Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 1–2 St. Johnstone

Friday 21 October 2022, 19:30 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 12 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 20,010

Hibernian Kukharevych 35' · Magennis sent off 70'

St. Johnstone Clark 73', May 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Goals	1	2
xG	0.88	0.85
Expected Points	1.30	1.32

Hibernian 31%Draw 38%St. Johnstone 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 21%. Final score 1–2, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Johnstone

0.88 −0.40xG0.85 +0.13

0.55 −0.35xG on target0.44 −0.42

15 −2.5Shots7 −2.4

5 −0.2Shots on target5 +2.3

1 −0.2Big chances1 −0.2

19 −6Touches in the opposition box14 −1

57% −2Possession43% +2

472 +57Passes353 +35

83% +5Pass accuracy77% +13

63% −2Field tilt37% +5

56 +6Final-third entries25 0

11 −4.0Box entries5 −2.4

11.0 +1.4Passes per defensive action17.5 +1.6

1 −7.0Corners1 −2.1

14 0Tackles17 −1

9 +1.6Interceptions12 +1.0

20 +3Clearances29 +3

2 +0.4Saves4 +1.7

17 +3Fouls10 −2

1 −1.1Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Johnstone

0.81 14 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.71 4 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–11–2

Level: 44 min (48%) · Hibernian 0.33, St. Johnstone 0.68 xG
Hibernian ahead: 38 min (42%) · Hibernian 0.52, St. Johnstone 0.17 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 9 min (10%) · Hibernian 0.03, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

63' Youan for Kukharevych
85' Tavares for Cadden
85' McKirdy for Cabraja · yellow card 90+1'

St. Johnstone substitutes

46' May for Montgomery · goal 82'
63' Wotherspoon for Wright
63' Murphy for Mitchell
89' Gallacher for Brown
89' Crawford for McLennan

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	3	0
Porteous	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	5	4
Bushiri	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	6
Hanlon	CB	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.10	9	10
Cadden	RWB	85		1	0.00	0.12	4	0.18	12	4
Campbell	CM	90			0.03	0.03	1	−0.03	1	4
Newell	CM	90			0.04	0.06	1	0.10	8	4
Magennis	CM	70			0.21	0.03	0	0.05	4	6
Cabraja	LWB	85			0.00	0.08	1	0.30	12	4
Boyle	ST	90			0.14	0.21	3	0.14	5	0
Kukharevych	ST	63	1		0.26	0.01	0	0.10	1	1
Youan	FW	27			0.20	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Tavares	MF	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
McKirdy	FW	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Matthews	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	0
Mitchell	CB	63			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	4
Gordon	CB	90			0.00	0.00	1	0.01	3	17
Considine	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	9	13
Brown	RWB	89			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	9	4
Hallberg	CM	90		1	0.00	0.07	1	0.02	3	5
McGowan	CM	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	3	9
Montgomery	LWB	46			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Wright	AM	63			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
McLennan	AM	89		1	0.02	0.10	2	0.14	8	2
Clark	ST	90	1		0.60	0.00	0	−0.01	0	4
May	FW	44	1		0.17	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
Wotherspoon	MF	27			0.05	0.01	0	0.02	2	1
Murphy	MF	27			0.00	0.04	1	0.07	2	0
Gallacher	DF	1			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Crawford	MF	1			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Bushiri	Porteous	22
Porteous	Cadden	16
Marshall	Bushiri	13
Bushiri	Hanlon	13
Hanlon	Cabraja	12

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Matthews	Considine	10
Gordon	Considine	10
Hallberg	Brown	9
Considine	Gordon	8
Considine	May	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 11 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	87%	78%	−9
St. Johnstone
Top six	6%	12%	+6
11th	23%	17%	−6
Bottom	19%	11%	−8
Ross County
11th	23%	22%	−1
Bottom	45%	49%	+4
Aberdeen
Top six	79%	82%	+3

From the forecast before the match (21 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	1.59	0.68
Win	59%	15%
Expected Points	2.02	0.72
Clean sheet	51%	20%

Hibernian 59%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 15%

Most likely score 1–0, 16%. Both sides score 40%.

From the forecast as it stood on 21 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Top six	87%	91%	84%	78%
St. Johnstone
Top six	6%	4%	7%	12%
11th	23%	25%	22%	17%
Bottom	19%	23%	17%	11%
Ross County
11th	23%	24%	24%	22%
Bottom	45%	43%	46%	49%
Aberdeen
Top six	79%	79%	78%	82%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Position	3rd	9th
Played	11	11
Won, drawn, lost	5–⁠2–⁠4	3–⁠1–⁠7
Points	17 (1.55 per game)	10 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.60	0.95
Goals	13–⁠14	11–⁠16
xG per game	1.28–⁠0.99	0.72–⁠1.28
Home: points, xG per game	2.20, 1.44–⁠0.78	0.80, 0.80–⁠0.94
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.14–⁠1.16	1.00, 0.66–⁠1.57
Manager	Lee Johnson (11)	Callum Davidson (87)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−5%	−28%	−47%	+18%
Counter-attacks	−6%	+122%	−59%	−100%
Set pieces	+36%	−27%	−29%	−22%
Penalties	−33%	−33%	−33%	−33%
Headers	+18%	−35%	−54%	+19%
Left side	+31%	−17%	−47%	−10%
Centre	−23%	−31%	−49%	+4%
Right side	+19%	−10%	−31%	+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+31%+22%Centre−23%+4%Right side+19%−10%Open play−5%+18%Counter-attacks−6%−100%Set pieces+36%−22%Headers+18%+19%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−47%−10%Centre−49%−31%Right side−31%−17%Open play−47%−28%Counter-attacks−59%+122%Set pieces−29%−27%Headers−54%−35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.28xG0.72

0.99xG against1.28

59%Possession41%

17.5Shots9.4

10.0Shots against15.1

5.2Shots on target2.7

1.2Big chances1.2

24.6Touches in the opposition box15.0

415Passes318

78%Pass accuracy63%

8.0Corners3.1

64%Field tilt33%

49.6Final-third entries24.5

15.0Box entries7.4

9.6Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	34	0.90	1.02
Ahead	16	1.58	0.71
Behind	40	1.48	1.06

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	0.69	1.09
Ahead	20	0.82	1.22
Behind	28	0.70	1.61

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.14	1–5
16–30	0.07	0.15	0–3
31–45	0.23	0.14	1–1
46–60	0.37	0.21	4–2
61–75	0.18	0.15	3–1
76–90	0.29	0.19	4–2

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.19	2–1
16–30	0.19	0.09	2–1
31–45	0.05	0.20	1–4
46–60	0.11	0.17	1–2
61–75	0.07	0.26	1–1
76–90	0.22	0.37	4–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-1-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 5-3-2 (5), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 July 2022	St. Johnstone	0–1	Hibernian	xG 0.15–0.78
15 May 2022	Hibernian	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.99–0.51
5 March 2022	Hibernian	0–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.99–0.44
27 November 2021	St. Johnstone	1–2	Hibernian	xG 0.12–2.27
26 September 2021	Hibernian	1–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.90–0.22
1 May 2021	Hibernian	0–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.08–0.73

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 5, St. Johnstone won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 11–5 and xG 1.46–0.44 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyle	8	792	4	1	0.28	0.12
Youan	10	782	1	3	0.22	0.15
Campbell	9	743	4	0	0.15	0.11
Newell	11	989	1	0	0.08	0.15

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Carey	6	512	2	0	0.21	0.06
May	6	581	2	3	0.18	0.05
Murphy	10	786	1	0	0.09	0.05
Wright	11	952	1	0	0.08	0.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.