Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 2–1 Rangers

Sunday 6 November 2022, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 14 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 7,487

St. Johnstone Brown 41', Clark 62'

Rangers Tavernier 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRangers
Goals21
xG0.811.37
Expected Points0.941.76

St. Johnstone 21%Draw 30%Rangers 48%

Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 2–1, 5%.

Rangers goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+11%10%4%1%9%10%4%1%4%5%4%2%1%14%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTWright on for Wotherspoon and McLennan on for May, 79'Phillips on for Carey, 90+1'Bair on for Clark, 90+2'Arfield on for Davies and Morelos on for Tillman, 61'Kamara on for Sands and Matondo on for Kent, 79'Wright on for Sakala, 84'Brown 41'Clark 62'Tavernier 74'Rangers 1.37St. Johnstone 0.8100.511.50153045607590HTWright on for Wotherspoon and McLennan on for May, 79'Phillips on for Carey, 90+1'Bair on for Clark, 90+2'Arfield on for Davies and Morelos on for Tillman, 61'Kamara on for Sands and Matondo on for Kent, 79'Wright on for Sakala, 84'Brown 41'Clark 62'Tavernier 74'1.370.81St. JohnstoneRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRangers

0.81 +0.10xG1.37 −0.64
0.30 −0.48xG on target0.51 −1.63
11 +1.9Shots29 +9.2
3 +0.2Shots on target7 +0.7
0 −1.2Big chances0 −3.6
12 −2Touches in the opposition box53 +12
27% −14Possession73% +4
224 −94Passes574 −11
62% −2Pass accuracy86% +1
15% −18Field tilt85% +6
19 −6Final-third entries83 +17
4 −3.1Box entries34 +12.3
33.6 +17.7Passes per defensive action7.7 −1.4
0 −2.9Corners20 +12.4
30 +12Tackles17 +2
8 −3.1Interceptions3 −3.8
58 +31Clearances9 −1
6 +3.6Saves1 −0.3
7 −5Fouls13 +2
2 +0.5Offsides2 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Wotherspoon 56', 0.25 xGMay 41', 0.17 xGClark 85', 0.08 xGClark 60', 0.04 xGMay 34', 0.03 xGCarey 53', 0.03 xGCarey 88', 0.03 xGHallberg 53', 0.02 xGMay 71', 0.00 xGClark 62', 0.13 xG, goalBrown 41', 0.02 xG, goal31%0.25 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.25 xG, 0 goals37%0.30 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal10%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals19%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.15 xG, 1 goal4%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Colak 13', 0.14 xGLundstram 5', 0.12 xGTillman 6', 0.09 xGLundstram 10', 0.07 xGSakala 31', 0.07 xGTavernier 77', 0.07 xGColak 10', 0.06 xGColak 18', 0.06 xGSakala 19', 0.06 xGSakala 59', 0.06 xGKent 1', 0.05 xGDavies 2', 0.05 xGColak 6', 0.04 xGLundstram 70', 0.04 xGSakala 11', 0.03 xGSakala 11', 0.03 xGSakala 22', 0.03 xGTavernier 29', 0.03 xGKent 56', 0.03 xGTavernier 58', 0.03 xGLundstram 76', 0.03 xGSakala 82', 0.03 xGTavernier 19', 0.02 xGSakala 78', 0.02 xGLundstram 83', 0.02 xGLundstram 85', 0.02 xGBarisic 54', 0.01 xGLundstram 21', 0.00 xGTavernier 74', 0.06 xG, goal7%0.09 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals47%0.65 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 0.65 xG, 0 goals23%0.32 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals21%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 10 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRangers

0.78 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.66 17 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.71 12 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (44%) · St. Johnstone 0.21, Rangers 0.96 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
53 min (56%) · St. Johnstone 0.60, Rangers 0.41 xG

Line-ups

121354222231910377ParishMcGowanMitchellConsidineBrownHallbergCareyMontgomeryWotherspoonClarkMayGoalYellow cardGoal90+1'79'90+2'79'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson123826314193071149McGregorTavernierKingDaviesBarisicLundstramSandsSakalaTillmanKentColakGoal61'79'84'61'79'Rangers 4-2-3-1Giovanni van Bronckhorst

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 79' Wright for Wotherspoon
  • 79' McLennan for May · yellow card 90+4'
  • 90+1' Phillips for Carey
  • 90+2' Bair for Clark

Rangers substitutes

  • 61' Arfield for Davies
  • 61' Morelos for Tillman
  • 79' Kamara for Sands
  • 79' Matondo for Kent
  • 84' Wright for Sakala

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0000.0014
McGowanCB900.000.0000.01011
MitchellCB900.000.0000.01112
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.03323
BrownRWB9010.020.0000.06512
HallbergCM900.020.000−0.0109
CareyCM900.060.0210.0766
Montgomery LWB900.000.0000.0138
WotherspoonAM790.250.0720.0523
ClarkST9010.250.0300.0225
MayST7910.200.6320.2737
WrightDF110.000.0000.0002
McLennan MF110.000.041−0.0412
PhillipsMF00.000.0000.0002
BairFW00.000.0000.0001

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0330
TavernierRB9010.210.5530.55184
KingCB900.000.0300.17136
DaviesCB610.050.010−0.0433
BarisicLB900.010.4780.48174
LundstramDM900.310.2510.27175
SandsDM790.000.0730.1185
SakalaRW840.340.0920.19142
TillmanAM610.090.0420.0241
KentLW790.080.1110.2793
ColakST900.300.0820.0510
ArfieldMF290.000.0200.0002
MorelosFW290.000.062−0.0520
KamaraMF110.000.021−0.0400
MatondoFW110.000.0300.0630
WrightFW60.000.010−0.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Parish and Mitchell: 3 passesParish and Wotherspoon: 3 passesConsidine and Carey: 4 passesConsidine and Wotherspoon: 4 passesParish and Considine: 5 passesWotherspoon and May: 5 passesParish and Clark: 6 passesCarey and Hallberg: 6 passesCarey and May: 7 passesCarey and Wotherspoon: 8 passesHallberg and Montgomery: 8 passesMontgomery and Wotherspoon: 8 passesBrown and Carey: 10 passesBrown and Clark: 10 passesClark and May: 11 passesParish: 15 completed passesMcGowan: 7 completed passesMitchell: 5 completed passesConsidine: 10 completed passesBrown: 12 completed passesCarey: 18 completed passesHallberg: 12 completed passesMontgomery: 11 completed passesWotherspoon: 15 completed passesClark: 15 completed passesMay: 10 completed passes121354223221910377ParishMcGowanMitchellConsidineBrownCareyHallbergMontgomeryWotherspoonClarkMayStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

McGregor and Barisic: 6 passesDavies and Lundstram: 6 passesDavies and Kent: 6 passesBarisic and Tillman: 6 passesBarisic and Colak: 6 passesTillman and Kent: 6 passesKing and Barisic: 7 passesSands and Tillman: 7 passesLundstram and Sakala: 7 passesLundstram and Tillman: 7 passesLundstram and Kent: 7 passesDavies and Sands: 8 passesTavernier and Tillman: 9 passesTavernier and Davies: 10 passesKing and Lundstram: 10 passesTavernier and Sakala: 11 passesSands and Lundstram: 11 passesKing and Sands: 12 passesTavernier and Sands: 13 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 15 passesTavernier and King: 19 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 20 passesDavies and King: 26 passesDavies and Barisic: 26 passesBarisic and Kent: 34 passesMcGregor: 15 completed passesTavernier: 53 completed passesDavies: 48 completed passesKing: 48 completed passesBarisic: 57 completed passesSands: 36 completed passesLundstram: 38 completed passesSakala: 13 completed passesTillman: 19 completed passesKent: 30 completed passesColak: 4 completed passes122638311943071149McGregorTavernierDaviesKingBarisicSandsLundstramSakalaTillmanKentColakStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BrownCarey8
ParishClark7
ClarkBrown6
MayClark6
CareyMay5

Rangers

FromToPasses
BarisicKent25
TavernierLundstram22
KentBarisic18
DaviesKing17
KingTavernier17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

9+1.922+13.541+25.514+6.86+0.59+0.712+4.18+1.212+2.612+3.512+5.72−2.50−3.52−3.45−1.52−2.21−3.11−1.51−1.44+0.20−2.61−0.50−0.20−0.84+2.10−1.00−0.21+0.50−0.31+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Rangers

3−1.05+1.25−1.42−2.65+1.37+0.74−1.81−2.74−1.34−1.94−1.24−0.21−2.24−2.75−0.15+0.74+0.35+1.88+3.98+4.02−1.32−0.71−0.61−1.26+3.71+0.22+1.20−0.92+1.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.040.010.020.03−0.010.030.030.020.030.04−0.030.020.030.01−0.050.030.070.18LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.030.040.010.030.080.060.070.030.180.120.040.070.160.19−0.060.070.02−0.07−0.100.040.400.290.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackSt. Johnstone0.88 → 0.89Rangers2.10 → 2.06Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.33 → 1.32Rangers0.66 → 0.68

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six17%32%+15
11th12%6%−6
Bottom6%3%−3
Rangers
Title23%14%−9
Celtic
Title77%86%+9
Livingston
Top six65%60%−5
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (6 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRangers
Expected goals0.572.07
Win9%72%
Expected Points0.452.36
Clean sheet13%56%

St. Johnstone 9%Draw 19%Rangers 72%

Most likely score 0–2, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

Rangers goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%11%5%2%1%4%9%9%6%3%1%1%2%2%2%14%15%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRangers win
St. Johnstone
Top six17%32%21%14%
11th12%6%11%13%
Bottom6%3%4%7%
Rangers
Title23%14%17%25%
Celtic
Title77%86%83%75%
Livingston
Top six65%60%63%66%
11th2%2%2%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–029 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.39–0.38
  2. W2–121 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.85–0.88
  3. L0–115 OctLivingston (A)xG 0.42–1.08
  4. L1–28 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.43–1.66
  5. L1–25 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.87–1.28
  6. W2–11 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.72–1.30

Rangers

  1. W4–129 OctAberdeen (H)xG 4.47–0.42
  2. D1–122 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.56–0.33
  3. W2–116 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.16–0.17
  4. W4–08 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.73–0.37
  5. W4–01 OctHearts (A)xG 1.85–0.41
  6. W2–117 SepDundee United (H)xG 1.51–0.59

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRangers
Position9th2nd
Played1312
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠1–⁠79–⁠2–⁠1
Points16 (1.23 per game)29 (2.42 per game)
Expected Points per game1.002.27
Goals14–⁠1731–⁠11
xG per game0.71–⁠1.182.01–⁠0.56
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 0.73–⁠0.852.71, 2.51–⁠0.41
Away: points, xG per game1.29, 0.69–⁠1.472.00, 1.30–⁠0.76
ManagerCallum Davidson (89)Giovanni van Bronckhorst (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackSt. Johnstone0.88, 12thRangers2.10, 2ndDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.33, 8thRangers0.66, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovSt. Johnstone attack: 0.88Rangers attack: 2.102.100.88RangersSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovSt. Johnstone defence: 1.33Rangers defence: 0.661.330.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−44%+9%+78%−51%
Counter-attacks−54%−100%−27%−100%
Set pieces−37%−24%+5%−43%
Penalties−51%−51%+58%−100%
Headers−56%+6%+42%−53%
Left side−48%−13%+81%−30%
Centre−46%−8%+30%−58%
Right side−34%+19%+79%−64%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRangers concededLeft side−48%−64%Centre−46%−58%Right side−34%−30%Open play−44%−51%Counter-attacks−54%−100%Set pieces−37%−43%Headers−56%−53%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+81%+19%Centre+30%−8%Right side+79%−13%Open play+78%+9%Counter-attacks−27%−100%Set pieces+5%−24%Headers+42%+6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRangers

0.71xG2.01
1.18xG against0.56
41%Possession68%
9.1Shots19.8
14.5Shots against7.2
2.8Shots on target6.3
1.2Big chances3.6
14.0Touches in the opposition box41.2
318Passes585
64%Pass accuracy85%
2.9Corners7.6
32%Field tilt79%
24.6Final-third entries66.4
7.1Box entries21.7
15.9Passes per defensive action9.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.751.04
Ahead240.690.97
Behind260.671.57

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.670.48
Ahead462.000.50
Behind201.210.78

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.183–1
16–300.160.092–1
31–450.050.181–5
46–600.100.171–2
61–750.080.242–1
76–900.240.325–7

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.083–3
16–300.290.094–1
31–450.370.094–2
46–600.370.106–2
61–750.220.065–0
76–900.440.149–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 13Mitchell 13McGowan 6Gordon 7Considine 13Wright 12Brown 1Hallberg 10Brown 2McGowan 5Murphy 2MacPherson 2Montgomery 7Brown 4McGowan 1Carey 6Hallberg 3McGowan 1Murphy 7Clark 5May 1May 6Bair 4Clark 23-4-2-1 in 6 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-3-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (2)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcGregor 6McLaughlin 6Tavernier 12Goldson 9King 4Davies 6Sands 4Souttar 1Barisic 10Yilmaz 2Lundstram 12Arfield 1Kamara 1Jack 4Davis 3Tillman 1Wright 4Matondo 3Sakala 2Tillman 4Lawrence 3Arfield 2Kent 9Matondo 2Tillman 1Colak 124-2-3-1 in 10 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 August 2022Rangers4–0St. JohnstonexG 2.32–0.33
2 March 2022St. Johnstone0–1RangersxG 0.08–1.00
15 December 2021Rangers2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.90–0.30
11 September 2021St. Johnstone1–2RangersxG 0.65–1.22
21 April 2021St. Johnstone1–1RangersxG 1.93–0.23
3 February 2021Rangers1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.33–0.27

8 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Rangers won 7, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–17 and xG 0.58–1.45 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark7572200.300.02
Carey7586200.190.05
May7715330.180.05
Murphy10813100.090.06

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Colak128981100.610.09
Tavernier121,080450.300.26
Arfield5546210.280.24
Tillman7625220.340.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.