Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 1–2 Aberdeen

Saturday 22 October 2022, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 12 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 6,067

Motherwell McKinstry 55'

Aberdeen Miovski 4', Duk 68'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Aberdeen
Goals	1	2
xG	0.71	1.11
Expected Points	0.96	1.70

Motherwell 21%Draw 34%Aberdeen 45%

Most likely score 0–1, 19%. Final score 1–2, 9%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellAberdeen

0.71 −0.77xG1.11 −0.54

0.60 −0.68xG on target0.89 −0.95

12 −1Shots7 −7

4 +0.5Shots on target3 −1.6

2 0.0Big chances2 −0.8

21 +5Touches in the opposition box15 −10

59% +11Possession41% −13

440 +87Passes314 −91

70% +1Pass accuracy58% −19

80% +30Field tilt20% −27

38 +3Final-third entries21 −22

11 +2.8Box entries8 −3.6

10.6 −2Passes per defensive action16.8 +3

4 −0.5Corners0 −5.0

18 +2Tackles13 −2

9 −1.0Interceptions17 +8.4

10 −6Clearances29 +8

1 −1.5Saves3 0.0

14 0Fouls8 −2

0 −1.9Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellAberdeen

0.65 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.11 7 shots, 2 goals

0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–11–11–2

Level: 17 min (18%) · Motherwell 0.35, Aberdeen 0.78 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 76 min (82%) · Motherwell 0.36, Aberdeen 0.33 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

46' Shields for Tierney · 1 assist
72' Cornelius for Slattery
77' O'Donnell for McGinn

Aberdeen substitutes

77' Kennedy for Duk
84' Besuijen for Clarkson
86' Watkins for Miovski

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	6	0
McGinn	RB	77			0.02	0.06	1	0.15	8	3
Johansen	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	11
Lamie	CB	90			0.06	0.01	0	−0.07	1	11
Penney	LB	90			0.02	0.13	0	0.17	10	3
Slattery	DM	72			0.06	0.01	0	0.03	7	0
Goss	DM	90			0.00	0.06	1	0.03	4	1
McKinstry	RW	90	1		0.09	0.10	1	0.12	9	1
Tierney	AM	46			0.00	0.01	0	0.11	1	2
Spittal	LW	90			0.05	0.19	2	0.06	3	3
van Veen	ST	90			0.35	0.16	2	−0.01	0	2
Shields	MF	44		1	0.00	0.22	2	0.03	3	0
Cornelius	MF	18			0.06	0.02	0	0.02	1	1
O'Donnell	DF	13			0.00	0.03	0	0.07	5	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	1
McCrorie	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	8
Stewart	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	13
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.05	0	0.12	7	4
Richardson	DM	90			0.18	0.24	1	0.09	2	5
Barron	RWB	90		1	0.00	0.22	2	−0.02	3	7
Ramadani	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	4	13
Clarkson	CM	84			0.02	0.07	2	0.10	2	2
MacKenzie	LWB	90		1	0.07	0.28	1	0.21	6	3
Miovski	ST	86	1		0.41	0.01	1	0.05	3	3
Duk	ST	77	1		0.43	0.00	0	0.12	4	2
Kennedy	MF	13			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Besuijen	FW	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Watkins	FW	4			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Goss	Penney	11
Penney	Spittal	10
Johansen	McGinn	9
McGinn	McKinstry	9
Spittal	Penney	8

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Barron	McCrorie	8
McCrorie	Richardson	8
Scales	MacKenzie	7
MacKenzie	Scales	7
Clarkson	MacKenzie	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 11 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Motherwell
Top six	40%	29%	−11
11th	5%	7%	+2
Bottom	2%	4%	+2
Aberdeen
Top six	79%	88%	+9
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Bottom	<1%	<1%	0

From the forecast before the match (22 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.27	1.12
Win	39%	32%
Expected Points	1.46	1.25
Clean sheet	33%	28%

Motherwell 39%Draw 29%Aberdeen 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

From the forecast as it stood on 22 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Motherwell
Top six	40%	52%	37%	29%
11th	5%	3%	6%	7%
Bottom	2%	1%	3%	4%
Aberdeen
Top six	79%	72%	79%	88%
11th	1%	1%	1%	<1%
Bottom	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Aberdeen
Position	8th	4th
Played	11	10
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠1–⁠6	5–⁠1–⁠4
Points	13 (1.18 per game)	16 (1.60 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.47	1.44
Goals	14–⁠14	20–⁠15
xG per game	1.48–⁠1.31	1.65–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game	0.80, 1.68–⁠0.92	2.40, 2.57–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.31–⁠1.64	0.80, 0.73–⁠1.73
Manager	Steven Hammell (11)	Jim Goodwin (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−1%	+20%	+17%	−5%
Counter-attacks	+112%	−7%	+92%	+18%
Set pieces	−13%	−10%	−10%	+39%
Penalties	+149%	−100%	+174%	+105%
Headers	−29%	+38%	+39%	+13%
Left side	+17%	−9%	−18%	−24%
Centre	−13%	+46%	+13%	−1%
Right side	+11%	−20%	+48%	+48%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side+17%+48%Centre−13%−1%Right side+11%−24%Open play−1%−5%Counter-attacks+112%+18%Set pieces−13%+39%Headers−29%+13%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side−18%−20%Centre+13%+46%Right side+48%−9%Open play+17%+20%Counter-attacks+92%−7%Set pieces−10%−10%Headers+39%+38%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellAberdeen

1.48xG1.65

1.31xG against1.47

48%Possession54%

12.8Shots13.9

12.5Shots against13.0

3.5Shots on target4.6

2.0Big chances2.8

15.8Touches in the opposition box25.3

353Passes405

68%Pass accuracy77%

4.5Corners5.0

50%Field tilt47%

35.2Final-third entries42.9

8.2Box entries11.6

12.5Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	1.52	1.54
Ahead	22	1.39	1.11
Behind	24	1.48	1.10

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.32	1.21
Ahead	28	2.74	1.26
Behind	22	0.88	2.19

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.21	1–1
16–30	0.15	0.20	2–2
31–45	0.28	0.28	2–1
46–60	0.31	0.20	5–3
61–75	0.32	0.18	1–4
76–90	0.33	0.25	3–3

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.14	1–1
16–30	0.25	0.19	3–2
31–45	0.38	0.29	5–3
46–60	0.29	0.24	3–3
61–75	0.32	0.27	4–4
76–90	0.33	0.34	4–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (3), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
13 August 2022	Aberdeen	2–3	Motherwell	xG 1.27–2.72
19 February 2022	Motherwell	1–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.62–1.23
6 November 2021	Aberdeen	0–2	Motherwell	xG 0.94–0.47
11 September 2021	Motherwell	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 0.92–1.56
23 January 2021	Aberdeen	2–0	Motherwell	xG 3.10–0.47
23 December 2020	Motherwell	0–0	Aberdeen	xG 0.22–1.16

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, Aberdeen won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 11–5 and xG 1.31–1.42 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
van Veen	11	946	7	0	0.77	0.08
Shields	8	583	0	1	0.06	0.16
Spittal	10	697	1	1	0.11	0.09
Goss	11	958	0	1	0.09	0.09

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	10	817	7	0	0.81	0.03
Besuijen	9	720	3	0	0.23	0.21
Hayes	9	750	1	3	0.11	0.15
Richardson	10	879	0	0	0.06	0.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.