
390Passes593
70%Pass accuracy85%
5.5Corners6.4
47%Field tilt73%
38.7Final-third entries66.3
10.5Box entries17.0
14.2Passes per defensive action10.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.491.09
Ahead311.641.20
Behind211.210.97

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.651.05
Ahead382.220.97
Behind122.270.66

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.146–4
16–300.200.179–7
31–450.230.198–6
46–600.220.218–6
61–750.310.169–3
76–900.300.238–9

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.168–3
16–300.320.1516–5
31–450.350.108–5
46–600.390.1914–6
61–750.330.209–5
76–900.380.1723–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 32Macey 3Barnes 2McGinn 30Cadden 5Boyle 1Porteous 31McGregor 7McGinn 2Hanlon 34Doig 19Stevenson 10Gogic 3Boyle 21McGinn 5Wright 3Gogic 21Hallberg 10Mallan 3Newell 27Irvine 8Nisbet 1Murphy 12Doig 6Horgan 4Nisbet 27Boyle 10Wright 1Doidge 29Gogic 3Irvine 14-4-2 in 17 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (17), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 18Barkas 14Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 13Ajer 4Welsh 14Duffy 13Bitton 10Ajer 28Taylor 19Laxalt 12Edouard 2Brown 13Soro 10Turnbull 7McGregor 32Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 12Forrest 6Brown 5Turnbull 14Christie 5Brown 4Elyounoussi 13Edouard 12Taylor 3Edouard 12Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 16 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (16), 4-1-3-2 (5), 4-1-2-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 January 2021Celtic1–1HibernianxG 0.97–1.83
21 November 2020Hibernian2–2CelticxG 1.54–1.91
27 September 2020Celtic3–0HibernianxG 1.94–0.60

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Celtic won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 3–6 and xG 1.32–1.61 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet282,5671420.490.08
Mallan4507100.230.33
Boyle353,1521260.380.16
Doidge292,684720.350.07

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard272,2801840.770.20
Griffiths7718620.510.15
Elyounoussi201,7011040.520.14
Turnbull241,980860.270.38

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.