Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 23 October 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 10 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 57,434

Celtic Giakoumakis 34', Juranovic 80' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Johnstone
Goals20
xG2.700.13
Non-penalty xG1.910.13
Expected Points2.900.05

Celtic 95%Draw 4%St. Johnstone <1%

Most likely score 2–0, 26%. Final score 2–0, 26%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%13%2%4%3%14%2%5%2%26%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTJohnston on for Giakoumakis, 61'Abada on for Furuhashi, 81'Ajeti on for Jota, 86'Crawford on for Middleton, 63'May on for Wotherspoon, 70'Vertainen on for Kane, 85'Giakoumakis 34'Juranovic 80' (pen)Celtic 2.70St. Johnstone 0.1301230153045607590HTJohnston on for Giakoumakis, 61'Abada on for Furuhashi, 81'Ajeti on for Jota, 86'Crawford on for Middleton, 63'May on for Wotherspoon, 70'Vertainen on for Kane, 85'Giakoumakis 34'Juranovic 80' (pen)2.700.13CelticSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.70 +0.17xG0.13 −0.83
1.91Non-penalty xG0.13
2.22 −0.35xG on target0.00 −0.83
20 0Shots4 −7
5 −2.3Shots on target0 −2.9
3 −1.0Big chances0 −1.0
43 +9Touches in the opposition box9 −14
79% +8Possession21% −26
806 +154Passes212 −133
91% +3Pass accuracy62% −3
88% +10Field tilt12% −38
99 +31Final-third entries16 −14
19 −3.4Box entries5 −4.0
9.8 +1.1Passes per defensive action23.6 +9.5
7 −1.6Corners3 −2.8
10 −3Tackles11 −3
8 +0.6Interceptions12 +1.2
13 −2Clearances24 +4
0 −2.1Saves3 +0.2
6 −8Fouls10 −2
2 +1.0Offsides0 −1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Johnston 72', 0.29 xGJota 75', 0.16 xGJohnston 82', 0.13 xGCarter-Vickers 85', 0.13 xGAbada 88', 0.13 xGRogic 14', 0.08 xGRogic 64', 0.08 xGJohnston 88', 0.08 xGMcGregor 90+4', 0.08 xGJohnston 90+4', 0.05 xGRalston 82', 0.04 xGMcGregor 11', 0.03 xGMcGregor 66', 0.03 xGJuranovic 90+4', 0.03 xGJota 24', 0.02 xGMcGregor 57', 0.02 xGJohnston 79', 0.02 xGJuranovic 34', 0.01 xGGiakoumakis 34', 0.51 xG, goal48%0.93 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.93 xG, 1 goal28%0.53 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals9%0.18 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals15%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

McCart 47', 0.04 xGMacPherson 49', 0.04 xGMay 89', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 5', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals54%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals15%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Johnstone

1.53 14 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.07 2 shots, 0 goals
0.15 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.22 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (36%) · Celtic 0.65, St. Johnstone 0.02 xG
Celtic ahead
60 min (64%) · Celtic 2.05, St. Johnstone 0.11 xG

Line-ups

1556204881842147817HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltJuranovicRogicMcGregorTurnbullGiakoumakisFuruhashiJotaYellow cardGoalGoal61'81'86'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou16254218132414910ClarkGordonAmbroseMcCartBrownMacPhersonBrysonBoothMiddletonKaneWotherspoonYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card63'85'70'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Callum Davidson

Celtic substitutes

  • 61' Johnston for Giakoumakis
  • 81' Abada for Furuhashi
  • 86' Ajeti for Jota

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 63' Crawford for Middleton
  • 70' May for Wotherspoon
  • 85' Vertainen for Kane

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0200
RalstonRB9010.041.0020.4192
Carter-Vickers CB900.130.0200.1375
StarfeltCB900.000.0300.18610
JuranovicLB9010.830.0710.1395
RogicCM900.160.1520.2460
McGregorCM900.160.1620.0994
TurnbullCM900.000.2960.0843
GiakoumakisRW6110.510.000−0.0401
FuruhashiST810.000.0710.0511
JotaLW860.170.2020.2751
JohnstonFW290.570.0200.0311
AbadaFW90.130.0800.1020
AjetiFW40.000.011−0.0500

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0220
Gordon CB900.000.0000.04310
Ambrose CB900.000.0000.0103
McCartCB900.040.0000.0236
BrownRWB900.000.0200.0338
MacPherson CM900.040.0620.0331
Bryson CM900.000.0100.0425
BoothLWB900.000.0100.0437
MiddletonRW630.000.000−0.0113
Kane ST850.000.0000.0003
WotherspoonLW700.020.0100.0614
CrawfordMF270.000.000−0.0302
MayFW200.030.0000.0000
VertainenFW50.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Ralston and Giakoumakis: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Turnbull: 8 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 9 passesRalston and Starfelt: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Rogic: 9 passesRalston and Furuhashi: 11 passesRogic and Turnbull: 11 passesRogic and McGregor: 11 passesRalston and Turnbull: 14 passesCarter-Vickers and Juranovic: 14 passesMcGregor and Furuhashi: 14 passesMcGregor and Jota: 14 passesHart and Starfelt: 15 passesJuranovic and Turnbull: 16 passesTurnbull and Jota: 16 passesStarfelt and Jota: 17 passesStarfelt and Turnbull: 18 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 22 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 23 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 24 passesTurnbull and McGregor: 24 passesRalston and McGregor: 27 passesJuranovic and Jota: 30 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 35 passesStarfelt and Juranovic: 53 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 60 passesHart: 21 completed passesRalston: 57 completed passesStarfelt: 105 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 85 completed passesJuranovic: 76 completed passesRogic: 22 completed passesTurnbull: 60 completed passesMcGregor: 82 completed passesFuruhashi: 23 completed passesGiakoumakis: 7 completed passesJota: 35 completed passes1556420881814428717HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersJuranovicRogicTurnbullMcGregorFuruhashiGiakoumakisJotaStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 8+ passes

St. Johnstone

Ambrose and Brown: 3 passesAmbrose and MacPherson: 3 passesMcCart and Brown: 3 passesMcCart and Bryson: 3 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 3 passesBrown and Middleton: 3 passesBooth and MacPherson: 3 passesMacPherson and Kane: 3 passesBryson and Wotherspoon: 3 passesAmbrose and Middleton: 4 passesMcCart and MacPherson: 5 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 13 passesClark: 2 completed passesAmbrose: 7 completed passesGordon: 3 completed passesMcCart: 9 completed passesBrown: 6 completed passesBooth: 12 completed passesMacPherson: 12 completed passesBryson: 11 completed passesMiddleton: 4 completed passesKane: 5 completed passesWotherspoon: 14 completed passes12564224181314910ClarkAmbroseGordonMcCartBrownBoothMacPhersonBrysonMiddletonKaneWotherspoonStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltJuranovic39
Carter-VickersStarfelt36
StarfeltCarter-Vickers32
JuranovicStarfelt26
Carter-VickersRalston25

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothWotherspoon7
AmbroseMacPherson6
WotherspoonBooth6
BrownAmbrose5
MacPhersonMcCart4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

3−1.67+3.010+1.62−2.93−3.13−3.12−3.43−1.05+0.15−2.35−0.34+0.14+0.49+3.75−1.13−2.040.01−1.16+1.911+6.60−2.21−0.33+1.41−0.40−3.30−0.41+0.70−0.40−0.90−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

St. Johnstone

3−3.48+3.020+9.46+1.03−2.02−5.612+4.97+0.99+2.06−1.78+1.33−2.40−4.17+0.78+2.91−2.93−0.61−1.47+5.10−4.92−1.01−0.80−0.42+0.31−0.90−1.40−0.70−0.90−0.41+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.020.030.020.040.020.020.060.070.030.110.100.070.010.040.070.02−0.050.040.150.130.150.190.130.17LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.020.020.01−0.01−0.010.020.030.030.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackCeltic1.92 → 1.93St. Johnstone1.00 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.80 → 0.78St. Johnstone1.06 → 1.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title35%38%+3
St. Johnstone
Top six32%29%−3
11th6%7%+1
Bottom2%3%+1
Rangers
Title62%60%−2
Motherwell
Top six38%39%+1
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (23 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.970.64
Win68%11%
Expected Points2.260.53
Clean sheet53%14%

Celtic 68%Draw 21%St. Johnstone 11%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 41%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+8%4%2%10%3%9%3%9%6%2%5%3%1%2%1%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title35%38%30%24%
St. Johnstone
Top six32%29%35%48%
11th6%7%5%3%
Bottom2%3%2%1%
Rangers
Title62%60%66%71%
Motherwell
Top six38%39%37%33%
Bottom2%2%2%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–016 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.18–0.54
  2. W2–13 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.65–0.57
  3. D1–126 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.65–0.98
  4. L0–119 SepLivingston (A)xG 1.24–0.62
  5. W3–011 SepRoss County (H)xG 2.71–0.45
  6. L0–129 AugRangers (A)xG 1.44–0.74

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–316 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.45–1.55
  2. W3–12 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.90–0.41
  3. L0–126 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.22–1.90
  4. W1–018 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–0.55
  5. L1–211 SepRangers (H)xG 0.65–1.22
  6. D0–029 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.81–1.72

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Johnstone
Position4th8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠1–⁠32–⁠3–⁠4
Points16 (1.78 per game)9 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.291.18
Goals21–⁠66–⁠9
xG per game2.53–⁠0.640.96–⁠1.19
Home: points, xG per game2.50, 3.95–⁠0.470.80, 1.13–⁠1.24
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.40–⁠0.771.25, 0.76–⁠1.12
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (9)Callum Davidson (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackCeltic1.92, 1stSt. Johnstone1.00, 7thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.80, 2ndSt. Johnstone1.06, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctCeltic attack: 1.92St. Johnstone attack: 1.001.921.00St. JohnstoneCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctCeltic defence: 0.80St. Johnstone defence: 1.061.060.80

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+157%−48%−18%−30%
Counter-attacks+11%−30%−32%+45%
Set pieces+33%−31%−31%+37%
Penalties−20%−100%−20%+60%
Headers+117%−8%−57%−1%
Left side+90%−71%+1%−42%
Centre+169%−20%−37%+28%
Right side+43%−61%−13%−58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+90%−58%Centre+169%+28%Right side+43%−42%Open play+157%−30%Counter-attacks+11%+45%Set pieces+33%+37%Headers+117%−1%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side+1%−61%Centre−37%−20%Right side−13%−71%Open play−18%−48%Counter-attacks−32%−30%Set pieces−31%−31%Headers−57%−8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.53xG0.96
0.64xG against1.19
71%Possession47%
20.2Shots11.1
8.0Shots against9.9
7.3Shots on target2.9
4.0Big chances1.0
34.0Touches in the opposition box22.7
652Passes345
88%Pass accuracy66%
8.6Corners5.8
78%Field tilt50%
67.9Final-third entries30.5
22.4Box entries9.0
8.7Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level422.080.71
Ahead333.390.67
Behind151.950.39

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level590.781.13
Ahead131.741.91
Behind171.020.84

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.141–1
16–300.580.117–2
31–450.380.071–0
46–600.210.123–1
61–750.470.094–1
76–900.590.105–1

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.170–1
16–300.070.140–1
31–450.150.153–0
46–600.170.322–2
61–750.280.230–3
76–900.230.171–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 8Bain 1Ralston 7Juranovic 2Carter-Vickers 5Welsh 4Bitton 1Starfelt 8Taylor 4Bolingoli-Mbo… 2Bolingoli-MbomboJuranovic 2Rogic 5Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 7McCarthy 2Bitton 1Turnbull 9Abada 9Furuhashi 3Ajeti 3Edouard 3Jota 5Furuhashi 2Christie 14-3-3 in 8 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 9Muller 5Rooney 2Brown 2Ambrose 3Kerr 3Gordon 2McCart 8Rooney 7O'Halloran 2Wotherspoon 4McCann 4MacPherson 1Craig 6Crawford 1Middleton 1Booth 6Devine 3Wotherspoon 4Crawford 2Davidson 2O'Halloran 2Kane 2May 2Kane 4May 3O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 May 2021Celtic4–0St. JohnstonexG 2.22–1.53
14 February 2021St. Johnstone1–2CelticxG 0.30–1.44
6 December 2020Celtic1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.73–1.30
4 October 2020St. Johnstone0–2CelticxG 0.63–1.71

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 3, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–2 and xG 1.77–0.94 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada9760320.340.44
Jota5450220.410.32
Turnbull9776410.210.39
Ralston7630210.080.27

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane6573200.350.03
Craig6535000.130.06
O'Halloran6506120.110.03
Wotherspoon8686000.020.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.