Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 1–2 Celtic

Sunday 14 February 2021, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 29 · Half-time 0–0

St. Johnstone Rooney 50'

Celtic Edouard 60', 62'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Goals12
xG0.301.44
Expected Points0.392.38

St. Johnstone 5%Draw 23%Celtic 72%

Most likely score 0–1, 28%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+12%7%1%4%10%8%2%1%1%28%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMay on for Kane and Middleton on for Conway, 70'O'Halloran on for Kerr, 83'Elyounoussi on for Turnbull and Griffiths on for Rogic, 76'Rooney 50'Edouard 60'Edouard 62'Celtic 1.44St. Johnstone 0.3000.511.50153045607590HTMay on for Kane and Middleton on for Conway, 70'O'Halloran on for Kerr, 83'Elyounoussi on for Turnbull and Griffiths on for Rogic, 76'Rooney 50'Edouard 60'Edouard 62'1.440.30St. JohnstoneCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.30 −0.95xG1.44 −0.55
0.12 −0.80xG on target1.91 −0.28
6 −6Shots10 −8
1 −2.2Shots on target5 −1.7
0 −1.4Big chances2 −0.6
12 −9Touches in the opposition box23 −7
37% −8Possession63% −3
290 −75Passes499 −85
65% 0Pass accuracy77% −8
35% −17Field tilt65% −8
33 −3Final-third entries40 −26
8 −1.5Box entries14 −3.2
10.4 −4.3Passes per defensive action12.6 +2.9
3 −1.5Corners9 +3.1
28 +12Tackles12 −1
21 +8Interceptions16 +6
23 +4Clearances22 +6
2 +0.3Saves0 −1.6
13 0Fouls13 +1
3 +0.9Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kane 68', 0.07 xGConway 48', 0.06 xGWotherspoon 8', 0.03 xGMiddleton 71', 0.03 xGMcCann 46', 0.02 xGRooney 50', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals73%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals17%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Duffy 19', 0.10 xGRogic 31', 0.09 xGTurnbull 34', 0.06 xGAjer 7', 0.03 xGRogic 21', 0.03 xGTaylor 32', 0.03 xGChristie 41', 0.03 xGChristie 36', 0.02 xGEdouard 60', 0.54 xG, goalEdouard 62', 0.50 xG, goal72%1.04 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.04 xG, 2 goals13%0.19 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals10%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.28 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.22 6 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.16 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
52 min (58%) · St. Johnstone 0.20, Celtic 0.90 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
10 min (11%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Celtic 0.54 xG
Celtic ahead
28 min (31%) · St. Johnstone 0.10, Celtic 0.00 xG

Line-ups

1564191813247109ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyMcCannBrysonBoothConwayWotherspoonKaneGoal83'70'70'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson2916435384218171422BainKennyDuffyAjerTaylorBrownMcGregorRogicChristieTurnbullEdouardYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal76'76'Celtic 4-2-3-1Neil Lennon

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 70' Middleton for Conway
  • 70' May for Kane
  • 83' O'Halloran for Kerr

Celtic substitutes

  • 76' Griffiths for Rogic
  • 76' Elyounoussi for Turnbull

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0121
KerrCB830.000.0100.0769
GordonCB900.000.0000.01110
McCartCB900.000.0000.00010
RooneyRWB9010.080.1020.2496
McCannCM900.020.0100.03410
BrysonCM900.000.0200.0317
BoothLWB9010.000.1920.2233
ConwayAM700.060.0100.0131
WotherspoonAM900.030.0600.04212
KaneST700.070.0000.0532
MiddletonFW200.030.0000.0322
MayFW200.000.000−0.0101
O'HalloranMF70.000.000––0

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0001
KennyRB900.000.0420.0665
DuffyCB900.100.0310.01811
AjerCB900.030.0100.09912
TaylorLB9010.030.2610.31104
BrownDM900.000.0210.0566
McGregorDM900.000.0700.1583
RogicRW760.120.0110.0242
Christie AM9010.060.2910.1045
Turnbull LW760.060.2310.0642
EdouardST9021.040.1410.1770
GriffithsFW140.000.000−0.0101
ElyounoussiFW140.000.0100.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

McCart and Bryson: 3 passesKerr and Bryson: 3 passesBooth and Bryson: 3 passesWotherspoon and Kane: 3 passesClark and Rooney: 4 passesMcCart and Booth: 4 passesRooney and Wotherspoon: 4 passesBooth and Kane: 4 passesBryson and Kane: 4 passesConway and Kane: 4 passesClark and McCart: 5 passesKerr and Kane: 5 passesBryson and McCann: 5 passesMcCann and Kane: 5 passesWotherspoon and Conway: 5 passesRooney and Kane: 6 passesBooth and Conway: 6 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 6 passesMcCann and Conway: 7 passesRooney and Bryson: 8 passesRooney and Conway: 8 passesKerr and Rooney: 9 passesBryson and Conway: 11 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 14 passesClark: 7 completed passesMcCart: 11 completed passesKerr: 17 completed passesGordon: 5 completed passesRooney: 18 completed passesBooth: 20 completed passesBryson: 20 completed passesMcCann: 17 completed passesWotherspoon: 19 completed passesConway: 18 completed passesKane: 12 completed passes1456192413181079ClarkMcCartKerrGordonRooneyBoothBrysonMcCannWotherspoonConwayKaneStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Bain and Ajer: 6 passesAjer and Brown: 6 passesRogic and Edouard: 6 passesKenny and Brown: 7 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 7 passesRogic and Christie: 7 passesAjer and Taylor: 8 passesTaylor and Christie: 9 passesDuffy and Turnbull: 10 passesBrown and Rogic: 10 passesMcGregor and Christie: 10 passesTaylor and Edouard: 11 passesKenny and Rogic: 12 passesDuffy and Brown: 13 passesBrown and McGregor: 13 passesBain and Duffy: 14 passesKenny and Christie: 14 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 15 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 17 passesTaylor and McGregor: 22 passesAjer and McGregor: 25 passesKenny and Duffy: 29 passesDuffy and Ajer: 38 passesBain: 14 completed passesKenny: 43 completed passesDuffy: 59 completed passesAjer: 52 completed passesTaylor: 36 completed passesBrown: 33 completed passesMcGregor: 51 completed passesRogic: 28 completed passesChristie: 26 completed passesTurnbull: 31 completed passesEdouard: 14 completed passes2916435384218171422BainKennyDuffyAjerTaylorBrownMcGregorRogicChristieTurnbullEdouardStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothWotherspoon9
WotherspoonBooth8
BrysonRooney8
KerrRooney7
RooneyBryson7

Celtic

FromToPasses
DuffyAjer23
KennyDuffy18
AjerMcGregor17
AjerDuffy16
TaylorMcGregor12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

11+6.99+4.514+1.56+1.02−3.38−1.011+2.810+3.26−2.48−0.716+9.811+4.86+0.54−2.53−3.69+4.19+4.82−0.81−2.68+3.16+3.420.01−0.51−0.64+1.02+0.80−0.31+0.60−0.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Celtic

6+1.52−2.712+2.410+6.32−3.07−0.83−3.19+4.616+9.012+4.13−2.92−3.52−1.99+4.510+3.740.02−2.20−3.64−0.43−1.22−0.10−2.12−0.12−0.55+2.50−0.40−0.50−0.70−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.010.020.010.030.030.010.130.040.010.030.110.02−0.010.010.050.20LessMore

Celtic

0.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.040.030.010.110.070.070.01−0.010.020.070.070.01−0.030.010.220.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone1.10 → 1.09Celtic1.86 → 1.85Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.11Celtic0.82 → 0.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six14%9%−5
11th1%2%+1
St. Mirren
Top six76%80%+4
Dundee United
Top six8%9%+1
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (14 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Expected goals0.781.82
Win15%61%
Expected Points0.692.08
Clean sheet16%46%

St. Johnstone 15%Draw 23%Celtic 61%

Most likely score 0–1, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%5%6%3%1%2%4%4%2%1%1%1%13%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawCeltic win
St. Johnstone
Top six14%35%15%9%
11th1%<1%1%2%
St. Mirren
Top six76%62%75%80%
Dundee United
Top six8%5%9%9%
11th1%1%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W2–16 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.78–0.86
  2. L0–13 FebRangers (A)xG 0.27–1.33
  3. W3–230 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 2.14–1.17
  4. D0–027 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.36–1.10
  5. W1–016 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.06–0.30
  6. D2–212 JanDundee United (A)xG 2.25–0.82

Celtic

  1. W4–010 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.57–0.57
  2. W2–16 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.57–0.42
  3. W4–02 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 2.13–1.87
  4. L1–230 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.61–1.03
  5. W2–027 JanHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.23–0.58
  6. D2–220 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.69–0.77

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Position8th2nd
Played2827
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠9–⁠1217–⁠7–⁠3
Points30 (1.07 per game)58 (2.15 per game)
Expected Points per game1.521.95
Goals27–⁠3761–⁠21
xG per game1.25–⁠0.961.99–⁠0.97
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.10–⁠0.802.14, 1.80–⁠0.90
Away: points, xG per game1.13, 1.38–⁠1.112.15, 2.19–⁠1.06
ManagerCallum Davidson (28)Neil Lennon (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone1.10, 5thCeltic1.86, 2ndDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12, 5thCeltic0.82, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone attack: 1.10Celtic attack: 1.861.861.10CelticSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone defence: 1.12Celtic defence: 0.821.120.82

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−7%−20%+71%−37%
Counter-attacks+57%−83%+135%−63%
Set pieces+9%−19%+13%+2%
Penalties−19%−39%+48%+5%
Headers+3%−15%−4%−18%
Left side+12%−20%+63%−19%
Centre−12%−17%+52%−25%
Right side+10%−34%+62%−40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side+12%−40%Centre−12%−25%Right side+10%−19%Open play−7%−37%Counter-attacks+57%−63%Set pieces+9%+2%Headers+3%−18%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+63%−34%Centre+52%−17%Right side+62%−20%Open play+71%−20%Counter-attacks+135%−83%Set pieces+13%−19%Headers−4%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

1.25xG1.99
0.96xG against0.97
45%Possession66%
12.4Shots18.2
9.8Shots against8.6
3.2Shots on target6.7
1.4Big chances2.6
21.0Touches in the opposition box29.8
365Passes584
65%Pass accuracy85%
4.5Corners5.9
52%Field tilt73%
36.0Final-third entries66.4
9.5Box entries17.2
14.7Passes per defensive action9.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.111.00
Ahead121.601.19
Behind221.430.77

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.690.98
Ahead392.361.05
Behind101.740.65

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.122–4
16–300.150.123–4
31–450.170.227–11
46–600.200.195–6
61–750.280.105–2
76–900.290.225–10

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.136–3
16–300.270.1411–3
31–450.340.107–3
46–600.410.2011–4
61–750.340.217–4
76–900.420.2119–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 20Parish 8Kerr 20Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 27McCart 27McNamara 20Rooney 5Kerr 1McCann 20Bryson 6McNamara 2Davidson 13Craig 8Wotherspoon 4Tanser 21Booth 6Bryson 1Conway 14Melamed 4McCann 2Wotherspoon 17O'Halloran 10May 4May 10Kane 8Hendry 73-4-2-1 in 17 of 28 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (17), 3-4-3 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBarkas 13Bain 9Hazard 5Frimpong 14Ajer 4Kenny 3Duffy 12Bitton 9Jullien 9Ajer 19Taylor 13Laxalt 9Edouard 2Soro 9Brown 7Christie 4McGregor 25Turnbull 3Rogic 2Christie 9Frimpong 4Brown 3Turnbull 9Rogic 4Ntcham 4Edouard 10Elyounoussi 8Taylor 3Ajeti 7Griffiths 7Edouard 44-2-3-1 in 11 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 4-1-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-2-1-2 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 December 2020Celtic1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.73–1.30
4 October 2020St. Johnstone0–2CelticxG 0.63–1.71

2 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–3 and xG 0.97–1.72 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May141,396530.480.15
Kane10955410.410.12
Conway161,321320.240.22
Wotherspoon211,892340.130.22

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard171,4731320.870.17
Griffiths7613520.500.17
Turnbull141,176550.250.40
Elyounoussi141,149720.500.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.